BAE Systems Crecimiento futuro
Future controles de criterios 4/6
Se prevé un crecimiento anual de los beneficios y los ingresos de BAE Systems de 12% y 9.4% por año respectivamente. Se prevé que el BPA crezca en un 11.8% al año. Se espera que la rentabilidad financiera sea de 22% en 3 años.
Información clave
12.0%
Tasa de crecimiento de los beneficios
11.81%
Tasa de crecimiento del BPA
| Crecimiento de los beneficios de Aerospace & Defense | 3.5% |
| Tasa de crecimiento de los ingresos | 9.4% |
| Rentabilidad financiera futura | 21.96% |
| Cobertura de analistas | Good |
| Última actualización | 22 May 2026 |
Actualizaciones recientes sobre el crecimiento futuro
Recent updates
Actualización de narrativa • May 19
BA.: Firmer Defence Backdrop Will Offset Softer 2026 Guidance Risks
Analysts have lifted BAE Systems' blended price target to £2,438, reflecting slightly firmer revenue growth and margin assumptions, along with recent target increases from several research houses. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around BAE Systems has clustered around incremental price target moves, with some analysts highlighting execution and growth questions even as headline targets sit above current levels.
Actualización de narrativa • May 03
BA.: US Defense Contracts And NATO Demand Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for BAE Systems to £23.23 per share, a modest move supported by recent price target increases at several banks that cite slightly ahead of expectation 2025 results, a softer 2026 outlook, and updated P/E assumptions around £2,150 to £2,438 price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mixed but generally constructive tone around BAE Systems, with several price target updates clustered around the £21.50 to £24.38 range and differing views on how much upside is left after the latest results and outlook.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 18
BA.: Softer 2026 Outlook Will Cap Upside Despite Recent Contract Momentum
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for BAE Systems has moved slightly higher to £2,438. This is supported by recent target increases from multiple banks and analyst comments that reference fiscal 2025 results coming in slightly ahead of expectations, even as the 2026 outlook is described as slightly soft.Actualización de narrativa • Apr 03
BA.: Sector Caution Around Softer 2026 Outlook Will Restrain Overheated Expectations
BAE Systems' analyst fair value has moved from £15.83 to £18.76 per share, with the change supported by higher Street price targets clustered around £19.50 to £24.38 and analyst commentary referencing recent results that were slightly ahead of expectations and updated outlooks. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed tone around BAE Systems, with several price target increases sitting alongside rating downgrades and more cautious framing of future results.
Actualización de narrativa • Mar 20
BA.: Raising Defence Exposure Should Support Earnings Repricing Beyond 2026
Narrative Update The analyst price target for BAE Systems has moved higher into a £1,860 to £2,438 range, reflecting analysts' updated views that supportive revenue growth assumptions, slightly softer margin expectations, and modestly adjusted future P/E multiples together justify a higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research points to generally constructive sentiment on BAE Systems, with several bullish analysts moving price targets higher into the upper half of the current £1,860 to £2,438 range.Actualización de narrativa • Mar 06
BA.: NATO Rearmament And US Contracts Will Support Measured Future Demand
Narrative Update on BAE Systems The analyst price target for BAE Systems has been raised from £21.49 to £22.90, reflecting higher Street targets, including recent increases from £19.50 to £24.00 per share, supported by updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly adjusted P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Street research on BAE Systems over recent months shows a mix of optimism on the earnings outlook and valuation support, alongside some caution on future share performance and relative appeal versus peers.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 20
BA.: Defence Order Momentum And 2026 Visibility Will Support Earnings Repricing
The updated analyst price target for BAE Systems edges up from £25.51 to £26.00. This change reflects analysts' mixed but generally constructive research in recent weeks, including higher price targets after slightly ahead of expectation fiscal 2025 results and revised outlooks into 2026.Actualización de narrativa • Feb 06
BA.: NATO Rearmament And New US Contracts Will Support Sustained Demand
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for BAE Systems higher to £21.49 from £21.01, reflecting modest tweaks to assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E. The revision incorporates a mix of recent price target hikes from JPMorgan, Berenberg and Kepler Cheuvreux, alongside downgrades from Jefferies and Bernstein.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 23
BA.: Higher Defence Orders And Guidance Will Support Earnings Repricing
We are nudging our BAE Systems fair value estimate higher to £25.51 from £25.00. This reflects analysts' higher price targets in the £1,860 to £2,400 range, supported by updated assumptions on revenue growth and P/E multiples, even as margin expectations are slightly lower.Actualización de narrativa • Jan 08
BA.: Sector Caution And U.S. Shutdown Risk Will Restrain Overheated Expectations
Narrative Update The updated analyst price targets for BAE Systems now center around £19.50 to £18.60 per share. This reflects a modestly lower fair value estimate and slightly adjusted growth, discount rate and P/E assumptions, as analysts balance sector wide caution with valuation driven support.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 24
BA.: NATO-Fueled Demand Will Face Execution And Budget Uncertainty
Analysts have raised their price target on BAE Systems by approximately 12 percent to reflect stronger expected revenue growth, slightly higher margins, and robust, geographically diversified demand from NATO countries. This demand is anticipated to support a higher future valuation multiple.Actualización de narrativa • Dec 10
BA.: NATO Rearmament Cycle Will Drive Sustained Demand Despite Political Risks
Analysts have marginally trimmed their price target for BAE Systems by approximately £0.20 per share, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions and a modestly lower revenue growth outlook. They still expect robust, NATO-driven demand and continue to favor the company within a selectively valued European defense sector.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 26
BA.: Global Defense Demand Will Drive Sustained Momentum Despite Sector Selectivity
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for BAE Systems from £21.35 to £21.21, citing strong ongoing demand and sector tailwinds, which are balanced by high market valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent street research highlights both the optimism and caution among analysts regarding BAE Systems’ prospects.Actualización de narrativa • Nov 10
BA.: Robust NATO Demand Will Sustain Sector Momentum Amid High Valuations
Analysts have modestly revised their price target for BAE Systems, maintaining fair value at £21.35. They cite robust demand from NATO countries and continued sector strength, despite high valuations.Artículo de análisis • Nov 05
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.)
Key Insights The projected fair value for BAE Systems is UK£22.07 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...Actualización de narrativa • Oct 27
Diversified Defense Demand And Global Tensions Will Drive New Order Expansion
Analysts have raised their price target for BAE Systems from £20.75 to £21.35. They cite the company's strong defense demand and diversified portfolio as key factors supporting the updated outlook.Artículo de análisis • Oct 16
BAE Systems' (LON:BA.) Dividend Will Be £0.135
The board of BAE Systems plc ( LON:BA. ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of £0.135 per share on the 3rd of...Artículo de análisis • Oct 03
Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.1x BAE Systems plc ( LON:BA. ) may be sending very bearish signals at...Artículo de análisis • Sep 19
BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Has Announced A Dividend Of £0.135
BAE Systems plc's ( LON:BA. ) investors are due to receive a payment of £0.135 per share on 3rd of December. This makes...Artículo de análisis • Sep 05
BAE Systems' (LON:BA.) Dividend Will Be £0.135
The board of BAE Systems plc ( LON:BA. ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 3rd of December, with...Artículo de análisis • Aug 26
BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Artículo de análisis • Aug 14
BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.135
BAE Systems plc ( LON:BA. ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of £0.135 per share on the 3rd of December. This...Artículo de análisis • Aug 13
The Returns At BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Aren't Growing
LSE:BA. 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore BAE Systems's Fair Values from the Community and select yours To find...Artículo de análisis • Jul 27
Does BAE Systems (LON:BA.) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Artículo de análisis • Jun 17
BAE Systems plc's (LON:BA.) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
BAE Systems plc's ( LON:BA. ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.5x might make it look like a strong sell right...
Nueva narrativa • Feb 23
Investments In Space, AI, And Drones Will Secure Future Leadership In Defense Technologies
Record order backlog and alignment with global defense spending will drive revenue growth and margin expansion through strategic national defense alignments.Previsiones de crecimiento de beneficios e ingresos
| Fecha | Ingresos | Beneficios | Flujo de caja libre | Flujo de caja operativo | Núm. de analistas medio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 38,708 | 2,973 | 2,927 | 4,515 | 13 |
| 12/31/2027 | 35,940 | 2,675 | 2,546 | 4,173 | 15 |
| 12/31/2026 | 33,267 | 2,314 | 2,151 | 3,592 | 16 |
| 12/31/2025 | 28,336 | 2,062 | 2,329 | 3,432 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 27,871 | 2,020 | 2,204 | 3,337 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 27,406 | 1,977 | 2,079 | 3,242 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 26,859 | 1,967 | 2,421 | 3,584 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 26,312 | 1,956 | 2,762 | 3,925 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 25,435 | 1,898 | 2,378 | 3,479 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 24,558 | 1,840 | 1,994 | 3,033 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 23,818 | 1,849 | 2,399 | 3,397 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 23,078 | 1,857 | 2,803 | 3,760 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 22,797 | 1,899 | 2,917 | 3,795 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 22,516 | 1,941 | 3,031 | 3,830 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 21,887 | 1,766 | 2,589 | 3,335 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 21,258 | 1,591 | 2,146 | 2,839 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 20,590 | 1,482 | 1,880 | 2,578 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 19,921 | 1,373 | 1,614 | 2,317 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 19,721 | 1,566 | 1,725 | 2,382 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 19,521 | 1,758 | 1,835 | 2,447 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 19,479 | 1,763 | 1,946 | 2,482 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 19,436 | 1,767 | 2,056 | 2,516 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 19,357 | 1,533 | 1,373 | 1,841 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 19,277 | 1,299 | 689 | 1,166 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 19,044 | 1,256 | 661 | 1,134 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 18,811 | 1,213 | 632 | 1,102 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 18,558 | 1,345 | 880 | 1,350 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 18,305 | 1,476 | 1,128 | 1,597 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 17,820 | 1,400 | N/A | 1,481 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 17,334 | 1,324 | N/A | 1,365 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 17,078 | 1,162 | N/A | 1,283 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 16,821 | 1,000 | N/A | 1,200 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 16,646 | 865 | N/A | 1,180 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 16,470 | 729 | N/A | 1,159 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 16,847 | 778 | N/A | 1,528 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 17,224 | 827 | N/A | 1,897 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 17,826 | 951 | N/A | 1,695 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 18,427 | 1,074 | N/A | 1,493 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 18,109 | 994 | N/A | 1,361 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 17,790 | 913 | N/A | 1,229 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 17,427 | 925 | N/A | 1,265 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 17,064 | 936 | N/A | 1,300 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 16,926 | 927 | N/A | 1,054 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 16,787 | 918 | N/A | 808 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 16,548 | 810 | N/A | 619 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 16,309 | 701 | N/A | 430 | N/A |
Previsiones de crecimiento futuro de los analistas
Ingresos vs. Tasa de ahorro: El pronóstico de crecimiento de los beneficios (12% al año) de BA. es superior a la tasa de ahorro (3.4%).
Beneficios vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los beneficios (12% al año) de BA. crezcan más rápidamente que el mercado UK (11.5% al año).
Beneficios de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los beneficios de BA. crezcan, pero no significativamente.
Ingresos vs. Mercado: Se prevé que los ingresos (9.4% al año) de BA. crezcan más rápidamente que los del mercado UK (4.5% al año).
Ingresos de alto crecimiento: Se prevé que los ingresos 9.4% al año) de BA. crezcan más despacio que 20% al año.
Previsiones de crecimiento de los beneficios por acción
Rentabilidad financiera futura
ROE futura: Se prevé que la rentabilidad financiera de BA. sea alta dentro de 3 años (22%)
Descubre empresas en crecimiento
Análisis de la empresa y estado de los datos financieros
| Datos | Última actualización (huso horario UTC) |
|---|---|
| Análisis de la empresa | 2026/05/24 00:47 |
| Precio de las acciones al final del día | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Beneficios | 2025/12/31 |
| Ingresos anuales | 2025/12/31 |
Fuentes de datos
Los datos utilizados en nuestro análisis de empresas proceden de S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Los siguientes datos se utilizan en nuestro modelo de análisis para generar este informe. Los datos están normalizados, lo que puede introducir un retraso desde que la fuente está disponible.
| Paquete | Datos | Marco temporal | Ejemplo Fuente EE.UU. * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzas de la empresa | 10 años |
| |
| Estimaciones del consenso de analistas | +3 años |
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| Precios de mercado | 30 años |
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| Propiedad | 10 años |
| |
| Gestión | 10 años |
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| Principales avances | 10 años |
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* Ejemplo para valores de EE.UU., para no EE.UU. se utilizan formularios y fuentes normativas equivalentes.
A menos que se especifique lo contrario, todos los datos financieros se basan en un periodo anual, pero se actualizan trimestralmente. Esto se conoce como datos de los últimos doce meses (TTM) o de los últimos doce meses (LTM). Más información.
Modelo de análisis y copo de nieve
Los detalles del modelo de análisis utilizado para generar este informe están disponibles en nuestra página de Github, también tenemos guías sobre cómo utilizar nuestros informes y tutoriales en Youtube.
Conozca al equipo de talla mundial que diseñó y construyó el modelo de análisis Simply Wall St.
Métricas industriales y sectoriales
Simply Wall St calcula cada 6 horas nuestras métricas sectoriales y de sección. Los detalles de nuestro proceso están disponibles en Github.
Fuentes analistas
BAE Systems plc está cubierta por 33 analistas. 16 de esos analistas presentaron las estimaciones de ingresos o ganancias utilizadas como datos para nuestro informe. Las estimaciones de los analistas se actualizan a lo largo del día.
| Analista | Institución |
|---|---|
| Joseph Campbell | Barclays |
| George Mcwhirter | Berenberg |
| Adrien Rabier | Bernstein |