Stock Analysis

Here's Why AXT (NASDAQ:AXTI) Can Afford Some Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies AXT, Inc. (NASDAQ:AXTI) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is AXT's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2025, AXT had US$60.9m of debt, up from US$57.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$27.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$33.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:AXTI Debt to Equity History October 8th 2025

How Healthy Is AXT's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that AXT had liabilities of US$79.5m due within a year, and liabilities of US$8.83m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$27.0m and US$22.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$38.6m.

Given AXT has a market capitalization of US$238.7m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine AXT's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Check out our latest analysis for AXT

Over 12 months, AXT made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$86m, which is a fall of 2.6%. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months AXT produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$27m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$14m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - AXT has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.