CAVA Group, Inc.

NYSE:CAVA 株式レポート

時価総額：US$10.5b

CAVA Group 将来の成長

Future 基準チェック /46

CAVA Group利益と収益がそれぞれ年間21.8%と16.5%増加すると予測されています。EPS は年間 増加すると予想されています。自己資本利益率は 3 年後に11.7% 20.9%なると予測されています。

主要情報

21.8%

収益成長率

20.93%

EPS成長率

Hospitality 収益成長18.0%
収益成長率16.5%
将来の株主資本利益率11.74%
アナリストカバレッジ

Good

最終更新日04 May 2026

今後の成長に関する最新情報

分析記事 • Aug 15

Earnings Beat: CAVA Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

NYSE:CAVA 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore CAVA Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...

Recent updates

ナラティブ更新 • May 03

CAVA: Strong Comps Momentum And Expansion Plans May Constrain Further Share Price Upside

Analysts have nudged the CAVA Group fair value estimate higher to $87.27 from $85.83, citing updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a wave of upward price target revisions and generally constructive coverage across major firms, alongside at least one valuation-driven Sell initiation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CAVA Group presents a mix of confidence in the growth story and concern around how much of that story is already reflected in the share price.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 18

CAVA: Elevated Comps Expectations Will Likely Limit Future Share Price Upside

Analysts have nudged their blended price target on CAVA Group higher by roughly $2, reflecting updated views that factor in higher same-store sales expectations, stronger unit economics, and a slightly richer future P/E assumption highlighted across recent research. Analyst Commentary Street research on CAVA Group has been active around the latest earnings and 2026 guidance, with many firms updating price targets and refining their views on comps, margins, and valuation.
ナラティブ更新 • Apr 04

CAVA: Elevated Earnings Multiples Will Face Test From Same Store Sales Sustainability

The analyst price target for CAVA Group has been revised to $70.00, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as analysts factor in recent upbeat same-store sales trends, Q4 results, and a series of higher Street targets across the sector coverage. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on CAVA Group reflect a mix of enthusiasm for the brand and caution around execution, growth durability, and valuation.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 28

CAVA: Stock Jumps For No Good Reason (Rating Downgrade)

Summary CAVA Group delivered industry-leading Q4 results with 21.2% revenue growth and positive same-restaurant sales, outperforming sector peers amid challenging conditions. CAVA's restaurant-level margins remain strong at 21.4% for the quarter, but margin contraction is evident as expansion accelerates, driven by higher costs and slower comp growth. 2026 guidance includes 74-76 new openings, 3%-5% same-restaurant sales growth, and further margin contraction, with adjusted EBITDA growth lagging revenue expansion. Despite operational excellence, CAVA's valuation—trading at 51x 2026 EBITDA—presents extreme downside risk; I downgrade the stock to 'Sell' and would exit at current levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブ更新 • Mar 21

CAVA: Menu Pricing Power And New Openings Will Support Balanced 2026 Outlook

The analyst price target for CAVA Group is updated from $71.20 to $84.00. This reflects that analysts are generally assuming stronger revenue growth and a higher future P/E multiple, while modestly lowering margin expectations and applying a slightly lower discount rate.
ナラティブ更新 • Mar 07

CAVA: Rich Earnings Multiples Will Test Sustained Same Store Sales Momentum

The CAVA Group analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted from $72.00 to $65.60 as analysts balance higher projected revenue growth and profit margins against a lower future P/E assumption and continued discussion of rich valuation multiples in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CAVA Group highlights a split view.
新しいナラティブ • Feb 22

Cava Group (CAVA) The Mediterranean Chipotle: Can the Hype Survive the Scale?

Cava Group (CAVA) enters late February 2026 as a top-tier performer in the fast-casual dining sector, with shares currently trading around $70.11. The narrative remains focused on the "Chipotle playbook" with a Mediterranean twist, as Cava successfully scales its footprint across 29 states.
ナラティブ更新 • Feb 21

CAVA: Menu Pricing And New Mediterranean Offerings Will Support Long-Term Expansion

Our updated view keeps CAVA Group's fair value at $85, reflecting a modestly lower discount rate and slightly higher revenue growth assumptions, as analysts factor in recent price target bumps, menu pricing actions, and expectations for same store sales and earnings to be ahead of consensus. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CAVA Group has centered on a series of price target revisions, menu pricing checks, and expectations for near term results.
ナラティブ更新 • Feb 07

CAVA: Menu Pricing Power Will Support Long-Term Expansion And Margin Improvement

Our fair value estimate for CAVA Group has been trimmed by US$1 to US$85.0, as analysts factor in updated views on revenue growth, margins, and future P/E, following a mix of recent price target changes and fresh bullish initiations on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research has included a mix of upward and downward target moves, along with fresh initiations, giving you a clearer sense of where more optimistic voices see room for execution and growth at CAVA Group.
ナラティブ更新 • Jan 23

CAVA: Menu Pricing Power And New Openings Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for CAVA Group higher to US$71.20 from about US$69.63, reflecting slightly stronger modeled revenue growth and a higher future P/E multiple. This comes even as recent price target changes across the Street highlight ongoing macro and traffic headwinds for the broader restaurant group.
ナラティブ更新 • Jan 09

CAVA: Menu Pricing And New Openings Will Shape Fairly Balanced Outlook

Narrative Update The analyst price target for CAVA Group has moved modestly higher to reflect an updated fair value estimate of about $69.63, with analysts citing recent menu pricing actions, refreshed restaurant sector outlooks, and revised expectations for traffic and same-store sales across fast casual peers. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CAVA Group reflects a mix of optimism about the brand and caution around near term execution and sector headwinds.
分析記事 • Jan 07

Subdued Growth No Barrier To CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) With Shares Advancing 26%

CAVA Group, Inc. ( NYSE:CAVA ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand...
ナラティブ更新 • Dec 16

CAVA: Long-Term Unit Expansion Will Outshine Near-Term Traffic And Margin Headwinds

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for CAVA Group from approximately $118.75 to $86.00 per share. This reflects trimmed revenue growth and profit margin expectations in light of softer traffic trends, macro headwinds in fast casual, and lowered near term same store sales and EBITDA forecasts, even as they still highlight the brand’s long term unit growth potential and expanding consumer adoption of Mediterranean cuisine.
ナラティブ更新 • Dec 02

CAVA: Consumer Demand And Expanding Footprint Will Drive Recovery Amid Headwinds

Analysts have lowered their price targets for CAVA Group, with the average target now down approximately $10 to $20 per share. They cite weaker same-store sales, softer consumer demand, and broader macroeconomic pressures weighing on growth expectations.
ナラティブ更新 • Nov 18

CAVA: Share Price Declines Will Present Buying Opportunity as Headwinds Subside

Analysts have reduced their price target for CAVA Group from approximately $83.56 to $67.89. They cite persistent macroeconomic pressures and softer consumer demand as key drivers of the lowered outlook.
分析記事 • Nov 14

CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the CAVA Group, Inc. ( NYSE:CAVA ) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty...
ナラティブ更新 • Nov 01

CAVA: Expansion To 1,000 Locations Will Drive Long-Term Market Leadership

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for CAVA Group from approximately $88.81 to $83.56 per share. They cite slowing consumer demand and tempered same-store sales growth as factors behind more cautious outlooks across the restaurant sector.
ナラティブ更新 • Oct 18

Expansion To 1,000 Restaurants Will Broaden Mediterranean Reach Despite Risks

Analysts have moderately reduced their price target for CAVA Group by nearly $2 per share, citing softer-than-expected comparable sales. However, they remain positive on the company's long-term potential because of its dominant position and continued unit growth momentum.
ナラティブ更新 • Oct 04

Expansion To 1,000 Restaurants Will Broaden Mediterranean Reach Despite Risks

CAVA Group's analyst price target has been modestly reduced by analysts, falling from about $92.21 to $90.73 per share. Recent research highlights near-term sales pressures and a softer growth outlook, but notes that core fundamentals remain intact.
ナラティブ更新 • Sep 04

Expansion To 1,000 Restaurants Will Broaden Mediterranean Reach Despite Risks

CAVA Group’s analyst price target remained unchanged at $92.21 as near-term comp sales softness and lowered guidance weighed on sentiment, but analysts remain confident in the brand’s long-term positioning and recovery potential. Analyst Commentary Q2 same-store sales growth and comps were significantly below expectations, with management lowering full-year and 2025 same-store sales guidance due to macro headwinds, difficult comparisons, and the impact of newer stores entering the comp base.
分析記事 • Aug 22

