Caterpillar Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Caterpillar is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.4% and 5.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 44.9% in 3 years.
Key information
5.4%
Earnings growth rate
7.2%
EPS growth rate
Machinery earnings growth | 11.3% |
Revenue growth rate | 5.4% |
Future return on equity | 44.9% |
Analyst coverage | Good |
Last updated | 01 May 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Caterpillar: This Cat Is Out Of Lives For Now (Rating Downgrade)
Apr 15Caterpillar Vs. Deere: Which One Is The Better Buy Amidst Tariffs?
Apr 06Caterpillar: Diversification Without Diworsification; Home Depot Looks Healthy, So Do Others
Mar 12Caterpillar Inc.'s (NYSE:CAT) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
Mar 10Caterpillar: Good Long-Term Story, But Near-Term Woes Keep Me On The Sidelines
Mar 06We Think Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Feb 27Caterpillar: Why The Stock Is Close To Fair Value
Feb 27Do Caterpillar's (NYSE:CAT) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
Feb 14Analysts Are Updating Their Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Estimates After Its Yearly Results
Feb 03Caterpillar: Q4 Earnings Report Confirms Negative Macroeconomic Outlook, Indicating Margin Contraction
Jan 31Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Knows How To Allocate Capital Effectively
Jan 27Caterpillar: Macroeconomic Outlook For 2025 Signals Trouble For Heavy Equipment
Dec 29What Is Caterpillar Inc.'s (NYSE:CAT) Share Price Doing?
Dec 08Caterpillar Is Good, But Not Quite Great
Dec 02Why Caterpillar Is The Industrial Giant I'm Betting On For The Next Decade
Nov 23
Narrative update from Goran Damchevski
Nov 18CAT is stuck in a downwards cycle that is expected to persist in Q4.We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Passed With Ease
Nov 13Caterpillar Q3: There Are More Pressing Issues Than The Earnings Miss
Oct 30Is Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value
Oct 27Caterpillar: 4 Major CATalysts
Oct 23Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT)
Oct 15Does Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Oct 04Caterpillar: The Macroeconomic Factors Fueling Its Resilience (Rating Upgrade)
Sep 22Caterpillar Inc.'s (NYSE:CAT) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
Sep 16
Narrative update from Goran Damchevski
Sep 06Average revenue growth 4%, revised down from 7.5%. Leading to 2028 revenues of $78.8BSoft Economic Conditions And Cautious Outlook Shadow Construction And Resource Industries' Prospects
Sep 02 Concerns about a slowdown in North American rental fleet loading hint at cautious outlooks impacting future Construction Industries' revenue growth.Caterpillar: Why I'd Wait Before Adding To Existing Position (Rating Downgrade)
Aug 29At US$342, Is It Time To Put Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) On Your Watch List?
Aug 23Dividend Resilience: Unveiling Caterpillar's Secret Sauce
Aug 20Caterpillar: Every Good Tale Must Come To An End
Aug 02Why I Remain Bullish On Caterpillar Dividends
Jul 21Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $1.41
Jul 19Here's Why Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
Jul 16Investors Shouldn't Overlook Caterpillar's (NYSE:CAT) Impressive Returns On Capital
Jul 05Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)
Jun 24Caterpillar: Material Downside To Consensus Estimates
Jun 18Caterpillar Inc.'s (NYSE:CAT) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
Jun 13Caterpillar: Continued Upgrades Will Drive A Re-Rating; Buy
Jun 12Is There Now An Opportunity In Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)?
May 22Caterpillar: The Dividend Aristocrat With A Growth Engine, A One-Stop Shop
May 18
Narrative update from Goran Damchevski
May 14Caterpillar reported Q1’24 sales at $15.8B, a decrease of $63M, primarily driven by lower equipment sales. Management expects full year 2024 revenue to be roughly in-line with 2023 which ended at $67BIs Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) A Risky Investment?
May 11Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/31/2027 | 71,948 | 10,599 | 11,902 | 14,025 | 9 |
12/31/2026 | 66,444 | 10,083 | 9,908 | 12,739 | 17 |
12/31/2025 | 62,444 | 8,825 | 8,826 | 11,529 | 12 |
3/31/2025 | 63,259 | 9,939 | 7,875 | 11,272 | N/A |
12/31/2024 | 64,809 | 10,792 | 8,820 | 12,035 | N/A |
9/30/2024 | 65,664 | 10,677 | 9,613 | 12,645 | N/A |
6/30/2024 | 66,368 | 11,007 | 10,046 | 13,136 | N/A |
3/31/2024 | 66,997 | 11,248 | 10,286 | 13,364 | N/A |
12/31/2023 | 67,060 | 10,335 | 9,793 | 12,885 | N/A |
9/30/2023 | 66,587 | 9,113 | 8,675 | 11,621 | N/A |
6/30/2023 | 64,771 | 8,360 | 7,260 | 10,042 | N/A |
3/31/2023 | 61,700 | 7,111 | 6,356 | 9,026 | N/A |
12/31/2022 | 59,427 | 6,705 | 5,167 | 7,766 | N/A |
9/30/2022 | 56,628 | 7,371 | 3,763 | 6,439 | N/A |
6/30/2022 | 54,031 | 6,756 | 3,052 | 5,698 | N/A |
3/31/2022 | 52,673 | 6,496 | 2,936 | 5,583 | N/A |
12/31/2021 | 50,971 | 6,489 | 4,726 | 7,198 | N/A |
9/30/2021 | 48,408 | 5,149 | 5,547 | 7,858 | N/A |
6/30/2021 | 45,892 | 4,391 | 5,635 | 7,852 | N/A |
3/31/2021 | 43,000 | 3,436 | 5,054 | 7,125 | N/A |
12/31/2020 | 41,748 | 2,998 | 4,212 | 6,327 | N/A |
9/30/2020 | 43,657 | 3,316 | 4,385 | 6,689 | N/A |
6/30/2020 | 46,534 | 4,142 | 3,282 | 5,724 | N/A |
3/31/2020 | 50,969 | 5,304 | 4,251 | 6,921 | N/A |
12/31/2019 | 53,800 | 6,093 | 4,243 | 6,912 | N/A |
9/30/2019 | 54,998 | 6,043 | 3,918 | 6,561 | N/A |
6/30/2019 | 55,750 | 6,276 | 4,571 | 7,184 | N/A |
3/31/2019 | 55,329 | 6,363 | 4,038 | 6,744 | N/A |
12/31/2018 | 54,722 | 6,147 | N/A | 6,558 | N/A |
9/30/2018 | 53,276 | 3,800 | N/A | 5,016 | N/A |
6/30/2018 | 51,179 | 3,132 | N/A | 4,865 | N/A |
3/31/2018 | 48,499 | 2,227 | N/A | 5,099 | N/A |
12/31/2017 | 45,462 | 754 | N/A | 5,706 | N/A |
9/30/2017 | 42,140 | 882 | N/A | 6,826 | N/A |
6/30/2017 | 39,887 | 106 | N/A | 6,756 | N/A |
3/31/2017 | 38,898 | -146 | N/A | 6,688 | N/A |
12/31/2016 | 38,537 | -67 | N/A | 5,639 | N/A |
9/30/2016 | 39,993 | 1,010 | N/A | 5,786 | N/A |
6/30/2016 | 41,795 | 1,286 | N/A | 6,121 | N/A |
3/31/2016 | 43,770 | 1,538 | N/A | 5,895 | N/A |
12/31/2015 | 47,011 | 2,512 | N/A | 6,699 | N/A |
9/30/2015 | 50,225 | 3,363 | N/A | 6,735 | N/A |
6/30/2015 | 52,812 | 3,821 | N/A | 7,281 | N/A |
3/31/2015 | 54,645 | 4,018 | N/A | 7,430 | N/A |
12/31/2014 | 55,184 | 2,452 | N/A | 8,057 | N/A |
9/30/2014 | 55,342 | 3,941 | N/A | 8,766 | N/A |
6/30/2014 | 55,216 | 3,870 | N/A | 9,732 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: CAT's forecast earnings growth (5.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).
Earnings vs Market: CAT's earnings (5.4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.7% per year).
High Growth Earnings: CAT's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: CAT's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: CAT's revenue (5.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: CAT's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (44.9%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2025/05/01 23:44 |
End of Day Share Price | 2025/05/01 00:00 |
Earnings | 2025/03/31 |
Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
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Company Financials | 10 years |
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Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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Market Prices | 30 years |
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Ownership | 10 years |
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Management | 10 years |
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Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Caterpillar Inc. is covered by 66 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
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John Eade | Argus Research Company |
William Grace | Avondale Partners |
Mircea Dobre | Baird |