Alcoa Corporation

NYSE:AA Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: US$13.5b

Alcoa Balance Sheet Health

Finanzielle Gesundheit Kriterienprüfungen 6/6

Alcoa hat ein Gesamteigenkapital von $7.4B und eine Gesamtverschuldung von $2.2B, wodurch sich der Verschuldungsgrad auf 29.9% beläuft. Die Gesamtaktiva und Gesamtpassiva betragen $16.9B bzw. $9.4B. Alcoa Das EBIT des Unternehmens beträgt $1.7B, so dass der Zinsdeckungsgrad 40.3 beträgt. Das Unternehmen verfügt über Barmittel und kurzfristige Anlagen in Höhe von $1.4B.

Wichtige Informationen

29.92%

Verhältnis von Schulden zu Eigenkapital

US$2.23b

Verschuldung

Zinsdeckungsgrad40.3x
BargeldUS$1.35b
EigenkapitalUS$7.44b
GesamtverbindlichkeitenUS$9.42b
GesamtvermögenUS$16.85b

Jüngste Berichte zur Finanzlage

Keine Aktualisierungen

Recent updates

Narrative-Update Aug 12

AA: Long Term Outlook Will Benefit From Wharf 17 Expansion Investment

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Alcoa slightly lower from $82.00 to $80.00, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Alcoa Alcoa updated its 2026 operating guidance, with alumina production now projected between 9.5 and 9.6 million metric tons and alumina shipments between 11.5 and 11.6 million metric tons, citing lower output at the Pinjarra refinery due to gas supply disruptions associated with Cyclone Narelle.
Narrative-Update Jul 29

AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Gallium Expansion Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have revised their price target on Alcoa to $62.98 from $82.25 as updated assumptions reflect lower revenue growth expectations, along with a higher discount rate, partially offset by improved profit margin estimates and a reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News for Alcoa Alcoa and its government partners in Australia, Japan, and the United States approved construction of a new gallium production facility at the Wagerup alumina refinery in Western Australia, creating an additional source of a key material used in semiconductors and defense technologies.
Narrative-Update Jul 15

AA: South32 Asset Deal Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Alcoa from $127.34 to $82.00, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News Alcoa agreed to acquire South32’s bauxite, alumina, and aluminum assets across Australia, Brazil, and South Africa in a transaction valued at about US$4.1b in upfront cash and stock, plus a potential US$750 million contingent value right, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, with closing targeted for the first half of 2027.
Seeking Alpha Jul 02

Alcoa's Collapse Looks Like A Buying Opportunity

Summary Alcoa Corporation has dropped over 40% since May 2026, but I remain bullish with a potential 42% upside. AA's recent acquisition of South32 assets strengthens its upstream aluminum position and is expected to generate ~$900M in NPV synergies. Despite macro headwinds and a sharp aluminum price correction, AA trades at less than 4x forward EV/EBITDA, well below its 5-year average. Risks include earnings sensitivity to global aluminum prices and potential EBITDA estimate cuts, but long-term demand drivers remain intact. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative-Update Jul 01

AA: Acquisition And Secured Power Supply Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa from $92.00 to $127.34, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What’s in the News for Alcoa Alcoa agreed to acquire South32’s bauxite mine, alumina refinery, and aluminum smelter interests for about US$4.1b.
Narrative-Update Jun 17

AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Aluminum Price Tailwinds Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their Alcoa price target from $73.87 to $82.25, citing updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. What’s in the News for Alcoa Alcoa shares dropped nearly 10% after the company revised its Q2 outlook, citing a projected US$60 million unfavorable impact in the Alumina segment from higher production costs at the Pinjarra refinery, cyclone related disruptions, and increased energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions near the Strait of Hormuz.
Analyseartikel Jun 16

Alcoa (AA) Stock Could Be 14.9% Undervalued on Its Decarbonization Growth Narrative

Alcoa (AA) has drawn renewed attention after recent share price moves, with the stock last closing at $62.87. Investors are weighing this level against the company’s current earnings profile, growth metrics, and broader aluminum exposure. See our latest analysis for Alcoa. Recent weakness in Alcoa’s share price, with a 1-day share price return that declined 2.01% and a 7-day share price return that declined 13.18%, sits against a year-to-date share price return of 11.20% and a 1-year total...
Narrative-Update Jun 03

AA: Supply Disruptions And Cost Pressures Will Likely Still Fail To Justify Pricing

