Stock Analysis

Are Plastiblends India's (NSE:PLASTIBLEN) Statutory Earnings A Good Reflection Of Its Earnings Potential?

NSEI:PLASTIBLEN
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It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing Plastiblends India (NSE:PLASTIBLEN).

We like the fact that Plastiblends India made a profit of ₹302.2m on its revenue of ₹5.21b, in the last year. The chart below shows how profit has actually increased over the last three years, even while revenue has declined.

See our latest analysis for Plastiblends India

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:PLASTIBLEN Earnings and Revenue History November 2nd 2020

Importantly, statutory profits are not always the best tool for understanding a company's true earnings power, so it's well worth examining profits in a little more detail. Today, we'll discuss Plastiblends India's free cashflow relative to its earnings, and consider what that tells us about the company. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Plastiblends India.

A Closer Look At Plastiblends India's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to September 2020, Plastiblends India recorded an accrual ratio of -0.13. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of ₹710m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of ₹302.2m. Plastiblends India's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

Our Take On Plastiblends India's Profit Performance

Plastiblends India's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Plastiblends India's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And we are pleased to note that EPS is at least heading in the right direction over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Plastiblends India as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 3 warning signs for Plastiblends India (1 is a bit unpleasant!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Plastiblends India's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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