Stock Analysis

Companies Like ECSC Group (LON:ECSC) Can Afford To Invest In Growth

There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether ECSC Group (LON:ECSC) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.

View our latest analysis for ECSC Group

Does ECSC Group Have A Long Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. When ECSC Group last reported its balance sheet in December 2019, it had zero debt and cash worth UK£351k. Importantly, its cash burn was UK£119k over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.9 years as of December 2019. Arguably, that's a prudent and sensible length of runway to have. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

AIM:ECSC Historical Debt April 17th 2020
AIM:ECSC Historical Debt April 17th 2020

How Well Is ECSC Group Growing?

Given our focus on ECSC Group's cash burn, we're delighted to see that it reduced its cash burn by a nifty 87%. And it could also show revenue growth of 9.7% in the same period. It seems to be growing nicely. Clearly, however, the crucial factor is whether the company will grow its business going forward. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Easily Can ECSC Group Raise Cash?

We are certainly impressed with the progress ECSC Group has made over the last year, but it is also worth considering how costly it would be if it wanted to raise more cash to fund faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

ECSC Group's cash burn of UK£119k is about 1.8% of its UK£6.6m market capitalisation. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

So, Should We Worry About ECSC Group's Cash Burn?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about ECSC Group's cash burn. In particular, we think its cash burn reduction stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Its weak point is its revenue growth, but even that wasn't too bad! Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn, which seems to be under control. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 5 warning signs for ECSC Group you should be aware of, and 3 of them are a bit unpleasant.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

About AIM:ECSC

ECSC Group

ECSC Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides information and cyber security services in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, Channel Islands, and internationally.

Slightly overvalued with concerning outlook.

Weekly Picks

WO
MGPI logo
woodworthfund on MGP Ingredients ·

THE KINGDOM OF BROWN GOODS: WHY MGPI IS BEING CRUSHED BY INVENTORY & PRIMED FOR RESURRECTION

Fair Value:US$4035.0% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
5 users have liked this narrative
DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace ·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6090.4% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
17 users have liked this narrative
TI
TickerTickle
ORCL logo
TickerTickle on Oracle ·

The Quiet Giant That Became AI’s Power Grid

Fair Value:US$389.8151.3% undervalued
43 users have followed this narrative
4 users have commented on this narrative
8 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

DO
Double_Bubbler
EVTL logo
Double_Bubbler on Vertical Aerospace ·

Why Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL) is Worth Possibly Over 13x its Current Price

Fair Value:US$6090.4% undervalued
23 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
IM
HOH logo
Imthetxarbi on High Arctic Overseas Holdings ·

Deep Value Multi Bagger Opportunity

Fair Value:CA$471.5% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
AG
Agricola
EXN logo
Agricola on Excellon Resources ·

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Fair Value:CA$31.898.8% undervalued
2 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.4% undervalued
120 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8683.7% undervalued
78 users have followed this narrative
8 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3930.1% undervalued
965 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

DE
IVN logo
Defiant on Ivanhoe Mines ·

The Kamoa-Kakula mine is utilizing the Lobito Atlantic Railway Corridor to transport its copper concentrate to the deep-water Atlantic Ocean port of Lobito in Angola. This rail link provides a significantly shorter, quicker, and more cost-effective export route compared to previous methods. Key Details :) Route: The railway runs approximately 1,739 kilometers from Kolwezi in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) to the port of Lobito in Angola. The line passes within five kilometers of the Kamoa-Kakula mining complex. Benefits: Reduced Distance & Time: The distance to Lobito is roughly half that to the previously used port of Durban, South Africa. An initial trial shipment by rail took only eight days, compared to the 40 to 50 days typical for road transport to Durban. Cost Efficiency: Logistics currently account for about 30% of Kamoa-Kakula's total cash costs, a figure expected to decrease significantly with increased rail usage. Environmental Impact: Transportation by rail is more energy-efficient and less carbon-intensive than long-haul trucking. SADLY zero action from DRC in 2025 to spend a few bucks ($100M) and cut the cost of Trucking (Logistics) in half... Smelter gets Volumes down from 30% concentrate to 99% Blister Copper and cuts out the Middle Men. Solar Power looks promising 60MW in 2026. The Real Prize is Western Forelands... 40+years of 1 Billion pounds of copper with about 90% working interest and very high grades (3% overall) and the size of the prize doubled in May 2025 when disaster struck Kamoa Kakula complex. We'll see if production grows back to 600,000 Tonnes/year or x2200 = 1.32 Billion lbs of copper per year... from 400kT = 880 million lbs per year in 2025. 40% w.i. = 350 million lbs to Ivanhoe. in comparison... The Vicuña copper district has massive resources, with overall averages around 0.35% copper in measured/indicated (M&I) and 0.32% in inferred, but features much higher-grade cores, like Filo del Sol's M&I at 0.74% Cu.

0
|
0