McDonald's Corporation

Report azionario NYSE:MCD

Capitalizzazione di mercato: US$189.3b

McDonald's Performance degli utili passati

Criteri Il passato verificati 2/6

McDonald's ha registrato una crescita degli utili a un tasso medio annuo di 5.8%, mentre il settore Hospitality ha registrato utili in crescita a un tasso medio annuo di 25.8%. I ricavi sono stati in crescita a un tasso medio annuo di 4.2%.

Informazioni chiave

5.82%

Tasso di crescita degli utili

6.91%

Tasso di crescita dell'EPS

Hospitality Crescita del settore19.52%
Tasso di crescita dei ricavi4.17%
Rendimento del capitale proprion/a
Margine netto31.72%
Ultimo aggiornamento sugli utili30 Jun 2026

Aggiornamenti sulle prestazioni recenti

Recent updates

Aggiornamento narrativa • Aug 10

MCD: NEXT Automation And AI Will Drive Long Term Cash Compounding

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for McDonald's to about $316 from roughly $324, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions and a modestly higher discount rate, partly offset by a small uplift in expected profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on McDonald's points to a split view.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 10

McDonald's & Restaurant Brands International: A 'Flipping Burgers' Comparison

Summary Restaurant Brands International continues to outperform McDonald's in earnings growth and market share gains. MCD maintains a significant valuation premium—over 25% on FCF and 17% on forward PE—despite QSR's superior business momentum. QSR posted 8.5% US same-store sales growth versus MCD's 0.8%, reaffirming its 8% adjusted earnings growth target for 2026. I remain in favor of holding QSR over MCD, given QSR's growth, valuation advantage, and higher 3.5% dividend yield. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jul 27

MCD: NEXT Automation And AI Will Support Long Term Cash Compounding

McDonald's price target narrative is being revised slightly lower to about $323.90 from roughly $331.29, as analysts factor in softer near term sales trends and a mixed restaurant backdrop while still expecting brand strength and market share gains over time. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a split view, with most analysts trimming price targets while still highlighting the company's brand strength and long term positioning.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jun 18

MCD: Next Era Restaurant Upgrades And AI Will Support Franchise Cash Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average McDonald's price target by roughly $20, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and modest tweaks to long term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations, even though the stock has been added to some high conviction lists. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around McDonald's highlights a mixed setup, with several banks trimming price targets while the stock is still being added to high conviction lists.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Jun 04

MCD: Value Menu And Dividend Strength Will Support Franchise Cash Returns

Analysts now set McDonald's fair value at about $331.29, a modest adjustment from $330. This reflects a blend of recent target cuts from several firms and inclusion on Jefferies' Franchise Picks list, with updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a similar profit margin profile, and a future P/E of about 28.47x.
Aggiornamento narrativa • May 20

MCD: Value Menu Reset Will Support High Conviction Franchise Cash Generation

Analysts have trimmed the McDonald's fair value estimate from $345.00 to $330.00, reflecting slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples, even as broader research remains generally constructive on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings while reassessing growth, margins, and valuation multiples.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Apr 27

MCD: Value Menu Reset Will Support Digital And Franchise Model Upside

McDonald's updated analyst price target edges up by about $0.15 to $345.00 as analysts factor in slightly higher profit margin expectations and a modestly adjusted discount rate, following a wave of recent upgrades and target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on McDonald's has been active, with a cluster of target changes and rating moves pointing to a mixed but generally constructive debate around valuation, earnings quality, and the pace of future growth.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Apr 11

MCD: Value Menu Repositioning Will Support Digital And Franchise Model Breakout

McDonald's updated analyst price target edges slightly lower to about $344.85 from $345.21. Analysts point to a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer profit margin assumptions, while continuing to highlight the brand's global reach, digital investments, and franchise model in recent research.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Mar 27

MCD: Value Menu Repositioning And Digital Efficiencies Are Expected To Support Breakout

McDonald's Analyst Price Target has been nudged higher to $345.21 from $344.09 as analysts point to the company's powerful global brand, rapid unit expansion, digital and AI-driven efficiencies, and an asset light franchise model as key supports for its updated valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on McDonald's has been skewed toward higher price targets and rating upgrades, with several banks citing brand strength, digital investments, and the franchise model as key supports for the current valuation reset.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Mar 13

