Fresnillo plc

LSE:FRES Lagerbericht

Marktkapitalisierung: UK£23.8b

Fresnillo Zukünftiges Wachstum

Future Kriterienprüfungen 4/6

Fresnillo wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 14.7% bzw. 8.8% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 14.1% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 31.9% betragen.

Wichtige Informationen

14.7%

Wachstumsrate der Gewinne

14.05%

EPS-Wachstumsrate

Metals and Mining Gewinnwachstum16.9%
Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen8.8%
Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite31.90%
Analystenabdeckung

Good

Zuletzt aktualisiert30 Apr 2026

Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum

Recent updates

Narrativ-Update • May 18

FRES: Production Slippage And Diverging Street Views Will Pressure Future Returns

Fresnillo’s updated analyst price target has shifted to reflect mixed recent moves, including a £4.00 increase at Citi and several reductions of £1.00 to £4.00 at other firms, as analysts factor in revised assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fresnillo shows a split view, with some higher price targets sitting alongside a series of reductions.
Narrativ-Update • May 04

FRES: Production Slippage And Mixed Street Views Will Pressure Future Returns

Fresnillo’s analyst fair value estimate has been adjusted from £23.88 to £24.72. The change reflects recent mixed price target revisions across the Street and updated assumptions on long term revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations.
Narrativ-Update • Apr 20

FRES: Execution Risks Around Multi Year Production Guidance Will Likely Intensify

The analyst price target for Fresnillo has increased to £23.88 from £21.82, with analysts citing adjusted expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, along with mixed recent target changes from major banks, as support for the new fair value. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split in sentiment on Fresnillo, with some major banks lifting targets while others have taken a more cautious stance on valuation and execution.
Narrativ-Update • Feb 22

FRES: Mixed Rating Shifts Will Likely Expose Mounting Execution Risk

The Fresnillo analyst price target has been reduced by about £0.17 per share, as analysts factor in slightly higher projected revenue growth and profit margins, together with a modestly lower P/E and discount rate following recent mixed rating and target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fresnillo shows a split view, with some firms lifting targets while others trim expectations or ratings.
Narrativ-Update • Feb 07

FRES: Higher Revenue Hopes Will Likely Mask Growing Execution Risk

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Fresnillo from £16.62 to £21.99 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a lower future P/E multiple, and recent mixed but generally higher Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fresnillo has sent mixed signals, with several firms adjusting price targets in different directions and one downgrade in the mix.
Narrativ-Update • Jan 24

FRES: Higher Metal Price Optimism Will Likely Mask Execution And Margin Risks

Analysts have modestly revised their fair value estimate for Fresnillo to £16.62 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue, profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple following recent price target increases from several banks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Fresnillo points to a mixed stance, with some high profile price target adjustments sitting alongside more cautious views on the shares.
Analyseartikel • Jan 16

Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump

Fresnillo plc ( LON:FRES ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The...
Narrativ-Update • Jan 09

FRES: Elevated Gold Price Forecasts Will Likely Drive Future Multiple Compression

Fresnillo’s updated fair value estimate has moved from £24.12 to £28.64 per share. This reflects analysts’ higher price targets and refreshed assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels.
Narrativ-Update • Dec 23

FRES: Higher Precious Metal Price Hopes Will Likely Overstate Future Earnings Potential

Fresnillo's analyst price target has been lifted sharply, rising from about 950 GBp to a range of 3,000 to 4,300 GBp, as analysts factor in stronger expected revenue growth, higher profit margins and a more constructive long-term precious metals price outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent target price revisions for Fresnillo highlight a wide dispersion in analyst expectations, reflecting divergent views on the sustainability of the company’s earnings recovery and leverage to higher precious metals prices.
Analyseartikel • Dec 23

These 4 Measures Indicate That Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Is Using Debt Safely

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Narrativ-Update • Dec 09

FRES: Elevated Gold Price Assumptions Will Likely Expose Downside If Metals Normalize

Our analyst price target for Fresnillo has been raised in line with the Street, which has lifted targets as high as 4,300 GBp per share. This reflects analysts' increasingly optimistic assumptions for revenue growth, margins, and long term precious metal pricing.
Analyseartikel • Dec 02

Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Looks Just Right With A 27% Price Jump

Despite an already strong run, Fresnillo plc ( LON:FRES ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last...
Narrativ-Update • Nov 25

FRES: Higher Gold Price Forecasts Will Drive Moderate Upside Amid Ongoing Market Risks

Fresnillo's analyst price target has increased from £24.10 to £24.24 per share. Analysts cite improving revenue growth, stronger profit margins, and positive sector sentiment as key drivers for the upward revision.
Analyseartikel • Nov 20

Here's Why We Think Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Is Well Worth Watching

The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...
Narrativ-Update • Nov 10

FRES: Increased Gold Price Forecasts Will Influence Share Performance Amid Sector Volatility

Analysts have sharply increased their price target on Fresnillo, with estimates rising from approximately £22.64 to £24.10 per share. They cite stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and optimism from higher long-term gold price forecasts.
Narrativ-Update • Oct 27

Long-Term Gold Price Strength Will Drive Profitability And Earnings Outlook

Fresnillo's analyst price target has been raised significantly, increasing from £18.36 to £22.64, as analysts anticipate stronger revenue growth and improved profit margins. This change is driven by higher long-term gold price forecasts.
Narrativ-Update • Oct 13

Exploration Efforts At Ciénega And San Julian Will Extend Mine Life

The analyst price target for Fresnillo has been raised significantly from £16.26 to £18.36. Analysts cite expectations for improved revenue growth and sector tailwinds that may support higher future valuations.
Narrativ-Update • Sep 29

Exploration Efforts At Ciénega And San Julian Will Extend Mine Life

Analysts have raised Fresnillo’s price target to £16.26, driven by bullish views on sustained higher silver prices and improved operating outlook, though some caution that current valuations already reflect lofty silver price assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite a substantially improved silver price backdrop, raising expectations for Fresnillo's earnings and cash flows.
Analyseartikel • Sep 18

Is Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Using Too Much Debt?

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Narrativ-Update • Sep 14

Exploration Efforts At Ciénega And San Julian Will Extend Mine Life

Fresnillo’s analyst price target has been revised higher to £14.56 amid improved silver market fundamentals and a strengthened production outlook, though some caution that valuation now assumes an optimistic silver price scenario with limited downside protection. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite improved silver market fundamentals and strengthening price outlook as key drivers for raising targets.
Narrativ-Update • Aug 30

Exploration Efforts At Ciénega And San Julian Will Extend Mine Life

Fresnillo's consensus analyst price target was raised to £14.18 as analysts anticipate stronger earnings and cash flows on higher silver price forecasts, though concerns remain that the current share price already reflects overly optimistic long-term silver assumptions and presents a less compelling risk-reward, limiting further upside at current valuation. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising price targets based on a substantially improved silver price outlook and more favorable sector backdrop.
Analyseartikel • Aug 28

After Leaping 26% Fresnillo plc (LON:FRES) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Fresnillo plc ( LON:FRES ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. The...
Narrativ-Update • Aug 15

Exploration Efforts At Ciénega And San Julian Will Extend Mine Life

Despite improved silver price outlooks and operational momentum underpinning bullish sentiment, analysts note that current valuation already prices in optimistic assumptions and offers limited upside, resulting in the consensus price target for Fresnillo holding steady at £13.70. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite a substantially improved outlook for silver prices, supporting upward revisions in price targets.
Analyseartikel • Aug 06

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Fresnillo (LON:FRES) Presents An Opportunity

It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...
Analyseartikel • Jun 20

There's Reason For Concern Over Fresnillo plc's (LON:FRES) Massive 37% Price Jump

Fresnillo plc ( LON:FRES ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 37% gain in the last month alone. The...
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Neues Narrativ • Mar 09

Exploration Efforts At Ciénega And San Julian Will Extend Mine Life

Operational discipline and infrastructure improvements are set to enhance production efficiency, lower costs, and potentially boost future net margins and earnings.

Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen

LSE:FRES - Zukünftige Analystenschätzungen und Finanzdaten der Vergangenheit (USD Millions)
DatumUmsatzGewinneFreier CashflowBargeld aus operativen TätigkeitenDurchschn. Anz. Analysten
12/31/20286,2582,3532,0972,9679
12/31/20276,6532,4652,0762,98411
12/31/20266,7422,5071,4992,84411
12/31/20254,5611,3841,8902,290N/A
9/30/20254,2539201,7362,115N/A
6/30/20253,9444561,5821,940N/A
3/31/20253,7202981,2561,620N/A
12/31/20243,4961419291,300N/A
9/30/20243,173194562960N/A
6/30/20242,850248194620N/A
3/31/20242,77824168523N/A
12/31/20232,705234-57426N/A
9/30/20232,611227-133369N/A
6/30/20232,517219-208313N/A
3/31/20232,475246-149407N/A
12/31/20222,433272-90502N/A
9/30/20222,46425427640N/A
6/30/20222,495236144778N/A
3/31/20222,599329224837N/A
12/31/20212,703421303895N/A
9/30/20212,773516412951N/A
6/30/20212,8436125201,007N/A
3/31/20212,636493513962N/A
12/31/20202,430374505918N/A
9/30/20202,301286352804N/A
6/30/20202,172198198691N/A
3/31/20202,14620137563N/A
12/31/20192,120204-123436N/A
9/30/20192,055197N/A413N/A
6/30/20191,991190N/A389N/A
3/31/20192,047270N/A489N/A
12/31/20182,104350N/A588N/A
9/30/20182,158416N/A681N/A
6/30/20182,213482N/A774N/A
3/31/20182,153521N/A768N/A
12/31/20172,093561N/A761N/A
9/30/20172,054565N/A803N/A
6/30/20172,014569N/A844N/A
3/31/20171,960498N/A871N/A
12/31/20161,906427N/A898N/A
9/30/20161,742294N/A793N/A
6/30/20161,579161N/A687N/A
3/31/20161,512116N/A615N/A
12/31/20151,44471N/A543N/A
9/30/20151,46763N/A387N/A
6/30/20151,48955N/A230N/A

Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum

Einkommen vs. Sparrate: FRESDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (14.7% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (3.4%).

Ertrag vs. Markt: FRESDie Erträge des Unternehmens (14.7% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt UK (11.5% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumserträge: FRESDie Erträge des Unternehmens werden voraussichtlich steigen, jedoch nicht deutlich.

Einnahmen vs. Markt: FRESDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (8.8% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt UK (4.5% pro Jahr).

Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: FRESDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (8.8% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.

Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite

Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: FRESDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein (31.9%)

Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken

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1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status

DatenZuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit)
Unternehmensanalyse2026/05/22 10:20
Aktienkurs zum Tagesende2026/05/22 00:00
Gewinne2025/12/31
Jährliche Einnahmen2025/12/31

Datenquellen

Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.

PaketDatenZeitrahmenBeispiel US-Quelle *
Finanzdaten des Unternehmens10 Jahre
  • Gewinn- und Verlustrechnung
  • Kapitalflussrechnung
  • Bilanz
Konsensschätzungen der Analysten+3 Jahre
  • Finanzielle Vorausschau
  • Kursziele der Analysten
Marktpreise30 Jahre
  • Aktienkurse
  • Dividenden, Splits und Aktionen
Eigentümerschaft10 Jahre
  • Top-Aktionäre
  • Insiderhandel
Verwaltung10 Jahre
  • Das Führungsteam
  • Direktorium
Wichtige Entwicklungen10 Jahre
  • Ankündigungen des Unternehmens

* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.

Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.

Analysemodell und Schneeflocke

Einzelheiten zu dem Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite. Außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Verwendung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf YouTube an.

Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.

Metriken für Industrie und Sektor

Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.

Analysten-Quellen

Fresnillo plc wird von 28 Analysten beobachtet. 11 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.

AnalystEinrichtung
David Simon ButlerBarclays
Amos FletcherBarclays
Richard HatchBerenberg