TUI Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 2/6
TUI zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 11.3% en 2.1% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 9.8% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 36.6% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
11.3%
Groei van de winst
9.77%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Hospitality winstgroei | 63.9% |
| Inkomstengroei | 2.1% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 36.59% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 14 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Analyseartikel • May 07
What Is TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Share Price Doing?
TUI AG ( ETR:TUI1 ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent...
Narratiefupdate • Apr 28
TUI1: Higher Discount Rate Will Sharpen Focus On 2026 Earnings Guidance
Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on TUI by about €1 to €1.50, reflecting updated views on risk via a higher discount rate and only modest adjustments to assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent TUI research from major banks, including JPMorgan and other bearish analysts, points to a more cautious stance on the shares.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 14
TUI1: Reaffirmed 2026 Guidance And Stable Assumptions Will Support Future Re Rating
The analyst price target for TUI has been trimmed slightly to about €11.39 from €11.43, with analysts pointing to modest adjustments in the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions to support the change. Analyst Commentary Recent research around TUI has focused on how small changes to key valuation inputs feed through to target prices, rather than on any sweeping shift in the underlying story.Narratiefupdate • Mar 31
TUI1: Refined Discount Rate And Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have slightly increased their price target on TUI, with the latest Citi move raising the figure by €0.90 as they refine assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research around TUI focuses on how small valuation tweaks feed through to the share price, rather than any major change in the fundamental story.Narratiefupdate • Mar 16
TUI1: Discount Rate Revisions And Margin Assumptions Will Support Stronger Future Confidence
Analysts have nudged their price target on TUI higher to €11.43 from €11.27, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rate, modest revenue growth expectations, profit margin levels, and a lower future P/E in line with a recent €0.90 target increase cited in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around TUI focuses mainly on how the updated price target aligns with the company’s execution risks and potential for value creation, rather than on big changes to the underlying story.
Narratiefupdate • Mar 02
TUI1: Higher Citi Price Objective Will Reflect Stronger Earnings Power Execution
Analysts have lifted their TUI price target by €0.90, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth and margins, a revised discount rate and a lower applied future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research around TUI has centered on the €0.90 uplift in the price target, which reflects refreshed views on revenue, margins, discount rate assumptions and the future P/E applied to the shares.Narratiefupdate • Feb 16
TUI1: Fair Value View Will Hinge On Margins And 2026 Guidance
Analysts have nudged their TUI price targets higher, with one recent move adding €0.90 to the target. Updated fair value estimates and assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins are being incorporated into their models.Analyseartikel • Feb 04
Shareholders May Find It Hard To Justify Increasing TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) CEO Compensation For Now
Key Insights TUI's Annual General Meeting to take place on 10th of February Total pay for CEO Sebastian Ebel includes...Narratiefupdate • Feb 02
TUI1: Refined Margin And P/E Assumptions Will Support Stronger Future Market Confidence
Analysts have nudged their TUI price targets higher, reflecting modestly adjusted fair value estimates and assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, margins and future P/E multiples, along with recent Street target increases such as Citi's move to €8.50 from €7.30 and a separate €0.90 uplift. Analyst Commentary Recent research on TUI centers on how fair value lines up with revised price targets, with some analysts marking their models to reflect updated assumptions on discount rates, earnings trajectories and P/E multiples.Narratiefupdate • Jan 19
TUI1: Higher Citi Price Objective Will Support A More Constructive Earnings Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for TUI higher to €15.76 from €15.57, citing the recent Citi price target increase to €8.50 from €7.30, a slightly lower discount rate, adjusted revenue growth assumptions, and a small uplift in expected profit margins and P/E. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have recently highlighted TUI as a name where expectations are being fine tuned rather than overhauled, with price targets and valuation work moving in a tighter, more supportive range.Analyseartikel • Jan 10
These 4 Measures Indicate That TUI (ETR:TUI1) Is Using Debt Extensively
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Narratiefupdate • Jan 04
TUI1: Improved Margin Outlook Will Support Stronger Future Market Confidence
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for TUI, reflecting slightly higher fair value, a reduced discount rate, and upgraded expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. This is in line with recent Street research that lifted the stock's target to EUR 8.50 from EUR 7.30.Analyseartikel • Dec 23
TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
TUI AG ( ETR:TUI1 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain...Analyseartikel • Dec 18
TUI's (ETR:TUI1) Solid Earnings Are Supported By Other Strong Factors
The subdued stock price reaction suggests that TUI AG's ( ETR:TUI1 ) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. We...Narratiefupdate • Dec 15
TUI1: Neutral Stance And Profitability Outlook Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward
Our TUI fair value estimate has increased from EUR 7.30 to EUR 7.90, supported by analysts highlighting Citi's price target hike to EUR 8.50, as well as improving revenue growth, margin outlook, and a slightly lower implied future P E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on TUI has been mixed, with the headline change being Citi's lift in its price target to EUR 8.50 and a maintained Neutral stance.Narratiefupdate • Dec 01
TUI1: Higher Expectations For Profitability Will Drive Continued Market Confidence
The analyst price target for TUI has increased from EUR 10.00 to EUR 11.00. Analysts cite improved long-term growth prospects and enhanced profitability expectations as key factors supporting the higher valuation.Analyseartikel • Nov 23
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And TUI (ETR:TUI1) Passed With Ease
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Narratiefupdate • Nov 17
TUI1: Improved Outlook And Lower Discount Rate Signal Confidence In Fiscal 2025
Analysts have raised their price target for TUI to EUR 11 from EUR 10, citing improved valuation metrics and a more favorable outlook for the company. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights evolving sentiment toward TUI following its price target increase.Analyseartikel • Nov 05
When Should You Buy TUI AG (ETR:TUI1)?
TUI AG ( ETR:TUI1 ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent...Narratiefupdate • Sep 04
Vertical Integration And Digital Expansion Will Create Unique Travel Experiences
Despite ongoing earnings momentum, strengthened balance sheet, and positive sector sentiment driving analyst optimism and upward target revisions for TUI, the consensus analyst price target remained unchanged at €10.81. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite TUI’s valuable assets, ongoing earnings momentum, and a strengthened balance sheet as drivers for price target increases.Analyseartikel • Aug 15
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, TUI (ETR:TUI1) Presents An Opportunity
For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...Analyseartikel • Jul 24
TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 27%
TUI AG ( ETR:TUI1 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain...Analyseartikel • Jun 17
These 4 Measures Indicate That TUI (ETR:TUI1) Is Using Debt Extensively
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analyseartikel • May 22
TUI (ETR:TUI1) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There
Despite posting healthy earnings, TUI AG's ( ETR:TUI1 ) stock has been quite weak. Along with the solid headline...Analyseartikel • May 14
TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Shares Bounce 26% But Its Business Still Trails The Market
TUI AG ( ETR:TUI1 ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain...Analyseartikel • Apr 25
Should You Think About Buying TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Now?
TUI AG ( ETR:TUI1 ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth of 13% on the XTRA...Analyseartikel • Mar 08
TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business
When close to half the companies in Germany have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider TUI...Analyseartikel • Feb 13
Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) After Its First-Quarter Report
TUI AG ( ETR:TUI1 ) defied analyst predictions to release its first-quarter results, which were ahead of market...Analyseartikel • Feb 05
We Think Shareholders Are Less Likely To Approve A Large Pay Rise For TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) CEO For Now
Key Insights TUI to hold its Annual General Meeting on 11th of February Salary of €1.10m is part of CEO Sebastian...Analyseartikel • Jan 21
With EPS Growth And More, TUI (ETR:TUI1) Makes An Interesting Case
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Nieuw narratief • Dec 19
Transformation Into Tech-Integrated Global Leisure Marketplace Fuels Growth
Expansion into new markets and unique holiday experiences should enhance revenue growth and pricing power, improving net margins.Analyseartikel • Dec 07
Little Excitement Around TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Earnings
TUI AG's ( ETR:TUI1 ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the...Analyseartikel • Nov 19
We Think TUI (ETR:TUI1) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Analyseartikel • Oct 14
Should You Be Adding TUI (ETR:TUI1) To Your Watchlist Today?
Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...Analyseartikel • Aug 21
TUI's (ETR:TUI1) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest
TUI AG ( ETR:TUI1 ) recently posted some strong earnings, and the market responded positively. Our analysis found some...Analyseartikel • Aug 14
We Think TUI (ETR:TUI1) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analyseartikel • Jul 23
Pinning Down TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) P/S Is Difficult Right Now
It's not a stretch to say that TUI AG's ( ETR:TUI1 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x right now seems quite...Analyseartikel • Jul 05
TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Shares Could Be 48% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights The projected fair value for TUI is €12.55 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity TUI's €6.47 share...Analyseartikel • Apr 23
TUI (ETR:TUI1) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analyseartikel • Apr 05
Improved Revenues Required Before TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Stock's 27% Jump Looks Justified
TUI AG ( ETR:TUI1 ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a...Analyseartikel • Mar 19
TUI AG's (ETR:TUI1) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 74% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, TUI fair value estimate is €11.38 TUI's €6.56 share price...Analyseartikel • Jan 07
TUI (ETR:TUI1) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analyseartikel • Dec 20
TUI AG (ETR:TUI1) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%
TUI AG ( ETR:TUI1 ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month. Still...Analyseartikel • Dec 12
Shareholders Can Be Confident That TUI's (ETR:TUI1) Earnings Are High Quality
TUI AG ( ETR:TUI1 ) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the...Analyseartikel • Sep 22
Here's Why TUI (ETR:TUI1) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/30/2028 | 25,408 | 875 | 956 | 2,180 | 9 |
| 9/30/2027 | 24,799 | 728 | 823 | 1,996 | 11 |
| 9/30/2026 | 23,555 | 558 | 704 | 1,479 | 7 |
| 3/31/2026 | 24,164 | 702 | 956 | 1,819 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 24,168 | 678 | 1,304 | 2,128 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 24,179 | 636 | 1,319 | 2,058 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 24,204 | 663 | 997 | 1,797 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 23,791 | 532 | 1,120 | 1,863 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 23,737 | 544 | 1,079 | 1,855 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 23,167 | 507 | 1,198 | 1,911 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 22,216 | 539 | 1,026 | 1,707 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 21,715 | 509 | 962 | 1,653 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 21,218 | 439 | 1,065 | 1,696 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 20,666 | 306 | 971 | 1,637 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 19,804 | 202 | 546 | 1,187 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 18,951 | -178 | 647 | 1,354 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 17,926 | -149 | 713 | 1,372 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 16,545 | -277 | 1,562 | 2,078 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 12,297 | -1,134 | 2,453 | 2,909 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 8,513 | -1,712 | 1,441 | 1,765 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 6,633 | -2,071 | -695 | -379 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 4,732 | -2,467 | -451 | -151 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,599 | -3,215 | -2,267 | -1,902 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,021 | -3,762 | -3,884 | -3,519 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 4,561 | -3,800 | -2,619 | -2,127 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 7,944 | -3,148 | -3,359 | -2,772 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 14,217 | -1,606 | -2,974 | -1,545 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 18,890 | -102 | 349 | 1,104 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 19,204 | 427 | N/A | 1,314 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 18,928 | 416 | N/A | 1,115 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 18,748 | 550 | N/A | 572 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 18,579 | 626 | N/A | 877 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 18,623 | 658 | N/A | 891 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 18,469 | 689 | N/A | 1,151 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 18,548 | 776 | N/A | 1,482 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 18,747 | 813 | N/A | 1,418 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 18,674 | 794 | N/A | 1,402 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 18,535 | 794 | N/A | 1,583 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 17,894 | 532 | N/A | 1,374 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 17,358 | 451 | N/A | 1,322 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 17,224 | 399 | N/A | 1,306 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 17,154 | 350 | N/A | 1,035 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 16,417 | 171 | N/A | 1,316 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 17,053 | 140 | N/A | 1,320 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 17,371 | 298 | N/A | 930 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 17,516 | 358 | N/A | 791 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 18,778 | 173 | N/A | 1,204 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei TUI1 ( 11.3% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 1.9% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van TUI1 ( 11.3% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt German ( 17.2% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van TUI1 zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van TUI1 ( 2.1% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt German ( 6.8% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van TUI1 ( 2.1% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen TUI1 zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar hoog zijn ( 36.6 %)
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/14 07:39 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/14 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/09/30 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
TUI AG wordt gevolgd door 29 analisten. 11 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| James Rowland Clark | Barclays |
| Chandni Hirani | Barclays |
| Andrew Lobbenberg | Barclays |