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Vistra Corp.NYSE:VST Stock Report

Market Cap US$64.2b
Share Price
US$184.62
My Fair Value
n/a
1Y36.0%
7D-2.7%
Portfolio Value
​
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Vistra Corp.

NYSE:VST Stock Report

Market Cap: US$64.2b

Vistra (VST) Stock Overview

Operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. More details

VST fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth4/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health1/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Trading at 51.8% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 28.09% per year

Risk Analysis

Interest payments are not well covered by earnings

Profit margins (5.6%) are lower than last year (11.4%)


VST Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 298 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

VST logo
Vistra

VST: Accelerating Power Demand Will Drive New Nuclear And Gas Asset Expansion

Key Takeaways Rising electricity demand, strategic contracts, and expanding into storage and renewables position Vistra for strong, diversified growth and improved profitability. Disciplined capital allocation and favorable market conditions enhance shareholder value, reduce risk, and support sustained earnings expansion.
View narrative
US$227.03
FV
18.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
8.39%
Revenue growth p.a.
5users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
142users have followed this narrative
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Vistra

ERCOT And PJM Will Benefit From Electrification And Renewables

Key Takeaways Rising demand from AI and data centers, along with policy support and renewables buildout, will drive revenue growth, margin expansion, and cash flow diversification. Strong capital discipline, declining renewables costs, and leverage of existing assets are expected to bolster returns, credit quality, and shareholder value.
View narrative
US$232
FV
20.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
16.84%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
8users have followed this narrative
VST logo
Vistra

Tight PJM And ERCOT Markets Will Constrain Margins Amid Renewables

Key Takeaways Long-term earnings growth faces headwinds from greater energy efficiency, distributed resources, regulatory risks, and decentralized consumer solutions. Margin compression and cash flow weakness could result from renewable adoption, stricter emissions mandates, and challenging capital requirements amid supply chain pressures.
View narrative
US$169.34
FV
9.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
6.63%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
2users have followed this narrative
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Vistra Corp. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Vistra
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$184.62
52 Week HighUS$219.82
52 Week LowUS$90.51
Beta1.39
1 Month Change-7.51%
3 Month Change-8.66%
1 Year Change36.02%
3 Year Change650.79%
5 Year Change870.15%
Change since IPO1,053.88%

Recent News & Updates

Vistra: The AI Energy Winner That's Not Out Of Steam

Oct 27

Recent updates

Vistra: The AI Energy Winner That's Not Out Of Steam

Oct 27

Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 31% Price Jump

May 13
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 31% Price Jump

It's Down 35% But Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Mar 11
It's Down 35% But Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Vistra: Stay Long, Key Drivers Intact

Feb 28

Vistra Stands To Benefit From The Energy State Of Emergency

Feb 11

Vistra: DeepSeek Sparks Undue AI Selling (Rating Upgrade)

Jan 27

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) 32% Share Price Surge

Jan 22
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) 32% Share Price Surge

Here's Why We Think Vistra (NYSE:VST) Is Well Worth Watching

Dec 28
Here's Why We Think Vistra (NYSE:VST) Is Well Worth Watching

Power Play: Why Vistra Is My Favorite Utility Star

Dec 23

Vistra: Too Much Hype Priced In

Nov 22

Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 33% Price Jump

Nov 22
Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) Looks Just Right With A 33% Price Jump

What Is Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Share Price Doing?

Nov 15
What Is Vistra Corp.'s (NYSE:VST) Share Price Doing?

Vistra: The Nuclear Hype Is Getting Out Of Hand (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 23

Nuclear News - Vistra, Constellation Energy, Denison Mines

Oct 09

Broken Equilibrium: How Vistra Is Growing Like A Startup

Oct 01

Vistra Energy Goes Nuclear

Sep 23

Cheap Vistra Stock Is Poised To Exploit Multiple, Strong Trends

Sep 17

Vistra Corp.: Essential Holding For Your Growth Portfolio

Aug 14

Shareholder Returns

VSTUS Renewable EnergyUS Market
7D-2.7%-0.09%-1.7%
1Y36.0%34.8%12.3%

Return vs Industry: VST exceeded the US Renewable Energy industry which returned 34.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: VST exceeded the US Market which returned 12.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is VST's price volatile compared to industry and market?
VST volatility
VST Average Weekly Movement6.6%
Renewable Energy Industry Average Movement6.4%
Market Average Movement6.5%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market17.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.0%

Stable Share Price: VST has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: VST's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
18826,850Jim Burkevistracorp.com

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia.

Vistra Corp. Fundamentals Summary

How do Vistra's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
VST fundamental statistics
Market capUS$64.17b
Earnings (TTM)US$960.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$17.19b
65.2x
P/E Ratio
3.6x
P/S Ratio

Is VST overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
VST income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$17.19b
Cost of RevenueUS$11.31b
Gross ProfitUS$5.88b
Other ExpensesUS$4.92b
EarningsUS$960.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Sep 30, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)2.83
Gross Margin34.22%
Net Profit Margin5.58%
Debt/Equity Ratio367.9%

How did VST perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.5%
Current Dividend Yield
8%
Payout Ratio

Does VST pay a reliable dividends?

See VST dividend history and benchmarks
When do you need to buy VST by to receive an upcoming dividend?
Vistra dividend dates
Ex Dividend DateDec 22 2025
Dividend Pay DateDec 31 2025
Days until Ex dividend44 days
Days until Dividend pay date53 days

Does VST pay a reliable dividends?

See VST dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/06 12:07
End of Day Share Price 2025/11/06 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Vistra Corp. is covered by 30 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
James ThalackerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Moses SuttonBNP Paribas
Ross FowlerBofA Global Research