Marathon Petroleum Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 0/6
Se prevé que los ingresos y los beneficios de Marathon Petroleum disminuyan a un ritmo anual de 4.3% y 20.9% respectivamente. Se espera que el BPA disminuya en un 9.9% al año. Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 17.6% en 3 años.
Información clave
-20.9%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
-9.88%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Oil and Gas | 4.2% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | -4.3% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 17.64% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 12 Aug 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Aug 07
Marathon Petroleum: Why Stock Plummeted After A Massive Beat
Summary Marathon Petroleum (MPC) delivered massive earnings, driven by exceptional crack spreads and global refining disruptions, despite a subsequent stock price decline. MPC management expects tight refining markets and elevated spreads to persist through 2027, supported by ongoing geopolitical conflicts and refinery outages. Q2 results included $8.5B EBITDA, $6.6B cash from operations, $2.8B shareholder returns, and 94% utilization, with Gulf Coast and West Coast regions achieving $27/barrel adjusted EBITDA. Renewables at Martinez showed a dramatic margin turnaround; management guides for 2.8M bpd throughput and $300M in upgrades to enhance crude flexibility. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Actualización de narrativa • Aug 06
MPC: Refining Margin Strength And Q2 Execution Will Drive Future Upside
Marathon Petroleum's analyst fair value estimate has moved from about $318.81 to $376.00 as analysts respond to stronger Q2 margin capture, a supportive refining environment, and updated assumptions on refining cracks and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Marathon Petroleum points to generally constructive sentiment, with many bullish analysts lifting price targets in response to Q2 execution, margin capture and refining fundamentals.
Actualización de narrativa • Jul 22
MPC: Tighter Cracks And Heavy Buybacks Will Drive Balanced Future Returns
Analysts have raised the Marathon Petroleum fair value estimate from $271.59 to $293.12 as higher Street price targets, tighter refining markets, and expectations for stronger margins and shareholder returns are reflected in updated revenue growth and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Marathon Petroleum points to a generally constructive backdrop for the stock, with a cluster of higher price targets grounded in tighter refining markets, stronger crack spreads, and expectations for solid execution on shareholder returns.
Actualización de narrativa • Jul 08
MPC: Refining Margin Tailwinds Will Likely Prove Short Lived For Shares
Marathon Petroleum's updated analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $163.00 to about $200.39, as analysts factor in refined views on refining margins, product inventories, and company level cash flow and capital structure updates reflected in recent price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Marathon Petroleum shows a wide range of views, with some firms lifting targets and others applying more conservative assumptions as they reassess refining margins, product inventories, and capital allocation.Actualización de narrativa • Jun 24
MPC: Refining Margins And Buybacks Will Shape Returns As Cracks Evolve
Marathon Petroleum's analyst price target has been revised upward from $265.06 to $271.59 as analysts factor in updated oil and refining crack assumptions and highlight ongoing support from tight product inventories and steady demand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Marathon Petroleum points to an active debate around how sustainable current refining economics may be and what that could mean for valuation and execution over the next few years.Artículo de análisis • Jun 18
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Could Be 8.4% Undervalued After Strait Of Hormuz Reopened
The U.S. Iran peace agreement reopening the Strait of Hormuz has quickly fed through to energy markets, with falling crude prices pressuring Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock as investors reassess refining margins and input cost assumptions. See our latest analysis for Marathon Petroleum. Even before the Strait of Hormuz agreement, Marathon Petroleum stock had strong momentum, with a year to date share price return of 47.09% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 47.93%. However, recent...Actualización de narrativa • Jun 07
MPC: Oil Price Assumptions And Buybacks Will Guide Future Refining Returns
Narrative Update on Marathon Petroleum The analyst price target for Marathon Petroleum has moved higher to $265.06 from $256.83, with analysts pointing to higher oil and refining spread assumptions, a higher projected profit margin, and a lower future P/E estimate as key drivers of the recalibration. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Marathon Petroleum shows an active debate around how sustainable current refining economics and oil price assumptions may be, with several firms revising their models and valuation frameworks.Actualización de narrativa • May 11
MPC: Oil Price Assumptions And Buybacks Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have raised their average price target on Marathon Petroleum by about $9.66 to $256.83, citing a combination of updated oil price assumptions, revised sector views, and refreshed earnings estimates across recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Marathon Petroleum points to a wide range of views, with many firms revisiting their models and price targets as they update oil price assumptions and sector stances.Artículo de análisis • May 08
