AutoZone Valuation

Is AZO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AZO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AZO ($3102.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($3923.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AZO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AZO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

AZO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.8x
PEG Ratio5.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AZO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AZO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.9x
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive
28.5x6.1%US$66.8b
CVNA Carvana
33.1x11.2%US$38.0b
PAG Penske Automotive Group
11.4x1.5%US$10.4b
MUSA Murphy USA
18.7x5.7%US$9.8b
AZO AutoZone
19.7x3.9%US$51.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AZO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the peer average (22.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AZO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AZO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the US Specialty Retail industry average (14.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AZO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AZO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.7x
Fair PE Ratio17.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AZO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AZO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3,102.09
US$3,265.62
+5.3%
7.9%US$3,575.00US$2,550.00n/a23
Oct ’25US$3,172.98
US$3,258.01
+2.7%
7.8%US$3,500.00US$2,550.00n/a23
Sep ’25US$3,181.48
US$3,221.36
+1.3%
8.3%US$3,787.00US$2,550.00n/a23
Aug ’25US$3,148.36
US$3,198.01
+1.6%
7.4%US$3,450.00US$2,550.00n/a23
Jul ’25US$2,832.79
US$3,194.75
+12.8%
7.4%US$3,450.00US$2,550.00n/a23
Jun ’25US$2,769.94
US$3,190.40
+15.2%
7.4%US$3,450.00US$2,550.00n/a23
May ’25US$2,946.81
US$3,268.59
+10.9%
8.3%US$3,600.00US$2,480.00n/a24
Apr ’25US$3,168.60
US$3,243.23
+2.4%
8.3%US$3,600.00US$2,480.00n/a24
Mar ’25US$3,035.99
US$3,169.59
+4.4%
8.4%US$3,556.00US$2,480.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$2,798.15
US$2,936.32
+4.9%
7.6%US$3,215.00US$2,120.00n/a24
Jan ’25US$2,585.61
US$2,912.63
+12.6%
7.9%US$3,215.00US$2,120.00n/a24
Dec ’24US$2,641.75
US$2,821.89
+6.8%
8.3%US$3,215.00US$2,070.00n/a23
Nov ’24US$2,490.72
US$2,811.46
+12.9%
8.3%US$3,215.00US$2,070.00n/a23
Oct ’24US$2,539.99
US$2,814.00
+10.8%
8.2%US$3,215.00US$2,070.00US$3,172.9822
Sep ’24US$2,542.39
US$2,752.45
+8.3%
7.9%US$3,020.00US$2,070.00US$3,181.4822
Aug ’24US$2,481.10
US$2,752.78
+11.0%
7.7%US$3,020.00US$2,070.00US$3,148.3623
Jul ’24US$2,493.36
US$2,753.65
+10.4%
7.7%US$3,020.00US$2,070.00US$2,832.7923
Jun ’24US$2,373.58
US$2,752.83
+16.0%
7.7%US$3,020.00US$2,050.00US$2,769.9423
May ’24US$2,679.54
US$2,695.74
+0.6%
9.2%US$2,899.00US$1,890.00US$2,946.8123
Apr ’24US$2,458.15
US$2,670.17
+8.6%
9.6%US$2,899.00US$1,890.00US$3,168.6023
Mar ’24US$2,456.37
US$2,664.96
+8.5%
9.6%US$2,899.00US$1,890.00US$3,035.9923
Feb ’24US$2,495.68
US$2,597.00
+4.1%
9.8%US$2,850.00US$1,850.00US$2,798.1522
Jan ’24US$2,466.18
US$2,577.81
+4.5%
10.4%US$2,850.00US$1,850.00US$2,585.6121
Dec ’23US$2,552.97
US$2,452.70
-3.9%
11.4%US$2,850.00US$1,850.00US$2,641.7520
Nov ’23US$2,535.00
US$2,376.00
-6.3%
9.3%US$2,800.00US$1,850.00US$2,490.7220
Oct ’23US$2,141.93
US$2,310.45
+7.9%
9.4%US$2,660.00US$1,770.00US$2,539.9920

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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