Orlen(PKN)株式概要オルレン社は石油精製、石油化学、エネルギー、小売、ガス、アップストリーム事業を展開している。 詳細PKN ファンダメンタル分析スノーフレーク・スコア評価2/6将来の成長2/6過去の実績0/6財務の健全性6/6配当金3/6報酬当社が推定した公正価値より38.3%で取引されている 収益は年間15.33%増加すると予測されています リスク分析財務結果に影響を与える大きな一時的項目 4.22%の配当は利益で十分にカバーされていない すべてのリスクチェックを見るPKN Community Fair Values Create NarrativeSee what 90 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.Analyst Price TargetsAN2.5% undervaluedAnalystHighTarget•1mo agoRegulated Energy Projects And LNG Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook1001AN11.8% overvaluedAnalystConsensusTarget•11d agoAnalysts Maintain Orlen Price Target as Valuation Metrics Remain Stable Ahead of Shareholder Meeting471052AN63.6% overvaluedAnalystLowTarget•2mo agoLarge CapEx And Refining Margin Normalization Will Pressure Long Term Earnings Outlook1200Top Analyst NarrativesAN2.5% undervaluedAnalystHighTarget•1mo agoRegulated Energy Projects And LNG Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook1001AN11.8% overvaluedAnalystConsensusTarget•11d agoAnalysts Maintain Orlen Price Target as Valuation Metrics Remain Stable Ahead of Shareholder Meeting471052AN63.6% overvaluedAnalystLowTarget•2mo agoLarge CapEx And Refining Margin Normalization Will Pressure Long Term Earnings Outlook1200View all narrativesOrlen S.A. 競合他社Phillips 66Symbol: NYSE:PSXMarket cap: US$71.9bMarathon PetroleumSymbol: NYSE:MPCMarket cap: US$75.4bNeste OyjSymbol: HLSE:NESTEMarket cap: €21.9bValero EnergySymbol: NYSE:VLOMarket cap: US$75.4b価格と性能株価の高値、安値、推移の概要Orlen過去の株価現在の株価zł142.3252週高値zł146.9852週安値zł69.20ベータ0.471ヶ月の変化12.12%3ヶ月変化29.45%1年変化101.82%3年間の変化127.46%5年間の変化81.81%IPOからの変化549.86%最新ニュースPrice Target Changed • May 20Price target increased by 9.7% to zł131Up from zł119, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 10% below last closing price of zł145. Stock is up 103% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of zł16.29 for next year compared to zł2.18 last year.お知らせ • May 15Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 09, 2026Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 09, 2026, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time.ナラティブの更新 • May 10PKN: Future Returns Will Depend On Risky Energa Recapitalisation PlanAnalysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 127.33 from PLN 119.22, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, supported by recent research that has taken a more positive stance on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 127.33 as support for a more constructive stance on the stock, arguing that current pricing does not fully reflect updated assumptions on revenue and margins.Reported Earnings • May 05Full year 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2025 results: EPS: zł2.18 (down from zł2.43 in FY 2024). Revenue: zł267.8b (down 9.2% from FY 2024). Net income: zł2.53b (down 10% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 0.9% (down from 1.0% in FY 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 17%. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to grow by 1.7%. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 119 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.Price Target Changed • May 02Price target increased by 13% to zł127Up from zł112, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of zł133. Stock is up 92% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of zł16.29 for next year compared to zł9.57 last year.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 26PKN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Energa Integration And Margin ResilienceAnalysts have adjusted their PLN price targets on Orlen only slightly, with a modest recalibration in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that reflects a mixed set of recent views, including a more positive stance from UBS and a more cautious one from Oddo BHF. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Orlen points to a split in opinion, with some analysts turning more optimistic and others taking a more cautious stance.最新情報をもっと見るRecent updatesPrice Target Changed • May 20Price target increased by 9.7% to zł131Up from zł119, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 10% below last closing price of zł145. Stock is up 103% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of zł16.29 for next year compared to zł2.18 last year.お知らせ • May 15Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 09, 2026Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 09, 2026, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time.ナラティブの更新 • May 10PKN: Future Returns Will Depend On Risky Energa Recapitalisation PlanAnalysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 127.33 from PLN 119.22, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, supported by recent research that has taken a more positive stance on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 127.33 as support for a more constructive stance on the stock, arguing that current pricing does not fully reflect updated assumptions on revenue and margins.Reported Earnings • May 05Full year 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2025 results: EPS: zł2.18 (down from zł2.43 in FY 2024). Revenue: zł267.8b (down 9.2% from FY 2024). Net income: zł2.53b (down 10% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 0.9% (down from 1.0% in FY 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 17%. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to grow by 1.7%. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 119 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.Price Target Changed • May 02Price target increased by 13% to zł127Up from zł112, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of zł133. Stock is up 92% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of zł16.29 for next year compared to zł9.57 last year.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 26PKN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Energa Integration And Margin ResilienceAnalysts have adjusted their PLN price targets on Orlen only slightly, with a modest recalibration in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that reflects a mixed set of recent views, including a more positive stance from UBS and a more cautious one from Oddo BHF. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Orlen points to a split in opinion, with some analysts turning more optimistic and others taking a more cautious stance.ナラティブの更新 • Apr 06PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Resilience Proves OverstatedAnalysts have raised their Orlen price target from PLN 114.33 to about PLN 119.22, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, slightly higher profit margins and a marginally richer future P/E multiple, with recent research including both an upgrade and a downgrade informing the new view. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link their upgrade to a view that current valuation leaves some room for the shares to move closer to their refreshed fair value assumptions, anchored around the PLN 119.22 target.新しいナラティブ • Mar 26Regulated Energy Projects And LNG Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term OutlookCatalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation, retail and gas trading. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?ナラティブの更新 • Mar 22PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Assumptions Prove FragileAnalysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 95.58 to PLN 114.33, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as well as a mix of recent bullish and bearish Street calls. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link the higher fair value estimate of PLN 114.33 to expectations that Orlen can sustain healthier profit margins than previously assumed.新しいナラティブ • Mar 11Large CapEx And Refining Margin Normalization Will Pressure Long Term Earnings OutlookCatalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation and retail across several European markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?ナラティブの更新 • Mar 06PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Execution Risks IntensifyAnalysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 95.58 from PLN 93.28, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as some recent research has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher fair value estimate of PLN 95.58 as support for their view that current pricing may not fully reflect the updated revenue and margin assumptions built into their models.New Risk • Feb 21New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 31% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (108% payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results.Reported Earnings • Feb 20Full year 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2025 results: EPS: zł9.57 (up from zł1.27 in FY 2024). Revenue: zł267.3b (down 9.4% from FY 2024). Net income: zł11.1b (up zł9.64b from FY 2024). Profit margin: 4.2% (up from 0.5% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 21%. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to grow by 1.9%. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 98 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.ナラティブの更新 • Feb 19PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Margin Risks IntensifyAnalysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Orlen up from PLN 91.47 to PLN 93.28, citing slightly firmer profit margin assumptions and a modestly higher future P/E, even as at least one recent report has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 93.28 as support for the idea that current pricing may not fully reflect Orlen's earnings power under the updated profit margin assumptions.分析記事 • Feb 07Why We're Not Concerned About Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share PriceWith a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20x Orlen S.A. ( WSE:PKN ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...ナラティブの更新 • Feb 05PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Earnings Multiple CompressesAnalysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from €87.31 to €91.47 per share, citing updated assumptions around a smaller revenue decline, a slightly higher profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple, even as at least one firm has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the updated view on a smaller revenue decline as a support for the higher fair value estimate of €91.47 per share, seeing this as a sign that the earnings base used in their models may be more resilient than previously assumed.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 22PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Lag As P/E Stays ElevatedAnalysts have kept their target price for Orlen broadly in line with prior levels, citing relatively unchanged fair value at 87.31, a stable 9.24% discount rate, and only small tweaks to assumptions around revenue trends, profit margin and future P/E of 12.05x. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is unchanged at PLN 87.31.ナラティブの更新 • Jan 08PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Disappoint As Earnings Multiple Stays ElevatedAnalysts have kept their price target for Orlen unchanged at €87.31, reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, with no new Street research prompting a revision. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share remains unchanged at €87.31, with no adjustment to the underlying model inputs.分析記事 • Jan 04An Intrinsic Calculation For Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Suggests It's 26% UndervaluedKey Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł136 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen's zł101 share price...ナラティブの更新 • Dec 18PKN: Future Returns Will Remain Balanced As Revenue And Margins Slightly WeakenAnalysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Orlen higher to reflect a fair value of $87.31 per share, as they reiterate stable discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P E assumptions. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special or Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time to address key corporate matters requiring shareholder approval (Key Developments).お知らせ • Dec 18+ 4 more updatesOrlen S.A. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 19, 2026Orlen S.A. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results at 8:30 AM, Central European Standard Time on Feb 19, 2026分析記事 • Dec 17Returns At Orlen (WSE:PKN) Are On The Way UpFinding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...ナラティブの更新 • Dec 04PKN: Earnings Multiple Will Rise As Revenue And Margins Slightly WeakenAnalysts have nudged their price target on Orlen higher to approximately $87.31 from about $85.86, citing a modestly richer future earnings multiple that more than offsets slightly weaker revenue growth and profit margin expectations. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time.分析記事 • Nov 29Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop ThereDespite posting healthy earnings, Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) stock has been quite weak. Our analysis suggests that there...Reported Earnings • Nov 21Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsThird quarter 2025 results: EPS: zł1.84 (up from zł0.19 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: zł61.0b (down 10% from 3Q 2024). Net income: zł2.14b (up zł1.91b from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 3.5% (up from 0.3% in 3Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 11%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 42%. Revenue is expected to decline by 2.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to grow by 1.4%. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 99 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.ナラティブの更新 • Nov 20PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve While Revenue Decline Persists Through 2025 Shareholder MeetingNarrative Update on Orlen: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 85.63 to PLN 85.86, citing improved profit margin expectations and a modest adjustment to the discount rate. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).ナラティブの更新 • Nov 05PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve Despite Weakening Revenue Outlook By Shareholder MeetingAnalysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 83.86 to PLN 85.63, citing improved profit margin forecasts and a slightly higher future price-to-earnings expectation. This adjustment comes despite a modest downward revision in revenue growth outlook.分析記事 • Oct 28Orlen (WSE:PKN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of DebtWarren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...ナラティブの更新 • Oct 22Analysts Maintain Orlen Price Target as Valuation Metrics Remain Stable Ahead of Shareholder MeetingAnalysts have maintained Orlen's price target at PLN 83.86, citing consistent expectations for future profitability and revenue growth in spite of industry headwinds. What's in the News Orlen S.A. will hold a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting on October 28, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).ナラティブの更新 • Oct 08Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future PerformanceAnalysts have raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 80.08 to PLN 83.86. This update cites an improved fair value assessment and a modest increase in projected profit margins, even though revenue growth expectations are slightly lower.分析記事 • Oct 01Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 42% Above Its Share PriceKey Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł123 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen is estimated to be 30...ナラティブの更新 • Sep 23Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future PerformanceDespite a further deterioration in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Orlen’s net profit margin has improved, supporting a modest increase in analyst fair value to PLN80.08. What's in the News Orlen will not acquire all or part of GA Polyolefins shares, but remains open to further discussions on asset utilization.分析記事 • Sep 13Orlen (WSE:PKN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-BaggerIf we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...Major Estimate Revision • Aug 31Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from zł282.6b to zł272.4b. EPS estimate rose from zł11.45 to zł12.85. Net income forecast to grow 206% next year vs 31% growth forecast for Oil and Gas industry in Poland. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at zł78.74. Share price fell 6.7% to zł77.78 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Aug 22Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: zł1.35 (up from zł0.02 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: zł60.7b (down 13% from 2Q 2024). Net income: zł1.57b (up zł1.55b from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 2.6% (up from 0% in 2Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 6.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 53%. Revenue is expected to decline by 2.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to grow by 12%. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 85 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.New Risk • Aug 21New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 7.9% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 7.9% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (234% payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.0% net profit margin).Upcoming Dividend • Aug 06Upcoming dividend of zł6.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 13 August 2025. Payment date: 01 September 2025. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits but is generating plenty of cash to support the dividend. Trailing yield: 7.3%. Within top quartile of Polish dividend payers (7.2%). Higher than average of industry peers (5.4%).分析記事 • May 30Some May Be Optimistic About Orlen's (WSE:PKN) EarningsSoft earnings didn't appear to concern Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) shareholders over the last week. We did some digging...Reported Earnings • May 23First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2025 results: EPS: zł3.69 (up from zł2.81 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: zł73.5b (down 11% from 1Q 2024). Net income: zł4.28b (up 54% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 5.8% (up from 3.4% in 1Q 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 4.1%. Revenue is forecast to decline by 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 63 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.New Risk • May 22New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 8.7% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 474% Cash payout ratio: 122% Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 8.7% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (0.5% net profit margin).お知らせ • May 09Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 05, 2025Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 05, 2025.Reported Earnings • Apr 17Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: zł1.27 (down from zł18.02 in FY 2023). Revenue: zł295.0b (down 21% from FY 2023). Net income: zł1.47b (down 93% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 0.5% (down from 5.6% in FY 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 16%. Revenue is forecast to decline by 2.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 49% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 7% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.New Risk • Mar 03New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 28% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (128% payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (2.7% net profit margin).Reported Earnings • Feb 27Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: zł6.87 (down from zł17.81 in FY 2023). Revenue: zł296.9b (down 20% from FY 2023). Net income: zł7.98b (down 61% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 2.7% (down from 5.5% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 16%. Revenue is forecast to decline by 4.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 45% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 7% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.お知らせ • Feb 27ORLEN Seeks to Acquire Grupa Azoty PolyolefinsOrlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) (ORLEN Group)'s press office has said that the group's ambition is to strengthen its leading position in the production of plastics in Central and Eastern Europe, which will be possible not only by increasing manufacturing capacity, but also by developing advanced petrochemical products. Meanwhile, the group continues to analyse a potential acquisition of Grupa Azoty Polyolefins, with the negotiations, ongoing already for five months, and due diligence expected to be completed by the end of next month.新しいナラティブ • Jan 19Operations Diversification And Retail Expansion Will Build Future Resilience Diversified operations and strategic investments aim to stabilize Orlen's revenue and boost capital efficiency and net margins. お知らせ • Jan 18+ 4 more updatesOrlen S.A. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 21, 2025Orlen S.A. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 21, 2025Major Estimate Revision • Dec 07Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast increased from zł292.3b to zł296.5b. EPS estimate fell from zł10.38 to zł9.31 per share. Net income forecast to grow 238% next year vs 13% growth forecast for Oil and Gas industry in Poland. Consensus price target down from zł75.40 to zł73.27. Share price rose 2.2% to zł52.14 over the past week.お知らせ • Nov 14The Norwegian energy ministry signed an agreement to acquire remaining 53.30% stake in GASSCO from Shell, CapeOmega, ConocoPhilipps, Equinor, Hav Energy, Orlen and Silex for NOK 18.1 billion.The Norwegian energy ministry signed an agreement to acquire remaining 53.30% stake in GASSCO from Shell, CapeOmega, ConocoPhilipps, Equinor, Hav Energy, Orlen and Silex for NOK 18.1 billion on January 1, 2024. Under the terms, seven companies came to an agreement with the government, two groups rejected the offer. North Sea Infrastructure and M Vest Energy did not agree to a sale and maintain their stakes. The agreement lifts the Norwegian state's stake in Gassled to 100% from 46.7% previously. The government remains determined to acquire these remaining stakes, either through negotiation or by exercising its rights at the end of the current concession period.お知らせ • Aug 22Orlen Energy Assumes Restart of Operations At Litvinov Refinery for Early SeptemberOrlen tentatively assumes that the restart of operations at the Plock group-owned refinery in Litvinov in Czech Republic will take place in the beginning of September, Orlen deputy CEO Magdalena Bartos told a press conference. PKN Orlen's Litvinov refinery in the Czech Republic halted production after an unexploded World War II aerial bomb was found. More than 500 people were evacuated from the plant. Traffic was halted on the road from Most to Litvinov, as well as city and rail transport. According to the latest information from the Czech police, the unexploded bomb will remain on site until August 27. Until that date, transport restrictions are in place.お知らせ • Aug 06Orlen Shareholders Files Lawsuits to Overturn Resolutions Not to Discharge Former Board MembersOrlen shareholders filed lawsuits to the Regional Court in Lodz to declare invalid or revoke resolutions adopted by the ordinary general meeting on June 25, 2024, not to grant discharge for 2023 to 8 former members of the management board and 2 members of the supervisory board, the company said in a market filing. In Orlen's opinion, the lawsuits are unfounded. The lawsuit concerns former board members: Armen Konrad Artwich, Patrycja Klarecka, Michal Rog, Jan Szewczak, Jozef Wegrecki, Piotr Sabat, Krzysztof Nowicki, Robert Perkowski and former supervisory board members Andrzej Szumanski and Michal Klimaszewski, Orlen shareholders decided on June 25 not to grant discharge for 2023 to all former members of the management board, including Daniel Obajtek and all former members of the company's supervisory board. The general meeting did not grant a discharge for the 2023 financial year to CEO Daniel Obajtek and the other board members: Armen Artwich, Adam Burak, Patrycja Klarecka, Michal Rog, Jan Szewczak, Jozef Wegrecki, Piotr Sabat, Krzysztof Nowicki, Iwona Waksmundzka-Olejniczak and Robert Perkowski. Most of the previous board ceased to hold office in February 2024. Shareholders did not discharge the members of the previous supervisory board for the 2023 financial year: the head Wojciech Jasinski, Andrzej Szumanski, Anna Wojcik, Barbara Jarzembowska, Andrzej Kapala, Michal Klimaszewski, Roman Kusz, Jadwiga Lesisz, Anna Sakowicz-Kacz and Janina Goss. The supervisory board in this composition was dismissed on February 6, 2024.お知らせ • Jun 14Orlen S.A. Announces Board AppointmentsOrlen S.A.'s supervisory board has appointed Artur Osuchowski as management board member for energy and energy transition from June 13, 2024 and Marek Balawejder as board member for wholesale and logistics from August 1.お知らせ • May 31Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2024Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2024.Major Estimate Revision • May 19Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate increased from zł9.33 to zł10.31. Revenue forecast steady at zł304.8b. Net income forecast to shrink 43% next year vs 0.9% growth forecast for Oil and Gas industry in Poland . Consensus price target broadly unchanged at zł80.57. Share price rose 3.4% to zł70.68 over the past week.お知らせ • May 16Orlen Announces Management ChangesOrlen announced Witold Literacki has been appointed as company's new deputy CEO for corporate affairs and Ireneusz Sitarski - as the deputy CEO for retail sales. Both Witold Literacki and Ireneusz Sitarski have simultaneously resigned as members of the company's supervisory board.Reported Earnings • Apr 28Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: zł17.81 (down from zł34.18 in FY 2022). Revenue: zł372.8b (up 32% from FY 2022). Net income: zł20.7b (down 48% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.5% (down from 14% in FY 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 8.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 23%. Revenue is expected to fall by 6.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years compared to a 1.7% decline forecast for the Oil and Gas industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 21% per year but the company’s share price has remained flat, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.お知らせ • Apr 28Orlen S.A. Recommends Dividend Payment for the Year 2023Orlen S.A. recommended a dividend of PLN 4.818 billion (EUR 1.1 billion) for 2023, or PLN 4.15 (EUR 0.96) per share. The remaining amount from the net profit for 2023 would go to the reserve capital. For 2022, Orlen paid a dividend of PLN 5.5 (EUR 1.27) per share, or a total of almost PLN 6.4 billion (EUR 1.5 billion).お知らせ • Apr 17Orlen S.A. Announces Board ChangesOrlen S.A. has appointed Magdalena Bartos and Robert Soszynski as deputy CEO and Wieslaw Prugar as board member for upstream. Magdalena Bartos will be Orlen's deputy CEO for finance and Robert Soszynski will be deputy CEO for strategy and sustainable development. Jozef Wegrecki was dismissed from his position as a member of Orlen's management board as of April 30.Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 11Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 11% to zł68.20. The fair value is estimated to be zł86.11, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 53% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 24%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 6.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to decline by 20% per annum over the same time period.お知らせ • Apr 11Orlen S.A. Appoints Ireneusz Fafara as New CEOOrlen S.A. elected Ireneusz Fafara as its new CEO after dismissing Daniel Obajtek from the post in early February. Fafara was appointed to the management board's joint term of office, which ends on the date that the Ordinary General Meeting approves the company's financial statements for 2025. The appointment is effective April 11. Fafara is an expert with knowledge of the fuel sector and the challenges related to energy transformation. In the years 2010-2018, he was the president of Orlen Lietuva, the company's Lithuanian subsidiary operating the only petroleum refinery in the Baltic states. Since June 2020, he has been the president of 4Cell Therapies, a company in the medical sector. Obajtek, the CEO of Orlen of six years, was dismissed by the group's supervisory board on February 1, effective February 5. For many in the new government Obajtek was seen as being too close to the old Law and Justice government, which lost power in October's general election. He was also dogged by controversies surrounding his assets and the sale by Orlen of a stake in the Lotos refinery to a Saudi Arabian company.Major Estimate Revision • Mar 29Consensus EPS estimates increase by 68%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from zł278.8b to zł302.0b. EPS estimate increased from zł5.56 to zł9.33 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 55% next year vs 5.4% growth forecast for Oil and Gas industry in Poland . Consensus price target broadly unchanged at zł80.44. Share price rose 3.6% to zł65.08 over the past week.お知らせ • Mar 15Operator Gazociagow Przesylowych GAZ-SYSTEM Sp. z o.o. has concluded an agreement to acquire Operator Systemu Magazynowania Sp. Z O.o. from Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN).Operator Gazociagow Przesylowych GAZ-SYSTEM Sp. z o.o. has concluded an agreement to acquire Operator Systemu Magazynowania Sp. Z O.o. from Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) on March 15, 2024. The concluded agreement concerns the disposal of the storage system operator only, while the storage facilities themselves remain the property of Orlen Group. Orlen has entered into an agreement with Gas Storage Poland under which the company manages the capacities of the company's underground gas storage facilities located in Kosakowo, Mogilno, Wierzchowice, Brzeznica, Swarzow, Husow and Strachocina. The acquisition of the shares is conditional on UOKiK's approval of the concentration. In February, Orlen's EGM gave its approval for the sale of shares in Gas Storage Poland.Major Estimate Revision • Feb 29Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 11%, EPS upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast fell from zł311.5b to zł276.8b. EPS estimate increased from zł12.27 to zł13.98 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 60% next year vs 5.0% growth forecast for Oil and Gas industry in Poland . Consensus price target of zł79.15 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 5.5% to zł63.88 over the past week.Reported Earnings • Feb 23Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: zł23.73 (down from zł30.43 in FY 2022). Revenue: zł372.6b (up 34% from FY 2022). Net income: zł27.6b (down 22% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 7.4% (down from 13% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 8.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 23%. Revenue is expected to fall by 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years compared to a 2.3% decline forecast for the Oil and Gas industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 24% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.お知らせ • Feb 22Orlen Recommends Base Dividend for 2023Orlen recommend a base dividend of PLN 4.15 (EUR 0.96) per share from the 2023 net profit.お知らせ • Feb 15Orlen S.A. Announces Executive ChangesOrlen S.A. announced that on February 6, Witold Literacki, appointed by the Minister of State Assets to Orlen's management board, was appointed by the supervisory board as acting CEO of the company. The supervisory board also decided to delegate three members of the supervisory board as of February 7: Kazimierz Mordaszewski, Tomasz Sojka and Tomasz Zielinski to temporarily act as members of the management board.お知らせ • Feb 07Orlen Announces Board ChangesOrlen's shareholders appointed the members of the supervisory board at extraordinary general meeting. On the recommendation of the State Treasury, the members chosen are the following: Michal Gajdus, Ewa Gasiorek, Katarzyna Lobos, Kazimierz Mordaszewski, Mikolaj Pietrzak, Wojciech Popiolek, Ireneusz Sitarski, Tomasz Sojka and Tomasz Zielinski. Jan Wozniak, proposed by Nationale-Nederlanden OFE, has not been appointed to the board. The general meeting set the number of members of the new supervisory board at 10, but shareholders appointed only nine people.Wojciech Popiolek has become the chairman of the supervisory board. At the same time, the general meeting dismissed eight people from the existing supervisory board, headed by ex-chairman Wojciech Jasinski. Patrycja Klarecka, Jan Szewczak, Armen Artwich and Roman Rog also resigned from the board.お知らせ • Feb 06Jan Szewczak Steps Down as Member of Orlen's Management BoardJan Szewczak stepped down from his position as a member of Orlen's management board, effective February 5, 2024. Szewczak was a member of the management board for finance.お知らせ • Feb 05Orlen S.A. Announces Board ResignationsOrlen S.A. announced that Patrycja Klarecka and Armen Artwich have decided to step down as members of Orlen's management board, with immediate effect (till the end of the day). On Michal Rog also resigned as a member of the company's management board, effective, February 5, 2024.お知らせ • Feb 02Orlen Group Dismisses CEO, Daniel Obajtek Effective February 5, 2024Orlen Group's supervisory board dismissed CEO Daniel Obajtek from the management board with effect from the end of the day February 5, 2024. The company announced that the company's supervisory board, after reviewing the letter of the President of Orlen's management board, Mr. Daniel Obajtek, where he declared that +he placed himself at the disposal of the company's supervisory board in the scope of the performed function+, decided to dismiss Mr. Daniel Obajtek from the Orlen's management board with effect from the end of the day, February, 5th 2024.お知らせ • Dec 15Poland's Minister of State Assets Dismisses Janina Goss from Supervisory Board of OrlenPoland's Minister of State Assets, on behalf of the State Treasury shareholder, dismissed Janina Goss from Orlen's supervisory board, the company said in a market filing.お知らせ • Dec 14Daniel Obajtek is Expected to Resign as Orlen Group's CEOPoland's Minister of State Assets, Borys Budka, expects the swift resignation of Daniel Obajtek as CEO of listed energy concern Orlen, the minister said at the briefing.お知らせ • Nov 23Orlen S.A. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 23, 2024Orlen S.A. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on May 23, 2024株主還元PKNPL Oil and GasPL 市場7D-1.4%2.4%1.0%1Y101.8%50.8%25.1%株主還元を見る業界別リターン: PKN過去 1 年間で50.8 % の収益を上げたPolish Oil and Gas業界を上回りました。リターン対市場: PKN過去 1 年間で25.1 % の収益を上げたPolish市場を上回りました。