Spotify Technology (SPOT) Aperçu de l'action
Spotify Technology S.A., avec ses filiales, fournit des services de streaming audio par abonnement dans le monde entier. Plus de détails
| Score flocon de neige | |
|---|---|
| Évaluation | 3/6 |
| Croissance future | 2/6 |
| Performances passées | 6/6 |
| Santé financière | 6/6 |
| Dividendes | 0/6 |
SPOT Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Spotify Technology S.A. Concurrents
Historique des prix et performances
| Historique des cours de bourse | |
|---|---|
| Prix actuel de l'action | US$556.31 |
| Plus haut sur 52 semaines | US$745.00 |
| Plus bas sur 52 semaines | US$405.00 |
| Bêta | 1.59 |
| Variation sur 1 mois | 8.48% |
| Variation sur 3 mois | 18.41% |
| Variation sur 1 an | -20.88% |
| Variation sur 3 ans | 249.35% |
| Variation sur 5 ans | 133.98% |
| Évolution depuis l'introduction en bourse | 273.34% |
Nouvelles et mises à jour récentes
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Sep 10
Spotify Still Looks Like A Hold Despite Better Fundamentals
Summary Spotify has shifted focus from pure growth to disciplined profitability, with Q2 2026 gross margin at 33.4% and strong free cash flow. SPOT’s monetization is expanding via higher ARPU, Audiobooks+ add-ons, and a revamped, more automated ad business supporting double-digit ad growth targets. Management maintains mid-teen revenue growth and 35–40% gross margin targets, with operating margin aimed above 20% by 2030 and a robust €9.4B net cash position. Despite operational improvements, SPOT’s premium valuation and visible risks justify a Hold rating, as most upside appears priced in and cost risks remain material. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Mise à jour du récit • Aug 14
SPOT: AI Monetization Tests And Mixed Outlook Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile
Analysts have slightly lifted the blended price target for Spotify Technology to $485.49, with recent research pointing to mixed Q3 expectations, refreshed Q2 models, and ongoing debate about how new AI driven features and pricing tests might influence growth, margins, and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify Technology shows a wide range of price targets and ratings, with opinions splitting around how much value to assign to the company’s AI roadmap, pricing experiments, and long term margin goals.
Mise à jour du récit • Jul 31
SPOT: AI Roadmap And Premium Add Ons Will Support Future Margins
Spotify Technology's updated analyst price target framework points to a modest fair value adjustment to about $606 per share. Analysts cite steady execution on growth and margins, an expanded AI driven product roadmap, and new premium offerings that refine assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels.
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 30
SPOT: AI Licensing And Premium Add Ons Will Drive Future Margins
Spotify Technology's analyst price target has been raised by roughly $80 to the mid $500s, as analysts point to the company's AI-driven product roadmap, new monetization tools, and long-term financial targets highlighted at its recent investor day. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Spotify Technology centers on how its AI product roadmap, new premium tiers, and licensing deals could influence long-term growth, execution, and valuation.Mise à jour du récit • Jun 16
SPOT: AI Personalization And Pricing Tests Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile
Analyst price targets for Spotify have shifted higher by roughly $50 to $150, into a $520 to $650 range, as analysts react to the investor day focus on AI driven personalization, new premium tiers, and licensing deals with Universal Music Group and Live Nation that are seen as supportive of engagement, monetization, and the updated profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a wide spread of views on Spotify, with several firms lifting price targets into a higher range following the investor day, while others remain more cautious on how the story plays out in practice.Mise à jour du récit • Jun 01
SPOT: AI Partnerships And Premium Add Ons Will Drive Future Margin Expansion
Analysts trimmed the fair value estimate for Spotify to $734 from $787, even as many raised price targets into the $520 to $650 range. This reflects enthusiasm around the company's AI driven product roadmap, new Universal Music Group partnerships, and perceived visibility into mid term growth and monetization.Mise à jour du récit • May 13
SPOT: Price Increases And AI Investments Will Support Future Margin Expansion
Spotify Technology's updated analyst price target has moved lower to reflect a fair value estimate now around $590, as analysts factor in slightly higher revenue growth assumptions along with more conservative long term profit margins and a reduced future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify Technology reflects a mix of optimism on execution and margins, alongside more cautious views on valuation and future growth assumptions.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 29
SPOT: Future Margin Expansion Will Rely On Recurring Price Hikes
Analysts trimmed Spotify Technology's fair value estimate slightly to $786.63. This reflects lower price targets across several firms, balanced by views that improved profit margins and an updated future P/E assumption still support the long-term case.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 15
SPOT: 2026 Price Hikes And AI Features Will Support Margins
The analyst price target for Spotify has edged slightly lower by about $2 to reflect a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, even as analysts continue to highlight potential support from improving profit margins and product investments, including AI features. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify reflects a mixed but engaged view, with analysts actively revisiting ratings and price targets as they reassess AI risk, margin trajectory, and the pace of price changes.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 31
