FirstGroup Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 0/6
Der Umsatz und der Gewinn von FirstGroup werden voraussichtlich um 27.4% bzw. 3.2% pro Jahr zurückgehen. Der Gewinn je Aktie wird voraussichtlich um 1.9% pro Jahr sinken. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 14% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
-3.2%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
-1.91%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Transportation Gewinnwachstum | 10.8% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | -27.4% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 13.96% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Low |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 20 May 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrativ-Update • May 10
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target on FirstGroup, with the latest fair value estimate holding at £2.50. Updated assumptions on the discount rate and future P/E have contributed to a more refined view of the stock.Narrativ-Update • Apr 24
FGP: Stable Margins And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have reduced their price target on FirstGroup to £2.50 per share, citing only minor adjustments to the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, rather than any major shift in the investment case. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is held at £2.50, with no change to the central estimate.Narrativ-Update • Apr 10
FGP: Stronger Margin Outlook And Steady P/E Will Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup slightly, citing marginally higher discount rate assumptions, a small extra revenue decline and a modestly stronger profit margin outlook, which leaves their overall fair value estimate at £2.50 per share. Valuation Changes Fair Value: £2.50 per share is unchanged in the updated assessment.Narrativ-Update • Mar 26
FGP: Higher Future P/E Assumptions Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on FirstGroup by £0.01, reflecting slightly lower fair value and profit margin assumptions, alongside a modestly higher discount rate and future P/E multiple in their models. Valuation Changes Fair value has been reduced slightly from £2.51 to £2.50 per share.Narrativ-Update • Mar 12
FGP: Stable Assumptions And Earnings Multiple Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup to £2.51, with the small adjustment reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue trends, profit margins and future P/E. Together, these factors support a broadly unchanged view of the shares.Narrativ-Update • Feb 26
FGP: New Overground Contract Will Drive Future Returns
Analysts have kept their £2.51 price target for FirstGroup broadly steady, citing only minor tweaks to assumptions such as a slightly higher discount rate and modestly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and forward P/E inputs. What's in the News FirstGroup agreed to acquire the UK sightseeing bus operations of RATP Développement for about £17 million.Narrativ-Update • Feb 11
FGP: New Overground Contract And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have kept their fair value view broadly unchanged for FirstGroup, with only small adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue expectations, profit margin and future P/E. This has led to a marginal tweak in their £ price target rather than a significant reset of their outlook.Narrativ-Update • Jan 27
FGP: New Overground Win And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup slightly higher to £2.51 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue trends and profit margins, while keeping the long term P/E outlook broadly unchanged. What's in the News FirstGroup agreed to acquire the UK sightseeing bus operations of RATP Développement for about £17m, adding 63 buses across London and Bath, two depots and around 190 employees to the First Bus business (Key Developments).Narrativ-Update • Jan 09
FGP: Higher Interim Dividend Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target for FirstGroup slightly higher to around £2.51. This reflects small adjustments to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions and expectations for revenue contraction, profit margins and future P/E multiples.Analyseartikel • Dec 15
We Think FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Narrativ-Update • Dec 14
FGP: Dividend And Buyback Will Support Stronger Shareholder Returns Ahead
Analysts have nudged their price target on FirstGroup higher, lifting fair value from £2.39 to £2.50 as they factor in slightly improved revenue expectations despite a modestly softer margin and higher discount rate. What's in the News Board proposes an interim dividend of 2.2 pence per share for H1 2026, up from 1.7 pence in H1 2025.Analyseartikel • Nov 21
FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Will Pay A Dividend Of £0.022
The board of FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 30th of December, with...Analyseartikel • Oct 22
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial...Analyseartikel • Sep 03
Investors Don't See Light At End Of FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) Tunnel
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Transportation industry in the United Kingdom have price-to-sales...Analyseartikel • Jun 15
Analysts Are Betting On FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) With A Big Upgrade This Week
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial...Analyseartikel • May 08
FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a...Analyseartikel • Apr 21
Should You Think About Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Now?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over...Analyseartikel • Mar 25
Is FirstGroup (LON:FGP) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Neues Narrativ • Feb 08
Bus Electrification And London-Stirling Rail Route Will Improve Future Operations
Electrification of the bus fleet, supported by partnerships and CapEx, aims to improve efficiency and margins long-term.Analyseartikel • Nov 21
Shareholders Will Be Pleased With The Quality of FirstGroup's (LON:FGP) Earnings
When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like FirstGroup plc's ( LON:FGP ) stock...Analyseartikel • Oct 04
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, FirstGroup fair value estimate is UK£1.36 Current share price...Analyseartikel • Sep 12
What FirstGroup plc's (LON:FGP) P/S Is Not Telling You
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.4x in the Transportation industry in the United Kingdom...Analyseartikel • Aug 06
Is Now The Time To Look At Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during...Analyseartikel • Jul 02
Estimating The Fair Value Of FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP)
Key Insights The projected fair value for FirstGroup is UK£1.51 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...Analyseartikel • May 26
Should You Think About Buying FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Now?
FirstGroup plc ( LON:FGP ), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the LSE gainers with a relatively large price...Analyseartikel • Mar 30
Is FirstGroup plc (LON:FGP) Trading At A 27% Discount?
Today we'll do a simple run through of a valuation method used to estimate the attractiveness of FirstGroup plc...Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/31/2028 | 2,205 | 114 | 107 | 242 | 3 |
| 3/31/2027 | 3,824 | 116 | 100 | 234 | 3 |
| 3/31/2026 | 4,432 | 110 | 65 | 234 | 3 |
| 9/27/2025 | 4,990 | 129 | 417 | 638 | N/A |
| 6/27/2025 | 5,028 | 126 | 508 | 696 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 5,066 | 123 | 598 | 754 | N/A |
| 12/29/2024 | 4,989 | 109 | 534 | 700 | N/A |
| 9/28/2024 | 4,882 | 95 | 470 | 646 | N/A |
| 6/28/2024 | 4,798 | 42 | 397 | 595 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 4,715 | -10 | 324 | 543 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 4,732 | -8 | 367 | 592 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 4,750 | -7 | 410 | 642 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 4,752 | 36 | 403 | 608 | N/A |
| 3/25/2023 | 4,755 | 79 | 396 | 574 | N/A |
| 12/25/2022 | 4,710 | 69 | 204 | 380 | N/A |
| 9/24/2022 | 4,664 | 59 | 13 | 186 | N/A |
| 6/24/2022 | 4,628 | 24 | -126 | 87 | N/A |
| 3/26/2022 | 4,591 | -11 | -264 | -12 | N/A |
| 12/26/2021 | 4,498 | 2 | -111 | 229 | N/A |
| 9/25/2021 | 4,405 | 15 | 43 | 470 | N/A |
| 6/25/2021 | 4,362 | 12 | 413 | 837 | N/A |
| 3/27/2021 | 4,319 | 10 | 784 | 1,204 | N/A |
| 9/26/2020 | 3,164 | -209 | 1,035 | 1,306 | N/A |
| 6/26/2020 | 3,903 | -273 | 831 | 1,131 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 4,643 | -337 | 626 | 957 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,555 | -280 | 430 | 812 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 7,356 | -233 | 233 | 667 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 7,241 | -150 | N/A | 615 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 7,127 | -67 | N/A | 564 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 7,029 | -186 | N/A | 571 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 6,930 | -305 | N/A | 578 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 6,664 | -301 | N/A | 607 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 6,398 | -296 | N/A | 637 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 6,129 | -95 | N/A | 660 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 5,860 | 105 | N/A | 683 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 5,757 | 109 | N/A | 602 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 5,653 | 112 | N/A | 520 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 5,498 | 108 | N/A | 522 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 5,342 | 105 | N/A | 523 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 5,280 | 97 | N/A | 466 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 5,218 | 90 | N/A | 410 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 5,384 | 79 | N/A | 306 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 5,551 | 67 | N/A | 202 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 5,801 | 71 | N/A | 264 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: FGPFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird ein Rückgang der Gewinne prognostiziert (-3.2% pro Jahr).
Ertrag vs. Markt: FGPFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird ein Rückgang der Gewinne prognostiziert (-3.2% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: FGPFür die nächsten 3 Jahre wird mit einem Rückgang der Erträge gerechnet.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: FGPDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens werden in den nächsten 3 Jahren voraussichtlich zurückgehen (-27.4% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: FGPDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens werden in den nächsten drei Jahren voraussichtlich zurückgehen (-27.4% pro Jahr).
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: FGPDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich niedrig sein (14%).
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/05/21 14:52 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2025/09/27 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/03/29 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
|
| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
|
* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
FirstGroup plc wird von 21 Analysten beobachtet. 3 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| David Fintzen | Barclays |
| Jack Cummings | Berenberg |
| James Edward Hollins | BNP Paribas |