Stock Analysis

Investors In N Brown Group plc (LON:BWNG) Should Consider This, First

Is N Brown Group plc (LON:BWNG) a good dividend stock? How can we tell? Dividend paying companies with growing earnings can be highly rewarding in the long term. Yet sometimes, investors buy a stock for its dividend and lose money because the share price falls by more than they earned in dividend payments.

A high yield and a long history of paying dividends is an appealing combination for N Brown Group. We'd guess that plenty of investors have purchased it for the income. Remember though, due to the recent spike in its share price, N Brown Group's yield will look lower, even though the market may now be factoring in an improvement in its long-term prospects. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying N Brown Group for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

LSE:BWNG Historical Dividend Yield, December 17th 2019
LSE:BWNG Historical Dividend Yield, December 17th 2019

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. While N Brown Group pays a dividend, it reported a loss over the last year. When a company is loss-making, we next need to check to see if its cash flows can support the dividend.

Unfortunately, while N Brown Group pays a dividend, it also reported negative free cash flow last year. While there may be a good reason for this, it's not ideal from a dividend perspective.

Is N Brown Group's Balance Sheet Risky?

Given N Brown Group is paying a dividend but reported a loss over the past year, we need to check its balance sheet for signs of financial distress. A rough way to check this is with these two simple ratios: a) net debt divided by EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation), and b) net interest cover. Net debt to EBITDA measures total debt load relative to company earnings (lower = less debt), while net interest cover measures the ability to pay interest on the debt (higher = greater ability to pay interest costs). With net debt of 4.55 times its EBITDA, investors are starting to take on a meaningful amount of risk, should the business enter a downturn.

Net interest cover can be calculated by dividing earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) by the company's net interest expense. Net interest cover of 6.23 times its interest expense appears reasonable for N Brown Group, although we're conscious that even high interest cover doesn't make a company bulletproof.

Consider getting our latest analysis on N Brown Group's financial position here.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. For the purpose of this article, we only scrutinise the last decade of N Brown Group's dividend payments. The dividend has been cut by more than 20% on at least one occasion historically. During the past ten-year period, the first annual payment was UK£0.092 in 2009, compared to UK£0.071 last year. This works out to be a decline of approximately 2.5% per year over that time. N Brown Group's dividend has been cut sharply at least once, so it hasn't fallen by 2.5% every year, but this is a decent approximation of the long term change.

A shrinking dividend over a ten-year period is not ideal, and we'd be concerned about investing in a dividend stock that lacks a solid record of growing dividends per share.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though N Brown Group's EPS have declined at around 61% a year. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and N Brown Group's earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

Conclusion

When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. We're a bit uncomfortable with N Brown Group paying a dividend while loss-making, especially since the dividend was also not well covered by free cash flow. Earnings per share are down, and N Brown Group's dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. Using these criteria, N Brown Group looks quite suboptimal from a dividend investment perspective.

Given that earnings are not growing, the dividend does not look nearly so attractive. Very few businesses see earnings consistently shrink year after year in perpetuity though, and so it might be worth seeing what the 7 analysts we track are forecasting for the future.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

About AIM:BWNG

N Brown Group

Operates as a clothing and footwear digital retailer in the United Kingdom.

Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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