GEO Group (GEO) Aandelenoverzicht
De GEO Group, Inc. is een toonaangevende gediversifieerde dienstverlener voor de overheid, gespecialiseerd in ontwerp, financiering, ontwikkeling en ondersteunende diensten voor beveiligde faciliteiten, verwerkingscentra en gemeenschapscentra voor herintegratie in de Verenigde Staten, Australië, Zuid-Afrika en het Verenigd Koninkrijk. Meer informatie
| Sneeuwvlok Score | |
|---|---|
| Waardering | 4/6 |
| Toekomstige groei | 0/6 |
| Prestaties in het verleden | 4/6 |
| Financiële gezondheid | 2/6 |
| Dividenden | 0/6 |
Beloningen
Risicoanalyse
GEO Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
The GEO Group, Inc. Concurrenten
Prijsgeschiedenis en prestaties
| Historische aandelenkoersen | |
|---|---|
| Huidige aandelenkoers | US$18.51 |
| 52 Week Hoogtepunt | US$32.09 |
| 52 Week Laag | US$12.51 |
| Bèta | 0.69 |
| 1 maand verandering | 10.11% |
| 3 maanden verandering | 15.83% |
| 1 Jaar Verandering | -41.31% |
| 3 jaar verandering | 155.66% |
| 5 jaar verandering | 229.36% |
| Verandering sinds IPO | 1,751.00% |
Recent nieuws en updates
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on GEO Group, with reductions such as from $35 to $28, reflecting slower than anticipated growth following recent Q4 results and 2026 guidance updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are trimming price targets on GEO Group, but are still signaling confidence in the company’s long term execution and growth potential despite the slower than anticipated trajectory implied by Q4 results and 2026 guidance.
GEO: Slower Guidance And Leadership Shifts Set Up Future Detention Upside
Analysts have reduced GEO Group's fair value estimate to $27 from $35, reflecting updated expectations for slower growth and lower profit margins following recent guidance. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have moved to lower GEO Group's valuation anchors, pointing to slower growth expectations and pressure on profit margins after the latest quarter and 2026 guidance.GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Reset Earnings Expectations
Analysts have reduced their price expectations for GEO Group, with recent updates lowering targets to $28. This reflects slower than anticipated growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance.Recent updates
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on GEO Group, with reductions such as from $35 to $28, reflecting slower than anticipated growth following recent Q4 results and 2026 guidance updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are trimming price targets on GEO Group, but are still signaling confidence in the company’s long term execution and growth potential despite the slower than anticipated trajectory implied by Q4 results and 2026 guidance.GEO: Slower Guidance And Leadership Shifts Set Up Future Detention Upside
Analysts have reduced GEO Group's fair value estimate to $27 from $35, reflecting updated expectations for slower growth and lower profit margins following recent guidance. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have moved to lower GEO Group's valuation anchors, pointing to slower growth expectations and pressure on profit margins after the latest quarter and 2026 guidance.GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Reset Earnings Expectations
Analysts have reduced their price expectations for GEO Group, with recent updates lowering targets to $28. This reflects slower than anticipated growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance.GEO: ICE Detention Spending Upside Will Drive 2026 Earnings Repricing
Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for GEO Group from $35.00 to $33.00, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated earnings assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent fair value and price target revisions as a recalibration after updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance, rather than a shift away from a constructive long term view on GEO Group.
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Buybacks Will Support Path Toward $3b Revenue
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group to $29.50 from $32.25, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has generally aligned with the trimmed fair value estimate, with price targets recalibrated after the company issued Q4 results and 2026 guidance that pointed to slower than previously assumed growth.The GEO Group: Out Of Favor, But Many Paths To A Partial Rebound
Feb 18GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Leadership Shift Will Shape 2026 Earnings
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group by $2 to $35, citing updated assumptions for growth, profitability, and a lower future P/E multiple reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the latest target changes as a recalibration rather than a shift in view on GEO Group’s underlying thesis.GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Programs Will Underpin 2026 Earnings Profile
Analysts have trimmed their price target on GEO Group to US$37 from US$50, citing revised growth estimates and a softer profit outlook, even as they continue to highlight potential revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the lower US$37 price target as a reset rather than a reversal in their view on GEO Group.GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Will Support Path Toward $3B Revenue
Narrative Update Analysts cut their price target on GEO Group by $13 to $37, citing revised estimates that reflect slower than expected growth toward the projected $3b+ in annualized revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring. They still expressed a positive view on all business segments, including the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program opportunity.GEO: Upcoming Monitoring Contracts Will Drive Path Toward $3B Annualized Revenue
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on GEO Group, trimming expectations by approximately $13 per share to reflect slower than expected growth. They are still emphasizing long term revenue potential from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs.GEO Will Benefit From Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Expansion By 2026
Analysts have reduced their price target on GEO Group to $37.00 from $50.00, citing slower than previously expected revenue growth and profitability, despite continued optimism about the company’s long term contract and monitoring opportunities. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts emphasize that the revised $37.00 price target still implies meaningful upside from current trading levels, arguing that the market has not fully reflected GEO Group’s multi year contract pipeline and expanding monitoring footprint in its valuation.GEO: Upcoming Monitoring And Contract Wins Will Drive Revenue Expansion By 2026
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on GEO Group, reflecting a recalibration toward slower near term growth. They continue to highlight multi year contract wins and monitoring opportunities that could support the path to more than $3 billion in annualized revenue and underpin an updated fair value estimate of approximately $32.25 per share.GEO: Upcoming Contracts Will Significantly Boost Annual Revenue By 2026
Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $34.25 to $32.25. They cite revised estimates that reflect slower-than-expected growth, although there remains continued optimism around new contract opportunities and segment performance.GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Nov 14
GEO: New Contracts Will Drive Annualized Revenue Past $3 Billion
Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $39 to $34.25 per share, citing slower-than-expected revenue growth and profit margins based on recent research updates. However, they remain optimistic about the company's long-term opportunities.Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations
Analyst sentiment on GEO Group is mixed, with bulls citing favorable immigration policy momentum and likely funding increases while bears flag slower growth in alternatives to detention, resulting in the consensus price target holding steady at $39.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect significant demand tailwinds for GEO Group due to major U.S. immigration policy proposals, including anticipated funding increases for detention and monitoring services.Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
Aug 08GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Jul 10Investors Will Want GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Growth In ROCE To Persist
Jun 22Investors Can Find Comfort In GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Earnings Quality
May 14The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
Apr 27GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
Mar 22The GEO Group: The Stock Has Re-Priced And No Longer Offers Attractive Risk/Reward
Mar 21The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Mar 04These 4 Measures Indicate That GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Using Debt Extensively
Feb 25GEO Group: Shares Have Gotten Ahead Of Growth Potential
Feb 10The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Jan 18The GEO Group: Further Upside Potential From Trump's Immigration Policy
Jan 13When Should You Buy The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)?
