Grocery Outlet Holding 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 3/6
Grocery Outlet Holding (는) 각각 연간 105.2% 및 4.6% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 116.4% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 6.1% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
105.2%
이익 성장률
116.38%
EPS 성장률
| Consumer Retailing 이익 성장 | 8.9% |
| 매출 성장률 | 4.6% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 6.09% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 15 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • May 05
GO: Store Closures And Legal Overhang Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding to $7.62. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for the discount rate and revenue growth, along with a minor change in profit margin and future P/E expectations.내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 20
GO: Store Closures And Legal Overhang Will Temper Food Desert Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price view on Grocery Outlet Holding, with the implied fair value holding at about $7.62. Updates to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions reflect a more refined risk and earnings outlook rather than a major shift in fundamentals.Seeking Alpha • Apr 06
Grocery Outlet Holding: Downgrade To Sell On Weakened Fundamentals
Summary Grocery Outlet Holding is downgraded to sell as its value proposition and store growth strategy have deteriorated. GO's core treasure-hunt experience is compromised, with weakened value perception and reduced opportunistic product flow impacting customer engagement. Management's 2026 guidance signals no near-term recovery, with comparable sales guided between -2% and flat and Q1 comps at -2.5% to -1.5%. GO's valuation could fall further, potentially aligning with lower-multiple peers, implying up to 45% downside from current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 06
GO: Store Optimization And New Openings Will Support Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding to about $10.31 from roughly $12.24. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue growth and P/E expectations, which are partly offset by a higher projected profit margin.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 23
GO: Virginia Food Desert Expansion Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts cut their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding from $13.65 to $7.62 as they now apply a higher discount rate, factor in more modest revenue growth and profit margins, and use a lower future P/E assumption in their models. What's in the News Class action lawsuit filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California alleges misleading statements about store expansion, growth, and restructuring plans, following Fiscal Year 2025 results that did not meet guidance and an earnings call discussing the closure of 36 underperforming stores (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 08
GO: Future Store Openings Will Support Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts now estimate Grocery Outlet Holding's fair value at about $12.24 per share, reduced from roughly $19.77. This change reflects updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 22
GO: Virginia Food Desert Expansion And Deep Discounts Will Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding from about $14.12 to around $13.65, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, modest revenue growth expectations, slightly adjusted profit margin forecasts, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 07
GO: Virginia Expansion And Discount Model Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding slightly to align with an updated fair value of about $14.12. This reflects small tweaks to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.분석 기사 • Feb 04
These 4 Measures Indicate That Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Is Using Debt Extensively
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 24
GO: Future Expansion And Higher P/E Expectations Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have kept their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding unchanged, reflecting updated assumptions that combine slightly higher revenue growth expectations with lower profit margin estimates and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Grocery Outlet is entering Virginia with a new store in Falls Church, scheduled to open on February 12, 2026.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 10
GO: Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside Despite Softer Guidance
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Grocery Outlet Holding slightly lower to about $14.35 per share from around $14.79, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News The company reported that, from June 29, 2025 to September 27, 2025, it repurchased 0 shares for $0 million, while completing a total of 4,371,397 shares repurchased for $90.7 million under the buyback first announced on November 9, 2021 (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 26
GO: Higher Future Multiple Will Support Long-Term Upside Despite Softer Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding from approximately $17.15 to $14.79 per share. They cite slightly weaker expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, which are only partially offset by a higher projected future price-to-earnings multiple and marginally increased discount rate assumptions.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 12
GO: Future Outlook Will Balance Moderated Guidance With Margin Improvement Expectations
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding by approximately $1.00 per share. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and more conservative revenue growth expectations, partly offset by improved margin assumptions and a lower projected future P E multiple.분석 기사 • Nov 14
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Stock Retreats 28% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) share price has dived 28% in the...내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 01
GO: Rising Sales Outlook And Buybacks Will Support Earnings Momentum
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates while maintaining steady projections for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 17
Consumer Trends Will Constrain Margins But Spur Efficiency
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding, increasing it from $16.62 to $17.15. This change is based on minor updates to growth and valuation metrics.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 03
Consumer Trends Will Constrain Margins But Spur Efficiency
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding from $16.15 to $16.62. This reflects slight positive updates to fair value and profit margin projections.분석 기사 • Aug 07
Even With A 40% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Performance Completely
NasdaqGS:GO 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Grocery Outlet Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...분석 기사 • Jul 18
Here's Why Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...분석 기사 • Jun 29
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...분석 기사 • May 14
Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Grocery Outlet Holding's (NASDAQ:GO) Soft Earnings
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:GO ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. However, our...분석 기사 • May 09
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:GO) Price Target To US$15.62
It's been a mediocre week for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shareholders, with the stock dropping 10% to...분석 기사 • Apr 25
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) 30% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced...분석 기사 • Apr 17
Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...분석 기사 • Mar 26
Slowing Rates Of Return At Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Leave Little Room For Excitement
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Seeking Alpha • Mar 10
Grocery Outlet Q4: The New CEO Has A Lot Of Work Ahead Of Him
Summary Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s Q4 earnings showed a sales increase to $1.1B, but EPS missed estimates, and gross margins declined due to inventory shrinkage. The company's financial position is concerning, with a high debt load and an interest coverage ratio below the desired threshold. Management's 2025 outlook disappointed investors, leading to a significant decline in share price and a cautious approach to future performance. I recommend a hold rating, as the new CEO has much to prove, and operational improvements are needed before considering a buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha분석 기사 • Feb 28
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
One of the biggest stories of last week was how Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shares plunged 26% in the...분석 기사 • Feb 27
More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Shares After Tumbling 35%
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shares are down a considerable 35% in...이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,139 | 32 | N/A | 178 | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 4,875 | 45 | 24 | 335 | 14 |
| 12/31/2026 | 4,660 | -67 | -4 | 222 | 14 |
| 4/4/2026 | 4,730 | -382 | 4 | 216 | N/A |
| 1/3/2026 | 4,689 | -225 | 2 | 222 | N/A |
| 9/27/2025 | 4,571 | -4 | -52 | 189 | N/A |
| 6/28/2025 | 4,511 | 8 | -51 | 195 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 4,460 | 17 | -60 | 163 | N/A |
| 12/28/2024 | 4,372 | 39 | -95 | 112 | N/A |
| 9/28/2024 | 4,263 | 51 | -102 | 100 | N/A |
| 6/29/2024 | 4,159 | 54 | -10 | 196 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 4,041 | 65 | 23 | 224 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 3,969 | 79 | 111 | 303 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,910 | 81 | 142 | 322 | N/A |
| 7/1/2023 | 3,825 | 72 | 97 | 258 | N/A |
| 4/1/2023 | 3,712 | 67 | 84 | 237 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,578 | 65 | 38 | 186 | N/A |
| 10/1/2022 | 3,430 | 56 | 27 | 164 | N/A |
| 7/2/2022 | 3,281 | 55 | 35 | 165 | N/A |
| 4/2/2022 | 3,159 | 55 | 45 | 176 | N/A |
| 1/1/2022 | 3,080 | 62 | 32 | 166 | N/A |
| 10/2/2021 | 3,104 | 80 | 88 | 224 | N/A |
| 7/3/2021 | 3,099 | 103 | 30 | 176 | N/A |
| 4/3/2021 | 3,127 | 113 | 1 | 140 | N/A |
| 1/2/2021 | 3,135 | 107 | 50 | 181 | N/A |
| 9/26/2020 | 2,983 | 92 | 12 | 128 | N/A |
| 6/27/2020 | 2,872 | 64 | 72 | 183 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 2,714 | 24 | N/A | 178 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 2,560 | 15 | N/A | 133 | N/A |
| 9/28/2019 | 2,489 | 1 | N/A | 125 | N/A |
| 6/29/2019 | 2,414 | -4 | N/A | 90 | N/A |
| 3/30/2019 | 2,343 | 14 | N/A | 97 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 2,288 | 16 | N/A | 106 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 2,075 | 21 | N/A | 85 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,832 | 10 | N/A | 71 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: GO 은 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되며, 이는 절약률(3.5%)보다 빠른 성장으로 간주됩니다.
수익 vs 시장: GO (는) 향후 3년 동안 평균 시장 성장보다 높은 수익을 올릴 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: GO 향후 3년 내에 수익을 낼 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: GO 의 수익(연간 4.6%)이 US 시장(연간 11.6%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: GO 의 수익(연간 4.6%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: GO의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 6.1%로 낮을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/20 15:44 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/04/04 |
| 연간 수익 | 2026/01/03 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
|
* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
Simply Wall St 분석 모델을 설계하고 구축한 세계적 수준의 팀에 대해 알아보세요.
산업 및 섹터 지표
산업 및 섹터 지표는 Simply Wall St가 6시간마다 계산하며, 프로세스에 대한 자세한 내용은 Github에서 확인할 수 있습니다.
분석가 소스
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.는 15명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 14명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Brian McNamara | Berenberg |
| Robert Ohmes | BofA Global Research |
| Jeremy Hamblin | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |