Stadler Rail Zukünftiges Wachstum
Future Kriterienprüfungen 5/6
Stadler Rail wird ein jährliches Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstum von 27.5% bzw. 8.9% prognostiziert. Der Gewinn pro Aktie wird voraussichtlich wachsen um 27.6% pro Jahr. Die Eigenkapitalrendite wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich 20.4% betragen.
Wichtige Informationen
27.5%
Wachstumsrate der Gewinne
27.60%
EPS-Wachstumsrate
| Machinery Gewinnwachstum | 15.4% |
| Wachstumsrate der Einnahmen | 8.9% |
| Zukünftige Eigenkapitalrendite | 20.38% |
| Analystenabdeckung | Good |
| Zuletzt aktualisiert | 06 Aug 2026 |
Jüngste Aktualisierungen zum künftigen Wachstum
Recent updates
Narrative-Update • Jun 17
SRAIL: Order Backlog Execution And 2026 Margin Delivery Will Shape Fair Value
The latest narrative update on Stadler Rail reflects a stable analyst fair value at CHF 23.50, with only modest tweaks to the discount rate and valuation inputs. Analysts are weighing a recent UBS upgrade against a small CHF 0.90 price target cut from JPMorgan, along with more constructive commentary from Oddo BHF.Narrative-Update • Jun 03
SRAIL: Order Backlog And 2026 Margin Delivery Guide Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have adjusted the Stadler Rail fair value estimate from CHF 22.77 to CHF 23.50, citing recent price target revisions and upgrades that reflect updated views on revenue, profit margins and expected P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight recent upgrades as a sign that expectations for Stadler Rail’s revenue profile and profit margins are better aligned with the current fair value estimate of CHF 23.50.
Narrative-Update • May 19
SRAIL: Execution And Margin Pressures Will Challenge Optimistic Multi Year Revenue Guidance
Analysts have adjusted their outlook on Stadler Rail with a modest refinement to the implied price target. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins across recent UBS, JPMorgan, Oddo BHF and Kepler Cheuvreux research, while leaving the central fair value view at CHF 19.40.Narrative-Update • May 02
SRAIL: Execution And Margin Risks Will Undermine Confidence In Earnings Guidance
Analysts have refined their view on Stadler Rail, with the average price target adjusting slightly to CHF 19.40. Modest changes to the discount rate, revenue growth assumptions and future P/E expectations reflect a mix of recent upgrades and a small reduction to one major target.Narrative-Update • Apr 17
SRAIL: Higher P/E And Execution Risks Will Pressure Confidence In Earnings Guidance
Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for Stadler Rail to CHF 19.40 from CHF 18.00. This reflects recent upgrades and mixed price target revisions that weigh stronger confidence in the stock's execution against slightly softer revenue growth and margin expectations, as well as a higher assumed P/E multiple.Narrative-Update • Apr 03
SRAIL: Order Backlog And 2026 EBIT Margin Outlook May Drive Repricing
Analysts have lifted the average price target for Stadler Rail to CHF 22.77 from CHF 21.85, citing recent upgrades that reflect updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the recent upgrades as support for a higher valuation, pointing to revised assumptions on discount rate and future P/E multiples that they view as more aligned with current market expectations for Stadler Rail.Analyseartikel • Mar 25
There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of Stadler Rail's (VTX:SRAIL) Earnings
Stadler Rail AG's ( VTX:SRAIL ) stock was strong after they recently reported robust earnings. We did some analysis and...
Narrative-Update • Mar 20
SRAIL: Upgraded Ratings And Higher Multiple Expectations Will Drive Bullish Repricing
Analysts have lifted their price target on Stadler Rail from CHF 26.70 to CHF 28.00, citing a higher fair value and updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent bullish analysts have echoed the higher price target, flagging a higher perceived fair value for Stadler Rail that aligns with revised assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels.Analyseartikel • Feb 10
The Price Is Right For Stadler Rail AG (VTX:SRAIL)
Stadler Rail AG's ( VTX:SRAIL ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 68x might make it look like a strong sell right...Analyseartikel • Nov 26
Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Has Some Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase...Analyseartikel • Oct 26
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Stadler Rail AG's (VTX:SRAIL) P/E
Stadler Rail AG's ( VTX:SRAIL ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 64.6x might make it look like a strong sell right...Neues Narrative • Sep 07
Future Urbanization And Green Mobility Trends Will Expand Global Reach
Key Takeaways Strong growth in order backlog and leadership in green technologies position Stadler Rail for sustained revenue growth and increased market share amid global decarbonization trends. Strategic market expansion and efficiency initiatives are set to boost margins and recurring revenue, supporting long-term profitability and resilience.Analyseartikel • Jul 10
Capital Allocation Trends At Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Aren't Ideal
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analyseartikel • Apr 15
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Stadler Rail AG's (VTX:SRAIL) P/E
Stadler Rail AG's ( VTX:SRAIL ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 52.6x might make it look like a strong sell right...Analyseartikel • Mar 27
Stadler Rail's (VTX:SRAIL) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
The most recent earnings report from Stadler Rail AG ( VTX:SRAIL ) was disappointing for shareholders. While the...Analyseartikel • Mar 22
Stadler Rail AG Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
Stadler Rail AG ( VTX:SRAIL ) missed earnings with its latest full-year results, disappointing overly-optimistic...Analyseartikel • Jan 20
Are Investors Undervaluing Stadler Rail AG (VTX:SRAIL) By 45%?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Stadler Rail is CHF37.10 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Stadler...Analyseartikel • Dec 20
The Returns On Capital At Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Don't Inspire Confidence
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll...Analyseartikel • Nov 20
Take Care Before Jumping Onto Stadler Rail AG (VTX:SRAIL) Even Though It's 27% Cheaper
The Stadler Rail AG ( VTX:SRAIL ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27...Analyseartikel • Sep 20
Investors Could Be Concerned With Stadler Rail's (VTX:SRAIL) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analyseartikel • May 03
Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Analyseartikel • Apr 11
Many Still Looking Away From Stadler Rail AG (VTX:SRAIL)
There wouldn't be many who think Stadler Rail AG's ( VTX:SRAIL ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.8x is worth a...Analyseartikel • Mar 21
Why Stadler Rail's (VTX:SRAIL) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem
Stadler Rail AG's ( VTX:SRAIL ) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the...Analyseartikel • Mar 16
Stadler Rail AG Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
As you might know, Stadler Rail AG ( VTX:SRAIL ) last week released its latest yearly, and things did not turn out so...Analyseartikel • Jan 16
Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two...Analyseartikel • Dec 24
With Stadler Rail AG (VTX:SRAIL) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.5x Stadler Rail AG ( VTX:SRAIL ) may be sending very bearish signals at...Analyseartikel • Nov 18
An Intrinsic Calculation For Stadler Rail AG (VTX:SRAIL) Suggests It's 22% Undervalued
Key Insights Stadler Rail's estimated fair value is CHF42.99 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Stadler Rail's...Analyseartikel • Oct 11
Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analyseartikel • Sep 23
Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analyseartikel • Aug 17
Is Stadler Rail AG (VTX:SRAIL) Trading At A 23% Discount?
Key Insights The projected fair value for Stadler Rail is CHF43.45 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Stadler...Analyseartikel • May 30
Stadler Rail's (VTX:SRAIL) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...Analyseartikel • Apr 03
These 4 Measures Indicate That Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Is Using Debt Extensively
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analyseartikel • Jan 27
Return Trends At Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Aren't Appealing
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want...Analyseartikel • Dec 11
Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analyseartikel • Oct 18
Slowing Rates Of Return At Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Leave Little Room For Excitement
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...Analyseartikel • Sep 10
Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analyseartikel • Jun 10
The Returns On Capital At Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Don't Inspire Confidence
If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...Analyseartikel • Apr 28
We Think Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analyseartikel • Mar 17
Stadler Rail AG Just Missed EPS By 25%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
It's shaping up to be a tough period for Stadler Rail AG ( VTX:SRAIL ), which a week ago released some disappointing...Analyseartikel • Mar 03
Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analyseartikel • Nov 24
Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analyseartikel • Oct 01
Does Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analyseartikel • Jul 30
Stadler Rail (VTX:SRAIL) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Ideally, a business will...Gewinn- und Umsatzwachstumsprognosen
| Datum | Umsatz | Gewinne | Freier Cashflow | Bargeld aus operativen Tätigkeiten | Durchschn. Anz. Analysten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,549 | 230 | 143 | 421 | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,332 | 207 | 246 | 412 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 4,966 | 161 | -120 | 168 | 7 |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,679 | 88 | -630 | -349 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,522 | 60 | -447 | -177 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,364 | 32 | -192 | -4 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 3,310 | 35 | -37 | 141 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 3,256 | 38 | 48 | 286 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 3,434 | 81 | 62 | 252 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,613 | 123 | 76 | 218 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,611 | 124 | 409 | 562 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,608 | 124 | 741 | 905 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,588 | 111 | 618 | 812 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 3,567 | 97 | 494 | 718 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,659 | 85 | 377 | 580 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,751 | 73 | 259 | 441 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 3,720 | 91 | 329 | 501 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 3,689 | 109 | 398 | 560 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 3,662 | 121 | 362 | 532 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 3,635 | 134 | 326 | 503 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 3,601 | 141 | 21 | 254 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 3,568 | 148 | -284 | 6 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 3,326 | 143 | -389 | -100 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 3,085 | 138 | -493 | -206 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 3,053 | 127 | -467 | -228 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 3,020 | 116 | -441 | -250 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 3,110 | 121 | -438 | -218 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,201 | 127 | -435 | -187 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,760 | 132 | N/A | -181 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,318 | 138 | N/A | -175 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,160 | 128 | N/A | -184 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,001 | 118 | N/A | -193 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,428 | 171 | N/A | 452 | N/A |
Analystenprognosen zum zukünftigen Wachstum
Einkommen vs. Sparrate: SRAILDas prognostizierte Gewinnwachstum (27.5% pro Jahr) liegt über der Sparquote (0.6%).
Ertrag vs. Markt: SRAILDie Erträge des Unternehmens (27.5% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt Swiss (12.1% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumserträge: SRAILEs wird erwartet, dass die Erträge des Unternehmens in den nächsten 3 Jahren erheblich steigen werden.
Einnahmen vs. Markt: SRAILDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (8.9% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich schneller wachsen als der Markt Swiss (5.3% pro Jahr).
Hohe Wachstumseinnahmen: SRAILDie Einnahmen des Unternehmens (8.9% pro Jahr) werden voraussichtlich langsamer wachsen als 20% pro Jahr.
Wachstumsprognosen für den Gewinn je Aktie
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite
Künftige Eigenkapitalrendite: SRAILDie Eigenkapitalrendite des Unternehmens wird in 3 Jahren voraussichtlich hoch sein (20.4%)
Wachstumsunternehmen entdecken
Unternehmensanalyse und Finanzdaten Status
| Daten | Zuletzt aktualisiert (UTC-Zeit) |
|---|---|
| Unternehmensanalyse | 2026/08/06 20:19 |
| Aktienkurs zum Tagesende | 2026/08/06 00:00 |
| Gewinne | 2025/12/31 |
| Jährliche Einnahmen | 2025/12/31 |
Datenquellen
Die in unserer Unternehmensanalyse verwendeten Daten stammen von S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. Die folgenden Daten werden in unserem Analysemodell verwendet, um diesen Bericht zu erstellen. Die Daten sind normalisiert, was zu einer Verzögerung bei der Verfügbarkeit der Quelle führen kann.
| Paket | Daten | Zeitrahmen | Beispiel US-Quelle * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finanzdaten des Unternehmens | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Konsensschätzungen der Analysten | +3 Jahre |
|
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| Marktpreise | 30 Jahre |
| |
| Eigentümerschaft | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Verwaltung | 10 Jahre |
| |
| Wichtige Entwicklungen | 10 Jahre |
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* Beispiel für US-Wertpapiere, für nicht-US-amerikanische Wertpapiere werden gleichwertige regulatorische Formulare und Quellen verwendet.
Sofern nicht anders angegeben, beziehen sich alle Finanzdaten auf einen Jahreszeitraum, werden aber vierteljährlich aktualisiert. Dies wird als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) oder Last Twelve Month (LTM) Daten bezeichnet. Erfahren Sie mehr.
Analysemodell und Schneeflocke
Details zum Analysemodell, mit dem dieser Bericht erstellt wurde, finden Sie auf unserer Github-Seite; außerdem bieten wir Leitfäden zur Nutzung unserer Berichte und Tutorials auf Youtube an.
Erfahren Sie mehr über das Weltklasse-Team, das das Simply Wall St-Analysemodell entworfen und entwickelt hat.
Metriken für Industrie und Sektor
Unsere Branchen- und Sektionskennzahlen werden alle 6 Stunden von Simply Wall St berechnet. Details zu unserem Verfahren finden Sie auf Github.
Analysten-Quellen
Stadler Rail AG wird von 12 Analysten beobachtet. 7 dieser Analysten hat die Umsatz- oder Gewinnschätzungen übermittelt, die als Grundlage für unseren Bericht dienen. Die von den Analysten übermittelten Daten werden im Laufe des Tages aktualisiert.
| Analyst | Einrichtung |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Mounsey | BNP Paribas |
| Alexander Virgo | BofA Global Research |
| Vivek Midha | Citigroup Inc |