McDonald's (MCD) Panoramica del titolo
McDonald's Corporation possiede, gestisce e affitta ristoranti con il marchio McDonald's negli Stati Uniti e a livello internazionale. Maggiori dettagli
| Punteggio fiocco di neve | |
|---|---|
| Valutazione | 2/6 |
| Crescita futura | 2/6 |
| Prestazioni passate | 2/6 |
| Salute finanziaria | 2/6 |
| Dividendi | 5/6 |
MCD Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
US$238.97
FV
18.1% sopravvalutato sconto intrinseco4.86%
Revenue growth p.a.
146
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Concorrenti di McDonald's Corporation
Storia dei prezzi e prestazioni
| Prezzi storici delle azioni | |
|---|---|
| Prezzo attuale dell'azione | US$282.27 |
| Massimo di 52 settimane | US$341.75 |
| Minimo di 52 settimane | US$271.98 |
| Beta | 0.44 |
| Variazione di 1 mese | -5.93% |
| Variazione a 3 mesi | -14.26% |
| Variazione di 1 anno | -10.27% |
| Variazione a 3 anni | -1.32% |
| Variazione a 5 anni | 20.68% |
| Variazione dall'IPO | 161,292.13% |
Notizie e aggiornamenti recenti
Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 20
MCD: Value Menu Reset Will Support High Conviction Franchise Cash Generation
Analysts have trimmed the McDonald's fair value estimate from $345.00 to $330.00, reflecting slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples, even as broader research remains generally constructive on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings while reassessing growth, margins, and valuation multiples.Seeking Alpha • May 14
Burger Wars: McDonald's Vs. Restaurant Brands International
Summary Restaurant Brands International has outperformed McDonald's Corporation recently, driven by stronger U.S. sales growth and market share gains. My valuation-driven “Flipping Burger” strategy proposes rotating between QSR and MCD as their valuation premium narrows or widens. QSR delivered 5.8% U.S. same-store sales growth in Q1 versus MCD's 3.9%, and QSR's EPS grew 14.5% versus MCD's 6%. I now rate QSR as a Hold due to a narrowing valuation gap and advise monitoring for a potential tactical switch back to MCD. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Aggiornamento della narrazione • May 20
MCD: Value Menu Reset Will Support High Conviction Franchise Cash Generation
Analysts have trimmed the McDonald's fair value estimate from $345.00 to $330.00, reflecting slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples, even as broader research remains generally constructive on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings while reassessing growth, margins, and valuation multiples.Seeking Alpha • May 14
Burger Wars: McDonald's Vs. Restaurant Brands International
Summary Restaurant Brands International has outperformed McDonald's Corporation recently, driven by stronger U.S. sales growth and market share gains. My valuation-driven “Flipping Burger” strategy proposes rotating between QSR and MCD as their valuation premium narrows or widens. QSR delivered 5.8% U.S. same-store sales growth in Q1 versus MCD's 3.9%, and QSR's EPS grew 14.5% versus MCD's 6%. I now rate QSR as a Hold due to a narrowing valuation gap and advise monitoring for a potential tactical switch back to MCD. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 27
MCD: Value Menu Reset Will Support Digital And Franchise Model Upside
McDonald's updated analyst price target edges up by about $0.15 to $345.00 as analysts factor in slightly higher profit margin expectations and a modestly adjusted discount rate, following a wave of recent upgrades and target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on McDonald's has been active, with a cluster of target changes and rating moves pointing to a mixed but generally constructive debate around valuation, earnings quality, and the pace of future growth.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Apr 11
MCD: Value Menu Repositioning Will Support Digital And Franchise Model Breakout
McDonald's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower to about $344.85 from $345.21. Analysts point to a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer profit margin assumptions, while continuing to highlight the brand's global reach, digital investments, and franchise model in recent research.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 27
MCD: Value Menu Repositioning And Digital Efficiencies Are Expected To Support Breakout
McDonald's Analyst Price Target has been nudged higher to $345.21 from $344.09 as analysts point to the company's powerful global brand, rapid unit expansion, digital and AI-driven efficiencies, and an asset light franchise model as key supports for its updated valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on McDonald's has been skewed toward higher price targets and rating upgrades, with several banks citing brand strength, digital investments, and the franchise model as key supports for the current valuation reset.
