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Orlen S.A.WSE:PKN Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière zł168.9b
Prix de l'action
zł142.32
zł146
2.5% sous-évalué décote intrinsèque
1Y101.8%
7D-1.4%
Valeur du portefeuille
Voir

Orlen S.A.

WSE:PKN Rapport sur les actions

Capitalisation boursière : zł168.9b

Orlen (PKN) Aperçu de l'action

Orlen S.A. opère dans les secteurs du raffinage, de la pétrochimie, de l'énergie, de la vente au détail, du gaz et de l'amont. Plus de détails

PKN analyse fondamentale
Score flocon de neige
Évaluation2/6
Croissance future2/6
Performances passées0/6
Santé financière6/6
Dividendes3/6

PKN Community Fair Values

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Orlen S.A. Concurrents

Historique des prix et performances

Résumé des hausses, des baisses et des variations du cours de l'action pour la période du 1er janvier au 31 décembre 2009 Orlen
Historique des cours de bourse
Prix actuel de l'actionzł142.32
Plus haut sur 52 semaineszł146.98
Plus bas sur 52 semaineszł69.20
Bêta0.47
Variation sur 1 mois12.12%
Variation sur 3 mois29.45%
Variation sur 1 an101.82%
Variation sur 3 ans127.46%
Variation sur 5 ans81.81%
Évolution depuis l'introduction en bourse549.86%

Nouvelles et mises à jour récentes

Mise à jour du récit May 10

PKN: Future Returns Will Depend On Risky Energa Recapitalisation Plan

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 127.33 from PLN 119.22, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, supported by recent research that has taken a more positive stance on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 127.33 as support for a more constructive stance on the stock, arguing that current pricing does not fully reflect updated assumptions on revenue and margins.
Mise à jour du récit Apr 26

PKN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Energa Integration And Margin Resilience

Analysts have adjusted their PLN price targets on Orlen only slightly, with a modest recalibration in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that reflects a mixed set of recent views, including a more positive stance from UBS and a more cautious one from Oddo BHF. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Orlen points to a split in opinion, with some analysts turning more optimistic and others taking a more cautious stance.

Recent updates

Mise à jour du récit May 10

PKN: Future Returns Will Depend On Risky Energa Recapitalisation Plan

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 127.33 from PLN 119.22, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, supported by recent research that has taken a more positive stance on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 127.33 as support for a more constructive stance on the stock, arguing that current pricing does not fully reflect updated assumptions on revenue and margins.
Mise à jour du récit Apr 26

PKN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Energa Integration And Margin Resilience

Analysts have adjusted their PLN price targets on Orlen only slightly, with a modest recalibration in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that reflects a mixed set of recent views, including a more positive stance from UBS and a more cautious one from Oddo BHF. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Orlen points to a split in opinion, with some analysts turning more optimistic and others taking a more cautious stance.
Mise à jour du récit Apr 06

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Resilience Proves Overstated

Analysts have raised their Orlen price target from PLN 114.33 to about PLN 119.22, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, slightly higher profit margins and a marginally richer future P/E multiple, with recent research including both an upgrade and a downgrade informing the new view. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link their upgrade to a view that current valuation leaves some room for the shares to move closer to their refreshed fair value assumptions, anchored around the PLN 119.22 target.
Nouveau récit Mar 26

Regulated Energy Projects And LNG Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation, retail and gas trading. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Mise à jour du récit Mar 22

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Assumptions Prove Fragile

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 95.58 to PLN 114.33, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as well as a mix of recent bullish and bearish Street calls. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link the higher fair value estimate of PLN 114.33 to expectations that Orlen can sustain healthier profit margins than previously assumed.
Nouveau récit Mar 11

Large CapEx And Refining Margin Normalization Will Pressure Long Term Earnings Outlook

Catalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation and retail across several European markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Mise à jour du récit Mar 06

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Execution Risks Intensify

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 95.58 from PLN 93.28, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as some recent research has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher fair value estimate of PLN 95.58 as support for their view that current pricing may not fully reflect the updated revenue and margin assumptions built into their models.
Mise à jour du récit Feb 19

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Margin Risks Intensify

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Orlen up from PLN 91.47 to PLN 93.28, citing slightly firmer profit margin assumptions and a modestly higher future P/E, even as at least one recent report has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 93.28 as support for the idea that current pricing may not fully reflect Orlen's earnings power under the updated profit margin assumptions.
Article d’analyse Feb 07

Why We're Not Concerned About Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20x Orlen S.A. ( WSE:PKN ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...
Mise à jour du récit Feb 05

