This company has been acquired
STORE Capital (STOR) Panoramica del titolo
STORE Capital Corporation is an internally managed net-lease real estate investment trust, or REIT, that is the leader in the acquisition, investment and management of Single Tenant Operational Real Estate, which is its target market and the inspiration for its name. Maggiori dettagli
| Punteggio fiocco di neve | |
|---|---|
| Valutazione | 4/6 |
| Crescita futura | 2/6 |
| Prestazioni passate | 4/6 |
| Salute finanziaria | 1/6 |
| Dividendi | 4/6 |
Premi
Analisi del rischio
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Concorrenti di STORE Capital Corporation
Storia dei prezzi e prestazioni
| Prezzi storici delle azioni | |
|---|---|
| Prezzo attuale dell'azione | US$32.21 |
| Massimo di 52 settimane | US$32.36 |
| Minimo di 52 settimane | US$24.48 |
| Beta | 0.97 |
| Variazione di 1 mese | 0.41% |
| Variazione a 3 mesi | 1.71% |
| Variazione di 1 anno | 5.68% |
| Variazione a 3 anni | -19.15% |
| Variazione a 5 anni | 38.96% |
| Variazione dall'IPO | 65.18% |
Notizie e aggiornamenti recenti
STORE Capital: A Bittersweet Last Bite At A ~15% Annualized 'Yield'
Summary STORE Capital Corporation is being acquired by a consortium of real estate giants. The deal likely closes within a week or two but possibly later. The spread is a big deal if the deal closes as soon as I expect it will. The STORE Capital Corporation deal is unlikely to fail, but downside of ~16% - 20% seems realistic. STORE Capital Corporation (STOR) is an internally managed net-lease real estate investment trust, or REIT. It is focused on Single Tenant Operational Real Estate. It operates a large, well-diversified portfolio (across the U.S.), with over 2,500 locations across the United States. I'm interested in this name because it is being acquired by real estate giants GIC and Blue Owl's Oak Street. They are paying $32.25 in cash. They also let STORE continue paying some dividends, but that's over now. The slide below shows its top customers and its diversification across industries. Top customers STORE capital (STORE Capital) I'm not a U.S. citizen, so I'm unfamiliar with some of these store brands. Most don't seem overly worrisome, although AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC) is probably not the best in your top 10. Having said that, even if AMC went through a bankruptcy process (which isn't entirely unimaginable), the new set of owners would likely still want to operate its movie theatres. Second, even this top 10 tenant is only 1.2% of base rents. What makes this merger very interesting is that the merger agreement says that the merger won't close until February 1, 2023 (except if the Parent agrees). It has an outside date of March 31, 2023. The transaction, which was unanimously approved by the STORE Capital Board of Directors, is expected to close in the first quarter of 2023, subject to approval by STORE Capitals stockholders and the satisfaction of certain other customary closing conditions. The closing of the transaction is not subject to any financing conditions. CFIUS hasn't objected to the deal, as might be expected. The shareholders didn't seem to love the deal (see comments), but it did pass a shareholder vote. I think this deal could close on February 1, but it is possible it could close even sooner than that. The options chain is very illiquid and barely traded, but the prices I see do imply and confirm it is extremely likely to close soon. Meanwhile, shares are trading at $31.80 (Seeking Alpha pre-market price), and through my broker, I'm seeing prices between $32.06 and $32.16. Depending on the entry, it could be quite an attractive deal. The annualized return is also very sensitive to the ultimate closing date. Here's a table showing the percentage return at 3 different price levels and two extreme closing dates.STORE Capital stockholders approve acquisition by GIC and Oak Street
STORE Capital (NYSE:STOR) stockholders approved the acquisition of the company by affiliates of GIC, a global institutional investor, and funds managed by Oak Street, a Division of Blue Owl. The transaction is expected to close in Q1 2023. Under the terms of the merger agreement announced on September 15, 2022, among other things, the company’s stockholders will receive $32.25 per share in cash. Upon closing of the transaction, the company’s common stock will no longer be listed on any public market.STORE Capital Q3 Results: Major Highlights