MCD: Value Repositioning And Digital Efficiencies Are Expected To Support Breakout Potential

Analysts have nudged our McDonald's fair value estimate higher from $341.28 to $344.09. This reflects their higher Street price targets that point to the brand's global reach, franchise model, operational efficiencies, and steady U.S. business momentum.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Feb 27

MCD: Value And Digital Execution Are Expected To Support Breakout Setup

Narrative Update McDonald's fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $341.28 as analysts lift price targets across the stock. They cite what they see as higher quality growth, strong profitability and benefits from digital investments, marketing and value initiatives into 2026.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Feb 13

MCD: Value Positioning And Brand Repositioning Are Expected To Support Breakout Potential

Analysts have nudged their McDonald's price target higher to about $339 from $331, citing modestly stronger revenue growth assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate, and only small tweaks to long term profit margin and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on McDonald's has been active, with several price target revisions and rating changes clustered around a similar thesis.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Dec 20

MCD: Value Strategy And Cost Tailwinds Will Balance Consumer Traffic Risks

Analysts have nudged their price target on McDonald's slightly higher to $331.20. This reflects modest improvements in projected revenue growth and profit margins, even as they remain cautious about the company's value focus amid ongoing pressure on lower income consumers.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Dec 06

MCD: Value Promotions And Remodels Will Balance Consumer And Margin Pressures

Analysts have trimmed their McDonald's fair value estimate slightly, lowering the target by about $0.30 to roughly $331. This reflects modestly softer long term revenue growth assumptions and a higher discount rate, which offset a small improvement in projected profit margins and still robust expectations for value driven traffic and potential multiple expansion.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Nov 22

MCD: Value Initiatives And Consumer Headwinds Will Shape Market Share Performance

McDonald's analyst fair value estimate was nudged higher to $331.53 from $330.87, as analysts point to ongoing value initiatives and expectations for store growth and market share gains, which support the updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst notes on McDonald's highlight a mix of optimism about the company’s value initiatives and store growth, while also flagging continued caution regarding consumer trends and traffic drivers.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Nov 08

MCD: Value Focus And Consumer Trends Will Shape Performance Amid Mixed Signals

McDonald's analyst price target edged slightly lower to $330.87 from $331.14, a modest adjustment reflecting analysts' cautious outlook over mixed consumer traffic trends and evolving value strategies, while balancing these factors against resilient revenue growth forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on McDonald's reflects a broad mix of optimism and caution, with price targets being adjusted in response to changing consumer dynamics and evolving company strategies.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Oct 25

Future Performance Will Rely On Value Positioning And Digital Expansion

Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value price target for McDonald's to $331.14 from $331.52. They cite continued caution around consumer spending and uncertainty over the impact of value-focused initiatives on traffic and margins.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Oct 10

International Expansion And Digital Commerce Will Shape Future Success

Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for McDonald's to $331.52, a decrease of about $4. This adjustment reflects cautious outlooks on the company's value-driven strategy and continued pressure on lower-income consumer spending.
Aggiornamento narrativa • Sep 04

International Expansion And Digital Commerce Will Shape Future Success

Analysts remain divided on the benefits and risks of McDonald's value initiatives amid a challenging competitive landscape and cautious U.S. consumer outlook, with the consensus price target unchanged at $334.85. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight McDonald's scale, marketing power, and digital leadership as key advantages in navigating consumer uncertainty and driving share gains, especially through new products and targeted promotions.
Seeking Alpha • Apr 28

McDonald's: Steady Fundamentals, Cloudy Future Of Tariffs

Summary McDonald's remains a solid company with stable fundamentals, but its current price suggests modest long-term returns. Despite historical revenue slumps, McDonald's has grown free cash flow by controlling gross margins, crucial amid concerns about Trump's tariffs and rising costs. The company's strong balance sheet, supported by valuable real estate assets, ensures it can manage debt and weather economic headwinds effectively. With Q1 2025 earnings approaching, management's insights on tariffs and consumer impact will be pivotal; current valuation suggests fair value, lacking major growth catalysts. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 18

McDonald's Golden Arches In Danger -- Numerous Headwinds Ahead

Summary MCD's bullish uptrend support remains robust, thanks to its excellent branding power as the largest food-chain in the world, with $221.9B in brand valuation in 2024. Even so, it is undeniable that MCD has delivered underwhelming comparable sales growth and profit margins in 2024, worsened by the impacted balance sheet health. If anything, readers must note that its FY2025 guidance has yet to "include any impact from potential new tariffs," worsened by the deteriorating macroeconomic and consumer environment. The growing anti-US sentiments may also derail MCD's ambitious international growth plans, particularly in China, pending further policy clarity. Combined with the higher short interest volumes, heightened risks of stagflation, and pulled forward upside potential, MCD's golden arch investment thesis appears mixed indeed. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 18

McDonald's: Value Menu, Digital Focus To Sustain Competitive Advantage, Upgrade To Buy

Summary I think McDonald’s stock will be a safe heaven in 2025 considering the uncertainty surrounding tariff and inflation. The company’s value menu and digital focus would sustain their competitive advantage despite a weak consumer spending environment. The company handled the food safety crisis well, and I think McDonald's steady growth will be favored amid the uncertain macro environment. I am upgrading MCD stock with a ‘Buy’ rating and a fair value of $320. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 26

Wall Street Lunch: McDonald's Will Digest High Egg Prices

Summary McDonald's is absorbing higher egg costs due to bird flu, unlike competitors adding surcharges, and is promoting a $1 McMuffin to attract budget-conscious consumers. Chip stocks are rallying ahead of Nvidia's earnings report, with significant open interest in SMCI options indicating potential volatility. New home sales fell in January, but median prices rose, with economists predicting slight declines in prices over the next few quarters. Amazon unveiled Alexa+, an AI-powered assistant with enhanced capabilities, while Wells Fargo sees an opportunity in Communications Services stocks due to recent non-fundamental sell-offs. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 12

McDonald's: Not Finding Compelling McValue Here

Summary McDonald's delivered poor Q4 results, with flat revenue, missing Street expectations despite stronger performance in overseas markets. Same-store sales growth in the U.S. declined due to an E. coli outbreak, offsetting the benefits of the company's $5 Meal Deal extension. The company announced a new McValue offering in the U.S. in January, officially extending the Meal Deal through summer, but in my view, this will do little to help trends. I'm reiterating my sell rating on McDonald's stock, especially as the stock trades at a ~25x forward P/E for nearly nonexistent earnings growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 28

McDonald's Committed To Winning The Value Battle (Q4 Earnings Preview)

Summary McDonald's business model, primarily as a franchisor, ensures stable, recurring revenues with less operational risk, but limits gains during sales spikes. Despite facing headwinds like high commodity prices and traffic challenges, McDonald's expansion plans and value meals aim to drive growth and maintain volume. In this article, we will focus on the upcoming earnings report to understand what the key points may be and how they could affect McDonald's share price. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Ripartizione dei ricavi e delle spese

Come McDonald's guadagna e spende denaro. In base agli ultimi utili dichiarati, su base LTM.

Storico di utili e ricavi

NYSE:MCD Ricavi, spese e utili (USD Millions )
DataRicaviUtiliSpese G+ASpese di R&S
30 Jun 2627,7028,7872,7670
31 Mar 2627,4468,6782,6560
31 Dec 2526,8858,5632,5830
30 Sep 2526,2648,4152,4980
30 Jun 2526,0608,3932,3700
31 Mar 2525,7078,1622,3650
31 Dec 2425,9208,2232,4120
30 Sep 2425,9398,2462,4790
30 Jun 2425,7588,3072,5260
31 Mar 2425,7658,5962,5040
31 Dec 2325,4948,4692,4350
30 Sep 2325,0148,3332,4240
30 Jun 2324,1947,9982,4180
31 Mar 2323,4156,8752,4610
31 Dec 2223,1836,1772,4920
30 Sep 2223,2655,9132,5270
30 Jun 2223,5946,0812,5110
31 Mar 2223,7647,1122,4720
31 Dec 2123,2237,5452,3780
30 Sep 2122,5287,2842,3200
30 Jun 2121,7446,8962,2160
31 Mar 2119,6185,1612,2190
31 Dec 2019,2084,7312,2450
30 Sep 2019,3224,9262,1320
30 Jun 2019,4064,7712,1520
31 Mar 2021,0555,8042,0460
31 Dec 1921,3646,0251,9670
30 Sep 1921,0995,8691,9920
30 Jun 1920,9665,8982,0330
31 Mar 1920,9105,8772,1050
31 Dec 1821,2585,9241,9850
30 Sep 1821,2025,2082,2080
30 Jun 1821,5885,4542,2600
31 Mar 1822,2835,3532,2430
31 Dec 1722,8205,1922,2310
30 Sep 1723,5095,6872,2410
30 Jun 1724,1795,0792,2570
31 Mar 1724,3944,7772,3280
31 Dec 1624,6224,6872,3850
30 Sep 1624,9344,6992,4320
30 Jun 1625,1254,7332,4330
31 Mar 1625,3584,8432,4300
31 Dec 1525,4134,5292,4340
30 Sep 1525,6444,4212,4220