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Earnings Multiple Compresses

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from €87.31 to €91.47 per share, citing updated assumptions around a smaller revenue decline, a slightly higher profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple, even as at least one firm has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the updated view on a smaller revenue decline as a support for the higher fair value estimate of €91.47 per share, seeing this as a sign that the earnings base used in their models may be more resilient than previously assumed.
Mise à jour du récit Jan 22

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Lag As P/E Stays Elevated

Analysts have kept their target price for Orlen broadly in line with prior levels, citing relatively unchanged fair value at 87.31, a stable 9.24% discount rate, and only small tweaks to assumptions around revenue trends, profit margin and future P/E of 12.05x. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is unchanged at PLN 87.31.
Mise à jour du récit Jan 08

PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Disappoint As Earnings Multiple Stays Elevated

Analysts have kept their price target for Orlen unchanged at €87.31, reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, with no new Street research prompting a revision. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share remains unchanged at €87.31, with no adjustment to the underlying model inputs.
Article d’analyse Jan 04

An Intrinsic Calculation For Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Suggests It's 26% Undervalued

Key Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł136 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen's zł101 share price...
Mise à jour du récit Dec 18

PKN: Future Returns Will Remain Balanced As Revenue And Margins Slightly Weaken

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Orlen higher to reflect a fair value of $87.31 per share, as they reiterate stable discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P E assumptions. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special or Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time to address key corporate matters requiring shareholder approval (Key Developments).
Article d’analyse Dec 17

Returns At Orlen (WSE:PKN) Are On The Way Up

Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...
Mise à jour du récit Dec 04

PKN: Earnings Multiple Will Rise As Revenue And Margins Slightly Weaken

Analysts have nudged their price target on Orlen higher to approximately $87.31 from about $85.86, citing a modestly richer future earnings multiple that more than offsets slightly weaker revenue growth and profit margin expectations. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time.
Article d’analyse Nov 29

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There

Despite posting healthy earnings, Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) stock has been quite weak. Our analysis suggests that there...
Mise à jour du récit Nov 20

PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve While Revenue Decline Persists Through 2025 Shareholder Meeting

Narrative Update on Orlen: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 85.63 to PLN 85.86, citing improved profit margin expectations and a modest adjustment to the discount rate. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).
Mise à jour du récit Nov 05

PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve Despite Weakening Revenue Outlook By Shareholder Meeting

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 83.86 to PLN 85.63, citing improved profit margin forecasts and a slightly higher future price-to-earnings expectation. This adjustment comes despite a modest downward revision in revenue growth outlook.
Article d’analyse Oct 28

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...
Mise à jour du récit Oct 22

Analysts Maintain Orlen Price Target as Valuation Metrics Remain Stable Ahead of Shareholder Meeting

Analysts have maintained Orlen's price target at PLN 83.86, citing consistent expectations for future profitability and revenue growth in spite of industry headwinds. What's in the News Orlen S.A. will hold a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting on October 28, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).
Mise à jour du récit Oct 08

Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future Performance

Analysts have raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 80.08 to PLN 83.86. This update cites an improved fair value assessment and a modest increase in projected profit margins, even though revenue growth expectations are slightly lower.
Article d’analyse Oct 01

Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 42% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł123 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen is estimated to be 30...
Mise à jour du récit Sep 23

Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future Performance

Despite a further deterioration in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Orlen’s net profit margin has improved, supporting a modest increase in analyst fair value to PLN80.08. What's in the News Orlen will not acquire all or part of GA Polyolefins shares, but remains open to further discussions on asset utilization.
Article d’analyse Sep 13

Orlen (WSE:PKN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...
Article d’analyse May 30

Some May Be Optimistic About Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Earnings

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) shareholders over the last week. We did some digging...
User avatar
Nouveau récit Jan 19

Operations Diversification And Retail Expansion Will Build Future Resilience

Diversified operations and strategic investments aim to stabilize Orlen's revenue and boost capital efficiency and net margins.

Rendement pour les actionnaires

PKNPL Oil and GasPL Marché
7D-1.4%2.4%1.0%
1Y101.8%50.8%25.1%

Rendement vs Industrie: PKN a dépassé le secteur Polish Oil and Gas qui a rapporté 50.8 % au cours de l'année écoulée.

Rendement vs marché: PKN a dépassé le marché Polish qui a rapporté 25.1 % au cours de l'année écoulée.