SPOT: Recurring Price Increases Will Support Future Margin Expansion Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target framework for Spotify higher to $784.59 from $767.84, reflecting slightly firmer assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E in light of a mix of supportive rating actions, incremental price hike expectations, and ongoing debate over AI related risks. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify centers on two themes you should keep in mind: pricing power in Premium subscriptions and how much AI changes the risk profile for the business.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 17
SPOT: Recurring Price Hikes And Firmer Margins Will Support Revaluation Potential
Spotify's analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted from $889.24 to $767.84 as analysts factor in slightly higher discount rates and a lower future P/E, partly offset by firmer margin expectations and views that AI related risks to the platform and its pricing power are limited. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify highlights a split view on AI risk and pricing power, but there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who still see upside in the story despite a period of target cuts across the Street.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 03
SPOT: 2026 Price Hikes Will Support Margins Despite AI Concerns
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on Spotify to $649 from $662. This reflects a modest increase in the discount rate and slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth and future P/E.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 17
SPOT: 2026 U.S. Price Hike Will Offset Rising AI Subscription Risk
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Spotify, reflected in a lower fair value estimate of $662.14 from $733.44, as they factor in higher perceived AI related risk to paid streaming, modestly softer growth assumptions, a richer discount rate, and a more conservative future P/E multiple, despite higher projected profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify Technology points to a mixed but highly engaged analyst backdrop, with multiple firms revisiting their models around AI risk, pricing, and execution on product initiatives.
Nouveau récit • Feb 13
Spotify - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation
️Business Overview Key Metrics Total: -1/17 +1 ✅ Projected Operating Margin: 17.56% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 10.87% +0 ⚠️ Last 5-Year ROIC: 4.68% -2 ❌ Estimated Cost of Capital: 7.71% (greater than ROIC) -1 ❌ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: +2.07% +1 ✅ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 15.46% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: N/A +1 ✅ Estimated Debt Rating: A1 -1 ❌ Morningstar Moat: Narrow -1 ❌ Morningstar Uncertainty: High Despite its Narrow Moat rating by Morningstar, Spotify still shows an operating margin around ~15-20% and expanding. Its revenue and EPS growth is also solid between 10-15%.Article d’analyse • Feb 05
Spotify Technology S.A.'s (NYSE:SPOT) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Earnings
The Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Mise à jour du récit • Feb 03
SPOT: Free Tier Funnel And 2026 U.S. Price Hike Will Support Leadership
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Spotify, with our fair value estimate easing from US$748.60 to about US$733.44. This reflects slightly lower assumed future P/E multiples, which more than offset modestly higher long term revenue growth and profit margin expectations following a wave of recent target cuts and rating changes across the Street.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 20
SPOT: Future Price Increases And Margin Goals Will Drive Rerating Potential
Analysts have trimmed their Spotify Technology price targets, with our fair value estimate moving from US$913.70 to US$889.24. They are factoring in slightly softer margin assumptions, modestly lower growth estimates, and a higher future P/E, while still referencing potential benefits from pricing changes and longer term margin goals.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 06
SPOT: Pricing Power And AI Collaboration Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price targets for Spotify higher, citing a supportive mix of pricing power, a constructive view on music industry economics, and a willingness to underwrite a richer future P/E multiple of around 38.7x. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Spotify reflects a mix of enthusiasm for the business model and pricing potential alongside debate over how much optimism is already reflected in the share price.Mise à jour du récit • Dec 14
SPOT: Pricing Power And AI Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward Outlook
Our fair value estimate for Spotify Technology has been raised by about $37 to roughly $569 per share, as analysts grow more confident in accelerating revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and the earnings power implied by recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Spotify highlights a mix of optimism around pricing power, product innovation, and artificial intelligence, alongside a more measured tone on valuation and execution risk.Mise à jour du récit • Nov 18
SPOT: User Gains From Free Tier Funnel Will Drive Competitive Leadership
Spotify’s analyst price target has been modestly increased from approximately $736 to $749, as analysts point to rising expectations for revenue growth and margin expansion. This outlook is fueled by upcoming price increases and ongoing product enhancements.Article d’analyse • Nov 11