STORE Capital (NYSE:STOR) is scheduled to announce Q3 earnings results on Thursday, November 3rd, before market open. The consensus FFO estimate is $0.55 and consensus revenue estimate is $226.37M. Over the last 2 years, STOR has beaten FFO estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 63% of the time. Peer performance: Empire State Realty Trust Q3 beats, American Assets Trust Q3 beats, Alpine Income Property Trust Q3 beats, Essential Properties Realty Trust Q3 FFO in-line, revenue misses. Major developments during Q3: Real estate giants GIC and Blue Owl's Oak Street agreed to acquire Store Capital for $14B in all-cash transaction. Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating: Strong Buy Sell-side analysts rating: Hold Year-to-date stock performance:STORE Capital: 3 Replacement REITs With Yields Between 7% To 10%
Summary STORE Capital has offered a fine ride for investors, but that journey is ending. The stock offers only 2% potential upside to the takeout price - and peers offer compelling relative value. Spirit Realty offers a comparable portfolio and leverage ratio but trades at a 7.6% dividend yield. I am most bullish on cannabis REITs, which offer yields as high as 10%. STORE Capital (STOR) is set to be taken private, raising the question of whether the stock is worth holding until the close of that transaction, and which stocks can fill the void. While STOR remains a well-run company, it may not make sense to continue owning the stock given its relative premium to peers. I discuss three worthy candidates to replace STOR in a dividend portfolio with yields ranging from 7% to 10%. The rising interest rate environment has led to great volatility and high pessimism, but dividend investors likely welcome the high yield opportunities. STOR Stock Price STOR has seen its stock shoot close to the $32.25 per share takeout price. Data by YCharts I last covered STOR in May where I rated it a buy - STOR has since returned 15%. But is the stock still worth holding at current levels? STOR Stock Key Metrics STOR ended the latest quarter with 3,012 investment property locations with 94% subject to master leases. 2022 STOR Q2 Presentation The credit quality has been improving in recent quarters as evidenced by the 4.7x weighted average 4-wall FCCR. That said, it’s worth noting that 8% of the portfolio has unit-level FCCR below 1x and another 8% between 1.01x and 1.5x. That may suggest some tenants are struggling to pay rent. 2022 STOR Q2 Presentation Like peers, STOR has been quite active on the acquisition front, investing $392 million in the quarter at a 7.2% cap rate. That cap rate has compressed from the 7.8%-8% range of the past, but the annual lease escalator remained strong at 2%. The cap rate compression is worthy note considering that one would have otherwise expected the opposite considering the rising interest rate environment. 2022 STOR Q2 Presentation STOR did dispose of $65 million of properties in the quarter, making up 17% of acquisitions. That percentage has been high over the past two years. I view a lower disposition percentage of acquisition to be an indication of stronger credit underwriting as a good chunk of dispositions typically tend to be nonperforming assets. 2022 STOR Q2 Presentation STOR grew AFFO per share by16% to $0.58 and increased its full-year guidance from $2.23 to up to $2.27. The company ended the quarter with a leverage ratio of 5.7x debt to EBITDA, rather full though perhaps suggesting some debt capacity. What To Buy Instead The stock is trading with only 2% upside to the acquisition price - the company is not allowed to pay dividends until then. With the transaction expected to close in the first quarter of next year, that represents an annualized return of around 4% to 5%. The stock is currently trading at 14x FFO and a 5.2% dividend yield. In my view, that potential upside is not high enough considering that many net lease peers trade at far more compelling valuations. One candidate worthy of attention is Spirit Realty (SRC), a close peer. I covered SRC in September - the company has a comparable portfolio with solid investment grade exposure. 2022 SRC Q2 Presentation Leverage stood at 5.5x debt to EBITDA, comparable with STOR, but the stock trades at only 9.6x FFO and a 7.6% dividend yield. If the STOR transaction were to fall apart, then I would not be surprised to see STOR and SRC trade at similar valuations. If one is willing to look deeper in the net lease sector, cannabis REITs represent in my opinion the most compelling opportunity. The most well known operator is Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR), which is the largest publicly traded cannabis REIT. I last covered IIPR in August. As a landlord of cannabis real estate, IIPR primarily owns cultivation facilities (where tenants grow cannabis) leased to licensed