Dutch Bros Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 5/6
Dutch Bros zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 26.5% en 17.6% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 25.6% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 20.6% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
26.5%
Groei van de winst
25.57%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Hospitality winstgroei | 18.2% |
| Inkomstengroei | 17.6% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 20.63% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 07 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Analyse-update • Apr 20
BROS: National Store Additions And Index Inclusion Will Support Premium P E Multiples
Analysts have trimmed their Dutch Bros fair value estimate slightly, with the updated price target easing by about $0.40 to $75.71. They factor in a marginally higher discount rate and a slightly lower assumed future P/E, while still citing supportive research that highlights what they view as overblown competitive concerns and generally constructive views from recent initiations and upgrades.Seeking Alpha • Apr 15
Dutch Bros: De-Risking Ahead Of Earnings As Competition Heats Up (Downgrade)
Summary Dutch Bros faces mounting competitive pressure, notably from McDonald's aggressive energy drink entry and value pricing strategy. I downgrade BROS to 'Neutral,' citing vulnerability ahead of Q1 earnings and a recent rebound rally that leaves shares ripe for profit-taking. Key risks include decelerating comp sales due to higher gas prices, weakening shop margins, and likely increased promotional activity. At 21x forward adjusted EBITDA, BROS trades at a premium to peers despite fading comp sales and intensifying competition. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyse-update • Apr 05
BROS: National Unit Expansion And New Index Inclusions Will Support Premium P E Multiples
The analyst price target for Dutch Bros has been trimmed slightly, with a modest reduction in fair value and a higher assumed P/E of about 61x. Analysts are factoring in a slightly higher discount rate and more conservative revenue growth and margin assumptions, while still highlighting support from recent positive research coverage and limited competitive threat from new beverage launches.Analyse-update • Mar 21
BROS: Unit Expansion And 2026 Store Rollout Will Support Premium P E Multiples
Analysts have trimmed the Dutch Bros fair value estimate slightly, alongside a reduction in the blended Street price target to around the high $60s to low $70s. This reflects modest adjustments to discount rate and growth assumptions, even as many recent notes still point to healthy unit expansion and brand strength.Analyse-update • Mar 06
BROS: Unit Expansion And Food Program Rollout Will Support Premium Future P E Multiples
The updated analyst price target for Dutch Bros edges higher to $77.30 from $77.10, reflecting research that highlights its coffee and energy drink mix, younger customer appeal, unit-level economics, and store growth potential as key supports for the long term P/E framework of about 58.7x. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dutch Bros clusters around growth, brand strength, and execution, with price targets generally framed against a relatively high P/E multiple.Analyse-update • Feb 20
BROS: Unit Expansion And Food Program Rollout Will Support Rich Future Multiples
Analysts have nudged their average price target on Dutch Bros higher by a few dollars to around the mid $80s, reflecting recent research that highlights a strong finish to the year and fresh bullish coverage, even as some firms trim targets at the margin. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dutch Bros reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several price targets adjusted around the current mid $80s range and fresh initiation from new coverage.Analyse-update • Feb 06
BROS: Unit Expansion And Clutch Coffee Integration Will Support Rich Future Multiples
Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to their Dutch Bros price target to roughly US$77, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, margins, discount rate and future P/E. These updates incorporate recent research, including Citi's bullish initiation, Barclays' higher US$76 target and Morgan Stanley's trimmed outlook for the stock.Analyse-update • Jan 22
BROS: Unit Expansion And Clutch Coffee Acquisition Will Support Premium Multiples
Analysts have nudged their Dutch Bros fair value target slightly higher to about $76.84 per share from roughly $76.74, reflecting updated views that factor in firm level price target revisions, ongoing margin pressure, and continued optimism around unit growth and the Clutch Coffee acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Dutch Bros highlights a mix of enthusiasm for the growth story and caution around margins and sector sentiment, which together help explain the modest adjustment to fair value targets.Analyse-update • Jan 06
BROS: Demand Resilience And Higher Margins Will Support Premium Multiples
Analysts trimmed their Dutch Bros price targets by a few dollars into a rough restaurant tape, but your updated fair value edges up to about US$76.74, as higher assumed profit margins and a lower future P/E partly offset more cautious revenue growth and a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Street research around Dutch Bros has turned more mixed recently, with several firms trimming price targets but maintaining constructive ratings.Analyse-update • Dec 14
BROS: Demand Resilience Will Support Premium Multiples Despite Near Term Margin Pressure
Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Dutch Bros slightly higher to the mid $80s, reflecting modestly stronger long term growth assumptions and resilient same store sales that offset near term margin pressure and a slightly higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Street research on Dutch Bros remains broadly constructive, even as some valuation assumptions are tempered to reflect a choppier operating backdrop and near term margin pressure.Analyse-update • Nov 28
BROS: Store Expansion And Demand Resilience Will Offset Margin Pressures Into 2026
Analysts have recently trimmed their price target for Dutch Bros by $1 to $84. This change reflects near-term margin pressures, but also consistent and attractive performance as well as robust demand resilience in the restaurant sector.Analyse-update • Nov 14
BROS: Store Expansion Will Sustain Demand Into 2026 Despite Margin Pressures
The average analyst price target for Dutch Bros was lowered slightly from $78.06 to $75.61. Analysts cited ongoing margin pressures and cautious consumer spending, despite the company’s solid revenue and profit performance.Analyse-update • Oct 30
BROS: Ongoing Store Expansion Will Sustain Industry-Leading Traffic Momentum Through 2026
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Dutch Bros from $81.59 to $78.06. This change reflects modest concerns around near-term consumer trends, despite continued confidence in the company’s differentiated growth prospects.Analyse-update • Oct 16
Sun Belt Expansion And Drive-Thru Focus Will Shape Future Success
The analyst price target for Dutch Bros was revised slightly lower, from $82.63 to $81.59. Analysts weighed robust revenue growth forecasts and strong comparable store sales against a modest dip in profit margin expectations and updated sector views.Analyse-update • Sep 04
Sun Belt Expansion And Drive-Thru Focus Will Shape Future Success
Analysts remain bullish on Dutch Bros due to strong store growth, robust comparable sales, and impressive quarterly results, resulting in the consensus analyst price target staying unchanged at $82.62. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Dutch Bros' industry-leading store growth and sustained sales and traffic momentum, with expectations that this momentum is likely to continue through 2026 due to a strong catalyst path.Analyse-artikel • Aug 29
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Dutch Bros Inc.'s (NYSE:BROS) 27% Share Price Surge
Dutch Bros Inc. ( NYSE:BROS ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting...Analyse-artikel • Aug 09
Dutch Bros Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Predictions
A week ago, Dutch Bros Inc. ( NYSE:BROS ) came out with a strong set of second-quarter numbers that could potentially...Analyse-artikel • Aug 02
Dutch Bros Inc. (NYSE:BROS) Shares Could Be 34% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Dutch Bros' estimated fair value is US$42.29 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Dutch Bros...Analyse-artikel • Jul 07
Dutch Bros Inc.'s (NYSE:BROS) P/S Is On The Mark
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Hospitality industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Seeking Alpha • Apr 14
Iced Growth, Hot Valuation: Why Dutch Bros Is Still A Hold
Summary Dutch Bros' unique "Broista" culture and focus on iced/customized drinks give it a competitive edge and significant U.S. growth potential. Shop expansion and SSS remain healthy, but inflation and potential economic slowdown pose threats. Although it has outperformed the market, its current valuation (P/S, P/E, PEG) suggests it may be overvalued. Despite long-term potential, the current valuation warrants a "hold" for existing investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 06
Dutch Bros: Beware Huge Valuation And Tariff Risks (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Shares of Dutch Bros are at risk of a correction, especially with new tariffs imposed on the company's South American coffee supply. Despite strong same-store sales and aggressive expansion plans, Dutch Bros' lofty valuation and reliance on imported coffee beans make it vulnerable to a sharp pullback. BROS stock trades at >80x P/E and >30x adjusted EBITDA. Given the negative risk-reward profile and potential macroeconomic impact, it's time to sell Dutch Bros and consider other investment opportunities. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 06
Dutch Bros: Dripping With Success
Summary Dutch Bros has a strong brand identity, with a unique customer friendly model suggesting continued growth over the next decade. It has market leadership in suburban coffee chains, appealing to several demographics. The company is reasonably priced at 8x forward sales, growing at 24%. With less than 1,000 stores in just 12 states, it has underpenetrated the market and has a long runway of growth left. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 13
Dutch Bros Q4 Earnings: A Growth Story With Caveats
Summary Dutch Bros delivers strong growth and guidance with 26% Y/Y revenue growth projected, driven by aggressive store expansion, making it a clear growth story. Despite impressive growth, I'm tepidly bullish due to high valuation and reliance on store openings, raising concerns about sustainability and potential cannibalization. BROS stock's valuation at 155x forward free cash flow is steep, and heavy capex deployment limits free cash flow conversion, making the investment risky. If the market views BROS as a turnaround story, the stock could climb, but I remain cautious given the cyclical nature of the sector. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 18
Dutch Bros: Coffee Is Getting Expensive
Summary Dutch Bros has shown significant revenue growth and store expansion, but its valuation is high, suggesting a potential pullback in the short term. The company’s EBITDA and contribution margins have been impacted by rising labor and coffee costs, despite strong top-line growth. Mobile app rollouts and new food products are promising, but 2025 will be a cautious year where I focus on cost and margin scrutiny. Analysts' ratings are mixed, with Seeking Alpha and Quant recommending a hold. Wall Street analysts suggesting a strong buy, with price targets north of $60. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 27