Volatilité des prix

Is PKN's price volatile compared to industry and market?
PKN volatility
PKN Average Weekly Movement5.6%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement7.1%
Market Average Movement5.3%
10% most volatile stocks in PL Market10.6%
10% least volatile stocks in PL Market3.1%

Cours de l'action stable: PKN n'a pas connu de volatilité de prix significative au cours des 3 derniers mois par rapport au marché Polish.

Volatilité au fil du temps: La volatilité hebdomadaire de PKN ( 6% ) est restée stable au cours de l'année écoulée.

À propos de l'entreprise

FondéeSalariésPDGSite web
199966,226Ireneusz Fafarawww.orlen.pl

Orlen S.A. opère dans les secteurs du raffinage, de la pétrochimie, de l'énergie, de la vente au détail, du gaz et de l'amont. Elle s'occupe du traitement et de la vente en gros de produits de raffinage, tels que le pétrole brut ; de la production et de la vente de carburant, de pétrole, de produits chimiques et pétrochimiques, ainsi que de la fourniture de services d'appui ; de la production, de la distribution et de la vente d'électricité et de chaleur provenant de sources d'énergie conventionnelles et renouvelables, y compris l'énergie solaire photovoltaïque, ainsi que de gaz naturel ; du commerce de l'électricité ; de l'exploration et de l'extraction de ressources minérales ; de l'exploration, de la production et de l'importation de gaz naturel ; et du commerce et du stockage de gaz et de gaz liquéfié. L'entreprise est également impliquée dans l'exploration, la reconnaissance et l'extraction d'hydrocarbures ; les activités de stations-service ; la fourniture de services de transport, d'entretien et de révision, de laboratoires, de sécurité, de conception, d'administration, de messagerie, d'assurance et de services financiers, ainsi que la distribution de la presse et les activités liées aux médias, telles que les journaux et les sites web.

Orlen S.A. Résumé des fondamentaux

Comment les bénéfices et les revenus de Orlen se comparent-ils à sa capitalisation boursière ?
PKN statistiques fondamentales
Capitalisation boursièrezł168.89b
Bénéfices(TTM)zł2.53b
Recettes(TTM)zł267.83b
65.3x
Ratio P/E
0.6x
Ratio P/S

Le site PKN est-il surévalué ?

Voir Juste valeur et analyse de l'évaluation

Bénéfices et recettes

Principales statistiques de rentabilité tirées du dernier rapport sur les bénéfices (TTM)
PKN compte de résultat (TTM)
Recetteszł267.83b
Coût des recetteszł220.21b
Marge brutezł47.62b
Autres dépenseszł45.09b
Les revenuszł2.53b

Derniers bénéfices déclarés

Dec 31, 2025

Prochaine date de publication des résultats

May 28, 2026

Résultat par action (EPS)2.18
Marge brute17.78%
Marge bénéficiaire nette0.95%
Ratio dettes/capitaux propres17.6%

Quelles ont été les performances à long terme de PKN?

Voir les performances historiques et les comparaisons

Dividendes

4.2%
Rendement actuel des dividendes
108%
Ratio de distribution

Le site PKN verse-t-il des dividendes fiables ?

Voir PKN l'historique des dividendes et les indices de référence
Quand faut-il acheter PKN pour recevoir un dividende à venir ?
Orlen dates des dividendes
Date ex-dividendeJun 17 2026
Date de paiement du dividendeJun 25 2026
Jours jusqu'au dividende Ex26 days
Jours jusqu'à la date de paiement du dividende34 days

Le site PKN verse-t-il des dividendes fiables ?

Voir PKN l'historique des dividendes et les indices de référence

Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières

DonnéesDernière mise à jour (heure UTC)
Analyse de l'entreprise2026/05/21 21:51
Cours de l'action en fin de journée2026/05/21 00:00
Les revenus2025/12/31
Revenus annuels2025/12/31

Sources de données

Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.

PaquetDonnéesCadre temporelExemple de source américaine *
Finances de l'entreprise10 ans
  • Compte de résultat
  • Tableau des flux de trésorerie
  • Bilan
Estimations consensuelles des analystes+3 ans
  • Prévisions financières
  • Objectifs de prix des analystes
Prix du marché30 ans
  • Cours des actions
  • Dividendes, scissions et actions
Propriété10 ans
  • Actionnaires principaux
  • Délits d'initiés
Gestion10 ans
  • L'équipe dirigeante
  • Conseil d'administration
Principaux développements10 ans
  • Annonces de l'entreprise

* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.

Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.

Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige

Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.

Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.

Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur

Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.

Sources des analystes

Orlen S.A. est couverte par 21 analystes. 9 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.

AnalysteInstitution
Robert BateBarclays
Yuriy KukhtanychBerenberg
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku