ZOZO, Inc.

TSE:3092 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥937.4b

ZOZO Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

ZOZO is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.4% and 4.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 5.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 41.3% in 3 years.

Key information

5.4%

Earnings growth rate

5.86%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth9.5%
Revenue growth rate4.8%
Future return on equity41.33%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated02 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 03

3092: Dividend Stability And Higher Revenue Assumptions Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for ZOZO from about ¥1,834 to roughly ¥1,687, reflecting updated views that pair slightly lower profit margin expectations with somewhat higher projected revenue growth and a similar forward P/E profile. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for May 19, 2026 to consider director candidates for the 28th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders, the disposal of treasury shares under restricted stock compensation, and other business matters.
Narrative Update May 05

3092: Higher Discount Rate Will Pressure Earnings Quality Before Loan Decision

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for ZOZO to a new price target of ¥880 from ¥1,009.84, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News ZOZO has scheduled a board meeting for February 20, 2026, to consider and decide whether to execute a loan agreement that includes financial covenants (Key Developments).
Analysis Article May 02

The ZOZO, Inc. (TSE:3092) Yearly Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

Shareholders might have noticed that ZOZO, Inc. ( TSE:3092 ) filed its yearly result this time last week. The early...
Narrative Update Apr 20

3092: Higher Profitability And Loan Covenants Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target on ZOZO slightly lower to ¥1,834 from ¥1,849, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, while noting that the overall valuation remains largely intact. What's in the News ZOZO has scheduled a board meeting for February 20, 2026, to consider and decide on the execution of a loan agreement that includes financial covenants (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Apr 06

3092: Loan Agreement Decision And Margin Stability Will Support Further Upside

Analysts have adjusted their price target on ZOZO to ¥1,359.82, keeping it unchanged overall while fine tuning assumptions such as a slightly different discount rate, a modestly revised revenue growth outlook, a small uplift in profit margin, and a minor tweak to the forward P/E multiple. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for February 20, 2026, to consider and decide on a loan agreement that includes financial covenants (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 22

3092: Higher Profitability And New Loan Covenants Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on ZOZO to ¥1,848.64 from ¥1,857.27, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for February 20, 2026, with an agenda to consider and decide on executing a loan agreement that includes financial covenants (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 07

3092: Loan Agreement Plans And Margin Resilience Will Support Further Upside

Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for ZOZO from ¥1,365.71 to ¥1,359.82, reflecting modest adjustments to assumptions related to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News ZOZO scheduled a board meeting for February 20, 2026 to consider and resolve on executing a loan agreement with financial covenants (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Feb 21

3092: Higher Margin Outlook And Dividend Stability Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts now see ZOZO's fair value shifting from ¥1,437.47 to ¥1,365.71 as they factor in adjusted revenue growth expectations, a slightly higher discount rate, modestly higher profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Adjusted from ¥1,437.47 to ¥1,365.71, representing a modest move lower in the modelled estimate.
Narrative Update Feb 07

3092: Higher Profitability And Lower Discount Rate Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have increased their fair value estimate for ZOZO to ¥1,857 from ¥1,852, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E assumptions. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has been nudged up slightly from ¥1,852 to ¥1,857.
Analysis Article Feb 03

ZOZO, Inc. (TSE:3092) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

ZOZO, Inc. ( TSE:3092 ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 7.0% to JP¥1,138...
Narrative Update Jan 24

3092: Dividend Reset And Stable Assumptions Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target on ZOZO slightly higher to ¥1,852, citing modest tweaks to inputs such as a roughly 0.06 percentage point change in discount rate, a 0.08 percentage point adjustment to revenue growth, a marginal shift in profit margin, and a small revision to the assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News ZOZO announced a second quarter dividend of ¥19 per share for the period ended September 30, 2025, compared with ¥53 per share a year earlier, with figures presented on a post stock split basis (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Jan 09

3092: Dividend Policy And Modest Assumption Shifts Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have made a small downward adjustment to their fair value estimate for ZOZO to ¥1,852.28 from ¥1,853.41, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News ZOZO announced a second quarter dividend of ¥19 per share for the period ended September 30, 2025, compared with ¥53 per share a year earlier, with amounts presented on a post stock split basis (Key Developments).
Analysis Article Dec 29

Here's Why ZOZO (TSE:3092) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Narrative Update Dec 15

3092: Dividend Outlook Will Support Stronger Long Term Earnings Prospects

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on ZOZO to approximately ¥1,850 from about ¥1,990, citing a modestly higher discount rate and slightly lower margin expectations, while remaining constructive on revenue growth and longer term earnings power. What's in the News ZOZO announced a second quarter dividend of JPY 19 per share for the period ended September 30, 2025, adjusted for a three-for-one stock split completed on April 1, 2025 (company announcement) The new interim dividend compares with JPY 53 per share a year earlier, reflecting the impact of the stock split and updated capital return policy (company announcement) The dividend will be payable on November 25, 2025 to shareholders of record as of the specified date (company announcement) For the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, ZOZO guided for a year-end dividend of JPY 20 per share, versus JPY 54 per share a year ago, on a post-split basis (company announcement) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has fallen slightly to approximately ¥1,850 from about ¥1,990, reflecting more conservative assumptions.
Narrative Update Nov 29

3092: Dividend Stability And Stock Split Are Expected To Support Fair Value

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for ZOZO from ¥1,441.88 to ¥1,437.47, citing modest adjustments in growth forecasts and profitability metrics. What's in the News ZOZO, Inc.
Analysis Article Nov 22

Calculating The Fair Value Of ZOZO, Inc. (TSE:3092)

Key Insights The projected fair value for ZOZO is JP¥1,226 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity ZOZO's JP¥1,321...
Narrative Update Nov 15

3092: Dividend Payouts And Stock Split Will Drive Shareholder Value

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for ZOZO from ¥1,473 to ¥1,441. They cite modestly slower expected revenue growth and a marginally higher discount rate in their updated forecasts.
Analysis Article Nov 04

ZOZO, Inc. Just Missed EPS By 15%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

It's shaping up to be a tough period for ZOZO, Inc. ( TSE:3092 ), which a week ago released some disappointing interim...
Narrative Update Nov 01

3092: Dividend Adjustments And Stock Split Will Shape Near-Term Performance

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for ZOZO from ¥1,500 to ¥1,473.44, citing marginal adjustments to growth forecasts and profitability expectations. What's in the News ZOZO, Inc.
Analysis Article Sep 08

We Think ZOZO (TSE:3092) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Aug 03

ZOZO, Inc. (TSE:3092) First-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Last week, you might have seen that ZOZO, Inc. ( TSE:3092 ) released its first-quarter result to the market. The early...
Analysis Article Jul 17

Does This Valuation Of ZOZO, Inc. (TSE:3092) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, ZOZO fair value estimate is JP¥1,215 ZOZO's JP¥1,528 share...
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New Narrative Nov 25

Revolutionising Retail With AI Innovation And Calculated Brand Expansion

Productivity improvements and personalized strategies may reduce costs and boost net margins significantly.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSE:3092 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (JPY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/2029266,53856,52365,26369,6349
3/31/2028254,04554,51556,93164,25617
3/31/2027242,06351,16052,36862,09216
3/31/2026228,37347,92645,48252,531N/A
12/31/2025223,86046,379N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2025219,57945,22247,76854,010N/A
6/30/2025216,77245,613N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2025213,13145,34653,82960,114N/A
12/31/2024210,52447,814N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2024205,60045,15740,70350,334N/A
6/30/2024201,53244,246N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2024197,01644,34133,22642,589N/A
12/31/2023194,52440,783N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2023189,87340,77327,22836,671N/A
6/30/2023186,70440,770N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2023183,42339,52627,40136,671N/A
12/31/2022178,88839,052N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2022173,75437,01835,86340,222N/A
6/30/2022169,92335,721N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2022166,19934,49238,56339,895N/A
12/31/2021162,70033,860N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2021157,12233,53041,22244,405N/A
6/30/2021152,59432,342N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2021147,40230,93241,43844,790N/A
12/31/2020142,11030,357N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2020134,76724,82829,91933,505N/A
6/30/2020130,99420,799N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2020125,51718,80419,61924,789N/A
12/31/2019120,51814,492N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2019121,88317,613N/A19,166N/A
6/30/2019120,05017,148N/AN/AN/A
3/31/2019118,40515,985N/A14,807N/A
12/31/2018117,29117,536N/AN/AN/A
9/30/2018109,50216,896N/A15,922N/A
6/30/2018103,53318,787N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201898,43220,156N/A19,882N/A
12/31/201793,61419,203N/AN/AN/A
9/30/201787,52118,527N/A17,506N/A
6/30/201782,45818,987N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201776,39317,035N/A18,294N/A
12/31/201670,36618,178N/AN/AN/A
9/30/201663,57115,258N/A15,438N/A
6/30/201658,95213,067N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201654,42211,988N/A12,027N/A
12/31/201549,67910,047N/AN/AN/A
9/30/201545,9799,875N/A11,411N/A
6/30/201543,6379,627N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 3092's forecast earnings growth (5.4% per year) is above the savings rate (0.8%).

Earnings vs Market: 3092's earnings (5.4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the JP market (9.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 3092's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 3092's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the JP market (5.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 3092's revenue (4.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 3092's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (41.3%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/06 05:51
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/05 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2026/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

ZOZO, Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yoshitaka NagaoBofA Global Research
Keiichi YoneshimaCitigroup Inc
Oliver James Gray MatthewCLSA