operators in states that have legalized the plant for either medical or recreational use. 2022 IIPRQ2 Presentation If you are unfamiliar with cannabis REITs, there’s a couple of things to know. First, cannabis can be considered to be a hyper-growth sector - largely because the plant has and remains federally illegal, but is rapidly being legalized at the state level. Consumers are embracing the plant for its recreational and medical applications. Yours truly has found the plant to be a life saver for occasional anxiety and insomnia. Second, because cannabis is federally illegal, it is very lucrative to be a landlord. IIPR is able to charge elevated cap rates at around 13% with annual lease escalators around 3%. In comparison, traditional NNN REITs like STOR and Realty Income (O) get cap rates around 6% to 7.5% with escalators in the 1% to 2% range. Those improved fundamentals have paid off, as dividends have increased by more than 10x since 2017. Seeking Alpha IIPR also has far less leverage than conventional NNN REITs, with debt to EBITDA at only 1x. IIPR recently traded hands at 12x FFO and a 7.7% dividend yield. IIPR is by far the most well known cannabis REIT, but there’s another pick worth mentioning. NewLake Capital (NLCP) is just like IIPR in that it is an internally managed landlord of cannabis real estate, but it is far smaller at just $330 million in market cap and is listed Over the Counter (‘OTC’). I consider NLCP as having a higher quality portfolio than IIPR due to its focus on limited license states. Some states limit the number of licensed operators, which helps improve profit margins.Recent updates
Rendimenti per gli azionisti
| STOR | US REITs | US Mercato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.03% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| 1Y | 5.7% | 10.9% | 19.9% |
Ritorno vs Industria: STOR ha superato il US REITs che ha restituito 10.9 % nell'ultimo anno.
Rendimento vs Mercato: STOR ha superato il mercato US che ha restituito 19.9 % nell'ultimo anno.
Volatilità dei prezzi
| STOR volatility | |
|---|---|
| STOR Average Weekly Movement | 0.3% |
| REITs Industry Average Movement | 3.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.3% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Prezzo delle azioni stabile: STOR non ha avuto una volatilità dei prezzi significativa negli ultimi 3 mesi rispetto al mercato US.
Volatilità nel tempo: La volatilità settimanale ( 0% ) di STOR è rimasta stabile nell'ultimo anno.
Informazioni sull'azienda
| Fondato | I dipendenti | AMMINISTRATORE DELEGATO | Sito web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 117 | Mary Fedewa | www.storecapital.com |
STORE Capital Corporation Riepilogo dei fondamenti
| STOR statistiche fondamentali | |
|---|---|
| Capitalizzazione di mercato | US$9.09b |
| Utili (TTM) | US$321.37m |
| Ricavi(TTM) | US$880.69m |
STOR è sopravvalutato?
Vedi Fair Value e analisi di valutazioneUtili e ricavi
| STOR Conto economico (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Ricavi | US$880.69m |
| Costo del fatturato | US$16.53m |
| Profitto lordo | US$864.16m |
| Altre spese | US$542.80m |
| Utili | US$321.37m |
Ultimi utili riportati
Sep 30, 2022
Prossima data di guadagno
n/a
| Utile per azione (EPS) | 1.14 |
| Margine lordo | 98.12% |
| Margine di profitto netto | 36.49% |
| Rapporto debito/patrimonio netto | 90.7% |
Come si è comportato STOR nel lungo periodo?
Vedi performance storica e confrontoDividendi
Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2023/02/04 08:57 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2023/02/02 00:00 |
| Utili | 2022/09/30 |
| Utili annuali | 2021/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
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| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
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| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
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| Proprietà | 10 anni |
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| Gestione | 10 anni |
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| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
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* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; disponiamo inoltre di guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e di tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
STORE Capital Corporation è coperta da 19 analisti. 5 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Wesley Golladay | Baird |
| Nathan Crossett | Berenberg |
| John Kim | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |