Is Jumia Technologies (NYSE:JMIA) Using Too Much Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Jumia Technologies AG (NYSE:JMIA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Advertisement

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Jumia Technologies

What Is Jumia Technologies's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2019 Jumia Technologies had €10.1m of debt, an increase on €2.24m, over one year. However, it does have €333.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €322.9m.

NYSE:JMIA Historical Debt, November 4th 2019
NYSE:JMIA Historical Debt, November 4th 2019

How Strong Is Jumia Technologies's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jumia Technologies had liabilities of €111.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of €6.55m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €333.0m in cash and €26.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has €241.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus strongly suggests that Jumia Technologies has a rock-solid balance sheet (and the debt is of no concern whatsoever). On this view, it seems its balance sheet is as strong as a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that Jumia Technologies has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jumia Technologies's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Over 12 months, Jumia Technologies reported revenue of €149m, which is a gain of 32%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

So How Risky Is Jumia Technologies?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that Jumia Technologies had negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT), over the last year. Indeed, in that time it burnt through €165m of cash and made a loss of €208m. However, it has net cash of €322.9m, so it has a bit of time before it will need more capital. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Jumia Technologies may be on a path to profitability. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. For riskier companies like Jumia Technologies I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

M
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Everyone's watching the oil price. The harder problem is the gas that can't take a detour.

Everyone's watching the oil price. The harder problem is the gas that can't take a detour. cover
2
Mitchell Lawler

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built?

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built? cover
Conflict around the Strait of Hormuz has led investors to oil and tankers. The trouble is, the antidote to the chokepoints is already being built, and it may not reward the same energy stocks.
00

About NYSE:JMIA

Jumia Technologies

Operates an e-commerce platform in West Africa, North Africa, East and South Africa, Europe, the United Arab Emirates, and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet with concerning outlook.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

CE
Ceazar
SPAI logo
Ceazar on Sparc AI ·

When GPS fails: this small cap is fixing a $54B drone problem

Fair Value:CA$5.2530.5% undervalued
201 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
31 users have liked this narrative
CO
composite32
Emerging Author
AROC logo
composite32 on Archrock ·

AI Needs Power. Power Needs Gas. Gas Needs Compression: The Archrock Investment Thesis

Fair Value:US$44.8830.4% undervalued
28 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
3 users have liked this narrative
JO
John_Eric
Emerging Author
AEIS logo
John_Eric on Advanced Energy Industries ·

AEIS Is Firing on Every Cylinder. My Problem Is the Safety Factor.

Fair Value:US$567.8655.2% undervalued
17 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
7 users have liked this narrative
IS
LRCX logo
isidrohg on Lam Research ·

The Memory Shortage Is Lam's Order Book — Whether It Persists Or Resolves

Fair Value:US$423.8536.5% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
7 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

RO
RockeTeller
NEXG logo
RockeTeller on NeXGold Mining ·

NexGold Mining: 4.7Moz M&I Resources, $100M Cash + Debt-Free, Construction Decision 2026 Undervalued Canadian Gold Developer

Fair Value:CA$39.5296.0% undervalued
12 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
JO
John_Eric
VNOM logo
John_Eric on Viper Energy ·

Everyone Else Drills the Wells. Viper Just Collects the Checks.

Fair Value:US$113.3462.1% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
RE
RedCandleRx
CELH logo
RedCandleRx on Celsius Holdings ·

Celsius Holdings: Undervalued Growth Opportunity Or Trap?

Fair Value:US$4130.9% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$302.8327.6% undervalued
1467 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
35 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
GOOGL logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Alphabet ·

GOOGL: AI Platform Expansion And Cloud Demand Will Support Durable Performance Amid Competitive Pressures

Fair Value:US$427.8918.8% undervalued
1639 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
AMZN logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on Amazon.com ·

AMZN: Acceleration In Cloud And AI Will Drive Margin Expansion Ahead

Fair Value:US$32723.2% undervalued
1651 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
16 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

AN
TPG0 logo
anthony_x0j2w on Platform Group SE KGaA ·

Hello,(I am a shareholder).I spent the summer investigating in whatever I was able to find in the press, the trustee, or legal, and comparing it to FS Benner's declaration/transcripts:press: MM has a tendancy to use facts, modify them and turn them the way they want: 100% of their claims against TPG0 is traçable factually, 80% is flawed and interpreted. Example are numerous: 11M loans banks to be paid seems right, but it has not been an issue at all, it has been paid in full. (and it happens all the time in every business...); the previous HR becoming a financial director in the article herself being attacked by TPG on the legal side; the wrong address of curator (if truly announced by TPG).Trustee: according to my research (which can be incomplete) no communication to the Nordic trustee (hereby, bond holders) has been done on a, indebtedness (late payment) > 1M€, which is their obligation by contract (clause 14.d - https://corporate.the-platform-group.com/bond/) => this is a sign of a huge lie and fraud, or the sign that there is no indebtedness > 1M€ over the whole TPG group.Legal: still awaiting for an answer, probable that I won't get it.VALUATIONYou can spent hours working the fundamentals, if they're flawed...the thesis falls.Anyway, I always substracts the badwill (that I consider non-current - you have it in the CFS) & non-controlling interests from my valuation:Earnings ~22MFCF ~40M€The financial statements are not the issue here, we are more on an cheap option on the sincerity of the accounts that a real valuation. Unfortunately, these are unverifiable elements, hence the low price./!\ Careful:the accounts are consolidated and skip the subsidiaries issues...Careful with the business model: TPG0 is a financial holding that acquire subsidiaries, hold the debt, and has no operations. 100% of the Cash Flow comes from subs' dividends => it is a risk here, more a plumber risk than an operational one, but nevertheless...The auditor is too small, and managed by the same firm than before, with 140K€/year commission => it's too low, nobody external really reviewed what Benner and his team are doing internallycapital increase do not go through the CFS, but through change in equity AND equity in the BSIf the equity stays low too long, the WACC increase will be unbearable (I have a 30% global, with a 118% on equity): diluting is expensive => TPG machine can stay broken for a while.Most of the people I talk with never saw this, while this is ESSENTIAL to Benner's business model.SEVERAL EVENTS THAT COULD CHANGE:AEP is being audited by KPMG: if Benner plays the "we will propose KPMG to our shareholders BEOY", this can increase the trust in him significantly/KPMG (or other) to validate the 2026 IFRS accounts & having a word on HGB's: though still consolidated, at least we'll know...AEP being eventually acquired: while it carries a high integration risk due to its size, they talked about it so many times, that trust goes with it.Without this combination of event, the equity is doomed to stay at this level, IMO.Do not forget to also follow the bond: with TPG's announced safe harbor plan for buyback (25% of daily exchange), it is also interesting to check this illiquid and retail market: https://live.deutsche-boerse.com/bond/no0013256834-the-platform-group-ag-8-875-24-28?mic=XFRA

1
|
0