Guadagni di qualità: MCD ha guadagni di alta qualità.

Margine di profitto in crescita: Gli attuali margini di profitto netti di MCD (31.7%) sono inferiori rispetto allo scorso anno (32.2%).

Flusso di cassa libero e analisi degli utili

Analisi della crescita degli utili nel passato

Andamento degli utili: Gli utili di MCD sono cresciuti del 5.8% all'anno negli ultimi 5 anni.

Accelerare la crescita: La crescita degli utili di MCD nell'ultimo anno ( 4.7% ) è inferiore alla media quinquennale ( 5.8% all'anno).

Guadagni vs Settore: La crescita degli utili MCD nell'ultimo anno ( 4.7% ) non ha superato quella del settore Hospitality 21.8%.

Rendimento del capitale proprio

ROE elevato: Le passività di MCD superano le sue attività, quindi è difficile calcolare il suo rendimento del capitale proprio.

Rendimento delle attività

Rendimento del capitale investito

Scoprire le aziende con forti performance passate

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Analisi aziendale e situazione dei dati finanziari

DatiUltimo aggiornamento (ora UTC)
Analisi dell'azienda2026/08/20 20:07
Prezzo dell'azione a fine giornata2026/08/20 00:00
Utili2026/06/30
Utili annuali2025/12/31

Fonti dei dati

I dati utilizzati nella nostra analisi aziendale provengono da S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. I seguenti dati sono utilizzati nel nostro modello di analisi per generare questo report. I dati sono normalizzati, il che può comportare un ritardo nella disponibilità della fonte.

PacchettoDatiTempisticaEsempio Fonte USA *
Dati finanziari della società10 anni
  • Conto economico
  • Rendiconto finanziario
  • Bilancio
Stime di consenso degli analisti+3 anni
  • Previsioni finanziarie
  • Obiettivi di prezzo degli analisti
Prezzi di mercato30 anni
  • Prezzi delle azioni
  • Dividendi, scissioni e azioni
Proprietà10 anni
  • Top azionisti
  • Insider trading
Gestione10 anni
  • Team di leadership
  • Consiglio di amministrazione
Sviluppi principali10 anni
  • Annunci aziendali

* Esempio per i titoli statunitensi, per i titoli non statunitensi si utilizzano forme e fonti normative equivalenti.

Se non specificato, tutti i dati finanziari si basano su un periodo annuale ma vengono aggiornati trimestralmente. Si tratta dei cosiddetti dati TTM (Trailing Twelve Month) o LTM (Last Twelve Month). Per saperne di più.

Modello di analisi e Snowflake

I dettagli del modello di analisi utilizzato per generare questo report sono disponibili sulla nostra pagina GitHub; abbiamo anche delle guide su come utilizzare i nostri report e dei tutorial su YouTube.

Scoprite il team di livello mondiale che ha progettato e realizzato il modello di analisi Simply Wall St.

Metriche di settore e industriali

Le nostre metriche di settore e di sezione sono calcolate ogni 6 ore da Simply Wall St; i dettagli del nostro processo sono disponibili su Github.

Fonti analitiche

McDonald's Corporation è coperta da 61 analisti. 32 di questi analisti ha fornito le stime di fatturato o di utile utilizzate come input per il nostro report. Le stime degli analisti vengono aggiornate nel corso della giornata.

AnalistaIstituzione
Jim MarroneAccountability Research Corporation
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird