Smith Douglas Homes 将来の成長
Future 基準チェック /06
Smith Douglas Homesの収益は年間22.3%で減少すると予測されていますが、年間収益は年間8.8%で増加すると予想されています。EPS は年間23.4%で減少すると予想されています。
主要情報
-22.3%
収益成長率
-23.44%
EPS成長率
| Consumer Durables 収益成長 | 7.6% |
| 収益成長率 | 8.8% |
| 将来の株主資本利益率 | n/a |
| アナリストカバレッジ | Good |
| 最終更新日 | 05 May 2026 |
今後の成長に関する最新情報
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • 15h
Smith Douglas Homes Corp.: Rating Upgrade On Demand Showing Signs Of Recovery
Summary Smith Douglas Homes Corp. is upgraded from sell to hold as orders and backlog rebounded, signaling improved demand conditions. Order recovery is heavily reliant on elevated incentives and price adjustments, raising concerns about sustainability and organic demand strength. Gross margin compressed sharply to 19.6%, with lot cost pressures likely to persist and further weigh on profitability. Valuation has expanded to ~24x NTM PE, but margin risks and incentive dependency limit the case for near-term multiple expansion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 23
SDHC: Future Returns Will Depend On Order Trends And ASP Pressure
Smith Douglas Homes' average analyst price target has been adjusted lower to a range of $12 to $14 per share, as analysts incorporate reduced estimates and recent order softness following the latest earnings call, while largely maintaining neutral ratings on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage on Smith Douglas Homes has centered on reset expectations and a more cautious stance on near term execution, with most firms starting or reiterating neutral views even as they update targets and models.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 07
SDHC: Future Returns Will Reflect Order Trends And Margin Assumptions
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Smith Douglas Homes has shifted to $13.13. Analysts cite adjusted estimates following recent earnings, a lower assumed profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 24
SDHC: Future Returns Will Reflect Order Trends And Earnings Multiples
Narrative Update on Smith Douglas Homes The analyst price target for Smith Douglas Homes is revised from $16.50 to $13.13, reflecting analysts' lower estimates and tempered expectations following Q4 order trends and Q1 guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Smith Douglas Homes point to a more cautious stance, with several firms trimming price targets after the latest earnings call and forward guidance.ナラティブの更新 • Mar 10
SDHC: Future Returns Will Rely On Discount Rates And Earnings Multiples
Analysts have adjusted their 12-month price target for Smith Douglas Homes down by $1 to $16.50, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates and earnings multiples while keeping their fair value view unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research around the revised US$16.50 price target focuses less on a change in fundamental outlook and more on fine tuning of valuation inputs, particularly discount rates and earnings multiples.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 22
SDHC: Future Returns Will Depend On Margins And Discount Rate Assumptions
Analysts have reduced their price target on Smith Douglas Homes by $1 to $16.50, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, long-term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the adjusted $16.50 target as still allowing room for upside if Smith Douglas Homes delivers on its revenue growth assumptions and meets current profit margin expectations.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 08
SDHC: Future Returns Will Hinge On Execution At Reasonably Priced Levels
Analysts have reduced their price target on Smith Douglas Homes by $1 to $17, citing a reasonable valuation, solid return on equity and medium term growth prospects as key factors behind the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Smith Douglas Homes are giving investors a mixed but fairly balanced message, with price targets being fine tuned rather than reset in a major way.
新しいナラティブ • Feb 02
Land Light Expansion And Presale Model Will Support Future Stability For This Homebuilder
Catalysts About Smith Douglas Homes Smith Douglas Homes builds and sells affordable, quality homes across key markets in the South and broader Southeast and Southern United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?分析記事 • Jan 28
We Think Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...ナラティブの更新 • Jan 22
SDHC: Future Returns Will Depend On Execution Risk At Current Price Levels
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Smith Douglas Homes has been trimmed by $0.25 to $16.50 as analysts factor in updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with recent research pointing to a more neutral valuation stance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Smith Douglas Homes points to a more balanced outlook, with analysts weighing solid fundamentals against valuation and execution risks.分析記事 • Jan 10
A Look At The Fair Value Of Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Smith Douglas Homes fair value estimate is US$20.42 With...ナラティブの更新 • Jan 07
SDHC: Future Returns Will Balance Solid Equity Efficiency And Modest Housing Demand Risks
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Smith Douglas Homes by $1 to $17, citing what they see as reasonable valuation, solid return on equity, and medium term growth prospects. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan has assumed coverage of Smith Douglas Homes with a Neutral rating and a trimmed price target of $17, down from $18.ナラティブの更新 • Dec 19
SDHC: Future Returns Will Be Constrained By Modest Housing Demand Risks
Analysts raised their price target on Smith Douglas Homes slightly, from approximately $16.60 to $16.75 per share, citing the stock's reasonable valuation, solid return on equity profile, and strong medium term growth prospects, despite a modest reduction in a recent $18 to $17 target from Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight that the current share price embeds a reasonable valuation relative to the company’s return on equity and growth profile.分析記事 • Dec 13
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC) With Shares Advancing 25%
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ( NYSE:SDHC ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...ナラティブの更新 • Nov 24
SDHC: Medium-Term Prospects Will Be Shaped By Housing Market Direction
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Smith Douglas Homes to $16.60 from $16.80. They cite modest shifts in growth outlook, valuation, and industry conditions as reasons for the updated estimate.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 10
SDHC: Improved Earnings Prospects Will Face Near-Term Market Headwinds
Analysts have updated the fair value estimate for Smith Douglas Homes, raising the target from $16 to $17. They cite improved revenue growth and profit margin expectations, even as they remain cautious about the near-term housing market outlook.分析記事 • Aug 19
