Kogan.com 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 5/6
Kogan.com (는) 각각 연간 54.1% 및 6.6% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 59.1% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 31% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
54.1%
이익 성장률
59.08%
EPS 성장률
| Multiline Retail 이익 성장 | 5.6% |
| 매출 성장률 | 6.6% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 30.96% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Low |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 26 Mar 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
내러티브 업데이트 • May 12
Kogan.com will ride high on a comfortable 8% profit margin despite global inflation and supply issues
Increased medium term inflation, alongside global supply chain challenges and geopolitical uncertainty will constrain the margins of consumer retail businesses. Kogan would be wise to double down on its current approach of targeting higher margin opportunities, even if that leads to reduced market share and slower revenue growth.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 28
KGN: Buyback And Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Future Share Returns
Analysts have fine tuned their assumptions on Kogan.com, keeping the fair value estimate steady at A$9.00 while adjusting inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E to reflect updated views on the business. What's in the News The Board of Directors authorized a share buyback plan for Kogan.com Ltd on April 24, 2026, signalling an intention to return capital to shareholders over time (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 10
KGN: Rising Fully Franked Dividend Will Support Stronger Future Share Performance
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Kogan.com to A$9.00, reflecting updated views on its discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E profile, while keeping fair value unchanged at A$9.00. What's in the News Kogan.com board has declared a fully franked ordinary dividend of A$0.08 per ordinary share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, compared with A$0.07, fully franked, for the first half of fiscal 2025, described as a 14.3% uplift on the prior comparable period (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 27
KGN: Higher Dividend And Firmer Margins Will Support Stronger Future Shares
Analysts have reaffirmed their A$ price target for Kogan.com at A$9.00, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples while maintaining the same headline valuation level. What's in the News Kogan.com has announced a fully franked ordinary dividend of A$0.08 per share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, with a record date of March 13, 2026, ex date of March 12, 2026, and payment date of April 30, 2026 (Key Developments).
내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 10
KGN: Higher Dividend Will Mask Compressed Future Earnings Multiple Risk
Analysts have maintained their price target on Kogan.com at A$3.30, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News The Board of Kogan.com Ltd has declared a fully franked ordinary dividend of 8.0 cents per Ordinary Share for the six months ended December 31, 2025, compared with 7.0 cents for the first half of fiscal 2025, described as up 14.3% on the prior corresponding period (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 23
KGN: Steady Fair Value And Firmer Margins Will Support Stronger Future Shares
Analysts have maintained their A$9.00 price target for Kogan.com, citing only small adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a slightly lower future P/E multiple in their valuation work. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$9.00 per share is unchanged, with no adjustment to the central valuation outcome.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 09
KGN: Steady Fair Value And Firmer Margins Will Support Stronger Future Shares
Narrative Update on Kogan.com Analyst Price Target Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Kogan.com steady at A$9.00. Small adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E assumptions have resulted in this unchanged target.분석 기사 • Feb 03
Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Shares Could Be 48% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Kogan.com fair value estimate is AU$6.91 Current share price...내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 25
KGN: Higher Profit Margins And Lower Risk Assumptions Will Support Stronger Future Shares
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target on Kogan.com to account for a modestly reduced future P/E assumption and minor changes to the discount rate, revenue growth, and profit margin forecasts, while maintaining their fair value estimate at A$9.00. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The fair value estimate is unchanged at A$9.00 per share.내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 11
KGN: Higher Profit Margins And Stable Assumptions Will Support Stronger Future Shares
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Kogan.com to A$9.00 from A$9.00, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, while keeping their overall valuation view unchanged. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Kept unchanged at A$9.00 per share.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 26
KGN: Higher Profit Margins Will Support Stronger Future Share Performance
Analysts have nudged their price target on Kogan.com higher to align more closely with an updated fair value estimate of A$9.00 per share, citing expectations of slightly stronger profit margins that will offset modestly softer revenue growth and a lower future price to earnings multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: unchanged at A$9.00 per share, with higher margin assumptions offsetting slightly softer growth and a lower future multiple.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 12
KGN: Share Buyback Will Support EPS As Margins Face Modest Pressures
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Kogan.com to about $3.30 from roughly $4.05. This reflects slightly higher perceived risk, slower expected revenue growth and modestly softer profit margins, even as future valuation multiples edge up.
새로운 내러티브 • Mar 15
Mobile App Expansion And Loyalty Program Enhancements Expected To Strengthen Customer Engagement
Expanding Kogan Marketplace and Mighty Ape initiatives drives customer engagement and scalability, supporting future revenue and earnings growth.분석 기사 • Feb 03
Not Many Are Piling Into Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Stock Yet As It Plummets 25%
Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...분석 기사 • Dec 18
Optimistic Investors Push Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking
Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month...분석 기사 • Apr 25
Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) 36% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues
Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 36% after a relatively good period beforehand...분석 기사 • Apr 16
Kogan.com's (ASX:KGN) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...분석 기사 • Feb 26
What Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) 39% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Despite an already strong run, Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 39% in the last...분석 기사 • Jan 25
Should You Investigate Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) At AU$5.44?
Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 27% in...분석 기사 • Nov 16
Here's Why It's Unlikely That Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) CEO Will See A Pay Rise This Year
Key Insights Kogan.com will host its Annual General Meeting on 22nd of November CEO Ruslan Kogan's total compensation...분석 기사 • Jun 19
Are Investors Undervaluing Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) By 27%?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Kogan.com fair value estimate is AU$6.69 Kogan.com's AU$4.91...분석 기사 • Feb 28
Analysts Have Lowered Expectations For Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) After Its Latest Results
As you might know, Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) last week released its latest half-year, and things did not turn out so...분석 기사 • Jan 05
Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 90% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Kogan.com's estimated fair value is AU$7.4 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...분석 기사 • Nov 17
It Looks Like Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) CEO May Expect Their Salary To Be Put Under The Microscope
The results at Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) have been quite disappointing recently and CEO Ruslan Kogan bears some...분석 기사 • Oct 31
Analysts Just Shaved Their Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Forecasts Dramatically
Today is shaping up negative for Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial...분석 기사 • Feb 26
There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Kogan.com's (ASX:KGN) Returns On Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'd want to identify a...분석 기사 • Dec 29
An Intrinsic Calculation For Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) Suggests It's 49% Undervalued
Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of Kogan.com Ltd...분석 기사 • Oct 13
Is Kogan.com (ASX:KGN) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...분석 기사 • Sep 23
Kogan.com's (ASX:KGN) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...분석 기사 • Aug 08
Is There An Opportunity With Kogan.com Ltd's (ASX:KGN) 28% Undervaluation?
Does the August share price for Kogan.com Ltd ( ASX:KGN ) reflect what it's really worth? Today, we will estimate the...이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2028 | 606 | 30 | 38 | 46 | 5 |
| 6/30/2027 | 566 | 24 | 35 | 43 | 5 |
| 6/30/2026 | 520 | 16 | 29 | 36 | 4 |
| 12/31/2025 | 503 | -42 | 34 | 37 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 496 | -41 | 33 | 37 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 488 | -39 | 32 | 37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 486 | -19 | 25 | 30 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 484 | 2 | 18 | 23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 472 | 1 | 21 | 26 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 460 | 0 | 23 | 28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 461 | 3 | 39 | 44 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 462 | 7 | 56 | 61 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 476 | -10 | 61 | 66 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 489 | -26 | 67 | 71 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 532 | -37 | 62 | 66 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 575 | -47 | 57 | 62 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 647 | -41 | 58 | 62 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 719 | -35 | 59 | 62 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 752 | -34 | 39 | 42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 786 | -32 | 19 | 23 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 784 | -14 | -25 | -20 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 781 | 4 | -68 | -63 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 737 | 23 | -35 | -29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 692 | 41 | -2 | 5 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 595 | 34 | 18 | 25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 498 | 27 | 37 | 46 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 462 | 23 | 35 | 42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 426 | 19 | 33 | 38 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 433 | 18 | N/A | 20 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 439 | 17 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 437 | 15 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 434 | 13 | N/A | 6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 423 | 14 | N/A | 17 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 412 | 14 | N/A | 28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 384 | 12 | N/A | 21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 355 | 11 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 322 | 7 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 290 | 4 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 270 | 2 | N/A | 6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 250 | 1 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 231 | 1 | N/A | 6 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 211 | 1 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 204 | 0 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 197 | -1 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 199 | 0 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 200 | 0 | N/A | -6 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: KGN 은 향후 3년 동안 수익을 낼 것으로 예상되며, 이는 절약률(3.6%)보다 빠른 성장으로 간주됩니다.
수익 vs 시장: KGN (는) 향후 3년 동안 평균 시장 성장보다 높은 수익을 올릴 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: KGN 향후 3년 내에 수익을 낼 것으로 예상됩니다.
수익 대 시장: KGN 의 수익(연간 6.6%)이 Australian 시장(연간 6.3%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: KGN 의 수익(연간 6.6%)은 연간 20%보다 느리게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: KGN의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 31%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/15 16:09 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/06/30 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
| |
| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
|
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
이 보고서를 생성하는 데 사용된 분석 모델에 대한 자세한 내용은 당사의 Github 페이지에서 확인하실 수 있습니다. 또한 보고서 활용 방법에 대한 가이드와 YouTube 튜토리얼도 제공합니다.
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산업 및 섹터 지표
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분석가 소스
Kogan.com Ltd는 8명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 5명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Chamithri Ratnapala | Bell Potter |
| Ivana Ye | BofA Global Research |
| Owen Humphries | Canaccord Genuity |