Alcoa Corporation

NYSE:AA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.8b

Alcoa Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Alcoa's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 0.1% and 17.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 16.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.9% in 3 years.

Key information

-17.3%

Earnings growth rate

-16.59%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth14.2%
Revenue growth rate-0.1%
Future return on equity9.89%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated25 Jul 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Alcoa: I'm Not Touching It, Even At 8x Earnings (Earnings Review)

Jul 17
author-image

Australia Refinancing And San Ciprián Restart Will Support Stable Operations

Strategic refinancing and joint ventures are expected to enhance cash flow, reduce interest expenses, and stabilize revenue.

Alcoa's Q1 2025 Review: Tariff Hurts, But Game Isn't Over

Apr 18

Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%

Apr 11
Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%

Alcoa And The Aluminum Market: A Point Of Tension And Growth

Mar 30

Alcoa's (NYSE:AA) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Feb 27
Alcoa's (NYSE:AA) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Is Using Debt Extensively

Feb 21
These 4 Measures Indicate That Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Is Using Debt Extensively

The 'Trump Factor' In Action: Why I'm Bullish On Alcoa

Feb 11

Alcoa: The Tides Have Shifted To A Bullish Market

Jan 30

Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Jan 16
Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Alcoa: Learn How To Trade A Sentiment-Based Stock (Technical Analysis)

Jan 06

Alcoa Corporation: Bearish Market, And Tariff Uncertainty Blur Positive Signals, Hold

Dec 31

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Is Using Debt Extensively

Nov 11
These 4 Measures Indicate That Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Is Using Debt Extensively

Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.10

Oct 20
Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.10

Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Oct 16
Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Alcoa's Financial Position Is Improving: Upgraded To A Buy Rating

Sep 22

Alcoa Corporation: Great News Justifies Additional Upside

Jul 11

Alcoa: Time For A Brief Commercial Break - Then What? (Technical Analysis)

May 28

Alcoa Earnings Preview: The Set Up Could Lead To A Selloff

Apr 14

Alcoa's Purchase Of Alumina Limited: The Market Is Right On This One

Feb 26

What It Takes For Alcoa Stock To Double

Jan 19

Alcoa: Hold This Major Aluminum Producer

Dec 26

Alcoa: Highly Cyclical And Getting Ready To Run Again

Dec 04

Alcoa Has A Very Bright Future, But Not Without Risks

Oct 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202712,7297189471,2667
12/31/202612,37053338694611
12/31/202512,50089443994011
6/30/202512,7779895821,121N/A
3/31/202512,665847348920N/A
12/31/202411,8955642622N/A
9/30/202411,004-292-194405N/A
6/30/202410,702-550-267331N/A
3/31/202410,480-672-51831N/A
12/31/202310,551-651-44091N/A
9/30/202310,619-896-50311N/A
6/30/202310,868-1,474-42176N/A
3/31/202311,828-823136625N/A
12/31/202212,451-123342822N/A
9/30/202213,128-1208071,269N/A
6/30/202213,3869631,1531,570N/A
3/31/202212,575723559948N/A
12/31/202112,152429530920N/A
9/30/202111,20481745393N/A
6/30/202110,460431-223116N/A
3/31/20219,775-75153490N/A
12/31/20209,286-17041394N/A
9/30/20209,330-469242618N/A
6/30/20209,532-641245634N/A
3/31/202010,095-84627428N/A
12/31/201910,433-1,125307686N/A
9/30/201911,341-771566959N/A
6/30/201912,164-5566851,073N/A
3/31/201913,032-144N/A561N/A
12/31/201813,403250N/A448N/A
9/30/201813,2333N/A368N/A
6/30/201812,807122N/A464N/A
3/31/201812,087187N/A1,205N/A
12/31/201711,652279N/A1,224N/A
9/30/201711,015288N/A1,008N/A
6/30/201710,380165N/A515N/A
3/31/20179,84435N/A122N/A
12/31/20169,318-400N/A-311N/A
9/30/20169,232-1,101N/A-497N/A
6/30/20169,582-1,215N/A-77N/A
3/31/201610,223-1,239N/A254N/A
12/31/201511,199-863N/A875N/A
12/31/201413,147-256N/A842N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-17.3% per year).

Earnings vs Market: AA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-17.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AA's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AA's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AA's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.1% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.9%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/08/11 11:07
End of Day Share Price 2025/08/08 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alcoa Corporation is covered by 31 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Paretosh MisraBerenberg