The Progressive Corporation

NYSE:PGR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$145.1b

Progressive Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Progressive's earnings are forecast to decline at 3.5% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 8.8% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 2.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 24.6% in 3 years.

Key information

-3.5%

Earnings growth rate

-2.80%

EPS growth rate

Insurance earnings growth11.5%
Revenue growth rate8.8%
Future return on equity24.62%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated24 Jul 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.10

Jul 02
Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.10

The Art Of Profitable Scale: Lessons From Progressive

Jun 28

Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.10

Jun 18
Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.10

Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.10

May 22
Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.10

The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

May 04
The Progressive Corporation (NYSE:PGR) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Progressive Corporation: Performance Remains Strong, But Valuation Is Elevated

Apr 21

The Progressive Corporation: Earnings Have Exploded, Take Advantage Of Recent Price Drop And Buy

Apr 12

Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.10

Mar 28
Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.10

Progressive: Fundamentally Strong, But Earning Multiples Are Elevated, Hold For Now

Mar 18

Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.10

Mar 14
Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.10

Progressive: One Of The Most Resilient Uptrends, Still Fairly Priced

Feb 06

Progressive: Profitability And Valuations Indicates Hold

Jan 21

The Progressive Corporation's (NYSE:PGR) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Jan 18
The Progressive Corporation's (NYSE:PGR) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Progressive: A Priced-For-Perfection Industry Outperformer

Jan 04

Auto Insurer Progressive Held Up In Traffic As Valuation Puts Brakes On Rating

Dec 02

Here's Why Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Nov 24
Here's Why Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Progressive: Skyrocketing Car Insurance Costs Increase Consumer Price Sensitivity

Oct 28

Progressive Is A Buy On Its Justified Valuation

Oct 16

What The Progressive Corporation's (NYSE:PGR) P/E Is Not Telling You

Oct 04
What The Progressive Corporation's (NYSE:PGR) P/E Is Not Telling You

Progressive: A Backbone For Your Portfolio

Sep 25

Progressive Corporation: Accumulate This Amazing Performer On Weaknesses

Aug 27

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Presents An Opportunity

Aug 26
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Progressive (NYSE:PGR) Presents An Opportunity
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PGR: Pricing Flexibility and First-Mover Telematics Innovation Offers Steady Growth and Competition

Personal Auto Insurance: This remains a core product for Progressive, contributing substantially to its revenue.

Progressive Is A Buy Ahead Of Earnings

Jul 08

Progressive: Innovation Prioritization And Continued Steady Growth Make It A Buy

Jun 29

Progressive: Growth Story Already Priced In

Jun 19

Progressive: This Winner Has Much More Long-Term Upside

Apr 12

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:PGR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027102,3039,82715,844N/A6
12/31/202694,5529,59315,147N/A11
12/31/202585,65410,30814,999N/A11
6/30/202582,37610,432N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202578,5088,71615,73316,027N/A
12/31/202475,3438,46314,83415,119N/A
9/30/202471,9608,08414,29214,548N/A
6/30/202467,8026,86113,12113,357N/A
3/31/202465,0225,73812,17012,429N/A
12/31/202362,0833,86510,39110,643N/A
9/30/202358,6612,7078,9199,136N/A
6/30/202355,8821,7147,4557,743N/A
3/31/202352,0488286,5346,796N/A
12/31/202249,5876956,5576,849N/A
9/30/202248,6098316,0716,371N/A
6/30/202247,6878256,4346,715N/A
3/31/202248,0732,1587,3847,650N/A
12/31/202147,6773,3247,5187,762N/A
9/30/202146,6024,0468,6228,857N/A
6/30/202145,6925,4587,7547,965N/A
3/31/202144,7606,4597,6837,894N/A
12/31/202042,6385,6786,6826,906N/A
9/30/202041,9635,0646,2286,487N/A
6/30/202040,5454,3756,4956,766N/A
3/31/202039,0223,5645,6696,019N/A
12/31/201938,9983,9435,8986,262N/A
9/30/201936,2923,1375,8346,217N/A
6/30/201935,2573,2245,8096,176N/A
3/31/201933,8242,949N/A6,406N/A
12/31/201831,9552,594N/A6,285N/A
9/30/201831,0412,912N/A5,735N/A
6/30/201829,3372,215N/A5,218N/A
3/31/201827,9241,885N/A4,400N/A
12/31/201726,8161,592N/A3,757N/A
9/30/201725,8231,399N/A3,680N/A
6/30/201724,9671,374N/A3,184N/A
3/31/201724,1811,197N/A3,018N/A
12/31/201623,4171,031N/A2,733N/A
9/30/201622,690978N/A2,408N/A
6/30/201622,0291,058N/A2,434N/A
3/31/201621,4951,230N/A2,340N/A
12/31/201520,8321,268N/A2,293N/A
9/30/201520,6091,307N/A2,229N/A
6/30/201520,1061,325N/A2,114N/A
3/31/201519,5641,255N/A1,836N/A
12/31/201419,3771,281N/A1,726N/A
9/30/201418,8211,211N/A1,809N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PGR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.5% per year).

Earnings vs Market: PGR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PGR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PGR's revenue (8.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PGR's revenue (8.8% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PGR's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (24.6%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/07/24 17:48
End of Day Share Price 2025/07/24 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

The Progressive Corporation is covered by 44 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jacob KilsteinArgus Research Company
Jay GelbBarclays
Taylor ScottBarclays