Advance Auto Parts Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 3/6
Advance Auto Parts devrait augmenter ses bénéfices et son chiffre d'affaires de 26.1% et de 1.8% par an respectivement. Le BPA devrait croître de de 25.5% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être 9.6% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
26.1%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
25.54%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Specialty Retail croissance des bénéfices | 9.9% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | 1.8% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 9.64% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Good |
| Dernière mise à jour | 22 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 21
Advance Auto Parts: Stellar Q1 Shows The Turnaround Is Working
Summary Advance Auto Parts delivered strong Q1 results, with EPS of $0.77 and 3.5% same-store sales growth, signaling tangible turnaround progress. Gross margin improved 130bps to 45.1%, and operating margin expanded 410bps to 3.8%, reflecting successful merchandising and cost control initiatives. AAP maintained conservative full-year guidance despite Q1 outperformance, with EPS expected at $2.40-$3.10 and same-store sales growth of 1%-2%. I view AAP as a 'Hold' at the current valuation (~20x 2026E EPS), favoring entry on pullbacks below $54 given ongoing execution and macro risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit • May 11
AAP: Completed Buybacks And 2026 Sales Guidance Will Support Future Multiple
Analysts have kept their $70.00 price target on Advance Auto Parts unchanged, citing slightly adjusted assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E that refine their outlook without shifting the overall valuation anchor. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts issued full year 2026 earnings guidance, with expected net sales between $8,485 million and $8,575 million.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 23
AAP: Completed Buybacks And 2026 Sales Guidance Will Support Future Multiple
Analysts have kept their $70.00 price target on Advance Auto Parts steady, citing only small adjustments in the modeled discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions as the reason to keep their valuation view largely unchanged. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts issued earnings guidance for full year 2026, with expected net sales in a range of $8,485m to $8,575m (company guidance).Mise à jour du récit • Apr 08
AAP: Completed Buybacks And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Future Multiple
Analysts have raised their price target on Advance Auto Parts to $70 from $65, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts reported that from October 5, 2025 to January 3, 2026, it repurchased 0 shares for $0 million, and stated that it has completed the previously announced buyback program with a total of 12,114,059 shares repurchased for $2,152.86 million, representing 18.62% of shares under the program announced on August 13, 2019 (Key Developments).
Mise à jour du récit • Mar 25
AAP: Modest Margin Outlook And Cautious Guidance Will Likely Limit Future Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Advance Auto Parts to about $40.63 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts reported that between October 5, 2025 and January 3, 2026, it repurchased 0 shares for $0 under its existing buyback, and stated that it has completed repurchases of 12,114,059 shares, or 18.62%, totaling $2,152.86m under the buyback announced on August 13, 2019 (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Mar 10
AAP: Softer Long Term Revenue Outlook Will Likely Cap Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target for Advance Auto Parts from about $34.51 to roughly $40.63, pointing to a lower assumed discount rate and higher future P/E, even as they now model softer revenue growth and slightly lower profit margins. What's in the News Issued full year 2026 earnings guidance with expected net sales between US$8.485b and US$8.575b, giving investors a clearer view of management's current top line outlook (Corporate Guidance).
Mise à jour du récit • Feb 24
AAP: New House-Brand Rollout And Guidance Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their price target for Advance Auto Parts by about $5 to $57. This reflects updated views on fair value, a lower discount rate and revised assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 10
AAP: Value-Focused Product Launch Will Support Stronger Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have modestly revised their price target framework for Advance Auto Parts, keeping fair value unchanged at $65.00 while fine tuning assumptions such as a 12.33% discount rate, 2.29% revenue growth, a 4.02% profit margin, and a 14.91x future P/E to better reflect their current outlook on the business. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts launched ARGOS, a new owned oil and fluids brand aimed at customers looking for high quality, lower priced auto care products, following extensive surveys, market analysis and field testing with both DIY and professional users (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Jan 27
AAP: New Private Label Launch And Modest Outlook Will Shape Measured Upside
Analysts have trimmed their implied fair value estimate for Advance Auto Parts from about US$54.30 to roughly US$51.29. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 12
AAP: Higher Future P/E Will Reflect Stronger Revenue Outlook
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Advance Auto Parts at $65.00. They have adjusted their assumptions to reflect modestly higher revenue growth, lower profit margins, and a higher future P/E, which together underpin the latest price target narrative.Article d’analyse • Jan 06
Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.25
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) will pay a dividend of $0.25 on the 23rd of January. Based on this payment, the...Article d’analyse • Jan 01
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s (NYSE:AAP) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 26%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) share price has dived 26% in the last...Mise à jour du récit • Dec 27
AAP: Higher Revenue Outlook Will Support Improved Forward Earnings Multiple
Analysts have raised their price target on Advance Auto Parts from 61.41 dollars to 65.00 dollars, citing expectations for stronger revenue growth and a modest re rating of future earnings multiples, despite slightly lower projected profit margins and a higher discount rate. What's in the News Updated buyback disclosure shows no share repurchases between July 13 and October 4, 2025, and confirms completion of a 12.1 million share program totaling approximately 18.6% of shares for about $2.15 billion under the 2019 authorization (Key Developments).Article d’analyse • Dec 23
Advance Auto Parts' (NYSE:AAP) Dividend Will Be $0.25
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.25 per share on the 23rd of...Mise à jour du récit • Dec 12
AAP: Higher Risk Profile Will Likely Limit Upside Despite Margin Improvement
Analysts have raised their price target on Advance Auto Parts by about 3 percent to approximately 34.51 dollars, citing improving revenue growth expectations, higher projected profit margins, and a more attractive future earnings multiple despite a slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts raised its full year 2025 net sales guidance to a range of 8,550 million dollars to 8,600 million dollars, up from the prior 8,400 million dollars to 8,600 million dollars range (Company guidance filing).Mise à jour du récit • Nov 27
AAP: Revenue Outlook And Completed Buyback Will Support Measured Upside
Analysts have raised their price target for Advance Auto Parts from $53.20 to $54.30. This change is based on strengthened revenue growth expectations, even with a higher discount rate and modestly lower profit margins.Article d’analyse • Nov 08
Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.25
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) will pay a dividend of $0.25 on the 23rd of January. This means the dividend...Article d’analyse • Oct 09
Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.25
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.25 per share on the 24th of...Article d’analyse • Aug 18
Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.25
The board of Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.25 per share on the...Mise à jour du récit • Aug 16
Supply Chain Consolidation And Vendor Partnerships Will Boost Efficiency By 2027
The notable upward revision in Advance Auto Parts’ price target reflects improved revenue growth forecasts and an increase in expected future P/E, resulting in a new consensus analyst price target of $52.60. What's in the News Advance Auto Parts expects 2025 net sales of $8.4 billion to $8.6 billion and guided Q2 net sales at $1.98 billion to $2.00 billion, with flat to slightly positive comparable store sales.Article d’analyse • Jul 13
Optimistic Investors Push Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP) Shares Up 29% But Growth Is Lacking
Despite an already strong run, Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29...Article d’analyse • Jun 30
Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.25
The board of Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 25th of July, with...Article d’analyse • Jun 10
Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Article d’analyse • May 23
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s (NYSE:AAP) 49% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 49% after a shaky period...Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Advance Auto Parts: Solid Turnaround Progress, But Near-Term Weakness Cannot Be Ignored
Summary I maintain a hold rating on Advance Auto Parts due to ongoing execution risks and the need for sustained same-store-sales growth and valuation below 16x. AAP's financial flexibility has significantly improved with reduced net debt and increased cash, allowing management to focus on operational execution without financial distress. Turnaround initiatives, including store closures and new operational strategies, are progressing faster than expected, showing early signs of positive impact on performance. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Apr 08
What Is Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s (NYSE:AAP) Share Price Doing?
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a...Seeking Alpha • Mar 28
Advance Auto Parts: Growth Strategy May Prove Too Aggressive
Summary Advance Auto Parts has struggled, losing half its value, but plans to add stores, signaling hopes for a potential turnaround. Despite store expansion, same-store sales and revenue have declined, raising concerns about the company's growth strategy and timing. The company has significant liquidity from asset sales but faces challenges with cash flow, debt reduction, and achieving EBITDA growth targets. Tariffs on imported vehicles and parts present mixed impacts, with potential cost increases and demand shifts, and I still view the stock as a sell. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Mar 24
Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.25
The board of Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.25 per share on the...Seeking Alpha • Mar 11
Advance Auto Parts: Ready For A Major Turnaround
Summary Advance Auto Parts may be down 85% from its peak, but it's beginning to show plenty of promise, with investors no where close to pricing in the potential upside. Despite disappointing Q4 results, including a significant EPS crash and margin contraction, the company's restructuring efforts and future guidance offer plenty of optimism. The sale of Worldpac for $1.45 billion will also help to drastically reduce debt, while ahead-of-schedule store closures are expected to boost EPS and financial stability going into H2. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Mar 04
More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s (NYSE:AAP) Shares After Tumbling 27%
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ( NYSE:AAP ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...Article d’analyse • Mar 01
Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.25
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s ( NYSE:AAP ) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.25 per share on 25th of April...Article d’analyse • Feb 17
Be Wary Of Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) And Its Returns On Capital
Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase...Article d’analyse • Feb 04
Is Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's...
Nouveau récit • Jan 24
Investments In Supply Chain And Merchandising Will Strengthen Future Performance
Advance Auto Parts aims to boost long-term net margins through merchandising, supply chain, and operational efficiency enhancements, targeting improved earnings.Seeking Alpha • Jan 17
Advance Auto Parts: Near-Term Headwinds Overshadow Promising Recovery Plans
Summary Hold rating for Advance Auto Parts due to execution risks and near-term financial weakness, despite a promising turnaround plan and favorable industry backdrop. Management's multi-year strategy focuses on optimizing store operations, supply chain efficiency, and merchandising excellence to improve EBIT margins. Execution risks are significant, with poor past performance and a restrictive balance sheet posing challenges to successful implementation. Valuation concerns arise as AAP trades at a premium to peers, with the potential for de-rating if improvements aren't seen soon. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaArticle d’analyse • Jan 08
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Advance Auto Parts fair value estimate is US$38.63 Advance...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 8,970 | 280 | 100 | 701 | 9 |
| 12/31/2027 | 8,786 | 239 | 242 | 514 | 22 |
| 12/31/2026 | 8,572 | 162 | 112 | 470 | 22 |
| 4/25/2026 | 8,632 | 68 | -175 | 91 | N/A |
| 1/3/2026 | 8,601 | 68 | -298 | -46 | N/A |
| 10/4/2025 | 8,624 | -572 | -401 | -191 | N/A |
| 7/12/2025 | 8,737 | -596 | -298 | -109 | N/A |
| 4/19/2025 | 8,905 | -580 | -251 | -74 | N/A |
| 12/28/2024 | 9,094 | -587 | -96 | 85 | N/A |
| 10/5/2024 | 9,112 | -12 | 235 | 417 | N/A |
| 7/13/2024 | 9,183 | -61 | 375 | 543 | N/A |
| 4/20/2024 | 8,563 | -61 | 491 | 673 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 9,209 | -30 | 61 | 287 | N/A |
| 10/7/2023 | 9,668 | 83 | 16 | 282 | N/A |
| 7/15/2023 | 10,092 | 273 | -99 | 261 | N/A |
| 4/22/2023 | 11,198 | 373 | 8 | 409 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 9,149 | 361 | 336 | 737 | N/A |
| 10/8/2022 | 11,078 | 468 | 238 | 670 | N/A |
| 7/16/2022 | 11,058 | 522 | 273 | 645 | N/A |
| 4/23/2022 | 11,042 | 570 | 394 | 727 | N/A |
| 1/1/2022 | 10,998 | 597 | 817 | 1,107 | N/A |
| 10/9/2021 | 10,966 | 646 | 819 | 1,085 | N/A |
| 7/17/2021 | 10,887 | 624 | 1,041 | 1,298 | N/A |
| 4/24/2021 | 10,739 | 635 | 1,033 | 1,289 | N/A |
| 1/2/2021 | 10,106 | 493 | 702 | 970 | N/A |
| 10/3/2020 | 9,854 | 477 | 472 | 968 | N/A |
| 7/11/2020 | 9,624 | 453 | 322 | 823 | N/A |
| 4/18/2020 | 9,455 | 388 | N/A | 673 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 9,709 | 487 | N/A | 867 | N/A |
| 10/5/2019 | 9,701 | 444 | N/A | 838 | N/A |
| 7/13/2019 | 9,664 | 437 | N/A | 859 | N/A |
| 4/20/2019 | 9,659 | 430 | N/A | 862 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 9,581 | 424 | N/A | 811 | N/A |
| 10/6/2018 | 9,512 | 555 | N/A | 881 | N/A |
| 7/14/2018 | 9,420 | 535 | N/A | 777 | N/A |
| 4/21/2018 | 9,357 | 504 | N/A | 720 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 9,374 | 476 | N/A | 601 | N/A |
| 10/7/2017 | 9,420 | 353 | N/A | 497 | N/A |
| 7/15/2017 | 9,486 | 371 | N/A | 582 | N/A |
| 4/22/2017 | 9,479 | 409 | N/A | 470 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 9,568 | 460 | N/A | 523 | N/A |
| 10/8/2016 | 9,518 | 452 | N/A | 597 | N/A |
| 7/16/2016 | 9,565 | 458 | N/A | 567 | N/A |
| 4/23/2016 | 9,679 | 483 | N/A | 676 | N/A |
| 1/2/2016 | 9,737 | 473 | N/A | 703 | N/A |
| 10/10/2015 | 9,941 | 501 | N/A | 689 | N/A |
| 7/18/2015 | 9,935 | 503 | N/A | 719 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: La croissance des bénéfices prévue de AAP ( 26.1% par an) est supérieure au taux d'épargne ( 3.5% ).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de AAP ( 26.1% par an) devraient croître plus rapidement que le marché US ( 16.8% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de AAP devraient augmenter de manière significative au cours des 3 prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Le chiffre d'affaires de AAP ( 1.8% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que le marché de US ( 11.7% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Le chiffre d'affaires de AAP ( 1.8% par an) devrait croître plus lentement que 20% par an.
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de AAP devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 9.6 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/05/22 05:33 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/04/25 |
| Revenus annuels | 2026/01/03 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. est couverte par 40 analystes. 22 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Craig Kennison | Baird |
| Alan Rifkin | Barclays |