価格変動Is PKN's price volatile compared to industry and market?PKN volatilityPKN Average Weekly Movement5.6%Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement7.1%Market Average Movement5.3%10% most volatile stocks in PL Market10.6%10% least volatile stocks in PL Market3.1%安定した株価: PKN 、 Polish市場と比較して、過去 3 か月間で大きな価格変動はありませんでした。時間の経過による変動: PKNの 週次ボラティリティ ( 6% ) は過去 1 年間安定しています。会社概要設立従業員CEO(最高経営責任者ウェブサイト199966,226Ireneusz Fafarawww.orlen.pl石油精製、石油化学、エネルギー、小売、ガス、石油上流事業を行っている。原油などの精製製品の加工・卸売、燃料・石油・化学製品・石油化学製品の生産・販売およびサポートサービスの提供、太陽光発電を含む従来型エネルギーおよび再生可能エネルギーによる電力・熱、天然ガスの生産・配給・販売、電力取引、鉱物資源の探査・採掘、天然ガスの探査・生産・輸入、ガス・液化ガスの取引・貯蔵などを行っている。また、炭化水素の探査、認識、抽出、給油所活動、輸送、メンテナンス、オーバーホール、研究所、警備、設計、管理、宅配便、保険、金融サービスの提供、報道配信、新聞やウェブサイトなどのメディア活動も行っている。ガソリン、ディーゼル、LPG、バイオ燃料、航空・船舶用燃料、ヒーティングオイル、フェノール、ベンゼン、パラキシレン、高純度テレフタル酸、ベンゼントウレン留分、ナフタレン濃縮物を含む芳香族、オレフィン、ポリエチレンを含むポリオレフィン;ポリ塩化ビニル・ポランビル、コンパウンド・クレオビル、PVCネラリットなどのプラスチック、グリコール、窒素肥料、アセトン、エチレンオキシド、マスターバッチ、アドバンスト・テクニカル・カーボンブラック・チェザカーブ、カプロラクタム、ソーダ灰汁、次亜塩素酸ナトリウムなどのその他の製品。さらに、基油、自動車・オートバイ用油、トラック用油、船舶用油、工業用油、農業用油、パラフィン、溶剤、食卓塩、酸洗塩、ヨウ素添加食卓塩、飼料塩、スクラップ塩、工業用塩、工業用食塩かん水、食器洗い機用食塩顆粒、アスファルトも提供している。旧社名はPolski Koncern Naftowy ORLEN S.A.で、2023年7月に社名をOrlen S.A.に変更した。同社は1999年に設立され、ポーランドのプロックに本社を置いている。もっと見るOrlen S.A. 基礎のまとめOrlen の収益と売上を時価総額と比較するとどうか。PKN 基礎統計学時価総額zł165.23b収益(TTM)zł2.53b売上高(TTM)zł267.83b65.3xPER(株価収益率0.6xP/SレシオPKN は割高か?公正価値と評価分析を参照収益と収入最新の決算報告書(TTM)に基づく主な収益性統計PKN 損益計算書(TTM)収益zł267.83b売上原価zł220.21b売上総利益zł47.62bその他の費用zł45.09b収益zł2.53b直近の収益報告Dec 31, 2025次回決算日May 28, 2026一株当たり利益(EPS)2.18グロス・マージン17.78%純利益率0.95%有利子負債/自己資本比率17.6%PKN の長期的なパフォーマンスは?過去の実績と比較を見る配当金4.2%現在の配当利回り108%配当性向PKN 配当は確実ですか?PKN 配当履歴とベンチマークを見るPKN 、いつまでに購入すれば配当金を受け取れますか?Orlen 配当日配当落ち日Jun 17 2026配当支払日Jun 25 2026配当落ちまでの日数26 days配当支払日までの日数34 daysPKN 配当は確実ですか?PKN 配当履歴とベンチマークを見るView Valuation企業分析と財務データの現状データ最終更新日(UTC時間)企業分析2026/05/21 23:14終値2026/05/21 00:00収益2025/12/31年間収益2025/12/31データソース企業分析に使用したデータはS&P Global Market Intelligence LLC のものです。本レポートを作成するための分析モデルでは、以下のデータを使用しています。データは正規化されているため、ソースが利用可能になるまでに時間がかかる場合があります。パッケージデータタイムフレーム米国ソース例会社財務10年損益計算書キャッシュ・フロー計算書貸借対照表SECフォーム10-KSECフォーム10-Qアナリストのコンセンサス予想+プラス3年予想財務アナリストの目標株価アナリストリサーチレポートBlue Matrix市場価格30年株価配当、分割、措置ICEマーケットデータSECフォームS-1所有権10年トップ株主インサイダー取引SECフォーム4SECフォーム13Dマネジメント10年リーダーシップ・チーム取締役会SECフォーム10-KSECフォームDEF 14A主な進展10年会社からのお知らせSECフォーム8-K* 米国証券を対象とした例であり、非米国証券については、同等の規制書式および情報源を使用。特に断りのない限り、すべての財務データは1年ごとの期間に基づいていますが、四半期ごとに更新されます。これは、TTM(Trailing Twelve Month)またはLTM(Last Twelve Month)データとして知られています。詳細はこちら。分析モデルとスノーフレーク本レポートを生成するために使用した分析モデルの詳細は当社のGithubページでご覧いただけます。また、レポートの使用方法に関するガイドやYoutubeのチュートリアルも掲載しています。シンプリー・ウォールストリート分析モデルを設計・構築した世界トップクラスのチームについてご紹介します。業界およびセクターの指標私たちの業界とセクションの指標は、Simply Wall Stによって6時間ごとに計算されます。アナリスト筋Orlen S.A. 9 これらのアナリストのうち、弊社レポートのインプットとして使用した売上高または利益の予想を提出したのは、 。アナリストの投稿は一日中更新されます。21 アナリスト機関Robert BateBarclaysYuriy KukhtanychBerenbergKamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku18 その他のアナリストを表示
Price Target Changed • May 20Price target increased by 9.7% to zł131Up from zł119, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 10% below last closing price of zł145. Stock is up 103% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of zł16.29 for next year compared to zł2.18 last year.
お知らせ • May 15Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 09, 2026Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 09, 2026, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time.
ナラティブの更新 • May 10PKN: Future Returns Will Depend On Risky Energa Recapitalisation PlanAnalysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 127.33 from PLN 119.22, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, supported by recent research that has taken a more positive stance on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 127.33 as support for a more constructive stance on the stock, arguing that current pricing does not fully reflect updated assumptions on revenue and margins.
Reported Earnings • May 05Full year 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2025 results: EPS: zł2.18 (down from zł2.43 in FY 2024). Revenue: zł267.8b (down 9.2% from FY 2024). Net income: zł2.53b (down 10% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 0.9% (down from 1.0% in FY 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 17%. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to grow by 1.7%. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 119 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
Price Target Changed • May 02Price target increased by 13% to zł127Up from zł112, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of zł133. Stock is up 92% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of zł16.29 for next year compared to zł9.57 last year.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 26PKN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Energa Integration And Margin ResilienceAnalysts have adjusted their PLN price targets on Orlen only slightly, with a modest recalibration in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that reflects a mixed set of recent views, including a more positive stance from UBS and a more cautious one from Oddo BHF. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Orlen points to a split in opinion, with some analysts turning more optimistic and others taking a more cautious stance.
Price Target Changed • May 20Price target increased by 9.7% to zł131Up from zł119, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is 10% below last closing price of zł145. Stock is up 103% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of zł16.29 for next year compared to zł2.18 last year.
お知らせ • May 15Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 09, 2026Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 09, 2026, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time.
ナラティブの更新 • May 10PKN: Future Returns Will Depend On Risky Energa Recapitalisation PlanAnalysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 127.33 from PLN 119.22, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, supported by recent research that has taken a more positive stance on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 127.33 as support for a more constructive stance on the stock, arguing that current pricing does not fully reflect updated assumptions on revenue and margins.
Reported Earnings • May 05Full year 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2025 results: EPS: zł2.18 (down from zł2.43 in FY 2024). Revenue: zł267.8b (down 9.2% from FY 2024). Net income: zł2.53b (down 10% from FY 2024). Profit margin: 0.9% (down from 1.0% in FY 2024). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 17%. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to grow by 1.7%. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 119 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
Price Target Changed • May 02Price target increased by 13% to zł127Up from zł112, the current price target is an average from 9 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of zł133. Stock is up 92% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of zł16.29 for next year compared to zł9.57 last year.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 26PKN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Energa Integration And Margin ResilienceAnalysts have adjusted their PLN price targets on Orlen only slightly, with a modest recalibration in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that reflects a mixed set of recent views, including a more positive stance from UBS and a more cautious one from Oddo BHF. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Orlen points to a split in opinion, with some analysts turning more optimistic and others taking a more cautious stance.
ナラティブの更新 • Apr 06PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Resilience Proves OverstatedAnalysts have raised their Orlen price target from PLN 114.33 to about PLN 119.22, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, slightly higher profit margins and a marginally richer future P/E multiple, with recent research including both an upgrade and a downgrade informing the new view. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link their upgrade to a view that current valuation leaves some room for the shares to move closer to their refreshed fair value assumptions, anchored around the PLN 119.22 target.
新しいナラティブ • Mar 26Regulated Energy Projects And LNG Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term OutlookCatalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation, retail and gas trading. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 22PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Assumptions Prove FragileAnalysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 95.58 to PLN 114.33, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as well as a mix of recent bullish and bearish Street calls. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link the higher fair value estimate of PLN 114.33 to expectations that Orlen can sustain healthier profit margins than previously assumed.
