Stock Analysis

With A 39% Price Drop For OSL Group Limited (HKG:863) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

OSL Group Limited (HKG:863) shares have had a horrible month, losing 39% after a relatively good period beforehand. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 163%.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking OSL Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 19.8x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Capital Markets industry have P/S ratios below 2.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for OSL Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:863 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 27th 2024
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What Does OSL Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

OSL Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. Perhaps the market is expecting the company's future revenue growth to buck the trend of the industry, contributing to a higher P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on OSL Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is OSL Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, OSL Group would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 194%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 14% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 67% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 38% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why OSL Group is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate OSL Group's very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look into OSL Group shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for OSL Group that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:863

OSL Group

An investment holding company, engages in digital assets and blockchain platform business in Hong Kong, Australia, Japan, Singapore, and Mainland China.

High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.

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