We Think Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
NYSE:SDHC 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Smith Douglas Homes's Fair Values from the Community and select...分析記事 • Jul 23
Is Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC) Trading At A 21% Discount?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Smith Douglas Homes fair value estimate is US$27.56 Smith...分析記事 • Jun 16
Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven...分析記事 • Apr 24
Smith Douglas Homes Corp.'s (NYSE:SDHC) P/S Still Appears To Be Reasonable
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.5x in the Consumer Durables industry in the United States...Seeking Alpha • Mar 22
Smith Douglas Homes: Earnings Growth Outlook Has Gotten Worse (Rating Downgrade)
Summary I downgrade Smith Douglas Homes Corp. to a hold rating due to worsening macroeconomic conditions and deteriorating fundamentals. Despite strong 4Q24 home closings, rising mortgage rates and land costs are negatively impacting SDHC's earnings growth outlook. SDHC's heavy use of incentives to capture demand is compressing margins, and affordability constraints are limiting effective demand. With a declining backlog and increasing cancellation rates, SDHC's valuation at 13x forward earnings appears fair, lacking upside momentum. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
新しいナラティブ • Jan 12
Anticipated Demand And Market Expansion Could Offset Rising Costs And Margin Pressures
Strategic expansion into new markets and increased community count are expected to drive revenue growth and market share.分析記事 • Jan 11
Slammed 31% Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ( NYSE:SDHC ) share price has dived 31% in the last...Seeking Alpha • Jan 09
Smith Douglas Homes: Navigating A Challenged Environment
Summary The stock of Smith Douglas Homes Corp. has been hit hard by rising mortgage rates, despite a recent 100bps reduction in the Federal Funds rate. The company focuses on building single-family homes in the southeastern U.S., targeting entry-level and empty-nest homebuyers, with a recent expansion into Greenville, SC. Q3 results were strong, with earnings beating expectations and revenues up 41% year-over-year, but analyst firms remain pessimistic. There was some insider buying in the stock in November, and at significantly higher levels than where the shares are currently trading. We take a deeper look at Smith Douglas Homes in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha分析記事 • Nov 23
Is There An Opportunity With Smith Douglas Homes Corp.'s (NYSE:SDHC) 43% Undervaluation?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Smith Douglas Homes is US$59.21 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...分析記事 • Oct 23
We Think Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...分析記事 • Jul 15
Smith Douglas Homes (NYSE:SDHC) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Seeking Alpha • Jun 26
Smith Douglas Homes: Beneficiary Of The High Rates Environment
Summary SDHC operates in homebuilding industry with focus on single-family homes in key states. SDHC deserves a buy rating due to favorable macro environment. SDHC has a differentiated operating model with short build times and high customization. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 15
Smith Douglas Homes: IPO Gate Has Opened For This Homebuilder
Summary Smith Douglas Homes has had a successful public debut, with shares priced at the higher end of the offering range as it saw decent opening day returns. The company is one of the fastest growing private homebuilder in the US, offering personalized homes at affordable prices in desirable markets. Smith Douglas Homes operates with an asset-light business model, completing most homes in transactions with land under option, making it a capital-efficient operation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha業績と収益の成長予測
| 日付 | 収益 | 収益 | フリー・キャッシュフロー | 営業活動によるキャッシュ | 平均アナリスト数 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,098 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,156 | 6 | 29 | -2 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,044 | 5 | 96 | -6 | 7 |
| 3/31/2026 | 953 | 9 | -2 | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 971 | 11 | -37 | -31 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 998 | 11 | -41 | -36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,014 | 15 | -40 | -35 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,011 | 16 | -11 | -6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 975 | 16 | 15 | 19 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 905 | 42 | 32 | 35 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 825 | 70 | 28 | 31 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 786 | 97 | 39 | 40 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 765 | 123 | 75 | 76 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 771 | 135 | 127 | 129 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 780 | 139 | 138 | 139 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 761 | 139 | 143 | 144 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 755 | 140 | 131 | 132 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 519 | 63 | 30 | 31 | N/A |
アナリストによる今後の成長予測
収入対貯蓄率: SDHCの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-22.3% )。
収益対市場: SDHCの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています (年間-22.3% )。
高成長収益: SDHCの収益は今後 3 年間で減少すると予測されています。
収益対市場: SDHCの収益 ( 8.8% ) US市場 ( 11.6% ) よりも低い成長が予測されています。
高い収益成長: SDHCの収益 ( 8.8% ) 20%よりも低い成長が予測されています。
一株当たり利益成長率予想
将来の株主資本利益率
将来のROE: SDHCの 自己資本利益率 が 3 年後に高くなると予測されるかどうかを判断するにはデータが不十分です
成長企業の発掘
企業分析と財務データの現状
| データ | 最終更新日（UTC時間） |
|---|---|
| 企業分析 | 2026/05/13 04:13 |
| 終値 | 2026/05/13 00:00 |
| 収益 | 2026/03/31 |
| 年間収益 | 2025/12/31 |
データソース
企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。
| パッケージ | データ | タイムフレーム | 米国ソース例 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 会社財務 | 10年 |
| |
| アナリストのコンセンサス予想 | +プラス3年 |
|
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| 市場価格 | 30年 |
| |
| 所有権 | 10年 |
| |
| マネジメント | 10年 |
| |
| 主な進展 | 10年 |
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* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。
特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM（Trailing Twelve Month）またはLTM（Last Twelve Month）データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。
分析モデルとスノーフレーク
本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。
シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。
業界およびセクターの指標
私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。
アナリスト筋
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. 7 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。8
| アナリスト | 機関 |
|---|---|
| Rafe Jadrosich | BofA Global Research |
| Ryan Gilbert | BTIG |
| Jay McCanless | Citizens JMP Securities, LLC |