Loading...
Back to narrative

Update shared on03 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 2.86%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$16.62
7.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
03 Oct
US$15.46
Loading
1Y
-1.7%
7D
-4.4%

Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding from $16.15 to $16.62. This reflects slight positive updates to fair value and profit margin projections.

What's in the News

  • Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. has completed the repurchase of 4,371,397 shares, representing 4.41% of its shares for $90.7 million as part of the buyback announced on November 9, 2021. (Key Developments)
  • No shares were repurchased from March 30, 2025 to June 28, 2025 under the buyback program announced on November 5, 2024. (Key Developments)
  • The company has raised its earnings guidance for fiscal year 2025, now expecting diluted adjusted earnings per share between $0.75 and $0.80, compared to its previous guidance of $0.70 to $0.75. (Key Developments)
  • Net sales guidance for fiscal year 2025 remains at $4.7 billion to $4.8 billion, with comparable store sales growth projected at 1.0% to 2.0%. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value has increased from $16.15 to $16.62. This reflects a modest rise in expectations.
  • The Discount Rate has edged up slightly from 8.34% to 8.64%.
  • Revenue Growth projections remain steady, with a marginal decrease from 8.29% to 8.28%.
  • Net Profit Margin is nearly unchanged, rising fractionally from 1.54% to 1.54%.
  • The Future P/E ratio has increased from 23.59x to 24.47x, indicating a slightly higher earnings multiple.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.