OSL Group Limited

SEHK:863 Stock Report

Market Cap: HK$10.4b

OSL Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

OSL Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 92.5% and 35.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 96.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 3.7% in 3 years.

Key information

92.5%

Earnings growth rate

96.08%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth10.5%
Revenue growth rate35.5%
Future return on equity3.73%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated04 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 26

863: Expanding Stablecoin Reserves Will Support Future Earnings Re-Rating

Analysts have adjusted their price target for OSL Group to HK$18.86 from HK$20.24, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for OSL Group OSL Group reported that the circulating supply of its compliant enterprise stablecoin USDGO has reached more than US$500 million within four months of launch, according to company announcements.
Analysis Article Jun 17

OSL Group (SEHK:863) Stock Could Be 38% Undervalued After USDGO Reached $500 Million

OSL Group (SEHK:863) is drawing fresh attention after its USDGO enterprise stablecoin reached more than US$500 million in circulating supply within four months, supported by reserves spanning funds from JPMorgan, BlackRock and Goldman Sachs. See our latest analysis for OSL Group. Despite the USDGO milestone, OSL Group’s recent momentum has been mixed, with a 7.36% 1 day share price return and a 24.01% 7 day share price return, but a year to date share price return that is down 26.09%, set...
New Narrative Apr 03

Stablecoin Adoption And AI Payments Will Reshape Global Transaction Flows Over Time

Catalysts About OSL Group OSL Group operates a global stablecoin payment and trading platform that connects fiat currencies with digital assets for institutions and enterprises. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
Analysis Article Dec 08

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By OSL Group Limited's (HKG:863) 25% Share Price Surge

Despite an already strong run, OSL Group Limited ( HKG:863 ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the...
Analysis Article Jul 07

Market Participants Recognise OSL Group Limited's (HKG:863) Revenues Pushing Shares 29% Higher

OSL Group Limited ( HKG:863 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. The...
Analysis Article Apr 18

OSL Group Limited's (HKG:863) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

The OSL Group Limited ( HKG:863 ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28...
Analysis Article Feb 11

OSL Group Limited's (HKG:863) 25% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

OSL Group Limited ( HKG:863 ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The...
Analysis Article Nov 09

Revenues Not Telling The Story For OSL Group Limited (HKG:863) After Shares Rise 47%

OSL Group Limited ( HKG:863 ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 47% after a shaky period beforehand...
Analysis Article Sep 25

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For OSL Group Limited (HKG:863)

OSL Group Limited's ( HKG:863 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 17.1x may look like a poor investment opportunity...
Analysis Article May 27

With A 39% Price Drop For OSL Group Limited (HKG:863) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

OSL Group Limited ( HKG:863 ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 39% after a relatively good period beforehand...
Analysis Article Apr 12

OSL Group Limited's (HKG:863) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion

OSL Group Limited's ( HKG:863 ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 27.8x may look like a poor investment opportunity...
Analysis Article Dec 18

Subdued Growth No Barrier To BC Technology Group Limited (HKG:863) With Shares Advancing 79%

Despite an already strong run, BC Technology Group Limited ( HKG:863 ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 79...
Analysis Article Aug 24

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By BC Technology Group Limited's (HKG:863) 33% Share Price Surge

Those holding BC Technology Group Limited ( HKG:863 ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 33...
Analysis Article May 14

Some Analysts Just Cut Their BC Technology Group Limited (HKG:863) Estimates

The analysts covering BC Technology Group Limited ( HKG:863 ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by...
Analysis Article Mar 31

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For BC Technology Group Limited (HKG:863) After Its Yearly Results

As you might know, BC Technology Group Limited ( HKG:863 ) last week released its latest full-year, and things did not...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SEHK:863 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (HKD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20281,530136N/A513
12/31/20271,187-16-1601394
12/31/2026767-237-1771,4343
12/31/2025489-387-1,492-1,529N/A
9/30/2025468-171N/AN/AN/A
6/30/202544645-296-284N/A
3/31/202541151-309-302N/A
12/31/202437556-323-320N/A
6/30/2024228-161-376-376N/A
3/31/2024219-205-531-531N/A
12/31/2023210-250-686-686N/A
6/30/2023148-346-416-415N/A
3/31/2023110-448-123-122N/A
12/31/202271-550169171N/A
6/30/2022200-512-901-864N/A
3/31/2022262-440-681-640N/A
12/31/2021324-367-462-415N/A
6/30/2021297-335379392N/A
3/31/2021271-308169180N/A
12/31/2020244-281-40-31N/A
9/30/2020197-258N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2020187-225-76-51N/A
3/31/2020183-246-159-133N/A
12/31/2019184-273-249-220N/A
9/30/2019153-282N/AN/AN/A
6/30/2019187-319N/A19N/A
3/31/2019181-258N/A26N/A
12/31/2018165-184N/A32N/A
6/30/2018174-65N/A-59N/A
3/31/2018193-69N/A-40N/A
12/31/2017195-66N/A-17N/A
6/30/2017211-56N/A78N/A
3/31/2017194-47N/A36N/A
12/31/2016179-39N/A-5N/A
6/30/2016130-14N/A16N/A
3/31/20162021N/AN/AN/A
12/31/20152415N/A83N/A
9/30/201536141N/AN/AN/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 863 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3%).

Earnings vs Market: 863 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 863 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 863's revenue (35.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Hong Kong market (8.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 863's revenue (35.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 863's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (3.7%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/03 17:30
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/03 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

OSL Group Limited is covered by 7 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Amy Jy ChenCitigroup Inc
Zhuofei NieDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
Manyi LuDBS Bank Ltd