Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:PARR 株式レポート

時価総額：US$2.9b

Par Pacific Holdings 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /16

Par Pacific Holdingsの収益は年間2.4%で減少すると予測されていますが、年間利益は年間3.8%で増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予測されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に17.9% 4.3%なると予測されています。

主要情報

3.8%

収益成長率

4.28%

EPS成長率

Oil and Gas 収益成長10.9%
収益成長率-2.4%
将来の株主資本利益率17.93%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日27 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

Recent updates

ナラティブの更新 • Jun 03

PARR: Distillate Margins And Small Refinery Exemptions Will Shape Future Returns

Par Pacific Holdings' fair value estimate has shifted from $70.13 to $75.00 as analysts factor in a higher Street price target, supported by views on recent company results, a distillate driven margin setup, and potential benefits tied to small refinery exemptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Par Pacific points to a cluster of higher price targets and rating changes, with several firms updating their views as they incorporate new oil price assumptions, recent company results, and potential regulatory benefits into their models.
Seeking Alpha • May 20

Par Pacific: Crack Spread Euphoria Creates 40% Downside

Summary Par Pacific is up over 70% YTD, driven by elevated crack spreads and strong refinery performance, particularly in Hawaii. PARR’s operational leverage has delivered exceptional cash flow, but current crack spreads are unsustainable, exposing significant downside risk as mean reversion is likely. Valuation appears stretched with minimal upside; normalized EBITDA and a cyclical business model suggest approximately 40% downside from current levels. I rate PARR a sell, preferring to wait for crack spread normalization before considering a long position despite the company’s strong asset base and buyback activity. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • May 19

PARR: Higher Oil Assumptions And New Pipelines Will Shape Future Refining Margins

Analysts have lifted Par Pacific Holdings' fair value estimate from $40.00 to $58.00, reflecting recent price target increases across the Street tied to updated oil price outlooks, revised earnings assumptions, and higher projected P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Par Pacific points to a mixed setup for investors, with several firms updating price targets and oil assumptions while keeping a close eye on earnings quality, regional exposure, and refining margins.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 29

PARR: Future Share Buybacks And Higher Oil Assumptions Will Support Upside

Analysts have lifted their price targets on Par Pacific Holdings, reflected in a new fair value estimate moving from $60.53 to $80.00 as they factor in updated views on revenue growth, profitability, discount rate assumptions, and a lower forward P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Par Pacific Holdings has leaned constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and, in some cases, upgrading their views as they reassess valuation, sector conditions, and company specific execution.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 14

PARR: Crude Trade Flows And Capital Returns Will Shape Future Refining Margins

Analysts have lifted the implied fair value for Par Pacific Holdings from $47.13 to $70.13, citing broadly higher Street price targets, slightly lower discount rates, less steep expected revenue declines, firmer profit margin assumptions, and a more moderate future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Street research on Par Pacific Holdings has been active, with multiple price target revisions and rating changes feeding into the higher implied fair value.
分析記事 • Apr 10

Industry Analysts Just Made An Upgrade To Their Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Revenue Forecasts

Shareholders in Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered...
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 31

PARR: Crude Trade Shifts Will Pressure Future Refining Margins

Par Pacific Holdings' updated analyst price targets have moved higher, with firms now generally looking for $48 to $58 per share as analysts factor in revised oil price assumptions, recent refining market commentary, and adjustments to earnings expectations reflected in the lower future P/E multiple and the improved profit margin outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Par Pacific highlights a mix of higher price targets and more cautious language around macro risks, crude flows, and refining cyclicality.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 16

PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Maintenance Risks Will Pressure Future Margins

Narrative Update: Par Pacific Holdings Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings up by $1 to $40, as recent price target revisions in the $48 to $57 range reflect updated views on refining conditions, regional maintenance impacts, and shifting crude trade flows. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Par Pacific cluster around higher price targets in the US$48 to US$57 range, but the commentary behind those numbers flags several risks that are worth keeping in mind.
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 02

PARR: Crude Trade Flow Shifts And Refining Margins Will Shape Prospects

Narrative Update on Par Pacific Holdings Analysts have lifted their average price target for Par Pacific Holdings by about $1.63, toward a fair value of roughly $47.13, as they factor in recent price target revisions in the $48 to $57 range and refine assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends, margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Par Pacific Holdings highlights a mix of optimism around refining fundamentals and caution about external factors that could influence margins and crude sourcing over time.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 16

PARR: Crude Trade Flow Shifts And Refining Fundamentals Will Shape Returns

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings from $47.38 to $45.50, in line with recent cuts to Street price targets as they consider updated views on crude trade flows, refining conditions, revenue trends and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary around Par Pacific Holdings focuses less on company specific execution and more on how shifting crude trade flows and refining supply demand could feed into valuation over time.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 02

PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Buybacks Will Shape Refining Margins And Returns

Analysts have reduced their average price target on Par Pacific Holdings by US$2, citing recent cuts from Piper Sandler that reflect evolving crude trade flows and a more cautious view on crude prices, while still noting supportive conditions for U.S. refiners. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Par Pacific Holdings shows a series of reduced price targets that point to a more cautious tone, even as some analysts still see supportive conditions for U.S. refiners.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 19

PARR: Crude Trade Shifts And Share Buybacks Will Shape Future Earnings Power

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Par Pacific Holdings from US$23.00 to US$39.00, pointing to a higher assumed future P/E of about 16x, a lower discount rate, and shifting views on margins and revenue trends influenced by recent research around crude trade flows and refining supply and demand. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Par Pacific Holdings, with price targets being trimmed even as some commentary highlights supportive refining fundamentals.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 05

PARR: Future Share Buybacks Will Support Cash Returns Despite Softer Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Par Pacific Holdings to about US$60.53 from roughly US$61.73, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate and profit assumptions in their models. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings repurchased 515,523 shares from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, for US$16.28 million, representing 1.02% of its shares.
分析記事 • Jan 01

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period...
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 14

PARR: Future Cash Returns Will Benefit From Lower Perceived Risk

Analysts have significantly raised their price target on Par Pacific Holdings from 39 dollars to approximately 61.73 dollars, citing lower perceived risk, an improved revenue trajectory, and expectations for a higher future earnings multiple despite slimmer profit margins. What's in the News Completed a major share repurchase program, buying back a total of 5,165,264 shares (9.59% of outstanding stock) for 85.08 million dollars under the authorization announced on February 26, 2025 (Key Developments) Between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, repurchased 515,523 shares (1.02% of outstanding stock) for 16.28 million dollars, signaling continued capital returns to shareholders (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased significantly from approximately 39 dollars to about 61.73 dollars per share, indicating a higher intrinsic valuation.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 30

PARR: Ongoing Buybacks And Lower Risk Will Offset Revenue Headwinds

Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $44.00 to $47.38, citing updated fair value calculations and slight adjustments to long-term financial projections. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed a share repurchase tranche from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, buying back 515,523 shares for $16.28 million (Key Developments).
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 15

PARR: Future Buybacks And Lower Risk Expectations Will Balance Profit Pressure

Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $40.38 to $44.00. This adjustment is based on reassessments of discount rates, revenue growth projections, and revised profit margin expectations.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 01

PARR: Share Buybacks And Easing Headwinds Will Support Future Stability

Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $39.63 to $40.38. They cite slight improvements in key financial projections and a lower discount rate, which together enhance the company's forecasted valuation.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 18

Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets

Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $35.50 to $39.63, citing improved profit margin forecasts and a less negative outlook for revenue growth. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed a share buyback tranche, repurchasing 1,605,727 shares (3.07%) for $27.94 million from April 1, 2025 to June 30, 2025.
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 03

Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets

Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $33.00 to $35.50, citing slightly improved profit margin expectations and a lower discount rate, even though they have adopted a more conservative outlook on future revenue growth. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings has completed the repurchase of 4,649,741 shares, representing 8.58% of its outstanding shares, for a total of $68.8 million as part of its ongoing buyback program.
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 17

Asia Demand And Renewable Fuels Projects Will Shape Future Markets

Par Pacific Holdings’ consensus price target has increased to $33.00, as a sharply higher expected P/E multiple outweighed the impact of a notable decline in net profit margin. What's in the News Par Pacific Holdings completed the repurchase of 4,649,741 shares (8.58% of shares outstanding) for $68.8 million under its recent buyback program.
分析記事 • Sep 06

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%

Despite an already strong run, Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of...
分析記事 • Jul 02

Improved Revenues Required Before Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Stock's 30% Jump Looks Justified

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month...
分析記事 • May 09

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:PARR) Shares Bounce 34% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...
分析記事 • Apr 23

Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
分析記事 • Mar 01

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report

Shareholders might have noticed that Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ( NYSE:PARR ) filed its annual result this time last...
分析記事 • Jan 14

Improved Earnings Required Before Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Shares Find Their Feet

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may...
分析記事 • Nov 20

Par Pacific Holdings' (NYSE:PARR) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

The subdued market reaction suggests that Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PARR ) recent earnings didn't contain any...
Seeking Alpha • Nov 12

Par Pacific: Rolling The Dice With Debt-Funded Share Buybacks

Summary Management of Par Pacific believes they have circa $330m of excess liquidity and plan to continue share buybacks during this downturn. These will likely be debt-funded, which is controversial and raises questions regarding the extent of the risks. They have zero debt maturities for over three years, plus a healthy cash balance and no plan for higher capital expenditure, so there are no immediate issues. Their notoriously volatile industry still poses risks because the severity and length of this downturn are uncertain. If executed skilfully, it could translate into significant capital gains by removing upwards of one-third of their outstanding share count from the market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
分析記事 • Oct 30

Is Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
分析記事 • Oct 04

Benign Growth For Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Underpins Its Share Price

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s ( NYSE:PARR ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.3x might make it look like a strong...
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新しいナラティブ • Sep 14

Refinery Reliability And Renewable Shifts Spark Hope Amid Forecasts Of Shrinking Profits

Strategic growth initiatives and operational improvements in refineries bolster revenue streams by diversifying products and enhancing production efficiency.
分析記事 • Jul 30

Is Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Using Too Much Debt?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:PARR - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20287,112639N/AN/A3
12/31/20277,6044663167156
12/31/20268,2636698048636
3/31/20267,543454255406N/A
12/31/20257,465369296445N/A
9/30/20257,484236167336N/A
6/30/20257,615-1930195N/A
3/31/20257,739-60-9757N/A
12/31/20247,974-33-5284N/A
9/30/20248,326312-1997N/A
6/30/20248,761476177288N/A
3/31/20248,528487374465N/A
12/31/20238,232729497579N/A
9/30/20237,857524596665N/A
6/30/20237,334620682737N/A
3/31/20237,657739549599N/A
12/31/20227,322364400453N/A
9/30/20226,806288240287N/A
6/30/20226,061102-46-2N/A
3/31/20225,172-156-42-5N/A
12/31/20214,710-81-57-28N/A
9/30/20214,132-221-51-9N/A
6/30/20213,512-317-117-69N/A
3/31/20212,809-249-139-82N/A
12/31/20203,125-409-101-37N/A
9/30/20203,808-242-2933N/A
6/30/20204,520-31142115N/A
3/31/20205,414-24296177N/A
12/31/20195,40240N/A106N/A
9/30/20194,88119N/A137N/A
6/30/20194,39096N/A84N/A
3/31/20193,83784N/A21N/A
12/31/20183,41139N/A91N/A
9/30/20183,19544N/A53N/A
6/30/20182,89568N/A76N/A
3/31/20182,60359N/A94N/A
12/31/20172,44372N/A106N/A
9/30/20172,34367N/A123N/A
6/30/20172,24320N/A67N/A
3/31/20172,0920N/A-11N/A
12/31/20161,865-46N/A-23N/A
9/30/20161,745-126N/A-53N/A
6/30/20161,731-84N/A5N/A
3/31/20161,901-59N/A58N/A
12/31/20152,066-40N/A132N/A
9/30/20152,33158N/A166N/A
6/30/20152,6904N/A117N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: PARRの予測収益成長率 (年間3.8% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: PARRの収益 ( 3.8% ) US市場 ( 17.2% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。

高成長収益: PARRの収益は増加すると予測されていますが、大幅には増加しません。

収益対市場: PARRの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予想されています (年間-2.4% )。

高い収益成長: PARRの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-2.4% )。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: PARRの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 17.9 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/06/03 14:44
終値2026/06/03 00:00
収益2026/03/31
年間収益2025/12/31

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. 6 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。18

アナリスト機関
Rhett BrunoBofA Global Research
Shannon NomeDeutsche Bank
Neil MehtaGoldman Sachs