Nuova narrazione • Mar 23
McDonald’s (MCD): The "Digital Golden Arches" and the Pivot to Value
McDonald’s Corporation (MCD) is trading at $308.52 USD on the NYSE as of March 23, 2026, down slightly by 0.14% in today’s session. The stock is currently navigating a period of consolidation after reaching a 52-week high of $341.75 earlier this year.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Mar 13
MCD: Value Repositioning And Digital Efficiencies Are Expected To Support Breakout Potential
Analysts have nudged our McDonald's fair value estimate higher from $341.28 to $344.09. This reflects their higher Street price targets that point to the brand's global reach, franchise model, operational efficiencies, and steady U.S. business momentum.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 27
MCD: Value And Digital Execution Are Expected To Support Breakout Setup
Narrative Update McDonald's fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $341.28 as analysts lift price targets across the stock. They cite what they see as higher quality growth, strong profitability and benefits from digital investments, marketing and value initiatives into 2026.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Feb 13
MCD: Value Positioning And Brand Repositioning Are Expected To Support Breakout Potential
Analysts have nudged their McDonald's price target higher to about $339 from $331, citing modestly stronger revenue growth assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate, and only small tweaks to long term profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on McDonald's has been active, with several price target revisions and rating changes clustered around a similar thesis.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 20
MCD: Value Strategy And Cost Tailwinds Will Balance Consumer Traffic Risks
Analysts have nudged their price target on McDonald's slightly higher to $331.20. This reflects modest improvements in projected revenue growth and profit margins, even as they remain cautious about the company's value focus amid ongoing pressure on lower income consumers.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Dec 06
MCD: Value Promotions And Remodels Will Balance Consumer And Margin Pressures
Analysts have trimmed their McDonald's fair value estimate slightly, lowering the target by about $0.30 to roughly $331. This reflects modestly softer long term revenue growth assumptions and a higher discount rate, which offset a small improvement in projected profit margins and still robust expectations for value driven traffic and potential multiple expansion.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 22
MCD: Value Initiatives And Consumer Headwinds Will Shape Market Share Performance
McDonald's analyst fair value estimate was nudged higher to $331.53 from $330.87, as analysts point to ongoing value initiatives and expectations for store growth and market share gains, which support the updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst notes on McDonald's highlight a mix of optimism about the company’s value initiatives and store growth, while also flagging continued caution regarding consumer trends and traffic drivers.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Nov 08
MCD: Value Focus And Consumer Trends Will Shape Performance Amid Mixed Signals
McDonald's analyst price target edged slightly lower to $330.87 from $331.14, a modest adjustment reflecting analysts' cautious outlook over mixed consumer traffic trends and evolving value strategies, while balancing these factors against resilient revenue growth forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a broad mix of optimism and caution, with price targets being adjusted in response to changing consumer dynamics and evolving company strategies.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 25
Future Performance Will Rely On Value Positioning And Digital Expansion
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value price target for McDonald's to $331.14 from $331.52. They cite continued caution around consumer spending and uncertainty over the impact of value-focused initiatives on traffic and margins.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Oct 10
International Expansion And Digital Commerce Will Shape Future Success
Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for McDonald's to $331.52, a decrease of about $4. This adjustment reflects cautious outlooks on the company's value-driven strategy and continued pressure on lower-income consumer spending.Aggiornamento della narrazione • Sep 04
International Expansion And Digital Commerce Will Shape Future Success
Analysts remain divided on the benefits and risks of McDonald's value initiatives amid a challenging competitive landscape and cautious U.S. consumer outlook, with the consensus price target unchanged at $334.85. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight McDonald's scale, marketing power, and digital leadership as key advantages in navigating consumer uncertainty and driving share gains, especially through new products and targeted promotions.Articolo di analisi • Jul 15
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD)
Key Insights The projected fair value for McDonald's is US$346 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity McDonald's...Articolo di analisi • Jun 27
McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) Is Very Good At Capital Allocation
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. One common approach is to try and...Seeking Alpha • Apr 28
McDonald's: Steady Fundamentals, Cloudy Future Of Tariffs
Summary McDonald's remains a solid company with stable fundamentals, but its current price suggests modest long-term returns. Despite historical revenue slumps, McDonald's has grown free cash flow by controlling gross margins, crucial amid concerns about Trump's tariffs and rising costs. The company's strong balance sheet, supported by valuable real estate assets, ensures it can manage debt and weather economic headwinds effectively. With Q1 2025 earnings approaching, management's insights on tariffs and consumer impact will be pivotal; current valuation suggests fair value, lacking major growth catalysts. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 18
McDonald's Golden Arches In Danger -- Numerous Headwinds Ahead
Summary MCD's bullish uptrend support remains robust, thanks to its excellent branding power as the largest food-chain in the world, with $221.9B in brand valuation in 2024. Even so, it is undeniable that MCD has delivered underwhelming comparable sales growth and profit margins in 2024, worsened by the impacted balance sheet health. If anything, readers must note that its FY2025 guidance has yet to "include any impact from potential new tariffs," worsened by the deteriorating macroeconomic and consumer environment. The growing anti-US sentiments may also derail MCD's ambitious international growth plans, particularly in China, pending further policy clarity. Combined with the higher short interest volumes, heightened risks of stagflation, and pulled forward upside potential, MCD's golden arch investment thesis appears mixed indeed. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 18
McDonald's: Value Menu, Digital Focus To Sustain Competitive Advantage, Upgrade To Buy
Summary I think McDonald’s stock will be a safe heaven in 2025 considering the uncertainty surrounding tariff and inflation. The company’s value menu and digital focus would sustain their competitive advantage despite a weak consumer spending environment. The company handled the food safety crisis well, and I think McDonald's steady growth will be favored amid the uncertain macro environment. I am upgrading MCD stock with a ‘Buy’ rating and a fair value of $320. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 26
Wall Street Lunch: McDonald's Will Digest High Egg Prices
Summary McDonald's is absorbing higher egg costs due to bird flu, unlike competitors adding surcharges, and is promoting a $1 McMuffin to attract budget-conscious consumers. Chip stocks are rallying ahead of Nvidia's earnings report, with significant open interest in SMCI options indicating potential volatility. New home sales fell in January, but median prices rose, with economists predicting slight declines in prices over the next few quarters. Amazon unveiled Alexa+, an AI-powered assistant with enhanced capabilities, while Wells Fargo sees an opportunity in Communications Services stocks due to recent non-fundamental sell-offs. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 12
McDonald's: Not Finding Compelling McValue Here
Summary McDonald's delivered poor Q4 results, with flat revenue, missing Street expectations despite stronger performance in overseas markets. Same-store sales growth in the U.S. declined due to an E. coli outbreak, offsetting the benefits of the company's $5 Meal Deal extension. The company announced a new McValue offering in the U.S. in January, officially extending the Meal Deal through summer, but in my view, this will do little to help trends. I'm reiterating my sell rating on McDonald's stock, especially as the stock trades at a ~25x forward P/E for nearly nonexistent earnings growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 28
McDonald's Committed To Winning The Value Battle (Q4 Earnings Preview)
Summary McDonald's business model, primarily as a franchisor, ensures stable, recurring revenues with less operational risk, but limits gains during sales spikes. Despite facing headwinds like high commodity prices and traffic challenges, McDonald's expansion plans and value meals aim to drive growth and maintain volume. In this article, we will focus on the upcoming earnings report to understand what the key points may be and how they could affect McDonald's share price. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 07
McDonald's: Value, Innovation, And Operational Excellence To Support Revenue Expansion And Margin Improvements
Summary In 3Q24, McDonald's generated $6.9 billion in revenues, posting a revenue growth of 2.7% y/y and 5.9% q/q. Overall margins deteriorated slightly due to higher financial expenses. Despite a poor consumer outlook, the food and beverage industry is poised for a potential rebound. At least 79% of consumers intend to spend the same or more at QSR. MCD has multiple initiatives to expand revenue and enhance margins. Some of these examples include focusing on the larger chicken market and encouraging more price-sensitive consumers by offering more value. Valuation analysis suggests that the implied share price of MCD is $326.35. Based on the current share price, even if there is no multiple expansion, there is a potential upside of 10.80%. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 06
McDonald's: Investors Will Get A Lot Of Stomach Pain Here
Summary I'm initiating McDonald's with a sell rating. The world's largest fast-food chain has dramatically underperformed both the S&P 500 and fast-casual rivals over the past few years. The company's "Accelerating the Arches" plan is insufficient to revive sales growth, with Q3 trending at a -1.5% same-store sales decline. In the long run, health trends may steepen decay. Its plan to make promotions and $5 Meal Deals more prominent is also helping to contribute to an operating margin decline, on top of rising labor costs. MCD stock has an unattractive valuation at ~25x forward P/E despite near-zero growth in the near term, with uncertain drivers to resurrect growth in the long run. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 24
McDonald's Stalled SSS Can't Be Stopped By 'McRib' And 'McValue'
Summary McDonald's will reintroduce the McRib sandwich on December 3rd and offer half-gallon jugs of McRib sauce starting November 25th. No price point announced, but higher pork prices suggest potential sticker shock for customers. McRib is another attempt to restore comps and traffic that cannot succeed over the long term. The real problem with McDonald's is high daily prices that do not provide good value and are unaffordable for large swaths of the public. A radical re-thinking is necessary. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 05
McDonald's: A Mixed Performance Over The Past Few Months
Summary McDonald's long-term thesis remains intact: focusing on value products and continuing with its restaurant expansion plan. The results have been somewhat mixed, but the actions taken by management are the right ones for the long term. Additionally, many of its competitors are facing the same challenges. The consequences of potential fines related to the E. coli outbreak remain to be seen, but they do not jeopardize the thesis, and there are several reasons that differentiate this. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 27
McDonald's: E. Coli Is Not A Nothingburger, But There Is More To This Correction
Summary McDonald's remains a long-term Hold despite recent E. coli concerns, with its stock down 8% in a week but still up 20% from early summer levels. Historical parallels with Chipotle suggest potential short-term challenges, but McDonald's geographically diversified market presence mitigates similarly extreme downturns. Yet, current high valuation metrics justify a correction regardless of the E. coli outbreak. McDonald's franchise model and valuable real estate holdings provide strong financial resilience, though short-term caution is advised until the full extent of the bacteria outbreak is more tangible. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 21
McDonald's: $5 Meal Deals Not Enough To Convince Discerning Customers
Summary I am rating McDonald’s stock a "hold" with a price target of $284 due to valuation concerns and macroeconomic headwinds despite recent sales initiatives. The $5 Meal Deal and core menu innovations like The Big Arch and Chicken Big Mac aim to restore value perception and drive comparable sales growth. Growing loyalty membership, which currently stands at 166M, is expected to increase order values and purchase frequency, enhancing customer engagement. Despite projected revenue and earnings growth, McDonald’s trades at a premium compared to faster-growing competitors, limiting the stock's risk-reward attractiveness. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 08
Wall Street Lunch: McDonald's Starts A Beef
Summary McDonald's is suing major meatpackers for allegedly colluding to inflate beef prices by limiting supplies since 2015. PepsiCo slides after guiding for a low-single-digit increase in organic revenue, Q3 results miss. Check out Wells Fargo’s update to its signature picks list. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRendimenti per gli azionisti
| MCD | US Hospitality | US Mercato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 2.1% | 0.1% | 1.0% |
| 1Y | -10.3% | -4.3% | 28.7% |
Ritorno vs Industria: MCD ha avuto una performance inferiore rispetto al US Hospitality che ha registrato un rendimento -4.3 % nell'ultimo anno.