We Think Spotify Technology's (NYSE:SPOT) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
Even though Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) posted strong earnings, investors appeared to be underwhelmed. We...Article d’analyse • Nov 07
Spotify Technology S.A. Just Recorded A 63% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
Last week, you might have seen that Spotify Technology S.A. ( NYSE:SPOT ) released its quarterly result to the market...Mise à jour du récit • Nov 01
SPOT: Upcoming Price Increases And Product Changes Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Spotify Technology by approximately $10 to $736. They cite a balanced outlook in light of evolving industry pricing opportunities and the company's recent financial performance trends.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 17
Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment
Spotify’s consensus analyst price target has been adjusted slightly lower, from $747.78 to $746.42. This change reflects updated expectations around revenue growth and profit margins as analysts weigh recent price increases, user engagement momentum, and the outlook for cost management.Mise à jour du récit • Oct 03
Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment
Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Spotify Technology, adjusting the price target from $756 to $748. More balanced risk-reward expectations and moderated growth outlooks for key metrics offset recent model updates and price increases.Mise à jour du récit • Sep 17
Generative AI And Personalization Will Shape Future Entertainment
Analysts have raised Spotify’s price targets, citing robust subscriber growth, improved product differentiation and engagement, and greater pricing power despite near-term cost headwinds, leading to a consensus Analyst Price Target increase from $739.83 to $756.18. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets on expectations of continued price increases in key markets and further upward revisions to long-term revenue and profit estimates.Seeking Alpha • Apr 16
Spotify Is Executing Brilliantly, But The Stock Isn't A Buy Anymore (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Spotify's stock has surged 85.1% since my initial “cautious buy” rating, driven by better-than-expected company improvements and strong execution. Despite impressive growth, the reduced margin of safety now requires greater optimism for a favorable valuation, prompting a downgrade to “cautious hold”. Spotify has achieved significant milestones, including a +30% gross margin and +670 million MAUs, through strategic initiatives and cost management. Risks remain, such as dependency on record labels and increasing competition, making long-term growth visibility less clear and necessitating cautious optimism. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 14
Spotify: The Road Ahead Is Tough, But It Is Positioned Well
Summary Spotify continues to lead in music streaming with strong growth, innovative features, and a dominant market position, despite recent stock price declines. The company achieved record Q4 results and profitability in 2024, but faces challenges in further margin expansion and increased competition from YouTube. Future success hinges on maintaining efficiency, better monetizing emerging markets users, and significantly improving ads and video capabilities. Considering the challenges ahead, Spotify's Valuation is a bit too high at 46 times forward earnings, making it a 'Hold'. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 14
Spotify: Just Getting Started
Summary The monetization process is just getting started. Spotify may have multiple years of high earnings growth and increasing FCF. Growing premium subscribers with higher ARPU is the main earnings driver, boosting EBITDA and free cash flow and enhancing shareholder value. Spotify is beginning to gain pricing power from music labels that adds upside risk to its monetization story. The stock's valuation is transitioning to higher EPS-based multiples, I target a price of $770 by YE26. Competition from Amazon and Apple poses a risk, but Spotify's monetization strategy and profitability shift support a continued buy rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 05
Spotify Q4: Profitability Is Only Getting Better
Summary Spotify released its Q4 earnings on 2/4, impressing the market. This was mostly off the back of growing premium subscribers from Q4 2024, and continued growth into Q1 2025. MAUs are up, revenue is up, and expenses are down; Spotify is in a great position and has finally turned a profit for a full year. Compound this with its high valuation, and you have a set-up for success or failure depending on future earnings and if growth can maintain its trajectory. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nouveau récit • Feb 05
Narrative update from Michael Paige
Retain Dominant Market Share Position In Paid Music StreamingThis assumptions appears to be tracking well and ahead of my conservative estimates. I estimated 8% growth per year in MAU and premium subsSeeking Alpha • Jan 22
Spotify Q4 Preview: Changing Creator Incentives
Summary Spotify's shares have surged 31.99% since October, driven by AI optimization and enhanced user experiences, boosting demand and premium subscriptions. The new creator incentive program, offering 50% ad revenue share, is a game changer, attracting more high-quality content to Spotify. Despite market pessimism, I believe Spotify's Q4 earnings will exceed expectations due to these creator innovations and strong user engagement metrics. SPOT's strong free cash flow growth and competitive creator incentives position it for significant upside, making it a strong buy heading into Q4 earnings. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 15
Spotify: The Operational Leverage Run Is Close To Being Over, What's Next?
Summary Spotify emerged stronger from the 2022 market selloff, with its stock up over 6x since December 2022 due to margin expansion and consistent growth. Key growth drivers included aggressive cost-cutting, gaining leverage over music labels, and diversifying into podcasts and audiobooks. Future growth will depend on emerging markets and advertising, though these come with lower ARPU and more uncertainty. Spotify's operational leverage has limits, and the company faces challenges in maintaining the margin expansion story while making strides into video and competing with YouTube. The current valuation and consensus estimates don't reflect the higher uncertainty, leading to a 'Hold' rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 15
Spotify: My Top Investment Pick For 2025
Summary I recommend a "Strong Buy" for Spotify as I highlight robust growth, pricing power, and profitability improvements. Spotify's Q3 results were stellar, with gross margins at 31.1%, revenue up 19% YoY, and free cash flow soaring 230% to $711 million. The platform's scalable, low-cost model, AI-driven personalization, and new subscription tiers ensure sustained growth and high margins without significant overhead. Looking ahead, Spotify's video podcast push, new "Superfan" tier, and enhanced ad tools will drive further revenue and margin gains, with analysts projecting €3.6 billion in FCF by 2026. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 08
From $15 Billion To $100 Billion: Lessons From Our Spotify Investment
Summary Spotify's stock surged from $132 to $500 per share since its 2018 IPO, delivering a 23% annualized return over 6.5 years. Despite past doubts about its profitability, Spotify's recent improvements in gross margins and cost discipline have renewed optimism in its long-term potential. The company's strategic shift towards advertising and price increases has driven revenue growth and positioned it for future profitability. Adopting a principle of letting winners naturally concentrate in the portfolio has proven effective, with Spotify now representing 15% of our holdings. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nouveau récit • Nov 24
Expanding Audiobook Offerings And AI Innovation Propel Dynamic Growth Trajectory
Expansion into audiobooks and AI-enhanced music discovery are set to boost user engagement and revenue growth.Rendement pour les actionnaires
| SPOT | US Entertainment | US Marché | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.5% |
| 1Y | -20.9% | -21.7% | 13.3% |
Rendement vs Industrie: SPOT correspondait au secteur US Entertainment qui a rapporté -21.7 % au cours de l'année écoulée.
Rendement vs marché: SPOT a sous-performé le marché US qui a rapporté 13.3 % au cours de l'année écoulée.
Volatilité des prix
| SPOT volatility | |
|---|---|
| SPOT Average Weekly Movement | 5.5% |
| Entertainment Industry Average Movement | 8.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 6.9% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 15.3% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 2.9% |
Cours de l'action stable: SPOT n'a pas connu de volatilité de prix significative au cours des 3 derniers mois par rapport au marché US.
Volatilité au fil du temps: La volatilité hebdomadaire de SPOT ( 5% ) est restée stable au cours de l'année écoulée.
À propos de l'entreprise
| Fondée | Salariés | PDG | Site web |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | 7,000 | Alex Norström | www.spotify.com |
Spotify Technology S.A., avec ses filiales, fournit des services de streaming audio par abonnement dans le monde entier. Elle opère dans deux segments, Premium et Ad-Supported. Le segment Premium offre un accès en ligne et hors ligne à son catalogue de musique et de podcasts, y compris la vidéo, la musique sans perte et les livres audio sur certains marchés par le biais d'offres d'abonnement principalement vendues directement aux utilisateurs finaux et aux partenaires.
Spotify Technology S.A. Résumé des fondamentaux
| SPOT statistiques fondamentales | |
|---|---|
| Capitalisation boursière | US$108.09b |
| Bénéfices(TTM) | US$3.86b |
| Recettes(TTM) | US$20.92b |
29.7x
Ratio P/E5.5x
Ratio P/SLe site SPOT est-il surévalué ?
Voir Juste valeur et analyse de l'évaluationBénéfices et recettes
| SPOT compte de résultat (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Recettes | €18.11b |
| Coût des recettes | €12.18b |
| Marge brute | €5.94b |
| Autres dépenses | €2.60b |
| Les revenus | €3.34b |
Derniers bénéfices déclarés
Jun 30, 2026
Prochaine date de publication des résultats
s/o
| Résultat par action (EPS) | 16.24 |
| Marge brute | 32.77% |
| Marge bénéficiaire nette | 18.43% |
| Ratio dettes/capitaux propres | 0% |
Quelles ont été les performances à long terme de SPOT?
Voir les performances historiques et les comparaisonsAnalyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/09/14 04:10 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/09/14 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2026/06/30 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/12/31 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github ; nous proposons également des guides sur la façon d’utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur YouTube.
Découvrez l' qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
Spotify Technology S.A. est couverte par 64 analystes. 36 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| Richard Kramer | Arete Research Services LLP |
| Samuel Lourensz | Arete Research Services LLP |
| William Noel Milner | Arete Research Services LLP |