Some CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 25% Pounding

CAVA Group, Inc. ( NYSE:CAVA ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month...
分析記事 • Aug 15

Earnings Beat: CAVA Group, Inc. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

NYSE:CAVA 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore CAVA Group's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...
Seeking Alpha • Apr 01

CAVA Group: Significantly Overvalued Amid Declining Consumer Food Spending Outlook

Summary CAVA's high valuation is high due to its rapid growth, but it is at risk from economic headwinds that may substantially lower consumer discretionary spending in its key demographic. The stock's recent decline may portend an extended crash, as its valuation remains excessive compared to most consumer discretionary and restaurant stocks. Analysts' growth and margin estimates may be overly optimistic. They assume CAVA will become the next Chipotle and ignore potential economic headwinds to profit margins and same-store sales. Despite CAVA's excellent performance over recent years, I think it will continue to decline as its growth and margins fail to meet expectations over the coming quarters. CAVA's long-term prospects may still be strong, but are subject to risk if consumer food spending patterns shift back toward cooking at home, away from the historical extreme since 2020. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 26

CAVA Group's Q4 Earnings Aren't Enough To Support A Buy Rating

Summary CAVA Group's stock is down ~19% in 30 days despite solid Q4 earnings, with high SRS growth and good margins. The company opened more restaurants, achieved 21% SRS, and expanded traffic by 15.6%, indicating strong customer loyalty and growth potential. Despite good operational performance, current valuation and lack of margin safety justify a sell rating, requiring near-perfect execution for future shareholder value. A stock price correction could change the rating to hold or buy, but for now, the safety margin is too thin. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 18

CAVA Group: Why You Should Sell Now And Wait For A Retreat

Summary CAVA has the potential to become a household name over the long run, but its current stock valuation is extremely high. We conducted a 20-year DCF analysis on CAVA, using very generous assumptions, to determine CAVA's most bullish valuation. We used the historical financial data from Chipotle, one of the best growth stories in the fast-casual dining sector, to project CAVA's financials. Even under the most bullish scenario, CAVA's current valuation is fully valued, if not overvalued. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 21

CAVA Group: Overpriced And Overhyped (Rating Downgrade)

Summary I can't justify paying a 129x forward free cash flow multiple for a company with slowing growth. CAVA's current valuation leaves little room for upside and significant downside risk. Despite a clean balance sheet, CAVA stock's risk-reward profile doesn't work for me. Decelerating revenue growth and potential store cannibalization are key concerns. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 14

CAVA: High Valuation, Delicate Risk-Reward Balance

Summary CAVA's rapid growth and strategic expansion plans have led to a high valuation, warranting a hold rating due to a delicate risk/reward balance. Since its 2006 launch, CAVA has expanded to over 350 U.S. locations, focusing on health-conscious consumers with Mediterranean-inspired fast food. Impressive annual revenue growth driven by 73 new restaurants and a 13% increase in existing locations highlights CAVA's successful scalable model. With plans to triple store numbers by 2032, CAVA aims to challenge industry giants, reminiscent of Chipotle's growth trajectory. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 19

CAVA: Excellent Same Store Sales Growth Tempered By Ridiculous Price (Rating Upgrade)

Summary I'm upgrading CAVA to a neutral rating, driven by the stock's recent decline over the past two months and a strong Q3 earnings print. CAVA's same-restaurant sales growth accelerated to 18% y/y in Q3, substantially exceeding many fast-casual restaurant peers. The company's restaurant operating margins also rose to be in-line with Chipotle, the industry bellwether. Still, the company is hampered by an incredibly rich valuation at ~13x revenue (more than double Chipotle) and a ~100x adjusted EBITDA multiple. I'd recommend waiting for a better price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 11

CAVA Group: Insiders Deep Six Their Stock At 200x P/E -- You Should, Too

Summary CAVA Group, Inc.'s stock is overvalued with a forward P/E of 200x 2025 earnings, driven by investor exuberance despite modest growth projections and rising costs. Insider selling by top executives, including the CEO and chairman, has accelerated, signaling potential overvaluation and a warning for investors to take profits. The company's impressive revenue growth and profitability are overshadowed by slowing margin expansion and increasing labor and FBP costs, unsupported by its premium valuation. I reiterate my Sell rating on CAVA due to its unsustainable valuation and limited margin growth, despite the company's strong brand and healthy food offerings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 19

