GEO Group (GEO) Aandelenoverzicht
De GEO Group, Inc. is een toonaangevende gediversifieerde dienstverlener voor de overheid, gespecialiseerd in ontwerp, financiering, ontwikkeling en ondersteunende diensten voor beveiligde faciliteiten, verwerkingscentra en gemeenschapscentra voor herintegratie in de Verenigde Staten, Australië, Zuid-Afrika en het Verenigd Koninkrijk. Meer informatie
| Sneeuwvlok Score | |
|---|---|
| Waardering | 2/6 |
| Toekomstige groei | 0/6 |
| Prestaties in het verleden | 4/6 |
| Financiële gezondheid | 2/6 |
| Dividenden | 0/6 |
Beloningen
Risicoanalyse
GEO Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
The GEO Group, Inc. Concurrenten
Prijsgeschiedenis en prestaties
| Historische aandelenkoersen | |
|---|---|
| Huidige aandelenkoers | US$30.89 |
| 52 Week Hoogtepunt | US$32.25 |
| 52 Week Laag | US$12.51 |
| Bèta | 0.78 |
| 1 maand verandering | 1.85% |
| 3 maanden verandering | 64.75% |
| 1 Jaar Verandering | 23.56% |
| 3 jaar verandering | 328.43% |
| 5 jaar verandering | 303.79% |
| Verandering sinds IPO | 2,989.00% |
Recent nieuws en updates
Narratiefupdate • Jul 25
GEO: Facility Acquisitions And Detention Standards Scrutiny Will Shape 2026 Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised the GEO Group fair value estimate from $32.00 to $33.75, citing updated price targets, including a move to $40.00, and increased confidence that government facility acquisition plans and a more active back half of 2026 could support the stock's outlook. What’s in the News for GEO Group An off duty GEO Group employee operating at the ICE detention center in Aurora, Colorado was charged with assault after a shooting incident involving protesters, with the company placing the employee on unpaid administrative leave and stating it would cooperate with law enforcement investigations, according to recent news reports.
Narratiefupdate • Jul 11
GEO: Government Facility Acquisitions And ICE Detention Exposure Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts raised their price target on GEO Group stock to $40 from $30, citing updated assumptions that include a higher $40 fair value estimate, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by expectations for an active security services backdrop and ongoing government interest in acquiring private detention facilities. What’s in the News for GEO Group GEO Group was reported by the Washington Post to have asked Immigration and Customs Enforcement to revise federal detention standards, including language on compliance with state and local laws and the legal status of detainees working in facilities, amid ongoing minimum wage related lawsuits in multiple states.Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • Jul 25
GEO: Facility Acquisitions And Detention Standards Scrutiny Will Shape 2026 Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised the GEO Group fair value estimate from $32.00 to $33.75, citing updated price targets, including a move to $40.00, and increased confidence that government facility acquisition plans and a more active back half of 2026 could support the stock's outlook. What’s in the News for GEO Group An off duty GEO Group employee operating at the ICE detention center in Aurora, Colorado was charged with assault after a shooting incident involving protesters, with the company placing the employee on unpaid administrative leave and stating it would cooperate with law enforcement investigations, according to recent news reports.Narratiefupdate • Jul 11
GEO: Government Facility Acquisitions And ICE Detention Exposure Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts raised their price target on GEO Group stock to $40 from $30, citing updated assumptions that include a higher $40 fair value estimate, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly adjusted revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by expectations for an active security services backdrop and ongoing government interest in acquiring private detention facilities. What’s in the News for GEO Group GEO Group was reported by the Washington Post to have asked Immigration and Customs Enforcement to revise federal detention standards, including language on compliance with state and local laws and the legal status of detainees working in facilities, amid ongoing minimum wage related lawsuits in multiple states.Narratiefupdate • Jun 26
GEO: Government Facility Acquisitions And Detention Policy Scrutiny Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have raised the GEO Group fair value estimate from $29.50 to $32.00, citing recent Street research that lifts the broader price target range toward $40 and points to continued confidence in the government's initiative to acquire private detention facilities. What’s in the News for GEO Group GEO Group reportedly asked U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement to amend federal detention standards, including removing certain language about following state and local laws on detainee treatment and clarifying that detainees are not employees of the facilities where they work, according to reporting cited from the Washington Post.Analyse-artikel • Jun 20
GEO Group (GEO) Stock Near Fair Value After ICE Detention Standards Change
Why GEO Group Stock Is Back in Focus After ICE Detention Standard Changes GEO Group (GEO) is drawing attention after reports that U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement updated detention center standards in ways that reportedly reflect changes the company requested regarding language on detainee treatment. This development goes to the heart of GEO Group’s role as a government services contractor in secure facilities and immigrant detention, raising fresh questions about operational...Narratiefupdate • Jun 11
GEO: ICE Detention Exposure And Political Ties Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price target on GEO Group to $33.00, reflecting updated views on discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Watchdog group alleges GEO Group illegally directed US$250,000 to a political network tied to Rep.Narratiefupdate • May 28
