TJX Companies Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 2/6
TJX Companies wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 6.3% bzw. 5.6% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 7.2% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 51.4% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
6.3%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
7.18%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Specialty Retail Gewinnwachstum | 9.0% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 5.6% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 51.39% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 27 Jul 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jul 16
The TJX Companies: Resilient Performance, But Valuation Caps Upside (Upgrade)
Summary TJX Companies has outperformed retail peers, driven by strong comp sales and margin expansion amid a choppy consumer macro environment. Recent Q1 results delivered a beat-and-raise, with all banners posting high single-digit comps and management citing room for up to ~7k stores. I am raising my rating on TJX to "Neutral," as the stock now presents a balanced bull-bear case after a >20% annual rise and a recent 10% pullback. Key risks include TJX’s thin margin profile in the low 30s and a valuation that appears disconnected from its actual earnings growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative-Update • Jun 29
TJX: Strong Off Price Execution And Expansion May Restrain Further Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for TJX Companies has been raised from $129.14 to $146.93, reflecting updated Street price targets clustered in the $160 to $197 range as analysts point to Q1 earnings outperformance, broad-based comp strength and solid margin trends across banners. Analyst Commentary Street research on TJX Companies has turned more constructive on Q1 execution, with multiple firms lifting price targets into the US$160 to US$197 range after the earnings beat, broad-based comp performance and margin strength across banners.
Narrative-Update • Jun 15
TJX: Off Price Model And Capital Returns Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts lifted the TJX Companies fair value estimate to $197 from $193 as higher Street price targets, Q1 earnings strength, and expectations for steady margins and revenue growth support a slightly higher assumed P/E multiple and a modestly lower discount rate. Analyst Commentary Street research around the Q1 report points to broadly constructive sentiment on TJX, with a cluster of higher price targets following the earnings release.
Narrative-Update • Jun 01
TJX: Off Price Q1 Execution And FY27 Guidance Will Drive Upside
Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for TJX Companies has moved higher from $171.78 to $177.63 as analysts point to a series of Q1 earnings beats, broad-based comp and transaction growth across banners, and ongoing optimism around the off price model and margin performance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on TJX Companies has tilted clearly positive, with multiple firms lifting their price targets after the Q1 report.Narrative-Update • May 03
TJX: Off Price Model And Capital Returns Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged TJX Companies' average price target higher into the mid to high $170s, citing stronger than expected Q4 results, resilient traffic and ticket trends, and what they view as conservative guidance that leaves room for upside. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have been lifting their price targets on TJX Companies following the latest Q4 report, pointing to solid execution, resilient demand and what they see as achievable guidance.Narrative-Update • Apr 19
TJX: Off Price Model And Shareholder Returns Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update The blended Street price target for TJX has moved higher into a $172 to $185 range, as analysts cite strong recent quarterly results, resilient off-price fundamentals, and updated long-term guidance as support for revising their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of bullish analysts revising their TJX valuation frameworks higher, with most new targets falling into the low to mid US$170s and several stretching into the low US$180s.Narrative-Update • Apr 05
TJX: Off Price Execution And FY27 Guidance Will Shape Balanced Risk Profile
Analysts have inched up their average price targets on TJX Companies into a $170 to $185 range, citing strong recent quarterly results, resilient traffic and margins, and an outlook that they see as leaving room for further execution upside. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a broadly positive tone on TJX, with most firms lifting price targets into the mid to high $170s range and a few moving into the low $180s.Narrative-Update • Mar 22
TJX: Off Price Execution And FY27 Guidance Will Frame Balanced Upside Risk
Analysts have nudged TJX Companies' average price target higher into the low $170s, reflecting updated models after strong Q4 results, resilient margins, and guidance that several firms describe as leaving room for upside. Analyst Commentary Bullish and cautious voices are both active around TJX, but the current wave of research is skewed toward higher price targets and confidence in execution following recent results.Narrative-Update • Mar 07
