Bavarian Nordic (BAVA) Aandelenoverzicht
Bavarian Nordic A/S ontwikkelt, produceert en levert levensreddende vaccins. Meer informatie
| Sneeuwvlok Score | |
|---|---|
| Waardering | 6/6 |
| Toekomstige groei | 1/6 |
| Prestaties in het verleden | 1/6 |
| Financiële gezondheid | 6/6 |
| Dividenden | 0/6 |
Beloningen
Risicoanalyse
BAVA Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Bavarian Nordic A/S Concurrenten
Prijsgeschiedenis en prestaties
| Historische aandelenkoersen | |
|---|---|
| Huidige aandelenkoers | DKK 180.30 |
| 52 Week Hoogtepunt | DKK 244.80 |
| 52 Week Laag | DKK 171.30 |
| Bèta | 0.94 |
| 1 maand verandering | -2.33% |
| 3 maanden verandering | -4.25% |
| 1 Jaar Verandering | -24.56% |
| 3 jaar verandering | 21.13% |
| 5 jaar verandering | -31.81% |
| Verandering sinds IPO | -29.29% |
Recent nieuws en updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • Jun 15
BAVA: Public Preparedness Contracts Will Support 2026 Earnings Upside
Analysts have kept their DKK 273.33 price target for Bavarian Nordic broadly unchanged, citing only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth assumptions and future P/E estimates in their valuation work. What's in the News Bavarian Nordic secured a government contract valued at over DKK 700 million to supply its MVA-BN smallpox/mpox vaccine in 2026 and 2027, bringing Public Preparedness business contracts for 2026 to about DKK 2,200 million (Source: company announcement, recent news reports).Narratiefupdate • Jun 01
BAVA: Public Preparedness Contracts And Vaccine Manufacturing Expansion Will Support 2026 Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Bavarian Nordic higher from DKK 268.33 to DKK 273.33. They point to adjusted assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the main drivers of the updated price target.
Narratiefupdate • May 16
BAVA: Public Preparedness Contracts And Vaccine Approvals Will Support Higher Future Returns
Analysts have kept their DKK 280 price target for Bavarian Nordic unchanged, pointing to slightly higher assumed revenue growth and profit margins, along with a modestly higher discount rate and a lower future P/E expectation as key inputs behind the refreshed valuation work. What's in the News Bavarian Nordic raised its earnings guidance for 2026, now expecting revenue of DKK 5,500 million to DKK 5,700 million, compared with the earlier range of DKK 5,000 million to DKK 5,200 million.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 30
BAVA: Vaccine Approvals And Capacity Expansion Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have kept their DKK 250.00 price target for Bavarian Nordic unchanged. They point to only small tweaks to assumptions on discount rate, revenue contraction, profit margin and future P/E, which they view as largely offsetting each other.Narratiefupdate • Apr 16
BAVA: Expanded Vaccine Manufacturing Partnership Will Support 2026 Upside
Analysts have kept their DKK price target for Bavarian Nordic effectively unchanged, with a DKK 0.00 net move. Small tweaks to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions offset each other in their updated valuation work.Narratiefupdate • Apr 01
BAVA: Expanded Vaccine Pipeline And New Contracts Will Support Higher Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on Bavarian Nordic from DKK 244.00 to DKK 280.00. They cite updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple that they view as better reflecting the company’s current outlook.Narratiefupdate • Mar 18
BAVA: Expanded Vaccine Partnerships And 2026 Orders Will Support Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Bavarian Nordic from DKK 265 to about DKK 268, reflecting adjustments to their valuation inputs, including a slightly higher discount rate, a modest change to revenue growth expectations and a marginally different assumed future P/E and profit margin profile. What's in the News Bavarian Nordic expanded its partnership with Serum Institute of India to include full tech transfer and contract manufacturing for the chikungunya vaccine CHIKV VLP, aiming to scale capacity for future supply to endemic low and middle income countries.Narratiefupdate • Mar 04
BAVA: Buybacks And Latin America Vaccine Deal Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their DKK 250 price target on Bavarian Nordic, citing only minor adjustments in assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the reasons for this stable assessment. What's in the News CEO Paul Chaplin plans to step down for personal reasons, and the Board has agreed that he will stay in the role through the end of 2026 or until a successor is appointed.Narratiefupdate • Feb 18
BAVA: Share Buybacks And Latin America Vaccine Deal Will Support Upside
Analysts now keep their DKK 250 price target for Bavarian Nordic intact, as slightly higher discount and future P/E assumptions together with a modestly stronger profit margin view offset softer revenue growth expectations. What's in the News Bavarian Nordic issued earnings guidance for fiscal 2026, indicating expected revenue in the range of DKK 5,000 million to DKK 5,200 million (Corporate guidance).Narratiefupdate • Feb 03
BAVA: Latin America Vaccine Deal Will Support Future Earnings Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on Bavarian Nordic higher to €265, up from €260, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue expectations, profit margins and forward P/E multiples. What's in the News Bavarian Nordic signed an agreement with Eurofarma, giving Eurofarma exclusive rights to sell and distribute the chikungunya vaccine CHIKV VLP, marketed as VIMKUNYA, in Brazil, along with a right of first refusal for future Latin American opportunities, on a transfer price and royalty basis with no upfront or milestone payments (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Jan 20
BAVA: Vaccine Preparedness Contracts And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings
Analysts have kept their price target for Bavarian Nordic steady at €250.00. They cite a slightly higher assumed discount rate, a smaller expected revenue decline of around 5%, a higher projected profit margin of about 17%, and a lower future P/E assumption near 23x as key inputs behind the unchanged view.Narratiefupdate • Jan 06
BAVA: HERA Procurement Contract And Mpox Demand Are Expected To Drive Upside
Analysts have kept their price target for Bavarian Nordic unchanged at €260. This reflects only small tweaks to inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions rather than a shift in their overall view.Narratiefupdate • Dec 16
BAVA: Mpox Preparedness Contracts Will Underpin Stronger Long Term Earnings Power
Analysts have raised their price target on Bavarian Nordic from approximately $225 to about $250. This reflects a higher justified valuation multiple despite expectations for softer revenue growth and margins.Narratiefupdate • Dec 02
BAVA: Procurement Agreement And Margin Outlook Signal Upside For Shares
Analysts have raised their price target for Bavarian Nordic from €250 to €260. They cite improvements in projected profit margins and lower expected future price-to-earnings ratios, even though there is a modest increase in the discount rate and a slightly weaker revenue growth outlook.Narratiefupdate • Oct 24
Local Spread Of New Mpox Strain Will Challenge Future Vaccine Margins
Narrative Update on Bavarian Nordic Analysts have raised their fair value price target for Bavarian Nordic from €244 to €250, citing modest improvements in valuation assumptions and financial projections. What's in the News Officials in California have confirmed community spread of the new clade 1 Mpox strain among residents with no recent international travel.Narratiefupdate • Aug 27
VIMKUNYA Launch Will Open Markets, But Approval Delays Could Impact Revenues
Despite a deterioration in consensus revenue growth forecasts, a modest improvement in net profit margin has supported a slight increase in Bavarian Nordic's fair value, with the target price rising from DKK234.50 to DKK244.00. What's in the News Nordic Capital and Permira have proposed to acquire Bavarian Nordic for DKK 18.1 billion (DKK 233 per share), a 21% premium to the prior closing price; board and management have agreed to tender their shares, and a delisting is planned upon completion, subject to customary conditions.Analyse-artikel • Jul 28
Bavarian Nordic A/S (CPH:BAVA) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 38%
Despite an already strong run, Bavarian Nordic A/S ( CPH:BAVA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 38% in the...Analyse-artikel • Jun 13
Earnings Working Against Bavarian Nordic A/S' (CPH:BAVA) Share Price
When close to half the companies in Denmark have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 16x, you may consider...Analyse-artikel • Apr 03
Here's Why Shareholders May Want To Be Cautious With Increasing Bavarian Nordic A/S' (CPH:BAVA) CEO Pay Packet
Key Insights Bavarian Nordic's Annual General Meeting to take place on 9th of April Total pay for CEO Paul Chaplin...Analyse-artikel • Mar 13
Bavarian Nordic's (CPH:BAVA) Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear
The market for Bavarian Nordic A/S' ( CPH:BAVA ) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We...Analyse-artikel • Mar 08
Bavarian Nordic A/S Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Bavarian Nordic A/S ( CPH:BAVA ) came out with its yearly results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is...
Nieuw narratief • Feb 10
Chikungunya Vaccine Launch And Market Expansion Will Open Opportunities But Mpox Demand Uncertainties Could Pose Risks
The chikungunya vaccine launch and expansion into new markets could significantly drive revenue and broaden customer base.Analyse-artikel • Dec 14
Getting In Cheap On Bavarian Nordic A/S (CPH:BAVA) Is Unlikely
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 14x in Denmark, you could be forgiven for feeling...Analyse-artikel • Nov 16
Does Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analyse-artikel • Aug 26
Market Participants Recognise Bavarian Nordic A/S' (CPH:BAVA) Earnings Pushing Shares 53% Higher
Bavarian Nordic A/S ( CPH:BAVA ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 53% share price jump in the last...Analyse-artikel • Aug 25
Bavarian Nordic A/S Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Last week, you might have seen that Bavarian Nordic A/S ( CPH:BAVA ) released its quarterly result to the market. The...Rendement voor aandeelhouders
| BAVA | DK Biotechs | DK Markt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.6% | 5.3% | 0.2% |
| 1Y | -24.6% | 24.8% | 1.5% |
Rendement versus industrie: BAVA presteerde slechter dan de Danish Biotechs -sector, die het afgelopen jaar een rendement van 24.8 % opleverde.
Rendement versus markt: BAVA presteerde slechter dan Danish Market, dat het afgelopen jaar een rendement van 1.5 % opleverde.
Prijsvolatiliteit
| BAVA volatility | |
|---|---|
| BAVA Average Weekly Movement | 3.4% |
| Biotechs Industry Average Movement | 7.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 4.1% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in DK Market | 6.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in DK Market | 2.3% |
Stabiele aandelenkoers: BAVA heeft de afgelopen 3 maanden geen significante prijsvolatiliteit gekend vergeleken met de Danish markt.
Volatiliteit in de loop van de tijd: De wekelijkse volatiliteit ( 3% ) van BAVA is het afgelopen jaar stabiel geweest.
Over het bedrijf
| Opgericht | Werknemers | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1992 | 1,861 | Paul Chaplin | www.bavarian-nordic.com |
Bavarian Nordic A/S ontwikkelt, produceert en levert levensreddende vaccins. Het bedrijf biedt niet-replicerende pokken- en apenpokkenvaccins onder de namen IMVAMUNE, IMVANEX en JYNNEOS; rabiësvaccin voor menselijk gebruik onder de naam Rabipur/RabAvert; tekenencefalitisvaccin onder de naam Encepur; Vaxchora, een oraal vaccin voor immunisatie tegen cholera; en Vivotif/Typhoral, een oraal vaccin voor immunisatie tegen buiktyfus. Het ontwikkelt ook MVA-BN WEV voor de behandeling van encefalitisvirussen.
Bavarian Nordic A/S Samenvatting
| BAVA fundamentele statistieken | |
|---|---|
| Marktkapitalisatie | DKK 13.52b |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | DKK 1.17b |
| Inkomsten(TTM) | DKK 5.96b |
11.7x
Koers/Winstverhouding2.3x
P/S-verhoudingIs BAVA overgewaardeerd?
Zie Reële waarde en waarderingsanalyseInkomsten en omzet
| BAVA resultatenrekening (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Inkomsten | DKK 5.96b |
| Kosten van inkomsten | DKK 3.09b |
| Brutowinst | DKK 2.87b |
| Overige uitgaven | DKK 1.69b |
| Inkomsten | DKK 1.17b |
Laatst gerapporteerde inkomsten
Mar 31, 2026
Volgende inkomensdatum
Aug 21, 2026
| Winst per aandeel (EPS) | 15.37 |
| Brutomarge | 48.11% |
| Nettowinstmarge | 19.71% |
| Schuld/Eigen Vermogen Verhouding | 0.1% |
Hoe presteerde BAVA op de lange termijn?
Bekijk historische prestaties en vergelijkingBedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/08/12 19:20 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/08/12 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysamodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Bavarian Nordic A/S wordt gevolgd door 14 analisten. 4 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Jacob Lademann | Carnegie Investment Bank AB |
| Peter Verdult | Citigroup Inc |
| Hakon Hemme Jørgensen | Danske Bank |