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Marathon Petroleum Corporation ( NYSE:MPC ) just released its first-quarter report and things are looking bullish...Actualización de narrativa • Apr 25
MPC: Oil Price Assumptions And Labor Talks Will Shape Future Returns
The analyst price target for Marathon Petroleum has been revised higher by $10.57 to $247.18. Analysts point to updated fair value estimates, modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, as well as a slightly richer future P/E multiple as key drivers for the change.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 10
MPC: Higher Oil Assumptions And Labor Talks Will Shape Future Returns
The updated analyst price target for Marathon Petroleum increases to $236.61 from $216.17. Analysts attribute this change to adjustments in fair value assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate, revised revenue growth and profit margin inputs, and a different future P/E outlook.Nueva narrativa • Apr 10
Refining And Midstream Expansion Will Drive Major Upside Over The Next Decade
Catalysts About Marathon Petroleum Marathon Petroleum operates a large, integrated refining, marketing, midstream and renewables platform across the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Actualización de narrativa • Mar 27
MPC: Elevated Oil Assumptions And Labor Uncertainty Will Pressure Future Returns
Narrative Update on Marathon Petroleum The analyst price target for Marathon Petroleum has shifted from about $202.50 to roughly $216.17. Analysts have cited updated oil price assumptions, recent Middle East related supply risk, and refiners' earnings estimates as key drivers behind their revised outlook.Nueva narrativa • Mar 27
Sour Crude Exposure And Midstream Assumptions Will Pressure Long Term Earnings Outlook
Catalysts About Marathon Petroleum Marathon Petroleum operates a large, integrated refining, marketing, midstream and renewables business concentrated in the United States. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Actualización de narrativa • Mar 11
MPC: Refining Conditions Labor Talks And Buybacks Will Shape Future Outcomes
The analyst fair value estimate for Marathon Petroleum has edged up by about $3 to $202.50, reflecting recent price target revisions across the Street as analysts weigh slightly adjusted discount rate and P/E assumptions, along with their updated views on refining conditions into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Marathon Petroleum has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions as they reassess refining fundamentals, crude assumptions, and where consensus sits for 2026.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 24
MPC: Refining Margins And Capital Returns Will Shape Balanced Future Outcomes
Analysts have nudged their average price targets on Marathon Petroleum higher, with recent changes ranging from a $1 lift at the low end to a $28 increase at the high end. These moves reflect updated views on refining fundamentals, margins and longer term P/E assumptions.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 08
MPC: Capital Returns And Refining Margins Will Drive Balanced Future Outcomes
Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Marathon Petroleum, supporting a modest increase in our fair value estimate from US$194.61 to about US$199.56. They cite updated commodity assumptions, mixed views on refining conditions into 2026, and revised expectations for earnings and future P/E multiples.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 23
MPC: Capital Returns And Refining Fundamentals Will Shape Balanced Future Upside
Narrative Update Our Marathon Petroleum fair value estimate moves lower by about US$5 to US$194.61 per share, reflecting a slightly higher discount rate, modestly softer revenue growth and margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple that align with recent analyst price target trims and cautious views on sector outperformance, even as some expect near term refining fundamentals to remain supportive. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Marathon Petroleum points to a mixed setup, with most analysts trimming or fine tuning price targets while keeping broadly balanced views on upside potential and execution risks.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 07
MPC: Capital Returns And Refining Execution Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update: Marathon Petroleum Analyst Price Target Shift The updated analyst price target for Marathon Petroleum moves slightly lower to about US$200 from roughly US$201, as analysts fine tune their models around commodity assumptions, refining asset optimization, and the role of midstream investments and capital returns in the overall valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Marathon Petroleum cluster around refiners and integrated oil coverage, with analysts fine tuning targets and ratings as they refresh commodity and margin assumptions.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 23
MPC: Capital Returns Will Drive Upside Amid Constructive Refining Tailwinds
Analysts have nudged our Marathon Petroleum fair value estimate slightly lower to approximately $201 from about $201.33 per share, as a modestly higher discount rate and slightly softer margin outlook more than offset incremental optimism around long term refining tailwinds, midstream value creation, and capital return that underpin a broadly higher Street price target range of roughly $189 to $220. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts broadly frame Marathon Petroleum as a top tier refiner with a favorable risk reward profile, pointing to resilient cash generation, disciplined capital allocation, and supportive sector dynamics that justify price targets clustering near the low to mid $200s per share.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 09
MPC: Capital Returns And Midstream Investments Will Support Margins In A Tighter Market
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Marathon Petroleum slightly higher, with updated fair value estimates moving from about $199.94 to $201.33 per share. Modestly improved margin expectations and a still supportive, though finely balanced, refining backdrop underpin a more constructive long term outlook.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 24
MPC: Capital Returns And Midstream Investments Will Steady Margins Amid Ongoing Volatility
Marathon Petroleum’s analyst price target has moved modestly higher to approximately $199.94 from $197.50, as analysts highlight stable refining margins, ongoing capital allocation discipline, and industry tailwinds in light of updated market and commodity forecasts. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from Street research highlight a mixed but generally constructive view on Marathon Petroleum, with analysts noting both structural strengths and emerging risks within the business and sector.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 09
MPC: Capital Returns And Midstream Strength Will Balance Margin Volatility Ahead
Marathon Petroleum’s analyst price target rose slightly from $196.11 to $197.50, as analysts cite ongoing capital discipline and midstream strength, despite soft spots in recent results. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports on Marathon Petroleum reflect a mix of optimism and caution, as perspectives diverge on the company’s valuation and future prospects.Artículo de análisis • Nov 04
Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $1.00
Marathon Petroleum Corporation's ( NYSE:MPC ) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 10th of December to $1.00...Actualización de narrativa • Oct 26
Refining Margins And Capital Returns Will Drive Outperformance Amid Market Volatility
Analysts have increased their average price target for Marathon Petroleum from $192.17 to $196.11. This change is attributed to resilient refining margins, ongoing sector tailwinds, and the company's strong position in capital returns amid a volatile oil market environment.Actualización de narrativa • Oct 12
US Refining Investments Will Secure Future Market Opportunities
The analyst price target for Marathon Petroleum has increased by $3 to $192. Analysts cite sector tailwinds, resilient refining margins, and continued strength in global product markets for their updated outlook.Actualización de narrativa • Sep 28
US Refining Investments Will Secure Future Market Opportunities
Marathon Petroleum's fair value estimate has risen to $189.17 as analysts anticipate continued robust refining margins driven by persistent supply tightness, strong margin capture, and positive sector tailwinds, though some caution over valuation following recent outperformance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite robust refining margins and strong margin capture, with recent quarters outperforming expectations and margin strength persisting despite calls for a decline.Artículo de análisis • Sep 22
Marathon Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE:MPC) Price In Tune With Earnings
Marathon Petroleum Corporation's ( NYSE:MPC ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.4x might make it look like a...Actualización de narrativa • Sep 13
US Refining Investments Will Secure Future Market Opportunities
Analysts have raised Marathon Petroleum’s price target to $183.50, citing persistent refining margin strength, resilient earnings, and optimism about long-term supply/demand balances—though concerns over valuation and potential crack spread headwinds are tempering further upside. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets due to persistent refining margin strength and tighter-than-expected global supply/demand balances, especially regarding distillate products, with outlooks for 2026 and beyond increasingly supportive.Seeking Alpha • Mar 26
Marathon Petroleum: Unique Financial Position (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Marathon generates an ex-ordinary amount of cash. In a short period of time, the company could pay off its debt and repurchase a large portion of the stock to leave a very large amount of cash unused. Its partner, MPLX, now pays for the dividend and basic capital, leaving the balance of the cash free for use elsewhere. In a three to five-year period, the company might generate a very large amount of excess cash for what now appears headed toward paying extraordinary high dividends. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 04
Marathon Petroleum: Further Upside Likely After A Better-Than-Feared Q4
Summary Marathon Petroleum Corporation has faced challenges due to tighter crack spreads, but its MLP, MPLX, has performed well, contributing to a solid earnings report and supporting shares. MPC's refining operations are undervalued at 3.2x, 2024 EBITDA, with aggressive share repurchases also increasing the per-share value of its MPLX stake. Despite a tough refining environment, MPC's secure dividend and flexible buyback strategy offer a minimum 3% share count reduction and strong shareholder returns. Long-term demand for gasoline and limited refinery supply support MPC's potential for upside, making it a strong buy for patient investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaPrevisiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 151,144 | 7,015 | 9,020 | 11,290 | 7 |
| 12/31/2027 | 144,887 | 9,020 | 11,500 | 14,635 | 11 |
| 12/31/2026 | 165,356 | 13,717 | 17,564 | 22,312 | 11 |
| 6/30/2026 | 154,146 | 8,546 | 12,899 | 17,126 | N/A |
| 3/31/2026 | 135,946 | 4,628 | 5,702 | 9,438 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 133,174 | 4,043 | 4,767 | 8,253 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 133,581 | 2,879 | 4,276 | 7,391 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 133,862 | 2,133 | 3,647 | 6,466 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 137,969 | 2,432 | 4,458 | 7,069 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 139,336 | 3,442 | 6,132 | 8,665 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 142,670 | 4,521 | 5,326 | 7,581 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 148,772 | 7,177 | 8,826 | 10,850 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 147,394 | 7,888 | 9,574 | 11,592 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 149,348 | 9,672 | 12,227 | 14,117 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 152,729 | 11,470 | 15,292 | 17,376 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 157,477 | 12,666 | 12,572 | 14,937 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 174,917 | 16,311 | 15,523 | 17,905 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 178,236 | 14,436 | 13,941 | 16,361 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 173,756 | 11,962 | 13,478 | 15,653 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 160,241 | 8,181 | 10,140 | 11,991 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 135,923 | 2,609 | 4,764 | 6,419 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 120,451 | 1,288 | 2,896 | 4,360 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 103,033 | 475 | 574 | 2,014 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 87,972 | -1,475 | 2,786 | 4,483 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 70,457 | -1,956 | 1,501 | 3,641 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 69,896 | -11,032 | -368 | 2,419 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 79,918 | -10,734 | -179 | 3,500 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 90,070 | -8,636 | 879 | 4,966 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 105,214 | -7,715 | N/A | 7,050 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 111,275 | 1,830 | N/A | 9,441 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 115,646 | 2,523 | N/A | 9,759 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 111,099 | 2,419 | N/A | 8,154 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 106,098 | 2,735 | N/A | 7,918 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 86,284 | 2,106 | N/A | 6,158 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 85,449 | 3,843 | N/A | 6,176 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 81,716 | 4,008 | N/A | 6,900 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 77,618 | 3,437 | N/A | 5,367 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 75,053 | 3,430 | N/A | 6,612 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 69,251 | 1,642 | N/A | 4,860 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 64,702 | 885 | N/A | 3,359 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 61,385 | 1,202 | N/A | 4,773 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 63,517 | 1,173 | N/A | 4,017 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 54,372 | 1,132 | N/A | 3,810 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 56,364 | 1,935 | N/A | 4,474 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 60,040 | 1,959 | N/A | 3,201 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 64,471 | 2,848 | N/A | 4,073 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 71,111 | 3,459 | N/A | 3,641 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: Se prevé que los beneficios de MPC disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-20.9% al año).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios de MPC disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-20.9% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de MPC disminuyan en los próximos 3 años.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos de MPC disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-4.3% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos de MPC disminuyan en los próximos 3 años (-4.3% al año).
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de MPC sea baja dentro de 3 años (17.6%).
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/08/20 22:16 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/08/20 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2026/06/30 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
|
|
| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
| |
| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
| |
| Principales avances | 10 años |
|
* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
Marathon Petroleum Corporation está cubierta por 32 analistas. 16 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Theresa Chen | Barclays |
| Phillip Jungwirth | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Jean Ann Salisbury | BofA Global Research |