Chipotle Has A Viable Challenger: CAVA Is Up And Coming

Summary Potential for entry into new markets underpins our "Buy" rating for CAVA Group, Inc. and our "Hold" for Chipotle Mexican Grill. While CMG has massive benefits of scale, continuing growth by CAVA will move it to a similar scale in a few years, which will cannibalize CMG sales. While CMG has largely saturated the US domestic market, CAVA has growth opportunities in a large number of states if it can educate Middle America about Mediterranean fare. CAVA operates at a similar gross margin as CMG, which speaks to a feisty, capable, challenge given CMG's overwhelming benefits of scale. That may change owing to CMG's access to food preparation technology, but that advantage will likely be of limited duration as CAVA grows the market. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 13

CAVA Group: Don't Be The Last One Dancing When The Music Stops

Summary CAVA Group, Inc. is a well-managed, fast-growing quick-service restaurant with strong fundamentals, but its current valuation is excessively high and unsustainable. Despite exceptional Q3 results and significant growth potential, Cava's stock price is driven by momentum rather than fundamentals. The company's valuation at 15 times '25 sales is unjustifiable, suggesting a potential for significant losses when momentum breaks. Avoiding overvalued stocks is crucial; thus, I reiterate a “Sell” rating on Cava despite its strong operational performance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 24

CAVA Group: Unsupportable Valuation

Summary Shares of CAVA have surged to all-time highs on the back of recent strong Q2 results, which featured an acceleration in same-store sales. The company is set to report Q3 results on November 12. Watch out for slower consumer spending impacting sales growth trends. Despite a recently raised outlook, CAVA looks very expensive at >100x adjusted EBITDA. I remain at a sell rating for CAVA, as the stock sustains tremendous valuation and fundamental risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

業績と収益の成長予測

NYSE:CAVA - アナリストの将来予測と過去の財務データ ( )USD Millions
日付収益収益フリー・キャッシュフロー営業活動によるキャッシュ平均アナリスト数
12/31/20282,1381259530011
12/31/20271,759878923926
12/31/20261,459634219126
12/28/20251,1806426185N/A
10/5/20251,13213725174N/A
7/13/20251,08414147173N/A
4/20/20251,03714251161N/A
12/29/202496413053161N/A
10/6/20249135444155N/A
7/14/20248454311137N/A
4/21/202478529-24110N/A
12/31/202372913-4297N/A
10/1/2023681-8-6674N/A
7/9/2023645-26-7655N/A
4/16/2023608-41-8734N/A
12/25/2022564-59-986N/A
10/2/2022551-61-890N/A
12/26/2021500-37-533N/A

アナリストによる今後の成長予測

収入対貯蓄率: CAVAの予測収益成長率 (年間21.8% ) は 貯蓄率 ( 3.5% ) を上回っています。

収益対市場: CAVAの収益 ( 21.8% ) はUS市場 ( 16.4% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高成長収益: CAVAの収益は今後 3 年間で 大幅に 増加すると予想されています。

収益対市場: CAVAの収益 ( 16.5% ) US市場 ( 11.4% ) よりも速いペースで成長すると予測されています。

高い収益成長: CAVAの収益 ( 16.5% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。

一株当たり利益成長率予想

将来の株主資本利益率

将来のROE: CAVAの 自己資本利益率 は、3年後には低くなると予測されています ( 11.7 %)。

成長企業の発掘

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

企業分析と財務データの現状

データ最終更新日（UTC時間）
企業分析2026/05/06 08:23
終値2026/05/06 00:00
収益2025/12/28
年間収益2025/12/28

データソース

企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。

パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例
会社財務10年
  • 損益計算書
  • キャッシュ・フロー計算書
  • 貸借対照表
アナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年
  • 予想財務
  • アナリストの目標株価
市場価格30年
  • 株価
  • 配当、分割、措置
所有権10年
  • トップ株主
  • インサイダー取引
マネジメント10年
  • リーダーシップ・チーム
  • 取締役会
主な進展10年
  • 会社からのお知らせ

* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。

特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。

分析モデルとスノーフレーク

本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。

シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。

業界およびセクターの指標

私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。

アナリスト筋

CAVA Group, Inc. 26 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。32

アナリスト機関
David TarantinoBaird
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays