Tesla, Inc.

NasdaqGS:TSLA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$774.2b

Tesla Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Tesla is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 22.8% and 15.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 23.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.5% in 3 years.

Key information

22.8%

Earnings growth rate

23.3%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth22.4%
Revenue growth rate15.7%
Future return on equity12.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated14 Mar 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Tesla: Were We Wrong? An Important Update (Technical Analysis)

Mar 10

Elon Musk Has Become A Liability For Tesla

Mar 03

Weekly Picks: Tesla's Bulls and EME's 3 big tailwinds

Feb 26
Weekly Picks: Tesla's Bulls and EME's 3 big tailwinds

Tesla: Prepare For The Worst

Feb 24

Tesla: How We Nailed The Last 4 Turns And What's Next

Feb 18

Tesla: Celebrating 40 Months Of Nothing (Technical Analysis, Rating Downgrade)

Feb 12

The Agony, The Ecstasy, And Why, Despite Some Waffling, I Still Say 'Buy' For Tesla

Feb 06

FSD, Robotics, And AI: Looking Past Tesla's Earnings Numbers

Jan 30

YTSL:CA: 12% Yield Can Offer Downside Protection For Tesla Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Jan 24

Tesla Needs To Fill A Trillion Dollar Void With Autonomy (Rating Downgrade)

Jan 17

Sell Tesla: It's Time To Let Others Continue Speculating

Jan 08

Tesla: Cracks In Foundation Foreshadow Tough 2025 (Rating Downgrade)

Jan 02

Can Tesla's Core Business Support Valuation As Energy, Robotaxi Revenues Ramp Up?

Dec 24

Reverse-Engineering Tesla's $1.5T Valuation

Dec 18

There's Reason For Concern Over Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Massive 27% Price Jump

Dec 13
There's Reason For Concern Over Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Massive 27% Price Jump

Tesla: Declining Sales Growth And Potential Margin Compression

Dec 11

Tesla: Downgrade To Hold After 38% Gain In 9 Weeks (Technical Analysis)

Nov 30

Will Tesla Benefit If $7,500 EV Tax Credit Cancelled?

Nov 18

Tesla: When Fundamentals Don't Matter (Rating Downgrade)

Nov 12

Do Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Nov 12
Do Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Tesla Has Too Many Issues To Make For A Solid Investment

Nov 04

'There Are Some Horses': Maintaining Tesla With A Buy

Oct 27

Wall Street Brunch: Tesla Earnings Steal The Spotlight

Oct 20

The Return Trends At Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Look Promising

Oct 19
The Return Trends At Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Look Promising

Tesla: Fading Robotaxi Hype (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 14

Tesla Stock: We, Are Selling (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 07

Tesla: Time To Cash Out Before Robotaxi Event (Rating Downgrade)

Sep 30

Earnings Not Telling The Story For Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) After Shares Rise 27%

Sep 28
Earnings Not Telling The Story For Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) After Shares Rise 27%

Tesla: A Weak Hold Ahead Of The Robotaxi Event

Sep 23

Tesla: Fierce Chinese Competition May Hold The Stock Back

Sep 16

Is Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) A Risky Investment?

Sep 12
Is Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) A Risky Investment?

Interest Rate Cuts, Layoffs, And Tesla's Stock: What's Next For Investors? (Technical Analysis)

Sep 10

Tesla's Robotaxi Lead Is Questionable; It Takes More Than Tech

Aug 30

Tesla: What If 4680 Battery Team Fails To Deliver By 2024

Aug 19

Tesla: Brilliant AI-Driven Robotaxi Model, But Not Today

Aug 13

Insights Into Tesla's Trillion-Dollar Robotaxi Question From Elon Musk

Aug 05

Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

Jul 31
Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

Tesla: Stagnating Core Business And Unclear Non-Core Potential Make It Unattractive

Jul 29

Tesla: A Significant Shift In Risk/Reward Calls For A Pre-Earnings Downgrade

Jul 23

Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Shares Climb 44% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Jul 17
Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Shares Climb 44% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Tesla's Q2 Deliveries Strong, But What's To Come?

Jul 16

Tesla: A Strong Buy Despite The Massive Rally

Jul 08

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:TSLA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027154,94714,16812,08122,59722
12/31/2026132,15711,8328,67519,36145
12/31/2025110,5899,0265,26116,25649
12/31/202497,6907,1303,58114,923N/A
9/30/202497,15012,7433,61014,479N/A
6/30/202495,31812,4271,71711,532N/A
3/31/202494,74513,6521,38210,985N/A
12/31/202396,77314,9994,35713,256N/A
9/30/202395,92410,7943,71412,164N/A
6/30/202394,02812,2356,16213,956N/A
3/31/202386,03511,7885,77813,242N/A
12/31/202281,46212,5837,55214,724N/A
9/30/202274,86311,1878,90316,031N/A
6/30/202267,1669,5136,92814,078N/A
3/31/202262,1908,3996,91613,851N/A
12/31/202153,8235,5244,98311,497N/A
9/30/202146,8483,4684,0629,931N/A
6/30/202141,8622,1504,1149,184N/A
3/31/202135,9401,1123,9038,024N/A
12/31/202031,5366902,7015,943N/A
9/30/202028,1765251,8274,349N/A
6/30/202025,7083687992,705N/A
3/31/202026,022-1449922,605N/A
12/31/201924,578-8709682,405N/A
9/30/201924,420-8358732,215N/A
6/30/201924,941-6671,3592,850N/A
3/31/201922,593-976-391,856N/A
12/31/201821,461-976-2212,098N/A
9/30/201817,523-1,791N/A1,373N/A
6/30/201813,684-2,722N/A-319N/A
3/31/201812,471-2,341N/A-389N/A
12/31/201711,759-1,962N/A-61N/A
9/30/201710,755-1,407N/A-1,019N/A
6/30/201710,069-766N/A-295N/A
3/31/20178,549-723N/A56N/A
12/31/20167,000-675N/A-124N/A
9/30/20165,930-874N/A295N/A
6/30/20164,568-1,126N/A-332N/A
3/31/20164,253-1,017N/A-642N/A
12/31/20154,046-889N/A-524N/A
9/30/20153,788-676N/A-581N/A
6/30/20153,703-521N/A-406N/A
3/31/20153,518-398N/A-248N/A
12/31/20143,198-294N/A-57N/A
9/30/20142,857-203N/A163N/A
6/30/20142,436-166N/A293N/A
3/31/20142,072-135N/A259N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TSLA's forecast earnings growth (22.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: TSLA's earnings (22.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TSLA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TSLA's revenue (15.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TSLA's revenue (15.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TSLA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/14 04:20
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/14 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tesla, Inc. is covered by 94 analysts. 49 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theodore O'NeillAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Benjamin KalloBaird