Rendimento vs Mercato: MCD ha avuto una performance inferiore al mercato US che ha registrato un rendimento 28.7 % nell'ultimo anno.
Volatilità dei prezzi
| MCD volatility | |
|---|---|
| MCD Average Weekly Movement | 2.6% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.6% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.4% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Prezzo delle azioni stabile: MCD non ha avuto una volatilità dei prezzi significativa negli ultimi 3 mesi rispetto al mercato US.
Volatilità nel tempo: La volatilità settimanale ( 3% ) di MCD è rimasta stabile nell'ultimo anno.
Informazioni sull'azienda
| Fondato | I dipendenti | AMMINISTRATORE DELEGATO | Sito web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1940 | 150,000 | Chris Kempczinski | www.mcdonalds.com |
McDonald's Corporation possiede, gestisce e affitta ristoranti con il marchio McDonald's negli Stati Uniti e a livello internazionale. Offre cibo e bevande, tra cui hamburger e cheeseburger, vari panini al pollo, patatine fritte, frullati, dessert surgelati, coppe di gelato, coni soft serve, biscotti, torte, bevande analcoliche, caffè e altre bevande; colazione completa o limitata, e vende vari altri prodotti durante le promozioni a tempo limitato. L'azienda possiede e gestisce ristoranti in franchising sotto varie strutture, tra cui il franchising tradizionale, la licenza di sviluppo o l'affiliazione.
McDonald's Corporation Riepilogo dei fondamenti
| MCD statistiche fondamentali | |
|---|---|
| Capitalizzazione di mercato | US$201.91b |
| Utili (TTM) | US$8.68b |
| Ricavi(TTM) | US$27.45b |
23.1x
Rapporto P/E7.3x
Rapporto P/SMCD è sopravvalutato?
Vedi Fair Value e analisi di valutazioneUtili e ricavi
| MCD Conto economico (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Ricavi | US$27.45b |
| Costo del fatturato | US$11.71b |
| Profitto lordo | US$15.74b |
| Altre spese | US$7.06b |
| Utili | US$8.68b |
Ultimi utili riportati
Mar 31, 2026
Prossima data di guadagno
n/a
| Utile per azione (EPS) | 12.21 |
| Margine lordo | 57.35% |
| Margine di profitto netto | 31.62% |
| Rapporto debito/patrimonio netto | -3,119.7% |
Come si è comportato MCD nel lungo periodo?
Vedi performance storica e confrontoDividendi
2.6%
Rendimento attuale del dividendo60%
Rapporto di remunerazioneAnalisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari
| Dati | Ultimo aggiornamento (ora UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analisi dell'azienda | 2026/05/22 13:03 |
| Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Utili | 2026/03/31 |
| Utili annuali | 2025/12/31 |
Fonti dei dati
I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.
| Pacchetto | Dati | Tempistica | Esempio Fonte USA * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dati finanziari della società | 10 anni |
| |
| Stime di consenso degli analisti | +3 anni |
|
|
| Prezzi di mercato | 30 anni |
| |
| Proprietà | 10 anni |
| |
| Gestione | 10 anni |
| |
| Sviluppi principali | 10 anni |
|
* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.
Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.
Modello di analisi e Snowflake
I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina Github; abbiamo anche guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e tutorial su Youtube.
Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.
Metriche di settore e industriali
Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.
Fonti analitiche
McDonald's Corporation è coperta da 63 analisti. 32 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.
| Analista | Istituzione |
|---|---|
| Jim Marrone | Accountability Research Corporation |
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| David Tarantino | Baird |