TJX: Off Price Execution And FY27 Guidance Will Shape Multi Year Outlook
The analyst price target for TJX Companies has moved higher, reflecting a fair value increase from $164.11 to $171.78. Analysts point to strong recent results, updated models, and sustained resilience in off-price retail as key supports for this change.Narrative-Update • Feb 21
TJX: Off Price Exposure To Higher Income Shoppers Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for TJX Companies to $193 from $181, citing higher Street price targets and renewed optimism around off-price retail, as firms highlight resilient discretionary spending, solid top-line trends tied to easier weather comparisons and tax refunds, and exposure to higher income consumers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are pointing to a more constructive view on TJX Companies, with higher fair value estimates and price targets reflecting confidence in the off price model and the company’s ability to execute in a mixed retail backdrop.Narrative-Update • Feb 07
TJX: Elevated Off Price Optimism May Constrain Future Share Return Potential
Analysts have nudged their price expectations for TJX higher, reflected in our fair value estimate rising from US$124.91 to US$129.14. They cite recent price target increases across the Street that point to confidence in the company's off price positioning, ongoing top line trends, Q3 performance and updated guidance.Narrative-Update • Jan 24
TJX: Elevated Expectations Around Off Price Expansion May Limit Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for TJX Companies higher to about $124.91 from $117.46, citing recent price target increases across the Street that reflect confidence in the off price model, solid Q3 results, and positive views on consumer spending and market share opportunities into 2026. Analyst Commentary Street research on TJX remains largely constructive, with a cluster of higher price targets following the company’s Q3 report and updated guidance.Narrative-Update • Jan 09
TJX: Off Price Execution And FY26 Guidance Will Support Multi Year Outlook
Analysts nudged their price target for TJX higher to about $164 from roughly $160, citing supportive Street research that highlights stronger Q3 results, updated FY26 guidance, and broad confidence in off-price retail trends and TJX's multi-banner momentum. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a generally constructive stance on TJX, with multiple firms lifting valuation targets after the Q3 report and updated FY26 guidance.Narrative-Update • Dec 26
TJX: Q3 Execution And Market Share Gains Will Support Multi Year Outlook
Analysts modestly lifted their price target on TJX Companies to approximately $160 from about $159, citing strong Q3 results, raised multi year guidance, broad based sales momentum across segments, and continued market share opportunities in the off price space. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment around TJX remains broadly constructive following the latest Q3 report, with multiple firms lifting price targets across a wide range, from the mid $140s to the low $180s, and reiterating positive ratings on the shares.Narrative-Update • Dec 12
TJX Strong Q3 Execution Will Drive Market Share Gains Ahead
TJX Companies fair value estimate has been raised from $164 to $181, as analysts point to strong Q3 results, raised long term guidance, resilient value positioning across categories, and continued market share and EPS growth potential supported by the off price sector backdrop. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts broadly highlight TJX's strong Q3 performance, improved long term guidance, and durable value proposition as key drivers behind a wave of upward price target revisions.Narrative-Update • Nov 27
TJX: Momentum From Q3 Gains And Market Share Advances Will Support Outlook
The fair value estimate for TJX Companies has been raised by analysts from approximately $151.84 to $159.16 per share. This adjustment reflects robust Q3 performance, raised guidance, and ongoing strength across key business segments.Narrative-Update • Nov 11
TJX: Strong Operating Margins And Execution Will Sustain Measured Performance Ahead
Analysts have raised their price target for TJX Companies slightly, from approximately $151.37 to $151.84. They cite strong business performance, robust operating margins, and a solid outlook supported by recent earnings results.Narrative-Update • Oct 28
Raised Guidance And Solid Performance Will Drive Further Market Share Gains
The analyst price target for TJX Companies has increased slightly from $149.44 to $151.37 per share. Analysts point to the company’s strong recent results, raised guidance, and sustained profitability compared to competitors.Narrative-Update • Aug 27
Global Store Base Will Reach 7,000, Increasing Customer Access
The analyst price target for TJX Companies has been raised to $149.44, reflecting strong Q2 outperformance, raised guidance, and sustained traffic and market share gains, though upside may be tempered by elevated valuation. Analyst Commentary Strong Q2 performance with both revenue and earnings exceeding expectations, fueled by healthy traffic growth across all banners.Analyseartikel • Aug 22
The TJX Companies, Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Investors in The TJX Companies, Inc. ( NYSE:TJX ) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.4% to close at US$138 following...Neues Narrative • Apr 08
HomeGoods And Sierra Expansion Will Shape Future Markets
Global expansion into high-potential markets like Canada, Europe, and new regions is set to drive significant sales growth and increased market share.Seeking Alpha • Mar 27
The TJX Companies: Priced For Perfection (Rating Downgrade)
Summary TJX is executing well with solid same-store sales growth and effective management, but macroeconomic conditions have worsened, posing risks to FY25 earnings. Elevated inventory levels and potential margin contraction could pressure TJX's financial performance amid weakening consumer spending and increased fixed costs. TJX's current premium valuation compared to peers like Burlington and Ross is unsustainable, suggesting significant downside risk if macro conditions don't improve. I recommend a sell rating due to heightened macro risks, inventory concerns, and the stock being priced for perfection, despite strong management execution. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 03
The TJX Companies: Capital Efficiency And Defensive Earnings Come At A Price
Summary The TJX Companies constantly has grown its leading off-price retail store network with great capital efficiency. TJX provides very defensive earnings as the business is weakly affected by changes in industry-wide apparel sales, proven by recent years' sales data and the 2008 financial crisis performance. The capital efficiency and defensive earnings come at a high price tag, and I estimate a fair value of $116 for TJX stock. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaGewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/31/2029 | 72,602 | 6,860 | 5,850 | 8,571 | 7 |
| 1/31/2028 | 67,888 | 6,299 | 5,269 | 7,840 | 20 |
| 1/31/2027 | 64,136 | 5,798 | 5,025 | 7,670 | 20 |
| 5/2/2026 | 61,584 | 5,790 | 5,477 | 7,599 | N/A |
| 1/31/2026 | 60,372 | 5,494 | 4,917 | 6,874 | N/A |
| 11/1/2025 | 58,979 | 5,119 | 4,418 | 6,421 | N/A |
| 8/2/2025 | 57,925 | 4,974 | 4,041 | 5,935 | N/A |
| 5/3/2025 | 56,992 | 4,830 | 3,777 | 5,773 | N/A |
| 2/1/2025 | 56,360 | 4,864 | 4,198 | 6,116 | N/A |
| 11/2/2024 | 56,421 | 4,869 | 4,366 | 6,212 | N/A |
| 8/3/2024 | 55,623 | 4,763 | 4,453 | 6,337 | N/A |
| 5/4/2024 | 54,913 | 4,653 | 4,269 | 6,049 | N/A |
| 2/3/2024 | 54,217 | 4,474 | 4,335 | 6,057 | N/A |
| 10/28/2023 | 52,326 | 4,109 | 4,645 | 6,282 | N/A |
| 7/29/2023 | 51,228 | 3,981 | 4,580 | 6,164 | N/A |
| 4/29/2023 | 50,313 | 3,802 | 3,959 | 5,463 | N/A |
| 1/28/2023 | 49,936 | 3,498 | 2,627 | 4,084 | N/A |
| 10/29/2022 | 49,270 | 3,400 | 740 | 2,169 | N/A |
| 7/30/2022 | 49,635 | 3,360 | 823 | 2,116 | N/A |
| 4/30/2022 | 49,869 | 3,336 | 1,722 | 2,856 | N/A |
| 1/29/2022 | 48,550 | 3,283 | 2,012 | 3,057 | N/A |
| 10/30/2021 | 45,639 | 2,668 | 1,382 | 2,232 | N/A |
| 7/31/2021 | 43,224 | 2,512 | 4,609 | 5,312 | N/A |
| 5/1/2021 | 37,815 | 1,512 | 6,707 | 7,290 | N/A |
| 1/30/2021 | 32,137 | 90 | 3,994 | 4,562 | N/A |
| 10/31/2020 | 33,400 | 750 | 5,806 | 6,470 | N/A |
| 8/1/2020 | 33,734 | 711 | 2,409 | 3,364 | N/A |
| 5/2/2020 | 36,848 | 1,685 | -360 | 757 | N/A |
| 2/1/2020 | 41,717 | 3,272 | N/A | 4,067 | N/A |
| 11/2/2019 | 40,638 | 3,129 | N/A | 3,484 | N/A |
| 8/3/2019 | 40,012 | 3,063 | N/A | 3,427 | N/A |
| 5/4/2019 | 39,562 | 3,044 | N/A | 3,513 | N/A |
| 2/2/2019 | 38,973 | 3,060 | N/A | 4,088 | N/A |
| 11/3/2018 | 38,806 | 3,096 | N/A | 3,574 | N/A |
| 8/4/2018 | 37,743 | 2,975 | N/A | 3,483 | N/A |
| 5/5/2018 | 36,769 | 2,788 | N/A | 3,302 | N/A |
| 2/3/2018 | 35,865 | 2,608 | N/A | 3,026 | N/A |
| 10/28/2017 | 34,372 | 2,409 | N/A | 3,444 | N/A |
| 7/29/2017 | 33,901 | 2,317 | N/A | 3,546 | N/A |
| 4/29/2017 | 33,425 | 2,326 | N/A | 3,630 | N/A |
| 1/28/2017 | 33,184 | 2,298 | N/A | 3,627 | N/A |
| 10/29/2016 | 32,678 | 2,287 | N/A | 3,393 | N/A |
| 7/30/2016 | 32,140 | 2,324 | N/A | 3,192 | N/A |
| 4/30/2016 | 31,622 | 2,311 | N/A | 2,935 | N/A |
| 1/30/2016 | 30,945 | 2,278 | N/A | 2,957 | N/A |
| 10/31/2015 | 30,287 | 2,259 | N/A | 2,839 | N/A |
| 8/1/2015 | 29,899 | 2,267 | N/A | 2,849 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: TJXDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (6.3% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.5%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: TJXDie Erträge des Unternehmens (6.3% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (16.7% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: TJXDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: TJXDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (5.6% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als der Markt US (12.4% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: TJXDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (5.6% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: TJXDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich sehr hoch sein (51.4%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/07/31 21:53 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/07/31 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2026/05/02 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2026/01/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
The TJX Companies, Inc. wird von 45 Analysten beobachtet. 20 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Christopher Graja | Argus Research Company |
| Mark Altschwager | Baird |
| Robert Drbul | Barclays |