Spotify Technology S.A.

NYSE:SPOT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$93.3b

Spotify Technology Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Spotify Technology is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 29.6% and 12.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 29.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 23.9% in 3 years.

Key information

29.6%

Earnings growth rate

29.7%

EPS growth rate

Entertainment earnings growth27.6%
Revenue growth rate12.6%
Future return on equity23.9%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Spotify: My Top Investment Pick For 2025

Dec 15

From $15 Billion To $100 Billion: Lessons From Our Spotify Investment

Dec 08

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Spotify Technology S.A.'s (NYSE:SPOT) P/S

Nov 13
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Spotify Technology S.A.'s (NYSE:SPOT) P/S

Spotify Q3: Strong Subscriber Growth And Margin Improvement

Nov 12

Spotify Technology's (NYSE:SPOT) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Oct 10
Spotify Technology's (NYSE:SPOT) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Spotify: Who's There? TikTok - Buy

Oct 03

Spotify: Why We Remain Confident In The Position We've Built

Sep 13

Spotify: Beware Slowing MAU Growth, Lock In Gains And Sell (Rating Downgrade)

Aug 24

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT)

Aug 09
Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT)

Spotify Q2: Subscriber Gains With Improved Monetization

Jul 23

Spotify: Ready To Jump As Price And Bundling Adjustment Flow To Earnings

Jul 16

Spotify's Price Hikes Make It Expensive For Everyone

Jul 08

Estimating The Fair Value Of Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT)

Jun 20
Estimating The Fair Value Of Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT)

Spotify: Price Increases Are Helping To Mask Weaker User Growth

Jun 07

Spotify Technology (NYSE:SPOT) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Jun 04
Spotify Technology (NYSE:SPOT) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

Is Spotify Technology (NYSE:SPOT) Using Too Much Debt?

May 21
Is Spotify Technology (NYSE:SPOT) Using Too Much Debt?

Baron Fund - Spotify Technology: A Long-Term Winner In Music Streaming

May 16

Spotify Technology S.A.'s (NYSE:SPOT) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

May 06
Spotify Technology S.A.'s (NYSE:SPOT) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

Spotify: Bet On This 'Forever-Subscription' Company

May 06

Spotify: Firing On All Cylinders, Initiating Stock With 'Strong Buy'

Apr 24

Spotify: Expansion Success Is Largely Priced In

Apr 17

Spotify Technology: My Top Recommendation For Potentially Explosive Upside

Apr 03

Spotify's Faceoff With YouTube Is Intriguing, But A Sanity Check Is Due

Mar 21

Wall Street Lunch: Spotify To Introduce Music Videos

Mar 13

Spotify's Long-Term Prospects Outweigh Present Stock Valuation Concerns

Feb 28

Spotify: Time To Lock In Gains For Now (Rating Downgrade)

Feb 14

Spotify Q4 2023 Earnings Update

Feb 07

Spotify: Music Streaming Remains A Competitive Nightmare

Jan 08

Spotify's Headcount Reduction - A Strategic Reorientation

Dec 11

Spotify: Optimism Is Returning

Dec 04

Spotify: Adding To The Watchlist, But Not Buying

Nov 20

Spotify: Focus On Profitability Makes Me Positive

Oct 31

Spotify Q3 Earnings Preview: Fasten The Seat Belt

Oct 23

Spotify Technology: Be Careful

Oct 06

Ads, AI, And Spotify's Growth Prospects

Sep 29

Spotify: Don't Lose Patience

Sep 07

Spotify: Focus On User Growth

Aug 26

Spotify Q2 2023 Earnings Update

Jul 26

Spotify: Quietly Outperforming

Jun 26

Spotify: I Will Buy After The Dip

Jun 08

Spotify: The Closer I Look, The More Bullish I Become

May 25

Spotify: Product Expansion Represents An Opportunity

Feb 21

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:SPOT - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202620,3292,3083,3193,08427
12/31/202517,8841,8142,8352,72134
12/31/202415,5791,1892,0591,99232
9/30/202415,1027011,8031,815N/A
6/30/202414,4714661,3021,311N/A
3/31/202413,841-110823832N/A
12/31/202313,247-532674680N/A
9/30/202312,742-732203213N/A
6/30/202312,421-9632842N/A
3/31/202312,108-7865168N/A
12/31/202211,727-4302146N/A
9/30/202211,250-199199235N/A
6/30/202210,715-31262318N/A
3/31/202210,18274262333N/A
12/31/20219,668-34276361N/A
9/30/20219,147-120245349N/A
6/30/20218,621-223252348N/A
3/31/20218,179-559243333N/A
12/31/20207,880-581181259N/A
9/30/20207,567-665280355N/A
6/30/20207,323-323220304N/A
3/31/20207,101-43245355N/A
12/31/20196,764-186438573N/A
9/30/20196,404465352520N/A
6/30/20196,025267338529N/A
3/31/20195,631-51313469N/A
12/31/20185,259-78219344N/A
9/30/20184,913-1,116208289N/A
6/30/20184,593-1,437N/A128N/A
3/31/20184,327-1,231N/A170N/A
12/31/20174,090-1,235N/A179N/A
12/31/20162,952-539N/A101N/A
1/1/20161,940-230N/A-38N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SPOT's forecast earnings growth (29.6% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: SPOT's earnings (29.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: SPOT's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SPOT's revenue (12.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SPOT's revenue (12.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: SPOT's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (23.9%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 21:54
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Spotify Technology S.A. is covered by 67 analysts. 34 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
William Noel MilnerArete Research Services LLP
Samuel LourenszArete Research Services LLP