Dutch Bros: Getting Right Everything Starbucks Is Getting Wrong
Summary Dutch Bros exhibits strong growth with a 15% increase in footprint and resilient comparable sales, outperforming competitors like Starbucks by emphasizing community and barista-guest connections. The chain's strategic innovations, including Dutch Rewards and mobile ordering, have significantly boosted sales and customer engagement, with 67% of transactions indexed to Dutch Rewards. Dutch Bros plans to expand rapidly, with 160 new stores expected in FY 2025, leveraging high AUVs and efficient cost management to maintain profitability. Valuation models suggest a price target in the mid-$50s, supported by strong fundamentals and market share gains, justifying a 'Buy' rating with cautious exposure. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 20
Dutch Bros: Trends Are Starting To Slip, Take Profits Here (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Dutch Bros has surged over 50% YTD, but slowing growth and competitive pressures prompt me to downgrade it to neutral. I recommend taking profits on this trade. Despite international growth potential and cost-efficient store formats, BROS faces unsustainable same-store sales growth driven by prior price increases. The coffee industry is highly competitive, with Dutch Bros facing threats from giants like Starbucks and local roasters, squeezing its market viability. Q3 results show revenue growth deceleration and concerning same-store sales trends, signaling a need to reassess investment in Dutch Bros. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 20
Dutch Bros: Positive Fundamental Change But Still Cautious (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Upgrading Dutch Bros, Inc. from a sell to a hold rating due to improved key fundamentals and favorable market conditions, however, significant risks still remain. In May, the company reported revenue growth of 39% YoY, with same-store sales up 10%, but concerns remain over growth moving forward and high debt used for expansion. Positive trends in margins, ROE, and free cash flow, though the company still faces challenges with a negative ROIC-WACC ratio and their high debt levels when compared to earnings. Recommend monitoring Dutch Bros closely, as management's strategic decisions may enhance profitability, but caution is warranted for long-term value investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaWinst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 3,110 | 211 | 142 | 528 | 11 |
| 12/31/2027 | 2,557 | 188 | 105 | 410 | 24 |
| 12/31/2026 | 2,080 | 124 | 60 | 342 | 22 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,747 | 81 | 102 | 343 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,638 | 80 | 54 | 296 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,537 | 62 | 65 | 278 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,452 | 57 | 73 | 272 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,361 | 44 | 32 | 242 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,281 | 35 | 25 | 246 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,192 | 30 | -10 | 229 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,119 | 22 | -53 | 195 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,044 | 13 | -65 | 178 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 966 | 2 | -89 | 140 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 913 | 2 | -109 | 112 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 848 | 0 | -117 | 89 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 784 | -4 | -127 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 739 | -5 | -128 | 60 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 677 | -6 | -128 | 51 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 608 | -19 | -127 | 41 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 551 | -18 | -86 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 498 | -13 | -38 | 80 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 448 | -23 | -6 | 83 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 405 | -5 | 28 | 89 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 351 | -3 | 17 | 59 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 327 | N/A | 13 | 54 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 238 | N/A | N/A | 57 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei BROS ( 26.5% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van BROS ( 26.5% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de US markt ( 16.6% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van BROS zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar aanzienlijk groeien.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van BROS ( 17.6% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de markt US ( 11.5% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van BROS ( 17.6% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen BROS zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar hoog zijn ( 20.6 %)
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/07 18:41 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
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| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
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| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
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| Beheer | 10 jaar |
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| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Dutch Bros Inc. wordt gevolgd door 33 analisten. 24 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |