Smith Douglas Homes Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 0/6
De winst van Smith Douglas Homes zal naar verwachting dalen met 22.3% per jaar, terwijl de jaarlijkse omzet naar verwachting zal groeien met 8.8% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting afnemen met 23.4% per jaar.
Belangrijke informatie
-22.3%
Groei van de winst
-23.44%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Consumer Durables winstgroei | 7.6% |
| Inkomstengroei | 8.8% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | n/a |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 05 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Analyse-update • Apr 23
SDHC: Future Returns Will Depend On Order Trends And ASP Pressure
Smith Douglas Homes' average analyst price target has been adjusted lower to a range of $12 to $14 per share, as analysts incorporate reduced estimates and recent order softness following the latest earnings call, while largely maintaining neutral ratings on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Smith Douglas Homes has centered on reset expectations and a more cautious stance on near term execution, with most firms starting or reiterating neutral views even as they update targets and models.Analyse-update • Apr 07
SDHC: Future Returns Will Reflect Order Trends And Margin Assumptions
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Smith Douglas Homes has shifted to $13.13. Analysts cite adjusted estimates following recent earnings, a lower assumed profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change.Analyse-update • Mar 24
SDHC: Future Returns Will Reflect Order Trends And Earnings Multiples
Narrative Update on Smith Douglas Homes The analyst price target for Smith Douglas Homes is revised from $16.50 to $13.13, reflecting analysts' lower estimates and tempered expectations following Q4 order trends and Q1 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Smith Douglas Homes point to a more cautious stance, with several firms trimming price targets after the latest earnings call and forward guidance.Seeking Alpha • Mar 12
Smith Douglas: Upgrade To Strong Buy
Summary Smith Douglas Homes is upgraded to Strong Buy, as its stock price has reset below $13, despite operational strengths remaining intact. SDHC's 'pace over price' strategy prioritizes sales velocity over margins, resulting in compressed profitability, but maintaining production and market share. Insider buying at $16.80–$19.32 signals management's confidence, while a conservative 9% debt-to-capitalization balance sheet supports resilience. Despite sector headwinds, SDHC's asset-light model, rapid build cycle, and expanded community count position it for long-term value compounding. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyse-update • Mar 10
SDHC: Future Returns Will Rely On Discount Rates And Earnings Multiples
Analysts have adjusted their 12-month price target for Smith Douglas Homes down by $1 to $16.50, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates and earnings multiples while keeping their fair value view unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research around the revised US$16.50 price target focuses less on a change in fundamental outlook and more on fine tuning of valuation inputs, particularly discount rates and earnings multiples.Analyse-update • Feb 22
SDHC: Future Returns Will Depend On Margins And Discount Rate Assumptions
Analysts have reduced their price target on Smith Douglas Homes by $1 to $16.50, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, long-term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the adjusted $16.50 target as still allowing room for upside if Smith Douglas Homes delivers on its revenue growth assumptions and meets current profit margin expectations.Analyse-update • Feb 08
SDHC: Future Returns Will Hinge On Execution At Reasonably Priced Levels
Analysts have reduced their price target on Smith Douglas Homes by $1 to $17, citing a reasonable valuation, solid return on equity and medium term growth prospects as key factors behind the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Smith Douglas Homes are giving investors a mixed but fairly balanced message, with price targets being fine tuned rather than reset in a major way.
Nieuwe analyse • Feb 02
Land Light Expansion And Presale Model Will Support Future Stability For This Homebuilder
Catalysts About Smith Douglas Homes Smith Douglas Homes builds and sells affordable, quality homes across key markets in the South and broader Southeast and Southern United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Analyse-artikel • Jan 28
We Think Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Analyse-update • Jan 22
SDHC: Future Returns Will Depend On Execution Risk At Current Price Levels
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Smith Douglas Homes has been trimmed by $0.25 to $16.50 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with recent research pointing to a more neutral valuation stance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Smith Douglas Homes points to a more balanced outlook, with analysts weighing solid fundamentals against valuation and execution risks.Analyse-artikel • Jan 10
A Look At The Fair Value Of Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Smith Douglas Homes fair value estimate is US$20.42 With...Analyse-update • Jan 07
SDHC: Future Returns Will Balance Solid Equity Efficiency And Modest Housing Demand Risks
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Smith Douglas Homes by $1 to $17, citing what they see as reasonable valuation, solid return on equity, and medium term growth prospects. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan has assumed coverage of Smith Douglas Homes with a Neutral rating and a trimmed price target of $17, down from $18.Analyse-update • Dec 19
SDHC: Future Returns Will Be Constrained By Modest Housing Demand Risks
Analysts raised their price target on Smith Douglas Homes slightly, from approximately $16.60 to $16.75 per share, citing the stock's reasonable valuation, solid return on equity profile, and strong medium term growth prospects, despite a modest reduction in a recent $18 to $17 target from Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight that the current share price embeds a reasonable valuation relative to the company’s return on equity and growth profile.Analyse-artikel • Dec 13
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC) With Shares Advancing 25%
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ( NYSE:SDHC ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...Analyse-update • Nov 24
SDHC: Medium-Term Prospects Will Be Shaped By Housing Market Direction
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Smith Douglas Homes to $16.60 from $16.80. They cite modest shifts in growth outlook, valuation, and industry conditions as reasons for the updated estimate.Analyse-update • Nov 10
SDHC: Improved Earnings Prospects Will Face Near-Term Market Headwinds
Analysts have updated the fair value estimate for Smith Douglas Homes, raising the target from $16 to $17. They cite improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations, even as they remain cautious about the near-term housing market outlook.Analyse-artikel • Aug 19
We Think Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
NYSE:SDHC 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Smith Douglas Homes's Fair Values from the Community and select...Analyse-artikel • Jul 23
Is Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC) Trading At A 21% Discount?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Smith Douglas Homes fair value estimate is US$27.56 Smith...Analyse-artikel • Jun 16
Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven...Analyse-artikel • Apr 24
Smith Douglas Homes Corp.'s (NYSE:SDHC) P/S Still Appears To Be Reasonable
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.5x in the Consumer Durables industry in the United States...Seeking Alpha • Mar 22
Smith Douglas Homes: Earnings Growth Outlook Has Gotten Worse (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I downgrade Smith Douglas Homes Corp. to a hold rating due to worsening macroeconomic conditions and deteriorating fundamentals. Despite strong 4Q24 home closings, rising mortgage rates and land costs are negatively impacting SDHC's earnings growth outlook. SDHC's heavy use of incentives to capture demand is compressing margins, and affordability constraints are limiting effective demand. With a declining backlog and increasing cancellation rates, SDHC's valuation at 13x forward earnings appears fair, lacking upside momentum. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nieuwe analyse • Jan 12
Anticipated Demand And Market Expansion Could Offset Rising Costs And Margin Pressures
Strategic expansion into new markets and increased community count are expected to drive revenue growth and market share.Analyse-artikel • Jan 11
Slammed 31% Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ( NYSE:SDHC ) share price has dived 31% in the last...Seeking Alpha • Jan 09
Smith Douglas Homes: Navigating A Challenged Environment
Summary The stock of Smith Douglas Homes Corp. has been hit hard by rising mortgage rates, despite a recent 100bps reduction in the Federal Funds rate. The company focuses on building single-family homes in the southeastern U.S., targeting entry-level and empty-nest homebuyers, with a recent expansion into Greenville, SC. Q3 results were strong, with earnings beating expectations and revenues up 41% year-over-year, but analyst firms remain pessimistic. There was some insider buying in the stock in November, and at significantly higher levels than where the shares are currently trading. We take a deeper look at Smith Douglas Homes in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyse-artikel • Nov 23
Is There An Opportunity With Smith Douglas Homes Corp.'s (NYSE:SDHC) 43% Undervaluation?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Smith Douglas Homes is US$59.21 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Analyse-artikel • Oct 23
We Think Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Analyse-artikel • Jul 15
Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Jun 26
Smith Douglas Homes: Beneficiary Of The High Rates Environment
Summary SDHC operates in homebuilding industry with focus on single-family homes in key states. SDHC deserves a buy rating due to favorable macro environment. SDHC has a differentiated operating model with short build times and high customization. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 15
Smith Douglas Homes: IPO Gate Has Opened For This Homebuilder
Summary Smith Douglas Homes has had a successful public debut, with shares priced at the higher end of the offering range as it saw decent opening day returns. The company is one of the fastest growing private homebuilder in the US, offering personalized homes at affordable prices in desirable markets. Smith Douglas Homes operates with an asset-light business model, completing most homes in transactions with land under option, making it a capital-efficient operation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaWinst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,098 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,156 | 6 | 29 | -2 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,044 | 5 | 96 | -6 | 7 |
| 3/31/2026 | 953 | 9 | -2 | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 971 | 11 | -37 | -31 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 998 | 11 | -41 | -36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,014 | 15 | -40 | -35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,011 | 16 | -11 | -6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 975 | 16 | 15 | 19 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 905 | 42 | 32 | 35 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 825 | 70 | 28 | 31 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 786 | 97 | 39 | 40 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 765 | 123 | 75 | 76 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 771 | 135 | 127 | 129 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 780 | 139 | 138 | 139 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 761 | 139 | 143 | 144 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 755 | 140 | 131 | 132 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 519 | 63 | 30 | 31 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De winst van SDHC zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -22.3% per jaar).
Winst versus markt: De winst van SDHC zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -22.3% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van SDHC zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van SDHC ( 8.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11.6% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van SDHC ( 8.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Onvoldoende gegevens om te bepalen of het rendement op eigen vermogen van SDHC naar verwachting over 3 jaar hoog zal zijn
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/12 01:31 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/12 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
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| Beheer | 10 jaar |
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| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. wordt gevolgd door 8 analisten. 7 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Rafe Jadrosich | BofA Global Research |
| Ryan Gilbert | BTIG |
| Jay McCanless | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |