Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) 주식 개요
치즈케이크 팩토리는 미국과 캐나다에서 레스토랑을 운영 및 라이선스를 보유하고 있습니다. 자세히 보기
CAKE Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 107 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$73.83
FV
3.8% 고평가 내재 할인율14.51%
Revenue growth p.a.
4.6k
users have viewed this narrative13users have liked this narrative
1users have commented on this narrative
33users have followed this narrative
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated 경쟁사
가격 이력 및 성과
| 과거 주가 | |
|---|---|
| 현재 주가 | US$76.63 |
| 52주 최고가 | US$80.93 |
| 52주 최저가 | US$43.07 |
| 베타 | 1.01 |
| 1개월 변동 | 14.00% |
| 3개월 변동 | 30.39% |
| 1년 변동 | 19.47% |
| 3년 변동 | 110.23% |
| 5년 변동 | 46.10% |
| IPO 이후 변동 | 2,035.45% |
최근 뉴스 및 업데이트
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 08
CAKE: Peer Multiple Expansion Will Likely Limit Forward Return Potential
The analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been revised from $64.44 to $67.47, with analysts citing broader casual dining peer multiple expansion and steady execution as the key drivers of their updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cheesecake Factory points to a cluster of price target revisions and rating changes that center on how the stock is valued against casual dining peers and how consistently the company is executing in a tougher macro backdrop.Seeking Alpha • Jun 24
Cheesecake Factory: Rebounding Comps In A Tough Environment (Upgrade)
Summary Cheesecake Factory is upgraded to "Buy" after a robust Q1 and ~50% YTD rally, driven by positive comps and disciplined expansion. CAKE’s differentiated large-format model and $12 million AUVs support a long-term TAM of $8.5 billion versus $3.2 billion current sales. Carryout sales now comprise 22% of revenue, and margin performance remains strong despite inflationary pressures and sector volatility. Valuation at 19.1x FY26 P/E and 17.3x FY27 P/E offers upside versus peers, especially with comps and unit growth outpacing sector averages. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 23
CAKE: Elevated P/E Will Test Resilience To Macro Headwinds In 2026
The updated analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory moves slightly lower by about $0.20 to reflect a modestly reduced fair value estimate, even as analysts cite steady execution, relatively low employee turnover, and restrained casual dining supply growth as key supports for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cheesecake Factory reflects a mix of cautious and more constructive views, with price targets and ratings moving in both directions.분석 기사 • Jun 19
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Could Be 19.8% Overvalued After Flat Same Store Sales
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is back in focus after recent quarterly results that paired solid headline figures with flat same store sales, raising questions about demand trends, revenue growth expectations, and the company’s higher net debt burden. See our latest analysis for Cheesecake Factory. Cheesecake Factory’s recent quarterly results have arrived alongside a sharp shift in sentiment, with the stock’s 30 day share price return of 28.0% and year to date gain of 46.2% pointing to...Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • Jul 08
CAKE: Peer Multiple Expansion Will Likely Limit Forward Return Potential
The analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been revised from $64.44 to $67.47, with analysts citing broader casual dining peer multiple expansion and steady execution as the key drivers of their updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cheesecake Factory points to a cluster of price target revisions and rating changes that center on how the stock is valued against casual dining peers and how consistently the company is executing in a tougher macro backdrop.Seeking Alpha • Jun 24
Cheesecake Factory: Rebounding Comps In A Tough Environment (Upgrade)
Summary Cheesecake Factory is upgraded to "Buy" after a robust Q1 and ~50% YTD rally, driven by positive comps and disciplined expansion. CAKE’s differentiated large-format model and $12 million AUVs support a long-term TAM of $8.5 billion versus $3.2 billion current sales. Carryout sales now comprise 22% of revenue, and margin performance remains strong despite inflationary pressures and sector volatility. Valuation at 19.1x FY26 P/E and 17.3x FY27 P/E offers upside versus peers, especially with comps and unit growth outpacing sector averages. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 23
CAKE: Elevated P/E Will Test Resilience To Macro Headwinds In 2026
The updated analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory moves slightly lower by about $0.20 to reflect a modestly reduced fair value estimate, even as analysts cite steady execution, relatively low employee turnover, and restrained casual dining supply growth as key supports for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cheesecake Factory reflects a mix of cautious and more constructive views, with price targets and ratings moving in both directions.분석 기사 • Jun 19
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Could Be 19.8% Overvalued After Flat Same Store Sales
Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is back in focus after recent quarterly results that paired solid headline figures with flat same store sales, raising questions about demand trends, revenue growth expectations, and the company’s higher net debt burden. See our latest analysis for Cheesecake Factory. Cheesecake Factory’s recent quarterly results have arrived alongside a sharp shift in sentiment, with the stock’s 30 day share price return of 28.0% and year to date gain of 46.2% pointing to...내러티브 업데이트 • Jun 03
CAKE: Elevated P/E Leaves Little Cushion For 2026 Execution Missteps
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory slightly higher, from $51.81 to $52.46. The change reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a series of price target increases and one reduction across recent research reports.분석 기사 • May 11
We Like The Quality Of Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings
Despite posting healthy earnings, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) stock has been quite weak...내러티브 업데이트 • May 10
CAKE: Elevated P/E And 2026 Execution Risks Will Constrain Returns
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory stock by about $1.81 to $51.81, as recent price target revisions cite updated models following Q4 results, ongoing 2026 outlook assumptions, and adjustments to P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on how Cheesecake Factory's valuation lines up with its updated 2026 outlook and the mixed tone around the latest Q4 results.분석 기사 • May 07
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its...내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 23
CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Delivery Will Constrain Forward Returns
Analysts have lifted Cheesecake Factory's average price target by several dollars to a range of roughly $58 to $75, as they refresh models after mixed Q4 results and an updated 2026 outlook. They still see a fair value of $50 based on current assumptions for revenue growth, margins and future P/E.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 07
CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support 2026 Outlook Execution
The analyst fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory has increased from $60.61 to $64.44. This change reflects a series of higher price targets on the stock as analysts update their models following mixed Q4 results and an intact 2026 outlook.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 24
CAKE: Elevated P/E And Mixed Q4 Execution Will Limit Forward Upside
Analyst price targets for Cheesecake Factory have moved higher into the $58 to $75 range, as analysts update models following mixed Q4 results while largely maintaining 2026 outlook assumptions and pointing to what they see as balanced risk/reward at current P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a wide spread in views on Cheesecake Factory, even as headline price targets move higher.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 09
CAKE: Elevated P/E Premium And Sector Headwinds Will Constrain Forward Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted their aggregate price targets on Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into the $58 to $75 range, citing refreshed models after mixed Q4 results, an intact 2026 outlook, and what some see as conservative long term assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Cheesecake Factory, with several firms lifting price targets after updating models for the latest Q4 report and 2026 outlook.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 23
CAKE: Elevated P E And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Limit Upside
Narrative Update: Cheesecake Factory Analysts have raised their average price targets for Cheesecake Factory by several dollars into a broad $58 to $75 range, citing updated post-Q4 models, a largely intact 2026 outlook, and a higher assumed P/E multiple, even as views on risk and reward remain mixed across firms. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, analysts are broadly lifting their price targets for Cheesecake Factory into a higher band, but their views on the stock are far from unanimous.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 08
CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Balance Margin Pressure And Sector Headwinds
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Cheesecake Factory higher, reflecting slightly richer P/E assumptions and a modest lift in fair value to about $60.61, even as they acknowledge mixed sector views and ongoing earnings constraints in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Cheesecake Factory points to a split view, with some analysts lifting price targets on higher valuation multiples while others stay cautious on the operating backdrop for casual dining.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25
CAKE: Softer Sales Trends And Sector Headwinds Are Expected To Pressure Returns
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory to $50, a $1 adjustment that reflects slightly updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and the appropriate future P/E multiple in light of recent mixed price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Cheesecake Factory has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets and, in at least one case, downgrading the stock.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 11
CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales And Sector Pressure Will Constrain Near Term Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for The Cheesecake Factory higher to $49.00 from $48.00. This reflects updated price targets that balance recent cuts and raises across the Street and factor in modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 26
CAKE: Softer Same Store Sales Trends Will Shape Near Term Outlook
Cheesecake Factory's analyst-derived fair value has been trimmed from about $50.41 to $48.00, as analysts factor in softer same-store sales trends, modest demand slowdowns into next year, and a slightly weaker growth and margin outlook, despite the brand's still solid positioning in a choppier macro environment. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts continue to recalibrate their expectations for Cheesecake Factory, cutting price targets across the board as they reassess near term growth and margin assumptions.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 12
CAKE: Margin Discipline Will Support Earnings Stability Amid Choppy Demand
Analysts have nudged their blended price target for Cheesecake Factory modestly lower, trimming expectations by a few dollars per share to reflect softer same store sales trends, choppier demand into Q3, and a slightly more cautious view on the restaurant sector backdrop. Analyst Commentary Street research reflects a more nuanced stance on Cheesecake Factory, with both optimistic and cautious voices acknowledging a tougher near term operating backdrop while debating the durability of demand and margin resilience.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 28
CAKE: Margin Resilience Will Support Recovery Despite Sales Headwinds Ahead
Cheesecake Factory's average analyst price target has declined slightly. Recent reductions have been attributed to softer sales trends and persistent industry demand headwinds.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 14
CAKE: Sustained Margin Improvement Is Expected To Support Long-Term Upside
The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been lowered by approximately $0.56. Analysts cite recent weaker same-store sales trends and persistent demand headwinds as key drivers of the adjustment.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 30
CAKE: Share Repurchase Program And Brand Resilience Will Drive Positive Momentum
The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has decreased by just over $5 to around $60. Analysts cite softer sales trends and persistent macroeconomic challenges impacting growth expectations.분석 기사 • Oct 30
Results: The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates
There's been a notable change in appetite for The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) shares in the week...내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 16
Flower Child And North Italia Concepts Will Expand Market Appeal
The consensus analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been reduced from approximately $73 to $68 as analysts cite a challenging industry backdrop and updated company outlooks, particularly with an anticipated mixed and volatile earnings season ahead. Analyst Commentary Recent research from major firms reflects both optimism and caution regarding Cheesecake Factory's performance in the upcoming quarter.분석 기사 • Sep 24
Weekly Picks: ⛏️ The Gold Play With Permits, A Plan And Real Momentum And 2 More Picks
This week’s picks cover: Why most people don’t understand The Cheesecake Factory’s potential, how fully permitted gold miner, 1911 Gold, could offer 50x return, why rate cuts benefit dividend plays like Coca Cola immensely.분석 기사 • Sep 09
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)?
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw significant share price...분석 기사 • Aug 04
Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.27
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) will pay a dividend of $0.27 on the 26th of August. This means the...
새로운 내러티브 • Aug 02
Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts
The Cheesecake Factory is a stock that I believe most people do not understand it's actual potential; or really what makes this stock so attractive for long term growth. Here is a brief description of the company according to Benzinga: "Cheesecake Factory Inc owns and operates restaurants in the United States and Canada under brands that include The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and a collection within the Fox Restaurants Concepts subsidiary.분석 기사 • Aug 01
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Just Recorded A 8.4% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Last week, you might have seen that The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) released its quarterly result...분석 기사 • Jul 02
Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...분석 기사 • Jun 18
Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) P/E Ratio
There wouldn't be many who think The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E...분석 기사 • May 25
Is Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ:CAKE) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...분석 기사 • May 12
Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings May Just Be The Starting Point
Even though The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't...분석 기사 • Apr 15
Should You Investigate The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE) At US$46.99?
While The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) might not have the largest market cap around , it received a...Seeking Alpha • Mar 28
The Cheesecake Factory: Downgrade To Sell As The Macro Environment Is Too Challenging
Summary I am downgrading The Cheesecake Factory from hold to sell due to worsening macro conditions and poor consumer sentiment affecting discretionary spending. CAKE's traffic growth has been negative for seven consecutive quarters, and price increases are no longer a viable strategy for SSS growth. Limited unit growth and high G&A expenses further constrain CAKE's ability to drive revenue and margin expansion in FY25. Valuation at 13x forward P/E is too high given the headwinds, with the potential for multiple re-rating if revenue or margins decline. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Mar 21
Estimating The Fair Value Of The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (NASDAQ:CAKE)
Key Insights Cheesecake Factory's estimated fair value is US$46.97 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...분석 기사 • Mar 09
Market Participants Recognise The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Earnings
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 18x in the United States, you could be forgiven for...분석 기사 • Feb 25
Cheesecake Factory's (NASDAQ:CAKE) Dividend Will Be $0.27
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated's ( NASDAQ:CAKE ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.27 per share on 18th...Seeking Alpha • Feb 20
The Cheesecake Factory: A Winning Restaurant Stock
Summary We continue to rate The Cheesecake Factory a hold, highlighting its strong revenue growth, margin improvements, and positive comparable sales trends. The company's strategic cost management and easing inflation have led to improved margins, with food and labor expenses showing notable reductions. CAKE's earnings growth is robust, with Q4 adjusted EPS rising significantly year-over-year, and the stock remains attractively valued at less than 15X forward earnings. With manageable debt, ongoing share repurchases, and expected dividend increases, we see long-term upside, projecting EPS of $3.70-3.85 for 2025. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha주주 수익률
| CAKE | US Hospitality | US 시장 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -3.8% | -0.2% | -0.7% |
| 1Y | 19.5% | -9.1% | 20.3% |
수익률 대 산업: CAKE은 지난 1년 동안 -9.1%의 수익을 기록한 US Hospitality 산업보다 더 좋은 성과를 냈습니다.
수익률 대 시장: CAKE은 지난 1년 동안 20.3%의 수익을 기록한 US 시장과 동일한 성과를 보였습니다.
주가 변동성
| CAKE volatility | |
|---|---|
| CAKE Average Weekly Movement | 5.0% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
안정적인 주가: CAKE는 지난 3개월 동안 US 시장에 비해 주가 변동성이 크지 않았습니다.
시간에 따른 변동성: CAKE의 주간 변동성(5%)은 지난 1년 동안 안정적이었습니다.
회사 소개
| 설립 | 직원 수 | CEO | 웹사이트 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1972 | 48,400 | David Overton | www.thecheesecakefactory.com |
치즈케이크 팩토리는 미국과 캐나다에서 레스토랑을 운영하고 라이선스를 취득합니다. 이 회사는 레스토랑, 국제 라이선스 사용자, 타사 베이커리 고객, 외부 식품 서비스 운영자, 소매업체 및 유통업체를 위해 치즈 케이크 및 기타 제빵 제품을 생산하는 베이커리를 운영합니다. 이 회사는 더 치즈케이크 팩토리, 노스 이탈리아, 플라워 차일드, 폭스 레스토랑 콘셉트로 구성된 브랜드로 레스토랑을 운영하고 있습니다.
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated 기초 지표 요약
| CAKE 기초 통계 | |
|---|---|
| 시가총액 | US$3.86b |
| 순이익 (TTM) | US$165.03m |
| 매출 (TTM) | US$3.80b |
23.1x
주가수익비율(P/E)1.0x
주가매출비율(P/S)CAKE는 고평가되어 있습니까?
공정 가치 및 평가 분석 보기순이익 및 매출
| CAKE 손익계산서 (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| 매출 | US$3.80b |
| 매출원가 | US$2.26b |
| 총이익 | US$1.54b |
| 기타 비용 | US$1.38b |
| 순이익 | US$165.03m |
최근 보고된 실적
Mar 31, 2026
다음 실적 발표일
Jul 28, 2026
| 주당순이익(EPS) | 3.32 |
| 총이익률 | 40.50% |
| 순이익률 | 4.34% |
| 부채/자본 비율 | 137.4% |
CAKE의 장기 실적은 어땠습니까?
과거 실적 및 비교 보기배당
1.6%
현재 배당 수익률31%
배당 성향기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/07/08 03:00 |
| 종가 | 2026/07/08 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/30 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
|
| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 세부 정보는 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있으며, 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공하고 있습니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated는 39명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 18명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |