Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
Business Model in Simple Terms Imagine Coca-Cola as the world’s most powerful “thirst quencher” franchise. The company doesn’t bottle most of its drinks—it sells concentrated syrup and branding rights to independent bottlers worldwide.Read more
A 17-Year Story That Most Investors Only Discovered in the Last Three In 2010, Celsius Holdings (CELH) was generating roughly US$5 million in annual revenue, a forgotten energy drink with niche distribution in Scandinavian gyms and a handful of US health food stores. By the end of 2025, the company had crossed US$2 billion in trailing twelve-month revenue and acquired two major energy drink brands.Read more
The company is at an inflection point. After years of flat revenue at around $91B , it faces mounting pressure from shifting consumer preferences, health trends, and affordability concerns.Read more

Originally Posted Dec 5 on the Woodworth Contrarian News Page Brought to you by Quinn Millegan & The Woodworth Contrarian Fund A Deep Dive Into Why the Market Is Pricing MGPI for Permanent Decline When Cyclical Recovery Is Lurking in Plain Sight MGP Ingredient’s factories in Atchison, KS & Lawrenceburg, IN - MGP Ingredients Corporate THE SETUP: MEET THE STOCK THAT FELL 75% AND NOBODY NOTICED MGP Ingredients closed at $24.70 yesterday (with a 3–6% increase intraday today). Two years ago—December 4, 2023—it traded at $91.53.Read more

A recently shuttered WVVI tasting room in McMinnville, OR (November 2025) Date: November 18th 2025 Analyst: Drew Millegan & the Woodworth Contrarian Fund Originally posted on the Woodworth Contrarian Fund News page: https://www.woodworth.fund/news/willamette-valley-vineyards-wvvi-not-so-great-value Fair Value: Unclear. As an Oregon-based hedge fund, we often get the opportunity to more closely investigate local companies that are otherwise too small to register on most firms’ radars.Read more

Our initial price target for Flower Foods is set at $16.12. As Flower Foods has been crippled with poor earnings and higher margins, a spark in M&A will push the company out of constant stagnation.Read more
The Federal Reserve’s recent 25 basis point cut may appear modest, but for Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), it carries meaningful implications for valuation. As a consumer staples giant with steady free cash flows and a reputation as a dividend aristocrat, KO is highly sensitive to discount rates in long-term models.Read more
Key Takeaways Coca-Cola is the leading global brand, and it has endured numerous market downturns with its tested business model. The firm's stability, which includes over six decades of raising its dividend and a share price that is half as volatile as the average market, appeals to a certain investor population.Read more

Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 9/17 +2 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 33.55% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 4.55% +1 ✅ Last 5-Year ROIC: 16.07% +1 ✅ Estimated Cost of Capital: 6.88% (less than ROIC) +1 ✅ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: -0.17% -1 ❌ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 7.81% (given the ease of manipulating earnings metrics, sub-10% growth warrants caution) +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 5.55% +1 ✅ Moody's Rating: A1 +2 ✅✅ Morningstar Moat: Wide +2 ✅✅ Morningstar Uncertainty: Low Coca-Cola has a wide moat reflecting in its stellar operating margin above the ~30% mark. The fact that the business has an overall low uncertainty and its capital allocation manages to return (ROIC) almost 3 times its cost of capital makes us have confidence in the management of this company.Read more