GEO: ICE Detention Demand And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target for GEO Group to $29.50, with the change primarily reflecting minor updates to the discount rate and expected future P/E, rather than any major shift in the underlying fair value assumptions. What's in the News The House Oversight Committee opened an inquiry into Corey Lewandowski that mentions GEO Group in related reporting (NBC News).Seeking Alpha • May 21
GEO Group: Q1 Results Validate The Turnaround, But Policy Risks Remain
Summary The GEO Group Inc. delivered a strong Q1 '26, with 17% revenue growth, 32% EBITDA growth, and raised full-year guidance across all metrics. Despite operational strength and a robust contract backlog, GEO's valuation at $22 now reflects fair value, not a discount, given persistent policy risk. ICE contracts account for 51% of revenue, and unresolved policy risk can trigger rapid stock repricing, as seen with a 13% drop on a single headline. I rate GEO a hold, as the risk/reward at current levels lacks sufficient margin of safety despite management’s solid execution and capital allocation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarratiefupdate • May 13
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Political Scrutiny Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their GEO Group price targets, with recent cuts such as a move to $28 from $35, mainly citing slower than expected growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research comments have focused on how GEO Group’s updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance feed into both growth expectations and the valuation framework that analysts are using.Narratiefupdate • Apr 28
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on GEO Group, with reductions such as from $35 to $28, reflecting slower than anticipated growth following recent Q4 results and 2026 guidance updates. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are trimming price targets on GEO Group, but are still signaling confidence in the company’s long term execution and growth potential despite the slower than anticipated trajectory implied by Q4 results and 2026 guidance.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 13
GEO: Slower Guidance And Leadership Shifts Set Up Future Detention Upside
Analysts have reduced GEO Group's fair value estimate to $27 from $35, reflecting updated expectations for slower growth and lower profit margins following recent guidance. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have moved to lower GEO Group's valuation anchors, pointing to slower growth expectations and pressure on profit margins after the latest quarter and 2026 guidance.Narratiefupdate • Mar 30
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And 2026 Guidance Will Reset Earnings Expectations
Analysts have reduced their price expectations for GEO Group, with recent updates lowering targets to $28. This reflects slower than anticipated growth following the company’s Q4 results and 2026 guidance.Narratiefupdate • Mar 16
GEO: ICE Detention Spending Upside Will Drive 2026 Earnings Repricing
Analysts have reduced the fair value estimate for GEO Group from $35.00 to $33.00, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated earnings assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent fair value and price target revisions as a recalibration after updated Q4 results and 2026 guidance, rather than a shift away from a constructive long term view on GEO Group.Narratiefupdate • Mar 02
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Buybacks Will Support Path Toward $3b Revenue
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group to $29.50 from $32.25, citing slower than anticipated growth, as reflected in recent price target cuts and updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has generally aligned with the trimmed fair value estimate, with price targets recalibrated after the company issued Q4 results and 2026 guidance that pointed to slower than previously assumed growth.Narratiefupdate • Feb 16
GEO: ICE Detention Spending And Leadership Shift Will Shape 2026 Earnings
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for GEO Group by $2 to $35, citing updated assumptions for growth, profitability, and a lower future P/E multiple reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the latest target changes as a recalibration rather than a shift in view on GEO Group’s underlying thesis.Narratiefupdate • Feb 02
GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Programs Will Underpin 2026 Earnings Profile
Analysts have trimmed their price target on GEO Group to US$37 from US$50, citing revised growth estimates and a softer profit outlook, even as they continue to highlight potential revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the lower US$37 price target as a reset rather than a reversal in their view on GEO Group.Narratiefupdate • Jan 19
GEO: Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Will Support Path Toward $3B Revenue
Narrative Update Analysts cut their price target on GEO Group by $13 to $37, citing revised estimates that reflect slower than expected growth toward the projected $3b+ in annualized revenue from upcoming contracts and monitoring. They still expressed a positive view on all business segments, including the Intensive Supervision Appearance Program opportunity.Narratiefupdate • Jan 05
GEO: Upcoming Monitoring Contracts Will Drive Path Toward $3B Annualized Revenue
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on GEO Group, trimming expectations by approximately $13 per share to reflect slower than expected growth. They are still emphasizing long term revenue potential from upcoming contracts and monitoring programs.Narratiefupdate • Dec 21
GEO Will Benefit From Upcoming Contracts And Monitoring Expansion By 2026
Analysts have reduced their price target on GEO Group to $37.00 from $50.00, citing slower than previously expected revenue growth and profitability, despite continued optimism about the company’s long term contract and monitoring opportunities. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts emphasize that the revised $37.00 price target still implies meaningful upside from current trading levels, arguing that the market has not fully reflected GEO Group’s multi year contract pipeline and expanding monitoring footprint in its valuation.Narratiefupdate • Dec 07
GEO: Upcoming Monitoring And Contract Wins Will Drive Revenue Expansion By 2026
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on GEO Group, reflecting a recalibration toward slower near term growth. They continue to highlight multi year contract wins and monitoring opportunities that could support the path to more than $3 billion in annualized revenue and underpin an updated fair value estimate of approximately $32.25 per share.Narratiefupdate • Nov 23
GEO: Upcoming Contracts Will Significantly Boost Annual Revenue By 2026
Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $34.25 to $32.25. They cite revised estimates that reflect slower-than-expected growth, although there remains continued optimism around new contract opportunities and segment performance.Analyse-artikel • Nov 14
GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Last week's profit announcement from The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline...Narratiefupdate • Nov 08
GEO: New Contracts Will Drive Annualized Revenue Past $3 Billion
Analysts have lowered their price target for GEO Group from $39 to $34.25 per share, citing slower-than-expected revenue growth and profit margins based on recent research updates. However, they remain optimistic about the company's long-term opportunities.Narratiefupdate • Sep 04
Federal Funding Will Expand ICE Facility Activations
Analyst sentiment on GEO Group is mixed, with bulls citing favorable immigration policy momentum and likely funding increases while bears flag slower growth in alternatives to detention, resulting in the consensus price target holding steady at $39.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts expect significant demand tailwinds for GEO Group due to major U.S. immigration policy proposals, including anticipated funding increases for detention and monitoring services.Analyse-artikel • Aug 08
Earnings Beat: The GEO Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models
The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) just released its second-quarter report and things are looking bullish. It was overall...Analyse-artikel • Jul 10
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...Analyse-artikel • Jun 22
Investors Will Want GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Growth In ROCE To Persist
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analyse-artikel • May 14
Investors Can Find Comfort In GEO Group's (NYSE:GEO) Earnings Quality
The GEO Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GEO ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. Despite the soft profit...Analyse-artikel • Apr 27
The GEO Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:GEO) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price
The GEO Group, Inc.'s ( NYSE:GEO ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x may not look like an appealing investment...Analyse-artikel • Mar 22
GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Seeking Alpha • Mar 21
The GEO Group: The Stock Has Re-Priced And No Longer Offers Attractive Risk/Reward
Summary GEO Group's EBITDA declined in 2024, and missed my expectations. Refinancing in April 2024 lowered interest expenses but increased share count by 15%, diluting stock value. The market cap is $3.6 billion with an EV/EBITDA ratio over 11x, making the stock overvalued compared to my initial target. The stock no longer offers favorable risk/reward, as it missed EBITDA expectations and has a higher share count. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyse-artikel • Mar 04
The GEO Group, Inc. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
It's been a good week for The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) shareholders, because the company has just released its...Analyse-artikel • Feb 25
These 4 Measures Indicate That GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) Is Using Debt Extensively
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Feb 10
GEO Group: Shares Have Gotten Ahead Of Growth Potential
Summary GEO Group's stock surged post-Trump election but has eased back down recently. Financial stability is evident with $166 million free cash flow in YTD 2024, despite a slight decline from the previous year. Debt reduction commitment is strong, with plans to cut $150-$175 million annually, enhancing earnings and potential future dividends. Earnings growth through government contracts and debt reduction is likely, but 2025 earnings are estimated at $1.20 per share, suggesting patience for better pricing. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyse-artikel • Jan 18
The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO) Stock Rockets 34% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 34% gain in the last month alone...Seeking Alpha • Jan 13
The GEO Group: Further Upside Potential From Trump's Immigration Policy
Summary In Q3 2024, The GEO Group posted flat revenue growth and generated $603 million in revenues. Margins showed varied trends, with operating margin deteriorating to 18.91% but net income margin improving to 4.31%. GEO may be in a position to support a possible increase in demand coming from any changes in immigration policy. Investors should not expect capital returns from share repurchases or dividends, as the company remains focus on deleveraging. Additionally, capacity expansion to meet demand may also affect cash liquidity. Despite GEO stock's recent rally, valuation analysis suggests that there's a potential upside of between 29.94% and 45.74% for investors to capitalize on. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyse-artikel • Dec 31
When Should You Buy The GEO Group, Inc. (NYSE:GEO)?
While The GEO Group, Inc. ( NYSE:GEO ) might not have the largest market cap around , it led the NYSE gainers with a...Rendement voor aandeelhouders
| GEO | US Commercial Services | US Markt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -0.1% | -1.1% | 0.8% |
| 1Y | 23.6% | -7.4% | 19.1% |
Rendement versus industrie: GEO overtrof de US Commercial Services industrie, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement -7.3 % opleverde.
Rendement versus markt: GEO overtrof de US markt, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement opleverde van 16.5 %.
Prijsvolatiliteit
| GEO volatility | |
|---|---|
| GEO Average Weekly Movement | 7.5% |
| Commercial Services Industry Average Movement | 7.3% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stabiele aandelenkoers: GEO heeft de afgelopen 3 maanden geen significante prijsvolatiliteit gekend vergeleken met de US markt.
Volatiliteit in de loop van de tijd: De wekelijkse volatiliteit ( 7% ) van GEO is het afgelopen jaar stabiel geweest.
Over het bedrijf
| Opgericht | Werknemers | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1984 | 18,000 | George Zoley | www.geogroup.com |
De GEO Group, Inc. is een toonaangevende, veelzijdige dienstverlener voor de overheid, gespecialiseerd in ontwerp, financiering, ontwikkeling en ondersteunende diensten voor beveiligde inrichtingen, verwerkingscentra en re-integratiecentra in de Verenigde Staten, Australië, Zuid-Afrika en het Verenigd Koninkrijk. De gediversifieerde diensten van GEO omvatten onder meer verbeterde rehabilitatie tijdens detentie en ondersteuning na vrijlating via het bekroonde GEO Continuum of Care, beveiligd vervoer, elektronisch toezicht, gemeenschapsprogramma’s en gezondheidszorg en geestelijke gezondheidszorg in gevangenissen. De wereldwijde activiteiten van GEO omvatten het bezit van en/of de levering van ondersteunende diensten voor 97 faciliteiten met in totaal ongeveer 76.000 bedden, inclusief niet-gebruikte faciliteiten en projecten in ontwikkeling, met een personeelsbestand van maximaal ongeveer 20.000 medewerkers.
The GEO Group, Inc. Samenvatting
| GEO fundamentele statistieken | |
|---|---|
| Marktkapitalisatie | US$4.02b |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | US$273.15m |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | US$2.73b |
14.8x
Koers/Winstverhouding1.5x
P/S-verhoudingIs GEO overgewaardeerd?
Zie Reële waarde en waarderingsanalyseInkomsten en omzet
| GEO resultatenrekening (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Inkomsten | US$2.73b |
| Kosten van inkomsten | US$2.04b |
| Brutowinst | US$695.90m |
| Overige uitgaven | US$422.76m |
| Inkomsten | US$273.15m |
Laatst gerapporteerde inkomsten
Mar 31, 2026
Volgende inkomensdatum
Aug 06, 2026
| Winst per aandeel (EPS) | 2.08 |
| Brutomarge | 25.47% |
| Nettowinstmarge | 10.00% |
| Schuld/Eigen Vermogen Verhouding | 106.3% |
Hoe presteerde GEO op de lange termijn?
Bekijk historische prestaties en vergelijkingBedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/07/31 02:12 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/07/31 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysamodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
The GEO Group, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 14 analisten. 4 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Manav Patnaik | Barclays |
| Ryan Meliker | Canaccord Genuity |
| Tan Wei | Deutsche Bank |