If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So, when we ran our eye over Aramex PJSC's (DFM:ARMX) trend of ROCE, we liked what we saw.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Aramex PJSC, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.18 = د.إ635m ÷ (د.إ5.7b - د.إ2.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).
Therefore, Aramex PJSC has an ROCE of 18%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 8.4% generated by the Logistics industry.
See our latest analysis for Aramex PJSC
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Aramex PJSC compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Aramex PJSC.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
While the returns on capital are good, they haven't moved much. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 18% and the business has deployed 48% more capital into its operations. Since 18% is a moderate ROCE though, it's good to see a business can continue to reinvest at these decent rates of return. Stable returns in this ballpark can be unexciting, but if they can be maintained over the long run, they often provide nice rewards to shareholders.
On another note, while the change in ROCE trend might not scream for attention, it's interesting that the current liabilities have actually gone up over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 38% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than18% because total capital employed would be higher.The 18% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 38% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. So while current liabilities isn't high right now, keep an eye out in case it increases further, because this can introduce some elements of risk.In Conclusion...
To sum it up, Aramex PJSC has simply been reinvesting capital steadily, at those decent rates of return. And since the stock has risen strongly over the last five years, it appears the market might expect this trend to continue. So while the positive underlying trends may be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
If you want to continue researching Aramex PJSC, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
While Aramex PJSC may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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About DFM:ARMX
Aramex PJSC
Engages in the investment of freight, express, logistics, and supply chain management businesses in the United Arab Emirates, the Middle East, North Africa, Turkey, East and South Africa, Europe, North America, North and South Asia, and Oceania.
Proven track record and fair value.