Dec 31We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)
Dec 16Are Investors Undervaluing The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) By 31%?
Dec 04The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce
Oct 29GEO Group: Financial Deterioration Amid Debt Reduction Focus
Oct 24
Calculated Contracts And Legislative Developments Fuel Growth In Managed Services And Tech Solutions
New contracts with ICE and in Australia are poised to drive revenue growth in the managed-only segment from increased contract activations.We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At GEO Group (NYSE:GEO)
Sep 05We Think You Can Look Beyond GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Lackluster Earnings
Aug 15Shareholders Should Be Pleased With The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Price
Aug 13GEO Group: Golden Opportunity Following The 32% Selloff
Aug 06Rendement voor aandeelhouders
| GEO | US Commercial Services | US Markt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.2% | -1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1Y | -41.3% | -11.6% | 28.7% |
Rendement versus industrie: GEO presteerde slechter dan de US Commercial Services -sector, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement van -11.6 % opleverde.
Rendement versus markt: GEO presteerde slechter dan US Market, dat het afgelopen jaar een rendement van 28.7 % opleverde.
Prijsvolatiliteit
| GEO volatility | |
|---|---|
| GEO Average Weekly Movement | 8.3% |
| Commercial Services Industry Average Movement | 7.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.3% |
Stabiele aandelenkoers: GEO heeft de afgelopen 3 maanden geen significante prijsvolatiliteit gekend vergeleken met de US markt.
Volatiliteit in de loop van de tijd: De wekelijkse volatiliteit ( 8% ) van GEO is het afgelopen jaar stabiel geweest.
Over het bedrijf
| Opgericht | Werknemers | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1984 | 18,000 | George Zoley | www.geogroup.com |
De GEO Group, Inc. is een toonaangevende gediversifieerde dienstverlener voor de overheid, gespecialiseerd in ontwerp, financiering, ontwikkeling en ondersteunende diensten voor beveiligde faciliteiten, verwerkingscentra en gemeenschapscentra voor herintegratie in de Verenigde Staten, Australië, Zuid-Afrika en het Verenigd Koninkrijk. GEO's gediversifieerde diensten omvatten verbeterde rehabilitatie in detentie en ondersteuning na vrijlating door middel van het bekroonde GEO Continuum of Care, beveiligd transport, elektronisch toezicht, programma's in de gemeenschap, en correctionele gezondheid en geestelijke gezondheidszorg. GEO's wereldwijde activiteiten omvatten de eigendom en/of levering van ondersteunende diensten voor 95 faciliteiten met een totaal van ongeveer 75.000 bedden, inclusief ongebruikte faciliteiten en projecten in ontwikkeling, met een personeelsbestand van ongeveer 20.000 werknemers.
The GEO Group, Inc. Samenvatting
| GEO fundamentele statistieken | |
|---|---|
| Marktkapitalisatie | US$2.51b |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | US$254.37m |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | US$2.63b |
Is GEO overgewaardeerd?
Zie Reële waarde en waarderingsanalyseInkomsten en omzet
| GEO resultatenrekening (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Inkomsten | US$2.63b |
| Kosten van inkomsten | US$1.97b |
| Brutowinst | US$663.07m |
| Overige uitgaven | US$408.70m |
| Inkomsten | US$254.37m |
Laatst gerapporteerde inkomsten
Dec 31, 2025
Volgende inkomensdatum
May 06, 2026
| Winst per aandeel (EPS) | 1.92 |
| Brutomarge | 25.20% |
| Nettowinstmarge | 9.67% |
| Schuld/Eigen Vermogen Verhouding | 109.7% |
Hoe presteerde GEO op de lange termijn?
Bekijk historische prestaties en vergelijkingBedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/04/30 14:44 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/04/30 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
The GEO Group, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 14 analisten. 4 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Manav Patnaik | Barclays |
| Ryan Meliker | Canaccord Genuity |
| Tan Wei | Deutsche Bank |