新しいナラティブ • Mar 11Large CapEx And Refining Margin Normalization Will Pressure Long Term Earnings OutlookCatalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation and retail across several European markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
ナラティブの更新 • Mar 06PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Execution Risks IntensifyAnalysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 95.58 from PLN 93.28, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as some recent research has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher fair value estimate of PLN 95.58 as support for their view that current pricing may not fully reflect the updated revenue and margin assumptions built into their models.
New Risk • Feb 21New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 31% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (108% payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results.
Reported Earnings • Feb 20Full year 2025 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behindFull year 2025 results: EPS: zł9.57 (up from zł1.27 in FY 2024). Revenue: zł267.3b (down 9.4% from FY 2024). Net income: zł11.1b (up zł9.64b from FY 2024). Profit margin: 4.2% (up from 0.5% in FY 2024). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 2.1%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 21%. Revenue is expected to decline by 1.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to grow by 1.9%. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 98 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 19PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Margin Risks IntensifyAnalysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Orlen up from PLN 91.47 to PLN 93.28, citing slightly firmer profit margin assumptions and a modestly higher future P/E, even as at least one recent report has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 93.28 as support for the idea that current pricing may not fully reflect Orlen's earnings power under the updated profit margin assumptions.
分析記事 • Feb 07Why We're Not Concerned About Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share PriceWith a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20x Orlen S.A. ( WSE:PKN ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...
ナラティブの更新 • Feb 05PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Earnings Multiple CompressesAnalysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from €87.31 to €91.47 per share, citing updated assumptions around a smaller revenue decline, a slightly higher profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple, even as at least one firm has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the updated view on a smaller revenue decline as a support for the higher fair value estimate of €91.47 per share, seeing this as a sign that the earnings base used in their models may be more resilient than previously assumed.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 22PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Lag As P/E Stays ElevatedAnalysts have kept their target price for Orlen broadly in line with prior levels, citing relatively unchanged fair value at 87.31, a stable 9.24% discount rate, and only small tweaks to assumptions around revenue trends, profit margin and future P/E of 12.05x. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is unchanged at PLN 87.31.
ナラティブの更新 • Jan 08PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Disappoint As Earnings Multiple Stays ElevatedAnalysts have kept their price target for Orlen unchanged at €87.31, reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, with no new Street research prompting a revision. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share remains unchanged at €87.31, with no adjustment to the underlying model inputs.
分析記事 • Jan 04An Intrinsic Calculation For Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Suggests It's 26% UndervaluedKey Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł136 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen's zł101 share price...
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 18PKN: Future Returns Will Remain Balanced As Revenue And Margins Slightly WeakenAnalysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Orlen higher to reflect a fair value of $87.31 per share, as they reiterate stable discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P E assumptions. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special or Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time to address key corporate matters requiring shareholder approval (Key Developments).
お知らせ • Dec 18+ 4 more updatesOrlen S.A. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Feb 19, 2026Orlen S.A. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results at 8:30 AM, Central European Standard Time on Feb 19, 2026
分析記事 • Dec 17Returns At Orlen (WSE:PKN) Are On The Way UpFinding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
ナラティブの更新 • Dec 04PKN: Earnings Multiple Will Rise As Revenue And Margins Slightly WeakenAnalysts have nudged their price target on Orlen higher to approximately $87.31 from about $85.86, citing a modestly richer future earnings multiple that more than offsets slightly weaker revenue growth and profit margin expectations. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time.
分析記事 • Nov 29Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop ThereDespite posting healthy earnings, Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) stock has been quite weak. Our analysis suggests that there...
Reported Earnings • Nov 21Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsThird quarter 2025 results: EPS: zł1.84 (up from zł0.19 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: zł61.0b (down 10% from 3Q 2024). Net income: zł2.14b (up zł1.91b from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 3.5% (up from 0.3% in 3Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 11%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 42%. Revenue is expected to decline by 2.5% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to grow by 1.4%. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 99 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 20PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve While Revenue Decline Persists Through 2025 Shareholder MeetingNarrative Update on Orlen: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 85.63 to PLN 85.86, citing improved profit margin expectations and a modest adjustment to the discount rate. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).
ナラティブの更新 • Nov 05PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve Despite Weakening Revenue Outlook By Shareholder MeetingAnalysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 83.86 to PLN 85.63, citing improved profit margin forecasts and a slightly higher future price-to-earnings expectation. This adjustment comes despite a modest downward revision in revenue growth outlook.
分析記事 • Oct 28Orlen (WSE:PKN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of DebtWarren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 22Analysts Maintain Orlen Price Target as Valuation Metrics Remain Stable Ahead of Shareholder MeetingAnalysts have maintained Orlen's price target at PLN 83.86, citing consistent expectations for future profitability and revenue growth in spite of industry headwinds. What's in the News Orlen S.A. will hold a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting on October 28, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).
ナラティブの更新 • Oct 08Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future PerformanceAnalysts have raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 80.08 to PLN 83.86. This update cites an improved fair value assessment and a modest increase in projected profit margins, even though revenue growth expectations are slightly lower.
分析記事 • Oct 01Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 42% Above Its Share PriceKey Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł123 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen is estimated to be 30...
ナラティブの更新 • Sep 23Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future PerformanceDespite a further deterioration in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Orlen’s net profit margin has improved, supporting a modest increase in analyst fair value to PLN80.08. What's in the News Orlen will not acquire all or part of GA Polyolefins shares, but remains open to further discussions on asset utilization.
分析記事 • Sep 13Orlen (WSE:PKN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-BaggerIf we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...
Major Estimate Revision • Aug 31Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12%, revenue downgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast fell from zł282.6b to zł272.4b. EPS estimate rose from zł11.45 to zł12.85. Net income forecast to grow 206% next year vs 31% growth forecast for Oil and Gas industry in Poland. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at zł78.74. Share price fell 6.7% to zł77.78 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Aug 22Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsSecond quarter 2025 results: EPS: zł1.35 (up from zł0.02 in 2Q 2024). Revenue: zł60.7b (down 13% from 2Q 2024). Net income: zł1.57b (up zł1.55b from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 2.6% (up from 0% in 2Q 2024). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 6.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 53%. Revenue is expected to decline by 2.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to grow by 12%. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 85 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
New Risk • Aug 21New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 7.9% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 7.9% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (234% payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.0% net profit margin).
Upcoming Dividend • Aug 06Upcoming dividend of zł6.00 per shareEligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 13 August 2025. Payment date: 01 September 2025. The company is paying out more than 100% of its profits but is generating plenty of cash to support the dividend. Trailing yield: 7.3%. Within top quartile of Polish dividend payers (7.2%). Higher than average of industry peers (5.4%).
分析記事 • May 30Some May Be Optimistic About Orlen's (WSE:PKN) EarningsSoft earnings didn't appear to concern Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) shareholders over the last week. We did some digging...
Reported Earnings • May 23First quarter 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectationsFirst quarter 2025 results: EPS: zł3.69 (up from zł2.81 in 1Q 2024). Revenue: zł73.5b (down 11% from 1Q 2024). Net income: zł4.28b (up 54% from 1Q 2024). Profit margin: 5.8% (up from 3.4% in 1Q 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 4.1%. Revenue is forecast to decline by 1.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 63 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance.
New Risk • May 22New major risk - Revenue and earnings growthEarnings are forecast to decline by an average of 8.7% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Payout ratio: 474% Cash payout ratio: 122% Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 8.7% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (0.5% net profit margin).
お知らせ • May 09Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 05, 2025Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 05, 2025.
Reported Earnings • Apr 17Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: zł1.27 (down from zł18.02 in FY 2023). Revenue: zł295.0b (down 21% from FY 2023). Net income: zł1.47b (down 93% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 0.5% (down from 5.6% in FY 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 16%. Revenue is forecast to decline by 2.3% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 49% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 7% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
New Risk • Mar 03New minor risk - Earnings qualityThe company has large one-off items impacting its financial results. One-off items were 28% of the size of the rest of the company's trailing 12-month earnings before tax. This is considered a minor risk. One-off items are incomes or expenses that the company does not expect to repeat in future periods. Examples include profits from the sale of a business or expenses from a restructuring or legal settlements. If the company's reported statutory earnings include a large proportion of one-off items it means they may be an unreliable indicator of its true business performance as the earnings were skewed by these incomes or expenses. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings (128% payout ratio). Large one-off items impacting financial results. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (2.7% net profit margin).
Reported Earnings • Feb 27Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectationsFull year 2024 results: EPS: zł6.87 (down from zł17.81 in FY 2023). Revenue: zł296.9b (down 20% from FY 2023). Net income: zł7.98b (down 61% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 2.7% (down from 5.5% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 2.4%. Earnings per share (EPS) also missed analyst estimates by 16%. Revenue is forecast to decline by 4.4% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Oil and Gas industry in Europe are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 45% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 7% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings.
お知らせ • Feb 27ORLEN Seeks to Acquire Grupa Azoty PolyolefinsOrlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) (ORLEN Group)'s press office has said that the group's ambition is to strengthen its leading position in the production of plastics in Central and Eastern Europe, which will be possible not only by increasing manufacturing capacity, but also by developing advanced petrochemical products. Meanwhile, the group continues to analyse a potential acquisition of Grupa Azoty Polyolefins, with the negotiations, ongoing already for five months, and due diligence expected to be completed by the end of next month.
新しいナラティブ • Jan 19Operations Diversification And Retail Expansion Will Build Future Resilience Diversified operations and strategic investments aim to stabilize Orlen's revenue and boost capital efficiency and net margins.
お知らせ • Jan 18+ 4 more updatesOrlen S.A. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Aug 21, 2025Orlen S.A. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Aug 21, 2025
Major Estimate Revision • Dec 07Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%, revenue upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast increased from zł292.3b to zł296.5b. EPS estimate fell from zł10.38 to zł9.31 per share. Net income forecast to grow 238% next year vs 13% growth forecast for Oil and Gas industry in Poland. Consensus price target down from zł75.40 to zł73.27. Share price rose 2.2% to zł52.14 over the past week.
お知らせ • Nov 14The Norwegian energy ministry signed an agreement to acquire remaining 53.30% stake in GASSCO from Shell, CapeOmega, ConocoPhilipps, Equinor, Hav Energy, Orlen and Silex for NOK 18.1 billion.The Norwegian energy ministry signed an agreement to acquire remaining 53.30% stake in GASSCO from Shell, CapeOmega, ConocoPhilipps, Equinor, Hav Energy, Orlen and Silex for NOK 18.1 billion on January 1, 2024. Under the terms, seven companies came to an agreement with the government, two groups rejected the offer. North Sea Infrastructure and M Vest Energy did not agree to a sale and maintain their stakes. The agreement lifts the Norwegian state's stake in Gassled to 100% from 46.7% previously. The government remains determined to acquire these remaining stakes, either through negotiation or by exercising its rights at the end of the current concession period.
お知らせ • Aug 22Orlen Energy Assumes Restart of Operations At Litvinov Refinery for Early SeptemberOrlen tentatively assumes that the restart of operations at the Plock group-owned refinery in Litvinov in Czech Republic will take place in the beginning of September, Orlen deputy CEO Magdalena Bartos told a press conference. PKN Orlen's Litvinov refinery in the Czech Republic halted production after an unexploded World War II aerial bomb was found. More than 500 people were evacuated from the plant. Traffic was halted on the road from Most to Litvinov, as well as city and rail transport. According to the latest information from the Czech police, the unexploded bomb will remain on site until August 27. Until that date, transport restrictions are in place.
お知らせ • Aug 06Orlen Shareholders Files Lawsuits to Overturn Resolutions Not to Discharge Former Board MembersOrlen shareholders filed lawsuits to the Regional Court in Lodz to declare invalid or revoke resolutions adopted by the ordinary general meeting on June 25, 2024, not to grant discharge for 2023 to 8 former members of the management board and 2 members of the supervisory board, the company said in a market filing. In Orlen's opinion, the lawsuits are unfounded. The lawsuit concerns former board members: Armen Konrad Artwich, Patrycja Klarecka, Michal Rog, Jan Szewczak, Jozef Wegrecki, Piotr Sabat, Krzysztof Nowicki, Robert Perkowski and former supervisory board members Andrzej Szumanski and Michal Klimaszewski, Orlen shareholders decided on June 25 not to grant discharge for 2023 to all former members of the management board, including Daniel Obajtek and all former members of the company's supervisory board. The general meeting did not grant a discharge for the 2023 financial year to CEO Daniel Obajtek and the other board members: Armen Artwich, Adam Burak, Patrycja Klarecka, Michal Rog, Jan Szewczak, Jozef Wegrecki, Piotr Sabat, Krzysztof Nowicki, Iwona Waksmundzka-Olejniczak and Robert Perkowski. Most of the previous board ceased to hold office in February 2024. Shareholders did not discharge the members of the previous supervisory board for the 2023 financial year: the head Wojciech Jasinski, Andrzej Szumanski, Anna Wojcik, Barbara Jarzembowska, Andrzej Kapala, Michal Klimaszewski, Roman Kusz, Jadwiga Lesisz, Anna Sakowicz-Kacz and Janina Goss. The supervisory board in this composition was dismissed on February 6, 2024.
お知らせ • Jun 14Orlen S.A. Announces Board AppointmentsOrlen S.A.'s supervisory board has appointed Artur Osuchowski as management board member for energy and energy transition from June 13, 2024 and Marek Balawejder as board member for wholesale and logistics from August 1.
お知らせ • May 31Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2024Orlen S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 25, 2024.
Major Estimate Revision • May 19Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate increased from zł9.33 to zł10.31. Revenue forecast steady at zł304.8b. Net income forecast to shrink 43% next year vs 0.9% growth forecast for Oil and Gas industry in Poland . Consensus price target broadly unchanged at zł80.57. Share price rose 3.4% to zł70.68 over the past week.
お知らせ • May 16Orlen Announces Management ChangesOrlen announced Witold Literacki has been appointed as company's new deputy CEO for corporate affairs and Ireneusz Sitarski - as the deputy CEO for retail sales. Both Witold Literacki and Ireneusz Sitarski have simultaneously resigned as members of the company's supervisory board.
Reported Earnings • Apr 28Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: zł17.81 (down from zł34.18 in FY 2022). Revenue: zł372.8b (up 32% from FY 2022). Net income: zł20.7b (down 48% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 5.5% (down from 14% in FY 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 8.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 23%. Revenue is expected to fall by 6.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years compared to a 1.7% decline forecast for the Oil and Gas industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 21% per year but the company’s share price has remained flat, which means it is significantly lagging earnings.
お知らせ • Apr 28Orlen S.A. Recommends Dividend Payment for the Year 2023Orlen S.A. recommended a dividend of PLN 4.818 billion (EUR 1.1 billion) for 2023, or PLN 4.15 (EUR 0.96) per share. The remaining amount from the net profit for 2023 would go to the reserve capital. For 2022, Orlen paid a dividend of PLN 5.5 (EUR 1.27) per share, or a total of almost PLN 6.4 billion (EUR 1.5 billion).
お知らせ • Apr 17Orlen S.A. Announces Board ChangesOrlen S.A. has appointed Magdalena Bartos and Robert Soszynski as deputy CEO and Wieslaw Prugar as board member for upstream. Magdalena Bartos will be Orlen's deputy CEO for finance and Robert Soszynski will be deputy CEO for strategy and sustainable development. Jozef Wegrecki was dismissed from his position as a member of Orlen's management board as of April 30.
Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 11Now 21% undervaluedOver the last 90 days, the stock has risen 11% to zł68.20. The fair value is estimated to be zł86.11, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 53% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 24%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to decline by 6.7% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to decline by 20% per annum over the same time period.
お知らせ • Apr 11Orlen S.A. Appoints Ireneusz Fafara as New CEOOrlen S.A. elected Ireneusz Fafara as its new CEO after dismissing Daniel Obajtek from the post in early February. Fafara was appointed to the management board's joint term of office, which ends on the date that the Ordinary General Meeting approves the company's financial statements for 2025. The appointment is effective April 11. Fafara is an expert with knowledge of the fuel sector and the challenges related to energy transformation. In the years 2010-2018, he was the president of Orlen Lietuva, the company's Lithuanian subsidiary operating the only petroleum refinery in the Baltic states. Since June 2020, he has been the president of 4Cell Therapies, a company in the medical sector. Obajtek, the CEO of Orlen of six years, was dismissed by the group's supervisory board on February 1, effective February 5. For many in the new government Obajtek was seen as being too close to the old Law and Justice government, which lost power in October's general election. He was also dogged by controversies surrounding his assets and the sale by Orlen of a stake in the Lotos refinery to a Saudi Arabian company.
Major Estimate Revision • Mar 29Consensus EPS estimates increase by 68%The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from zł278.8b to zł302.0b. EPS estimate increased from zł5.56 to zł9.33 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 55% next year vs 5.4% growth forecast for Oil and Gas industry in Poland . Consensus price target broadly unchanged at zł80.44. Share price rose 3.6% to zł65.08 over the past week.
お知らせ • Mar 15Operator Gazociagow Przesylowych GAZ-SYSTEM Sp. z o.o. has concluded an agreement to acquire Operator Systemu Magazynowania Sp. Z O.o. from Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN).Operator Gazociagow Przesylowych GAZ-SYSTEM Sp. z o.o. has concluded an agreement to acquire Operator Systemu Magazynowania Sp. Z O.o. from Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) on March 15, 2024. The concluded agreement concerns the disposal of the storage system operator only, while the storage facilities themselves remain the property of Orlen Group. Orlen has entered into an agreement with Gas Storage Poland under which the company manages the capacities of the company's underground gas storage facilities located in Kosakowo, Mogilno, Wierzchowice, Brzeznica, Swarzow, Husow and Strachocina. The acquisition of the shares is conditional on UOKiK's approval of the concentration. In February, Orlen's EGM gave its approval for the sale of shares in Gas Storage Poland.
Major Estimate Revision • Feb 29Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 11%, EPS upgradedThe consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast fell from zł311.5b to zł276.8b. EPS estimate increased from zł12.27 to zł13.98 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 60% next year vs 5.0% growth forecast for Oil and Gas industry in Poland . Consensus price target of zł79.15 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 5.5% to zł63.88 over the past week.
Reported Earnings • Feb 23Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectationsFull year 2023 results: EPS: zł23.73 (down from zł30.43 in FY 2022). Revenue: zł372.6b (up 34% from FY 2022). Net income: zł27.6b (down 22% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 7.4% (down from 13% in FY 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 8.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 23%. Revenue is expected to fall by 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years compared to a 2.3% decline forecast for the Oil and Gas industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 24% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 4% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth.
お知らせ • Feb 22Orlen Recommends Base Dividend for 2023Orlen recommend a base dividend of PLN 4.15 (EUR 0.96) per share from the 2023 net profit.
お知らせ • Feb 15Orlen S.A. Announces Executive ChangesOrlen S.A. announced that on February 6, Witold Literacki, appointed by the Minister of State Assets to Orlen's management board, was appointed by the supervisory board as acting CEO of the company. The supervisory board also decided to delegate three members of the supervisory board as of February 7: Kazimierz Mordaszewski, Tomasz Sojka and Tomasz Zielinski to temporarily act as members of the management board.
お知らせ • Feb 07Orlen Announces Board ChangesOrlen's shareholders appointed the members of the supervisory board at extraordinary general meeting. On the recommendation of the State Treasury, the members chosen are the following: Michal Gajdus, Ewa Gasiorek, Katarzyna Lobos, Kazimierz Mordaszewski, Mikolaj Pietrzak, Wojciech Popiolek, Ireneusz Sitarski, Tomasz Sojka and Tomasz Zielinski. Jan Wozniak, proposed by Nationale-Nederlanden OFE, has not been appointed to the board. The general meeting set the number of members of the new supervisory board at 10, but shareholders appointed only nine people.Wojciech Popiolek has become the chairman of the supervisory board. At the same time, the general meeting dismissed eight people from the existing supervisory board, headed by ex-chairman Wojciech Jasinski. Patrycja Klarecka, Jan Szewczak, Armen Artwich and Roman Rog also resigned from the board.
お知らせ • Feb 06Jan Szewczak Steps Down as Member of Orlen's Management BoardJan Szewczak stepped down from his position as a member of Orlen's management board, effective February 5, 2024. Szewczak was a member of the management board for finance.
お知らせ • Feb 05Orlen S.A. Announces Board ResignationsOrlen S.A. announced that Patrycja Klarecka and Armen Artwich have decided to step down as members of Orlen's management board, with immediate effect (till the end of the day). On Michal Rog also resigned as a member of the company's management board, effective, February 5, 2024.
お知らせ • Feb 02Orlen Group Dismisses CEO, Daniel Obajtek Effective February 5, 2024Orlen Group's supervisory board dismissed CEO Daniel Obajtek from the management board with effect from the end of the day February 5, 2024. The company announced that the company's supervisory board, after reviewing the letter of the President of Orlen's management board, Mr. Daniel Obajtek, where he declared that +he placed himself at the disposal of the company's supervisory board in the scope of the performed function+, decided to dismiss Mr. Daniel Obajtek from the Orlen's management board with effect from the end of the day, February, 5th 2024.
お知らせ • Dec 15Poland's Minister of State Assets Dismisses Janina Goss from Supervisory Board of OrlenPoland's Minister of State Assets, on behalf of the State Treasury shareholder, dismissed Janina Goss from Orlen's supervisory board, the company said in a market filing.
お知らせ • Dec 14Daniel Obajtek is Expected to Resign as Orlen Group's CEOPoland's Minister of State Assets, Borys Budka, expects the swift resignation of Daniel Obajtek as CEO of listed energy concern Orlen, the minister said at the briefing.
お知らせ • Nov 23Orlen S.A. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 23, 2024Orlen S.A. announced that they will report Q1, 2024 results on May 23, 2024