AXT 将来の成長
Future 基準チェック /56
AXTは、87.9%と44.5%でそれぞれ年率87.9%で利益と収益が成長すると予測される一方、EPSはgrowで141.4%年率。
主要情報
87.9%
収益成長率
141.40%
EPS成長率
| Semiconductor 収益成長 | 27.3% |
| 収益成長率 | 44.5% |
| 将来の株主資本利益率 | n/a |
| アナリストカバレッジ | Low |
| 最終更新日 | 25 Jun 2026 |
今後の成長に関する最新情報
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jun 22
Why I'm Not Chasing AXT Despite Being The Best AI Substrate Story In The Market
Summary AXT's indium phosphide substrate is genuine critical AI infrastructure, with a confirmed $100M backlog and funded capacity doubling — the demand thesis is real. Revenue is gated not by customer demand but by Chinese export permits; Q4 2025 proved one permit drought can erase an entire quarter with no operational failure. At 27x EV/NTM revenue versus a peer median of ~10x, the bull case only returns +16% while the base case implies -34% and the bear case of -77% — is asymmetrical. Rating is hold: the story works, the price doesn't; the setup gets interesting below $60. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Jun 18
AXT (AXTI) Stock Could Be 4.5% Undervalued As AI Optics Demand Lifts Interest
AXT (AXTI) is drawing fresh attention after stockholders reviewed a proposal to lift authorized common shares from 70,000,000 to 120,000,000, coinciding with rising interest in its role in AI infrastructure and optical networking. See our latest analysis for AXT. For context, AXT’s share price has pulled back about 13% over the past month after a sharp run, but the 90 day share price return of about 59% and a very large 1 year total shareholder return suggest momentum has been strong, helped...
ナラティブの更新 • Jun 14
AXTI: AI Capacity Expansion And Export Limits Will Balance Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their blended price target on AXT stock from $30.75 to $96.50, citing updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, wider profit margins, a richer future P/E multiple, and a slightly higher discount rate supported by recent Street research pointing to stronger AI related demand across communications and data center hardware. Analyst Commentary Street research on AXT has focused heavily on how AI related spending in communications and data center hardware could affect the stock's valuation.
ナラティブの更新 • May 31
AXTI: Elevated Expectations And Equity Offering Will Intensify Execution Risk
Analysts have materially lifted their view on AXT, with the implied fair value estimate moving from $21.00 to $73.00 as they update assumptions around growth, profitability and future P/E expectations following recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has centered on price target revisions for AXT, with multiple firms updating their models and reassessing how much they are willing to pay for the stock given current assumptions around growth, profitability and P/E multiples.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 29
AXTI: Future InP Substrate Demand Will Outweigh Near Term Export Constraints
Narrative Update on AXT The analyst price target for AXT has moved from $45 to $90, with analysts pointing to higher assumed profit margins, an increased future P/E multiple, and stronger long term InP substrate demand expectations supported by recent capacity and capex plans at major optical and cloud players. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AXT highlights a mix of optimism on long term InP substrate demand and some short term caution around export related constraints.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 14
AXTI: Export Permit Limits Will Continue To Restrain InP AI Upside
Analysts have raised AXT's fair value estimate from $28.25 to $30.75, reflecting updated views on higher potential P/E multiples, supported by expected InP growth and recent price target increases from several research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research gives you a mixed but useful read on how the Street is thinking about AXT, with some focusing on long term InP growth potential and others highlighting nearer term execution risks and regulatory overhangs.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 31
AXTI: Export Permit Constraints Will Limit Upside Despite InP Demand Story
AXT's analyst fair value estimate has been raised from $26.00 to $45.00 as analysts factor in expectations for higher revenue, stronger profit margins, and a richer forward P/E multiple supported by rising Street price targets related to InP demand and export permit clarity. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AXT points to a split view, with some caution around near term export permit issues, but also a series of more optimistic calls that connect the story to longer term compound semiconductor demand and valuation support tied to InP exposure.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 17
AXTI: Export Permit Constraints Will Limit Benefit Of InP Demand Optimism
The analyst price target for AXT has increased from $8.50 to $21, with analysts citing stronger InP growth expectations, higher projected profit margins, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple as key supports for the updated valuation framework. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AXT reflects a wide spread in price targets, with some analysts using relatively high P/E multiples based on long term InP growth expectations and others taking a more cautious stance as they weigh near term execution risks and policy related constraints.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 03
AXTI: InP Export Permit Constraints Will Undermine AI Demand Upside Potential
Narrative Update on AXT The analyst price targets for AXT have moved sharply higher, with recent updates ranging from $21 to $35. Analysts are factoring in higher fair value estimates and stronger InP growth expectations, despite ongoing export permit uncertainty.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 17
AXTI: Neutral Stance Will Reflect Export Permit Risks And Equity Raise
Narrative Update on AXT Price Target Analysts have raised their AXT price target from $9 to $18, citing updated assumptions for higher revenue growth and profit margins, as well as a lower discount rate. At the same time, they have shifted to a Neutral stance following export permit related headwinds in InP substrate shipments.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 03
AXTI: Export Permit Constraints And Equity Offering Will Pressure Future Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on AXT to US$18 from US$9, citing valuation after the company adjusted its Q4 revenue outlook due to fewer export permits for InP substrates from the Chinese government. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are framing the new US$18 price target as less about improving fundamentals and more about the stock having already run ahead of what they see as reasonable expectations.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 20
AXTI: Export Permit Uncertainty Will Constrain Near Term Revenue Outlook
Analysts have lifted their price targets for AXT, with moves such as from US$4.10 to US$7 and from US$9 to US$18, citing changing views on export permit progress, revenue assumptions, and valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AXT reflects a mixed backdrop, with some bearish analysts turning more cautious even as price targets move higher.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 05
AXTI: Export Permits Will Drive Fragile Near Term Revenue Expectations
Analysts lifted their price target on AXT to $7.00 from $4.10, pointing to updated Q3 revenue assumptions after the company received export permits from China's Ministry of Commerce to resume shipping indium phosphide substrates to additional customers. Analyst Commentary Analysts point to the new export permits as a key reason for revisiting their models, with Q3 revenue assumptions adjusted to reflect the potential contribution from indium phosphide substrate shipments to additional customers.分析記事 • Dec 19
AXT, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AXTI) 39% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
AXT, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXTI ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 39% gain in the last month alone. The last...ナラティブの更新 • Dec 14
AXTI: New Export Permits Will Intensify Regulatory And Execution Downside Risks
Analysts have raised their price target on AXT by approximately $2.90 per share to around $7.00, citing improved revenue expectations after the company received new export permits that enable it to resume shipping indium phosphide substrates to additional customers. Analyst Commentary Analysts are updating their models ahead of upcoming quarterly results, reflecting the impact of newly granted export permits on AXT's near term revenue and margin profile.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 30
AXTI: Export Permit Reliance Will Heighten Downside Risks Amid Ongoing Uncertainty
Analysts have increased their price target for AXT to $7 from $4.10, citing higher anticipated revenues because the company recently obtained export permits that allow it to ship indium phosphide substrates to additional customers. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from the analyst community reflect a reassessment of AXT's growth prospects and financial outlook following the news about new export permits for indium phosphide substrates.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 16
AXTI: Renewed Export Permits Will Influence Recovery Amid Regulatory Risks
Analysts have raised AXT's fair value estimate significantly from $5.70 to $9.50 per share, citing improved revenue assumptions following renewed export permits and a higher price target in recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Analyst reactions to AXT's recent developments have brought both optimism and caution regarding the company's future prospects and valuation.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 02
AXTI: Export Permit Uncertainty Will Challenge Margin Strength Moving Forward
The analyst price target for AXT has increased significantly from $3.82 to $5.70 per share, as analysts cite improved revenue growth expectations and recent export permit approvals as key drivers behind their revised outlook. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment regarding AXT has evolved in response to recent company developments, with notable optimism about future growth prospects.分析記事 • Oct 14
AXT, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXTI) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
AXT, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXTI ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Looking...分析記事 • Oct 08
Here's Why AXT (NASDAQ:AXTI) Can Afford Some Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...分析記事 • Jul 20
AXT, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXTI) Stock Catapults 33% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry
Despite an already strong run, AXT, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXTI ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 33% in the last...
新しいナラティブ • May 02
Chinese Data Center Demand And Laser Tech Will Open New Markets
Strategic positioning in the Chinese data center market and local sourcing aims to reduce foreign dependency and boost revenue growth.分析記事 • Apr 11
AXT, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AXTI) 25% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
To the annoyance of some shareholders, AXT, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXTI ) shares are down a considerable 25% in the last month...分析記事 • Mar 29
Here's Why AXT (NASDAQ:AXTI) Can Afford Some Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Feb 24
AXT, Inc. Reported Improved Q4 Financial Performance But Q1 Outlook Disappoints
Summary AXT, Inc. reported increased revenues QoQ and YoY due to higher demand for its indium phosphide wafers. The company expects lower Q1 2025 revenues due to new regulations in China over exports of indium phosphide. The company’s stock price hit its 52-week low last Friday due to the weak Q1 outlook. The company still foresees strong performance during 2025 and 2026 regardless of the setback. I rate AXTI stock as a Hold for now and recommend that investors watch the company for developments. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Feb 22
Revenues Working Against AXT, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AXTI) Share Price Following 31% Dive
AXT, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXTI ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 31% after a relatively good period beforehand. For...分析記事 • Feb 22
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving AXT, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AXTI) 31% Price Drop
AXT, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXTI ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...分析記事 • Nov 16
Little Excitement Around AXT, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AXTI) Revenues As Shares Take 30% Pounding
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the AXT, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXTI ) share price has dived 30% in the last thirty days...分析記事 • Nov 03
AXT, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXTI) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Results And Analysts Are Updating Their Estimates
One of the biggest stories of last week was how AXT, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXTI ) shares plunged 22% in the week since its...Seeking Alpha • Oct 26
AXT, Inc.: Not Getting The Recognition It Deserves
Summary AXT, Inc. came close to multi-year lows last September after a selloff following guidance, but history suggests that might have been a good entry point. Guidance suggests AXTI will grow slower, at least in the short term, but there is nonetheless much more to remain upbeat about. There have been setbacks, including in terms of AI, but AXTI is still growing and on pace to get back to earning a profit as soon as next year. It may take some time and patience, but long AXTI still looks like it has what it takes to become a winning play. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Sep 28
Is AXT (NASDAQ:AXTI) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...分析記事 • Aug 28
AXT, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXTI) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%
AXT, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXTI ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26...Seeking Alpha • Aug 05
AXT, Inc.: Downgrading On Limited Visibility And Early Cracks In The AI Story
Summary Semiconductor substrate provider AXT, Inc. reported better-than-expected Q2/2024 results, with both revenues and profitability coming in ahead of consensus estimates. Strong sequential growth in gallium arsenide and germanium substrate sales were partially offset by a decrease in indium phosphide revenues. However, Q3 guidance came in below consensus expectations due to an anticipated sequential decline in substrate revenues. While the company looks cheap following Friday's selloff, limited visibility and a rather lumpy AI revenue ramp are likely to keep the stock in the penalty box for at least the next couple of months. Given these issues, I am downgrading the company's stock from "Buy" to "Hold". Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Aug 04
AXT, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXTI) Analysts Are Pretty Bullish On The Stock After Recent Results
AXT, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AXTI ) just released its latest quarterly results and things are looking bullish. Revenues and...Seeking Alpha • Jul 21
AXT Inc.: Playing An Expected Rebound
Summary The stock has sold off in the last three days due to AXTI’s ties to China, but this could be an opportunity to take advantage of. AXTI is valued at much less than book value, which could become untenable if AXTI gets out of the red in 2025. AXTI is scheduled to release the Q2 report on August 1 and the conditions are there for a repeat of what happened twice before in 2024. The China factor will not go away anytime soon, but long AXTI has enough in its favor to make it worth backing. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • May 07
AXT: Strong Outlook As Business Recovery Is Picking Up Steam - Buy
Summary Semiconductor substrate provider AXT, Inc. reported Q1/2024 results in line with its April 8 preannouncement and provided Q2 guidance well ahead of expectations. The company's substrate business continues to recover across all major product lines, with some AI-related demand contributing to a 50% sequential increase in indium phosphide sales. Management expects the company to reach breakeven levels by the end of this year or early next year. The company is considering monetizing some of its holdings in a number of Chinese raw materials providers. Risk/reward is looking increasingly favorable for speculative investors, with the business recovering across the board and a number of potential near- and medium-term catalysts. Reiterating "Buy" rating with a near-term price target of $5.30. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha業績と収益の成長予測
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | フリー・キャッシュフロー | 営業活動によるキャッシュ | 平均アナリスト数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 382 | 150 | 223 | -2 | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 222 | 50 | -58 | -4 | 5 |
| 12/31/2026 | 143 | 15 | -42 | -18 | 5 |
| 3/31/2026 | 96 | -14 | -28 | -21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 88 | -21 | -19 | -13 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 90 | -23 | -19 | -16 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 86 | -24 | -14 | -12 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 96 | -19 | -9 | -7 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 99 | -12 | -18 | -12 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 95 | -10 | -17 | -12 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 88 | -13 | -16 | -7 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 79 | -17 | -15 | -4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 76 | -18 | -7 | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 82 | -13 | -8 | 3 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 100 | -2 | -26 | -12 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 121 | 9 | -27 | -1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 141 | 16 | -37 | -9 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 152 | 17 | -41 | -2 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 151 | 15 | -25 | 13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 146 | 14 | -34 | -4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 137 | 14 | -33 | -3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 127 | 13 | -38 | -11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 118 | 11 | -33 | -7 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 106 | 7 | -20 | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 95 | 3 | -14 | 6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 87 | -1 | -8 | 12 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 81 | -3 | -11 | 9 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 84 | -2 | -12 | 9 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 83 | -3 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 87 | -2 | N/A | 11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 96 | 3 | N/A | 10 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 98 | 5 | N/A | -1 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 102 | 9 | N/A | 3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 106 | 14 | N/A | 0 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 106 | 14 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 102 | 12 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 99 | 10 | N/A | 9 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 93 | 9 | N/A | 15 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 86 | 7 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 83 | 6 | N/A | 14 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 81 | 5 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 79 | 2 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 76 | 0 | N/A | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 76 | -1 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 78 | -2 | N/A | 2 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 79 | -1 | N/A | 4 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 84 | -1 | N/A | 1 | N/A |
アナリストによる今後の成長予測
収入対貯蓄率: AXTIは今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予測されており、これは 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) よりも高い成長率であると考えられます。
収益対市場: AXTI今後 3 年間で収益性が向上すると予想されており、これは市場平均を上回る成長と考えられます。
高成長収益: AXTI今後 3 年以内に収益を上げることが予想されます。
収益対市場: AXTIの収益 ( 44.5% ) US市場 ( 12.7% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。
高い収益成長: AXTIの収益 ( 44.5% ) 20%よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。
一株当たり利益成長率予想
将来の株主資本利益率
将来のROE: AXTIの 自己資本利益率 が 3 年後に高くなると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です
成長企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/06/26 09:23 |
| 終値 | 2026/06/26 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
|
| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
|
* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
このレポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は、当社の Github ページ でご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使い方に関する ガイド や YouTube の チュートリアル もご用意しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
AXT, Inc. 5 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。7
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Ku Kang | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Hamed Khorsand | BWS Financial Inc. |
| Richard Shannon | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |