Stock Analysis

Reflecting on Avadh Sugar & Energy's (NSE:AVADHSUGAR) Share Price Returns Over The Last Three Years

NSEI:AVADHSUGAR
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Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (NSE:AVADHSUGAR) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 19% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been disappointing. Tragically, the share price declined 59% in that time. So it's good to see it climbing back up. After all, could be that the fall was overdone.

View our latest analysis for Avadh Sugar & Energy

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Avadh Sugar & Energy saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 29% per year, over the last three years. This change in EPS is reasonably close to the 26% average annual decrease in the share price. So it seems that investor expectations of the company are staying pretty steady, despite the disappointment. It seems like the share price is reflecting the declining earnings per share.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:AVADHSUGAR Earnings Per Share Growth September 6th 2020

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Avadh Sugar & Energy's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

Avadh Sugar & Energy shareholders are down 14% for the year, (even including dividends), but the broader market is up 7.6%. Of course the long term matters more than the short term, and even great stocks will sometimes have a poor year. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 17% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last three years. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Avadh Sugar & Energy better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 6 warning signs for Avadh Sugar & Energy (2 make us uncomfortable) that you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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