Stock Analysis

We're Not Counting On Jagran Prakashan (NSE:JAGRAN) To Sustain Its Statutory Profitability

NSEI:JAGRAN
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Many investors consider it preferable to invest in profitable companies over unprofitable ones, because profitability suggests a business is sustainable. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding Jagran Prakashan (NSE:JAGRAN).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Jagran Prakashan made a profit of ₹604.6m on revenue of ₹14.9b. In the last few years both its revenue and its profit have fallen, as you can see in the chart below.

See our latest analysis for Jagran Prakashan

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:JAGRAN Earnings and Revenue History November 9th 2020

Not all profits are equal, and we can learn more about the nature of a company's past profitability by diving deeper into the financial statements. This article will focus on the impact unusual items have had on Jagran Prakashan's statutory earnings. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

To properly understand Jagran Prakashan's profit results, we need to consider the ₹282m gain attributed to unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Jagran Prakashan's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2020. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Jagran Prakashan's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think the significant positive unusual item makes Jagran Prakashan'searnings a poor guide to its underlying profitability. For this reason, we think that Jagran Prakashan's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Jagran Prakashan at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Jagran Prakashan, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Jagran Prakashan's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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