Stock Analysis

Agthia Group PJSC's(ADX:AGTHIA) Share Price Is Down 63% Over The Past Five Years.

ADX:AGTHIA
Source: Shutterstock

We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But unfortunately, some companies simply don't succeed. For example the Agthia Group PJSC (ADX:AGTHIA) share price dropped 63% over five years. That's an unpleasant experience for long term holders.

View our latest analysis for Agthia Group PJSC

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Looking back five years, both Agthia Group PJSC's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 15% per year. Notably, the share price has fallen at 18% per year, fairly close to the change in the EPS. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price change has reflected changes in earnings per share.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
ADX:AGTHIA Earnings Per Share Growth August 17th 2020

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Agthia Group PJSC's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Agthia Group PJSC's TSR for the last 5 years was -56%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Agthia Group PJSC shareholders are down 17% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 3.5%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 9.3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Agthia Group PJSC better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Agthia Group PJSC you should know about.

Of course Agthia Group PJSC may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on AE exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


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About ADX:AGTHIA

Agthia Group PJSC

Produces and sells food and beverage products in the United Arab Emirates and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.

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