FirstGroup Croissance future
Future contrôle des critères 0/6
Le chiffre d'affaires et le bénéfice de FirstGroup devraient diminuer respectivement de 27.4% et de 3.2% par an. Le BPA devrait diminuer de 1.9% par an. Le rendement des capitaux propres devrait être de 14% dans 3 ans.
Informations clés
-3.2%
Taux de croissance des bénéfices
-1.91%
Taux de croissance du BPA
| Transportation croissance des bénéfices | 10.4% |
| Taux de croissance des recettes | -27.4% |
| Rendement futur des capitaux propres | 13.96% |
| Couverture par les analystes | Low |
| Dernière mise à jour | 20 May 2026 |
Mises à jour récentes de la croissance future
Recent updates
Mise à jour du récit • Jun 04
FGP: Higher Future P/E And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Upside
Analysts have slightly raised their price target on FirstGroup to £2.50, citing modest adjustments to the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple as the key drivers behind the change. What's in the News Analysts adjust the price target for FirstGroup to £2.50, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin assumptions, and the future P/E multiple.Mise à jour du récit • May 10
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target on FirstGroup, with the latest fair value estimate holding at £2.50. Updated assumptions on the discount rate and future P/E have contributed to a more refined view of the stock.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 24
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target on FirstGroup to £2.50 per share, citing only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, rather than any major shift in the investment case. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is held at £2.50, with no change to the central estimate.Mise à jour du récit • Apr 10
FGP: Stronger Margin Outlook And Steady P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup slightly, citing marginally higher discount rate assumptions, a small extra revenue decline and a modestly stronger profit margin outlook, which leaves their overall fair value estimate at £2.50 per share. Valuation Changes Fair Value: £2.50 per share is unchanged in the updated assessment.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 26
FGP: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup by £0.01, reflecting slightly lower fair value and profit margin assumptions, alongside a modestly higher discount rate and future P/E multiple in their models. Valuation Changes Fair value has been reduced slightly from £2.51 to £2.50 per share.Mise à jour du récit • Mar 12
FGP: Stable Assumptions And Earnings Multiple Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup to £2.51, with the small adjustment reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E. Together, these factors support a broadly unchanged view of the shares.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 26
FGP: New Overground Contract Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have kept their £2.51 price target for FirstGroup broadly steady, citing only minor tweaks to assumptions such as a slightly higher discount rate and modestly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E inputs. What's in the News FirstGroup agreed to acquire the UK sightseeing bus operations of RATP Développement for about £17 million.Mise à jour du récit • Feb 11
FGP: New Overground Contract And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have kept their fair value view broadly unchanged for FirstGroup, with only small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin and future P/E. This has led to a marginal tweak in their £ price target rather than a significant reset of their outlook.Mise à jour du récit • Jan 27
FGP: New Overground Win And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup slightly higher to £2.51 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends and profit margins, while keeping the long term P/E outlook broadly unchanged. What's in the News FirstGroup agreed to acquire the UK sightseeing bus operations of RATP Développement for about £17m, adding 63 buses across London and Bath, two depots and around 190 employees to the First Bus business (Key Developments).Mise à jour du récit • Jan 09
FGP: Higher Interim Dividend Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target for FirstGroup slightly higher to around £2.51. This reflects small adjustments to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions and expectations for revenue contraction, profit margins and future P/E multiples.Article d’analyse • Dec 15
We Think FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Mise à jour du récit • Dec 14
FGP: Dividend And Buyback Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup higher, lifting fair value from £2.39 to £2.50 as they factor in slightly improved revenue expectations despite a modestly softer margin and higher discount rate. What's in the News Board proposes an interim dividend of 2.2 pence per share for H1 2026, up from 1.7 pence in H1 2025.Article d’analyse • Nov 21
FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.022
The board of FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 30th of December, with...Article d’analyse • Oct 22
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Article d’analyse • Sep 03
Investors Don't See Light At End Of FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) Tunnel
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Transportation industry in the United Kingdom have price-to-sales...Article d’analyse • Jun 15
Analysts Are Betting On FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) With A Big Upgrade This Week
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...Article d’analyse • May 08
FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...Article d’analyse • Apr 21
Should You Think About Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Now?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...Article d’analyse • Mar 25
Is FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Nouveau récit • Feb 08
Bus Electrification And London-Stirling Rail Route Will Improve Future Operations
Electrification of the bus fleet, supported by partnerships and CapEx, aims to improve efficiency and margins long-term.Article d’analyse • Nov 21
Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of FirstGroup's (LON:FGP) Earnings
When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like FirstGroup plc's ( LON:FGP ) stock...Article d’analyse • Oct 04
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, FirstGroup fair value estimate is UK£1.36 Current share price...Article d’analyse • Sep 12
What FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) P/S Is Not Telling You
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.4x in the Transportation industry in the United Kingdom...Article d’analyse • Aug 06
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during...Article d’analyse • Jul 02
Estimating The Fair Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)
Key Insights The projected fair value for FirstGroup is UK£1.51 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Article d’analyse • May 26
Should You Think About Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Now?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the LSE gainers with a relatively large price...Article d’analyse • Mar 30
Is FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Trading At A 27% Discount?
Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of FirstGroup plc...Prévisions de croissance des bénéfices et des revenus
| Date | Recettes | Les revenus | Flux de trésorerie disponible | Cash from Op | Moy. Nombre d'analystes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2028 | 2,205 | 114 | 107 | 242 | 3 |
| 3/31/2027 | 3,824 | 116 | 100 | 234 | 3 |
| 3/31/2026 | 4,432 | 110 | 65 | 234 | 3 |
| 9/27/2025 | 4,990 | 129 | 417 | 638 | N/A |
| 6/27/2025 | 5,028 | 126 | 508 | 696 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 5,066 | 123 | 598 | 754 | N/A |
| 12/29/2024 | 4,989 | 109 | 534 | 700 | N/A |
| 9/28/2024 | 4,882 | 95 | 470 | 646 | N/A |
| 6/28/2024 | 4,798 | 42 | 397 | 595 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 4,715 | -10 | 324 | 543 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 4,732 | -8 | 367 | 592 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,750 | -7 | 410 | 642 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,752 | 36 | 403 | 608 | N/A |
| 3/25/2023 | 4,755 | 79 | 396 | 574 | N/A |
| 12/25/2022 | 4,710 | 69 | 204 | 380 | N/A |
| 9/24/2022 | 4,664 | 59 | 13 | 186 | N/A |
| 6/24/2022 | 4,628 | 24 | -126 | 87 | N/A |
| 3/26/2022 | 4,591 | -11 | -264 | -12 | N/A |
| 12/26/2021 | 4,498 | 2 | -111 | 229 | N/A |
| 9/25/2021 | 4,405 | 15 | 43 | 470 | N/A |
| 6/25/2021 | 4,362 | 12 | 413 | 837 | N/A |
| 3/27/2021 | 4,319 | 10 | 784 | 1,204 | N/A |
| 9/26/2020 | 3,164 | -209 | 1,035 | 1,306 | N/A |
| 6/26/2020 | 3,903 | -273 | 831 | 1,131 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 4,643 | -337 | 626 | 957 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,555 | -280 | 430 | 812 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 7,356 | -233 | 233 | 667 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 7,241 | -150 | N/A | 615 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 7,127 | -67 | N/A | 564 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 7,029 | -186 | N/A | 571 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 6,930 | -305 | N/A | 578 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 6,664 | -301 | N/A | 607 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 6,398 | -296 | N/A | 637 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 6,129 | -95 | N/A | 660 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,860 | 105 | N/A | 683 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,757 | 109 | N/A | 602 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 5,653 | 112 | N/A | 520 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,498 | 108 | N/A | 522 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,342 | 105 | N/A | 523 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,280 | 97 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,218 | 90 | N/A | 410 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,384 | 79 | N/A | 306 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,551 | 67 | N/A | 202 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 5,801 | 71 | N/A | 264 | N/A |
Prévisions de croissance des analystes
Taux de revenus par rapport au taux d'épargne: Les bénéfices de FGP devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -3.2% par an).
Bénéfices vs marché: Les bénéfices de FGP devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -3.2% par an).
Croissance élevée des bénéfices: Les bénéfices de FGP devraient baisser au cours des trois prochaines années.
Chiffre d'affaires vs marché: Les revenus de FGP devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -27.4% par an).
Croissance élevée des revenus: Les revenus de FGP devraient diminuer au cours des 3 prochaines années ( -27.4% par an).
Prévisions de croissance du bénéfice par action
Rendement futur des capitaux propres
ROE futur: Le retour sur capitaux propres de FGP devrait être faible dans 3 ans ( 14 %).
Découvrir les entreprises en croissance
Analyse de l'entreprise et données financières
| Données | Dernière mise à jour (heure UTC) |
|---|---|
| Analyse de l'entreprise | 2026/06/05 17:31 |
| Cours de l'action en fin de journée | 2026/06/05 00:00 |
| Les revenus | 2025/09/27 |
| Revenus annuels | 2025/03/29 |
Sources de données
Les données utilisées dans notre analyse de l'entreprise proviennent de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Les données suivantes sont utilisées dans notre modèle d'analyse pour générer ce rapport. Les données sont normalisées, ce qui peut entraîner un délai avant que la source ne soit disponible.
| Paquet | Données | Cadre temporel | Exemple de source américaine * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finances de l'entreprise | 10 ans |
| |
| Estimations consensuelles des analystes | +3 ans |
|
|
| Prix du marché | 30 ans |
| |
| Propriété | 10 ans |
| |
| Gestion | 10 ans |
| |
| Principaux développements | 10 ans |
|
* Exemple pour les titres américains ; pour les titres non américains, des formulaires réglementaires et des sources équivalentes sont utilisés.
Sauf indication contraire, toutes les données financières sont basées sur une période annuelle mais mises à jour trimestriellement. C'est ce qu'on appelle les données des douze derniers mois (TTM) ou des douze derniers mois (LTM). En savoir plus.
Modèle d'analyse et flocon de neige
Les détails du modèle d’analyse utilisé pour générer ce rapport sont disponibles sur notre page Github; nous proposons également des guides expliquant comment utiliser nos rapports et des tutoriels sur Youtube.
Découvrez l'équipe de classe mondiale qui a conçu et construit le modèle d'analyse Simply Wall St.
Indicateurs de l'industrie et du secteur
Nos indicateurs de secteur et de section sont calculés toutes les 6 heures par Simply Wall St. Les détails de notre processus sont disponibles sur Github.
Sources des analystes
FirstGroup plc est couverte par 21 analystes. 3 de ces analystes ont soumis les estimations de revenus ou de bénéfices utilisées comme données d'entrée dans notre rapport. Les soumissions des analystes sont mises à jour tout au long de la journée.
| Analyste | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Fintzen | Barclays |
| Jack Cummings | Berenberg |
| James Edward Hollins | BNP Paribas |