Par Pacific Holdings Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 0/6
De omzet van Par Pacific Holdings zal naar verwachting dalen met 2.3% per jaar, terwijl de jaarlijkse winst naar verwachting zal groeien met 3.5% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 4% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 17.9% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
3.5%
Groei van de winst
4.03%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Oil and Gas winstgroei | 10.8% |
| Inkomstengroei | -2.3% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 17.93% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 10 Jun 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • Jun 03
PARR: Distillate Margins And Small Refinery Exemptions Will Shape Future Returns
Par Pacific Holdings' fair value estimate has shifted from $70.13 to $75.00 as analysts factor in a higher Street price target, supported by views on recent company results, a distillate driven margin setup, and potential benefits tied to small refinery exemptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Par Pacific points to a cluster of higher price targets and rating changes, with several firms updating their views as they incorporate new oil price assumptions, recent company results, and potential regulatory benefits into their models.Seeking Alpha • May 20
Par Pacific: Crack Spread Euphoria Creates 40% Downside
Summary Par Pacific is up over 70% YTD, driven by elevated crack spreads and strong refinery performance, particularly in Hawaii. PARR’s operational leverage has delivered exceptional cash flow, but current crack spreads are unsustainable, exposing significant downside risk as mean reversion is likely. Valuation appears stretched with minimal upside; normalized EBITDA and a cyclical business model suggest approximately 40% downside from current levels. I rate PARR a sell, preferring to wait for crack spread normalization before considering a long position despite the company’s strong asset base and buyback activity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • May 19
PARR: Higher Oil Assumptions And New Pipelines Will Shape Future Refining Margins
Analysts have lifted Par Pacific Holdings' fair value estimate from $40.00 to $58.00, reflecting recent price target increases across the Street tied to updated oil price outlooks, revised earnings assumptions, and higher projected P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Par Pacific points to a mixed setup for investors, with several firms updating price targets and oil assumptions while keeping a close eye on earnings quality, regional exposure, and refining margins.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 29
PARR: Future Share Buybacks And Higher Oil Assumptions Will Support Upside
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Par Pacific Holdings, reflected in a new fair value estimate moving from $60.53 to $80.00 as they factor in updated views on revenue growth, profitability, discount rate assumptions, and a lower forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Par Pacific Holdings has leaned constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and, in some cases, upgrading their views as they reassess valuation, sector conditions, and company specific execution.Narratiefupdate • Apr 14
PARR: Crude Trade Flows And Capital Returns Will Shape Future Refining Margins
Analysts have lifted the implied fair value for Par Pacific Holdings from $47.13 to $70.13, citing broadly higher Street price targets, slightly lower discount rates, less steep expected revenue declines, firmer profit margin assumptions, and a more moderate future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Street research on Par Pacific Holdings has been active, with multiple price target revisions and rating changes feeding into the higher implied fair value.Analyseartikel • Apr 10
Industry Analysts Just Made An Upgrade To Their Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Revenue Forecasts
Shareholders in Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered...Narratiefupdate • Mar 31
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts Will Pressure Future Refining Margins
Par Pacific Holdings' updated analyst price targets have moved higher, with firms now generally looking for $48 to $58 per share as analysts factor in revised oil price assumptions, recent refining market commentary, and adjustments to earnings expectations reflected in the lower future P/E multiple and the improved profit margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Par Pacific highlights a mix of higher price targets and more cautious language around macro risks, crude flows, and refining cyclicality.Narratiefupdate • Mar 16
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Maintenance Risks Will Pressure Future Margins
Narrative Update: Par Pacific Holdings Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings up by $1 to $40, as recent price target revisions in the $48 to $57 range reflect updated views on refining conditions, regional maintenance impacts, and shifting crude trade flows. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Par Pacific cluster around higher price targets in the US$48 to US$57 range, but the commentary behind those numbers flags several risks that are worth keeping in mind.Narratiefupdate • Mar 02
PARR: Crude Trade Flow Shifts And Refining Margins Will Shape Prospects
Narrative Update on Par Pacific Holdings Analysts have lifted their average price target for Par Pacific Holdings by about $1.63, toward a fair value of roughly $47.13, as they factor in recent price target revisions in the $48 to $57 range and refine assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Par Pacific Holdings highlights a mix of optimism around refining fundamentals and caution about external factors that could influence margins and crude sourcing over time.Narratiefupdate • Feb 16
PARR: Crude Trade Flow Shifts And Refining Fundamentals Will Shape Returns
Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings from $47.38 to $45.50, in line with recent cuts to Street price targets as they consider updated views on crude trade flows, refining conditions, revenue trends and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Par Pacific Holdings focuses less on company specific execution and more on how shifting crude trade flows and refining supply demand could feed into valuation over time.Narratiefupdate • Feb 02
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Buybacks Will Shape Refining Margins And Returns
Analysts have reduced their average price target on Par Pacific Holdings by US$2, citing recent cuts from Piper Sandler that reflect evolving crude trade flows and a more cautious view on crude prices, while still noting supportive conditions for U.S. refiners. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Par Pacific Holdings shows a series of reduced price targets that point to a more cautious tone, even as some analysts still see supportive conditions for U.S. refiners.Narratiefupdate • Jan 19
PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Share Buybacks Will Shape Future Earnings Power
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings from US$23.00 to US$39.00, pointing to a higher assumed future P/E of about 16x, a lower discount rate, and shifting views on margins and revenue trends influenced by recent research around crude trade flows and refining supply and demand. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Par Pacific Holdings, with price targets being trimmed even as some commentary highlights supportive refining fundamentals.Narratiefupdate • Jan 05
PARR: Future Share Buybacks Will Support Cash Returns Despite Softer Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Par Pacific Holdings to about US$60.53 from roughly US$61.73, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate and profit assumptions in their models. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings repurchased 515,523 shares from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, for US$16.28 million, representing 1.02% of its shares.Analyseartikel • Jan 01
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period...Narratiefupdate • Dec 14
PARR: Future Cash Returns Will Benefit From Lower Perceived Risk
Analysts have significantly raised their price target on Par Pacific Holdings from 39 dollars to approximately 61.73 dollars, citing lower perceived risk, an improved revenue trajectory, and expectations for a higher future earnings multiple despite slimmer profit margins. What's in the News Completed a major share repurchase program, buying back a total of 5,165,264 shares (9.59% of outstanding stock) for 85.08 million dollars under the authorization announced on February 26, 2025 (Key Developments) Between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, repurchased 515,523 shares (1.02% of outstanding stock) for 16.28 million dollars, signaling continued capital returns to shareholders (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased significantly from approximately 39 dollars to about 61.73 dollars per share, indicating a higher intrinsic valuation.Narratiefupdate • Nov 30
PARR: Ongoing Buybacks And Lower Risk Will Offset Revenue Headwinds
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $44.00 to $47.38, citing updated fair value calculations and slight adjustments to long-term financial projections. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed a share repurchase tranche from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, buying back 515,523 shares for $16.28 million (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Nov 15
PARR: Future Buybacks And Lower Risk Expectations Will Balance Profit Pressure
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $40.38 to $44.00. This adjustment is based on reassessments of discount rates, revenue growth projections, and revised profit margin expectations.Narratiefupdate • Nov 01
PARR: Share Buybacks And Easing Headwinds Will Support Future Stability
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $39.63 to $40.38. They cite slight improvements in key financial projections and a lower discount rate, which together enhance the company's forecasted valuation.Narratiefupdate • Oct 18
Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $35.50 to $39.63, citing improved profit margin forecasts and a less negative outlook for revenue growth. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed a share buyback tranche, repurchasing 1,605,727 shares (3.07%) for $27.94 million from April 1, 2025 to June 30, 2025.Narratiefupdate • Oct 03
Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets
Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $33.00 to $35.50, citing slightly improved profit margin expectations and a lower discount rate, even though they have adopted a more conservative outlook on future revenue growth. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings has completed the repurchase of 4,649,741 shares, representing 8.58% of its outstanding shares, for a total of $68.8 million as part of its ongoing buyback program.Narratiefupdate • Sep 17
Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets
Par Pacific Holdings’ consensus price target has increased to $33.00, as a sharply higher expected P/E multiple outweighed the impact of a notable decline in net profit margin. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed the repurchase of 4,649,741 shares (8.58% of shares outstanding) for $68.8 million under its recent buyback program.Analyseartikel • Sep 06
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%
Despite an already strong run, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...Analyseartikel • Jul 02
Improved Revenues Required Before Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Stock's 30% Jump Looks Justified
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month...Analyseartikel • May 09
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:PARR) Shares Bounce 34% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...Analyseartikel • Apr 23
Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...Analyseartikel • Mar 01
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report
Shareholders might have noticed that Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) filed its annual result this time last...Analyseartikel • Jan 14
Improved Earnings Required Before Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Shares Find Their Feet
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...Analyseartikel • Nov 20
Par Pacific Holdings' (NYSE:PARR) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think
The subdued market reaction suggests that Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PARR ) recent earnings didn't contain any...Seeking Alpha • Nov 12
Par Pacific: Rolling The Dice With Debt-Funded Share Buybacks
Summary Management of Par Pacific believes they have circa $330m of excess liquidity and plan to continue share buybacks during this downturn. These will likely be debt-funded, which is controversial and raises questions regarding the extent of the risks. They have zero debt maturities for over three years, plus a healthy cash balance and no plan for higher capital expenditure, so there are no immediate issues. Their notoriously volatile industry still poses risks because the severity and length of this downturn are uncertain. If executed skilfully, it could translate into significant capital gains by removing upwards of one-third of their outstanding share count from the market. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Oct 30
Is Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analyseartikel • Oct 04
Benign Growth For Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Underpins Its Share Price
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PARR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.3x might make it look like a strong...
Nieuw narratief • Sep 14
Refinery Reliability And Renewable Shifts Spark Hope Amid Forecasts Of Shrinking Profits
Strategic growth initiatives and operational improvements in refineries bolster revenue streams by diversifying products and enhancing production efficiency.Analyseartikel • Jul 30
Is Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 7,112 | 639 | 681 | N/A | 3 |
| 12/31/2027 | 7,714 | 466 | 316 | 715 | 6 |
| 12/31/2026 | 8,442 | 681 | 708 | 886 | 6 |
| 3/31/2026 | 7,543 | 454 | 255 | 406 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 7,465 | 369 | 296 | 445 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 7,484 | 236 | 167 | 336 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 7,615 | -19 | 30 | 195 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 7,739 | -60 | -97 | 57 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 7,974 | -33 | -52 | 84 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 8,326 | 312 | -19 | 97 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 8,761 | 476 | 177 | 288 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 8,528 | 487 | 374 | 465 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 8,232 | 729 | 497 | 579 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 7,857 | 524 | 596 | 665 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 7,334 | 620 | 682 | 737 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 7,657 | 739 | 549 | 599 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 7,322 | 364 | 400 | 453 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 6,806 | 288 | 240 | 287 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 6,061 | 102 | -46 | -2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 5,172 | -156 | -42 | -5 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 4,710 | -81 | -57 | -28 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,132 | -221 | -51 | -9 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,512 | -317 | -117 | -69 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,809 | -249 | -139 | -82 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,125 | -409 | -101 | -37 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,808 | -242 | -29 | 33 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 4,520 | -311 | 42 | 115 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 5,414 | -242 | 96 | 177 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 5,402 | 40 | N/A | 106 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 4,881 | 19 | N/A | 137 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 4,390 | 96 | N/A | 84 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 3,837 | 84 | N/A | 21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 3,411 | 39 | N/A | 91 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,195 | 44 | N/A | 53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,895 | 68 | N/A | 76 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,603 | 59 | N/A | 94 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,443 | 72 | N/A | 106 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,343 | 67 | N/A | 123 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,243 | 20 | N/A | 67 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,092 | 0 | N/A | -11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,865 | -46 | N/A | -23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,745 | -126 | N/A | -53 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,731 | -84 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,901 | -59 | N/A | 58 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 2,066 | -40 | N/A | 132 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 2,331 | 58 | N/A | 166 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,690 | 4 | N/A | 117 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei van PARR ( 3.5% per jaar) ligt onder de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van PARR ( 3.5% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 17.9% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van PARR zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van PARR zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -2.3% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van PARR zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -2.3% per jaar).
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen PARR zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 17.9 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/06/10 11:26 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/06/10 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 18 analisten. 6 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Rhett Bruno | BofA Global Research |
| Shannon Nome | Deutsche Bank |
| Neil Mehta | Goldman Sachs |