Analysts have lifted their price target on Alcoa from about $46.37 to roughly $53.99, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News UBS upgraded Alcoa to Buy and lifted its price target to $80, citing expectations of prolonged aluminum supply disruptions in the Middle East and a projected global supply gap by 2026.
Narrative-Update May 13

AA: Production Stability And Higher Margins Will Support Stronger Long Term Outlook

Analysts have raised Alcoa's fair value estimate from $58.00 to $92.00, citing updated assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as the main factors supporting the higher price target. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite at 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum at 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year earlier (Key Developments).
Narrative-Update Apr 29

AA: Higher Margin Outlook And Production Plans Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target for Alcoa to $73.87 from $72.48, reflecting updated expectations around potential revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa reported first quarter 2026 production results, with Bauxite output of 9.1 mdmt compared with 9.5 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina production of 2,355 kmt in line with the prior year, and Aluminum production of 607 kmt compared with 564 kmt a year ago (Key Developments).
Narrative-Update Apr 15

AA: Updated Output Plans And Margins Will Shape Measured Future Returns

Analysts have revised their price target for Alcoa to approximately $72, up from about $67, citing updated assumptions around fair value, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa reported fourth quarter 2025 production with Bauxite at 9.4 mdmt versus 9.3 mdmt a year earlier, Alumina at 2,481 kmt versus 2,390 kmt, and Aluminum at 604 kmt versus 571 kmt (Announcement of Operating Results).
Narrative-Update Mar 31

AA: Higher Output And Trading Volumes Will Likely Still Fail To Justify Pricing

Analysts now place Alcoa's price target at about $46.37, compared with the prior $38.00. This reflects updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate, and future P/E levels.
Narrative-Update Mar 17

AA: Production Plans And Margin Expectations Will Guide Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Alcoa to $66.92 from $61.42, reflecting updated assumptions on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2026, targeting total Alumina segment production between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons, with shipments between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the role of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina in meeting customer contracts (company guidance).
Narrative-Update Mar 03

AA: Production Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their Alcoa price target slightly higher to $61.42 from $61.08, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and a modestly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued 2026 production guidance for its Alumina segment, with expected production between 9.7 million and 9.9 million metric tons and shipments between 11.8 million and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting the use of trading volumes and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (Corporate guidance).
Narrative-Update Feb 16

AA: Higher Margins And Production Will Still Likely Fail To Justify Pricing

Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from $33.00 to $38.00, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth expectations, profit margin outlook, and a revised future P/E multiple. What's in the News Alcoa issued production guidance for 2025 and outlined expectations for 2026, with the Alumina segment projected to produce between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons in 2026, and shipments expected between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons, reflecting a mix of internal production, trading volumes, and externally sourced alumina to meet customer contracts (company guidance).
Narrative-Update Feb 02

AA: Low Carbon Smelting And Margin Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Future Returns

Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from US$45.42 to US$61.08. They cite updates in their models that reflect revised assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples.
Narrative-Update Jan 19

AA: Future Decarbonization Benefits Will Likely Fail To Justify Current Pricing

Analysts have lifted their price target on Alcoa from US$27.00 to US$33.00, pointing to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and a lower future P/E as key drivers of the change. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball Corporation and Unilever announced the first use of ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in consumer personal and home care packaging, using aluminum that eliminates direct smelting greenhouse gas emissions and generates oxygen instead of CO2 (Key Developments).
Narrative-Update Jan 05

AA: Carbon Free Smelting And Energy Moves Will Support Balanced Long Term Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately $42 to $58 per share, citing expectations for faster revenue growth, significantly higher profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Together, these factors support a meaningfully higher fair value estimate.
Analyseartikel Dec 30

Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Share Price Boosted 29% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Despite an already strong run, Alcoa Corporation ( NYSE:AA ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the...
Narrative-Update Dec 20

AA: Low Carbon Smelting Shift Will Likely Pressure Future Returns

Narrative Update on Alcoa Analysts have raised their price target on Alcoa by approximately 10 percent to around 45 dollars per share, citing expectations for modestly stronger revenue growth, materially improved profit margins, and a more attractive forward earnings multiple. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology, combining low carbon primary aluminum with recycled content to create one of the lowest footprint aerosol cans on the market (company announcement).
Narrative-Update Dec 06

AA: Low Carbon Initiatives And Portfolio Reshaping Will Define Future Performance

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Alcoa from approximately 39.54 dollars to 41.29 dollars, citing higher long term revenue growth expectations and a richer future earnings multiple, despite a lower projected profit margin and slightly higher discount rate. What's in the News Alcoa, Ball and Unilever unveiled the first consumer packaging using ELYSIS carbon free smelting technology in low carbon aerosol cans ahead of COP30, highlighting a major step toward decarbonized aluminum supply chains (Key Developments).
Narrative-Update Nov 22

AA: Measured Shifts in Operations and Partnerships Will Shape Future Performance

Narrative Update on Alcoa: Analyst Price Target Adjustment Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Alcoa, revising the price target from $39.63 to $39.54 per share. This change reflects modest adjustments to outlooks on discount rate and growth assumptions.
Narrative-Update Nov 05

AA: Future Investments and Facility Upgrades Will Drive Shareholder Value

Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa slightly. The new target is $39.63, up from $39.21.
Narrative-Update Oct 22

Analysts Raise Alcoa Price Target as New Partnerships and Plant Closure Drive Valuation Upward

Alcoa's analyst price target has increased from $36.64 to $39.21. This change reflects improved revenue growth and profit margin projections according to analysts.
Narrative-Update Oct 08

Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins

Analysts have raised their price target for Alcoa from $34.09 to $36.64. They cite improved forecast profit margins and lower expected future price-to-earnings ratios as key factors in their updated outlook.
Narrative-Update Sep 24

Tariff Volatility And Recycled Materials Will Erode Primary Aluminum Margins

Despite a notable downgrade in revenue growth expectations, an improved net profit margin has offset this impact, resulting in a slight increase in Alcoa's analyst price target from $33.55 to $34.09. What's in the News Held Analyst/Investor Day event.
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Neues Narrative Apr 24

Australia Refinancing And San Ciprián Restart Will Support Stable Operations

Strategic refinancing and joint ventures are expected to enhance cash flow, reduce interest expenses, and stabilize revenue.
Seeking Alpha Apr 18

Alcoa's Q1 2025 Review: Tariff Hurts, But Game Isn't Over

Summary Alcoa's stock is down ~75% from its ATH. Tariff wars and economic uncertainty added fuel to the fire, but Q1 2025 results show strong net income and adjusted EBITDA growth. Despite a 3% QoQ revenue dip, net income more than doubled to $548 million, with adjusted net income beating Street estimates at $568 million. Alcoa refinanced $1 billion in debt, extending maturities and lowering interest expenses, aiming for an adjusted net debt range of $1-1.5 billion. Tariffs on Canadian aluminum imports will significantly impact Alcoa's costs, with a projected unfavorable impact of ~$90 million in Q2 2025. Because current tariffs hinder construction accessibility and will likely be revised (perhaps favorably for Alcoa), the present undervaluation of AA stock provides significant upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha Mar 30

Alcoa And The Aluminum Market: A Point Of Tension And Growth

Summary Alcoa's financial results have been volatile, with losses in 2022-2023 and profits in 2024 due to aluminum price recovery and strategic asset restructuring. The company focuses on high-quality assets, vertical integration, and technological advancements, aiming for efficiency and sustainability without aggressive expansion. Despite positive developments, Alcoa remains vulnerable to raw material price fluctuations and high energy costs, impacting its financial stability. Alcoa shares are fairly valued at $34; I recommend considering a purchase closer to $25, assigning a "Hold" rating due to limited upside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Analyse der Finanzlage

Kurzfristige Verbindlichkeiten: AADie kurzfristigen Aktiva des Unternehmens ($5.9B) übersteigen seine kurzfristigen Passiva ($3.8B).

Langfristige Verbindlichkeiten: AADie kurzfristigen Vermögenswerte des Unternehmens ($5.9B) übersteigen seine langfristigen Verbindlichkeiten ($5.6B).


Geschichte und Analyse des Verhältnisses von Schulden zu Eigenkapital

Verschuldungsgrad: AADie Nettoverschuldung im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital (11.7%) wird als zufriedenstellend angesehen.

Schulden abbauen: AA Das Verhältnis von Schulden zu Eigenkapital ist in den letzten 5 Jahren von 40.9% auf 29.9% zurückgegangen.

Schuldendeckung: AADie Schulden des Unternehmens sind gut durch den operativen Cashflow gedeckt (47.2%).

Zinsdeckung: AADie Zinszahlungen für die Schulden des Unternehmens sind durch das EBIT (40.3x Coverage) gut gedeckt.


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Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/08/13 16:49
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/08/13 00:00
Gewinne2026/06/30
Jährliche Einnahmen2025/12/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

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Analysten-Quellen

Alcoa Corporation wird von 28 Analysten beobachtet. 12 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Paretosh MisraBerenberg