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Custom Truck One Source, Inc.NYSE:CTOS Stock Report

Market Cap US$2.1b
Share Price
US$9.24
US$7.67
20.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
1Y111.4%
7D-8.4%
1D
Portfolio Value
View

Custom Truck One Source, Inc.

NYSE:CTOS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.1b

Custom Truck One Source (CTOS) Stock Overview

Provides specialty equipment rental and sale services to electric utility transmission and distribution, telecommunications, rail, forestry, waste management, and other infrastructure-related industries in the United States and Canada. More details

CTOS fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health4/6
Dividends0/6

CTOS Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Custom Truck One Source
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$9.24
52 Week HighUS$10.22
52 Week LowUS$4.19
Beta1.41
1 Month Change10.39%
3 Month Change22.55%
1 Year Change111.44%
3 Year Change40.64%
5 Year Change-11.92%
Change since IPO5.60%

Recent News & Updates

Narrative Update May 04

CTOS: Higher Margin Outlook And Buyback Will Contrast With Cautious Future P/E Assumptions

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Custom Truck One Source to reflect an updated fair value of $8.16, based on revised assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Custom Truck One Source reaffirmed consolidated earnings guidance for full year 2026, with revenue expected in a range of $2,005 million to $2,120 million and a stated year-over-year revenue change of 3% to 9% (Corporate guidance).
Analysis Article May 01

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (NYSE:CTOS) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets

It's been a pretty great week for Custom Truck One Source, Inc. ( NYSE:CTOS ) shareholders, with its shares surging 12...

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 04

CTOS: Higher Margin Outlook And Buyback Will Contrast With Cautious Future P/E Assumptions

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Custom Truck One Source to reflect an updated fair value of $8.16, based on revised assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Custom Truck One Source reaffirmed consolidated earnings guidance for full year 2026, with revenue expected in a range of $2,005 million to $2,120 million and a stated year-over-year revenue change of 3% to 9% (Corporate guidance).
Analysis Article May 01

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (NYSE:CTOS) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Lifting Their Price Targets

It's been a pretty great week for Custom Truck One Source, Inc. ( NYSE:CTOS ) shareholders, with its shares surging 12...
Narrative Update Apr 20

CTOS: New Offerings And Partnerships Will Support A Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have revised their price target on Custom Truck One Source to $7.67, citing unchanged fair value estimates along with slightly lower assumptions for the discount rate and future P/E as key drivers of the update. What's in the News Custom Truck One Source unveiled new Load King Manufacturing offerings at The Work Truck Show 2026, including the Voyager AMX+, Voyager AMX, and Load King Outback 28SC-30, focused on field service and utility applications (Product-Related Announcement).
Narrative Update Apr 06

CTOS: New Products And Buyback Will Support Balanced Outlook At Current Price

Analysts have adjusted their price target on Custom Truck One Source from $6.50 to $6.00, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News Custom Truck One Source unveiled new Load King products at The Work Truck Show 2026, including the Voyager AMX+, the Voyager AMX, and the Load King Outback 28SC-30, aimed at field service and utility work.
Narrative Update Mar 23

CTOS: New Equipment Offerings And Dealer Expansion Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have slightly trimmed their blended price view on Custom Truck One Source to about $7.67 per share from around $7.75, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Custom Truck One Source unveiled new Load King Manufacturing products at The Work Truck Show 2026, including the Voyager AMX+, the Voyager AMX, and the Load King Outback 28SC-30, targeting field service and utility professionals with lighter-weight builds and operator-focused features (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 08

CTOS: New Equipment Partnerships Will Support Future Upside In Core Operations

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Custom Truck One Source higher from $7.67 to $7.75, citing updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as the key drivers of this shift. What's in the News Hiab signed a dealer agreement with Custom Truck One Source to expand the distribution and service network for HIAB loader cranes and MOFFETT truck mounted forklifts.
Narrative Update Feb 22

CTOS: Expanded Distribution Pact Will Sustain Rich Multiple Despite Modest Assumption Tweaks

Analysts have made small adjustments to their price targets for Custom Truck One Source, maintaining a fair value estimate of $6.50. They have modestly refined assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E ratio to reflect updated views on the company’s risk and earnings profile.
Narrative Update Feb 08

CTOS: Modest Assumption Shifts Will Support A Steady Fair Value Outlook

Analysts have lifted their price target on Custom Truck One Source to US$6.50 from US$6.50, citing slightly lower discount rate assumptions, marginally higher revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a modestly reduced future P/E estimate as key drivers of the revised view. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Price target held steady at US$6.50, with no change from the prior estimate.
Narrative Update Jan 25

CTOS: Steady Guidance And Completed Buybacks Will Support A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Custom Truck One Source from US$6.00 to US$6.50, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Management reaffirmed consolidated earnings guidance for 2025, with expected revenue in a range of US$1.97b to US$2.06b (company guidance).
Narrative Update Jan 10

CTOS: Steady Guidance And Buybacks Will Support A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target on Custom Truck One Source to US$6.00. The update reflects slightly higher assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins, along with a modestly lower future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Dec 24

CTOS: Profitability And Electrification Initiatives Will Support A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Custom Truck One Source from approximately 5.50 dollars to 6.00 dollars, reflecting expectations for stronger profit margins despite a slowdown in projected revenue growth and a normalization in future valuation multiples. What's in the News Reaffirmed 2025 revenue guidance in the range of 1.97 billion to 2.06 billion dollars, signaling confidence in the existing growth trajectory despite a moderating demand backdrop (company guidance).
Narrative Update Dec 10

CTOS: Orlando Expansion Will Drive Future Upside In Core Operations

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Custom Truck One Source, nudging it to approximately $7.67 per share as they refine assumptions around the company’s discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future earnings multiple. What's in the News Reaffirmed 2025 consolidated revenue guidance in the range of $1.97 billion to $2.06 billion, signaling confidence in the current growth trajectory (Corporate Guidance).
Narrative Update Nov 26

CTOS: New Facility And Buyback Completion Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Custom Truck One Source, citing improved revenue growth projections and a slightly higher profit margin. They now estimate fair value at $7.67 per share, up from previous expectations.
Narrative Update Nov 12

CTOS: Revenue Guidance And New Facility Expansion Will Drive Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Custom Truck One Source from $7.58 to $7.67 per share. They cited improved outlooks on revenue growth and profit margins, which more than offset a higher discount rate and slightly lower future price-to-earnings expectations.
Narrative Update Oct 28

Equipment Expansion And Electrification Will Drive Recurring Revenue And Support Profitability

Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Custom Truck One Source from $7.50 to $7.58, citing modest adjustments to growth projections and valuation assumptions. What's in the News Unveiled new advanced equipment at Utility Expo 2025, including the Outback Series of tracked easement machines, Voyager AMX aluminum service truck, PalGal Loader/Cable Rolloff, and an all-electric bucket truck.
Narrative Update Oct 14

Electricity Grid Modernization And Fleet Investments Will Secure Recurring Revenues

Analysts have raised their price target for Custom Truck One Source from $7.10 to $7.50, citing incremental improvements in profit margin forecasts and a slightly lower discount rate as the primary drivers of the upward revision. What's in the News Unveiled advanced equipment at Utility Expo 2025, including the Outback Series of off-road tracked machines, the Voyager AMX aluminum service truck, the PalGal Loader/Cable Rolloff, and an all-electric bucket truck.
Analysis Article Jul 16

Improved Revenues Required Before Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (NYSE:CTOS) Shares Find Their Feet

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Trade Distributors industry in the United States have...
Analysis Article Jun 27

Is Custom Truck One Source (NYSE:CTOS) Using Too Much Debt?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
User avatar
New Narrative May 28

US Infrastructure Investments Will Drive Rental Utilization

Strong infrastructure and utility sector demand, coupled with labor shortages, is driving robust rental utilization, backlog, and recurring revenue growth.
Analysis Article May 22

Is Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (NYSE:CTOS) Trading At A 40% Discount?

Key Insights The projected fair value for Custom Truck One Source is US$7.31 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Analysis Article May 02

Custom Truck One Source (NYSE:CTOS) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article Apr 11

Little Excitement Around Custom Truck One Source, Inc.'s (NYSE:CTOS) Revenues As Shares Take 28% Pounding

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. ( NYSE:CTOS ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 28% after a relatively good period...
Analysis Article Feb 25

Investors Still Waiting For A Pull Back In Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (NYSE:CTOS)

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1x in the Trade Distributors industry in the United States...
Analysis Article Feb 04

Is Custom Truck One Source (NYSE:CTOS) A Risky Investment?

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Seeking Alpha Jan 29

Custom Truck One Source: My Downgrade To Buy Reflects State Of Demand

Summary Custom Truck One Source is expected to see share price growth over the next 12 months, despite recent declines in revenue and earnings. Q3 2024 results showed declines in revenue, net income, and EBITDA, but management remains optimistic about a return to growth in 2025. Given the mixed performance and future growth potential, I have downgraded my rating from Strong Buy to Buy, awaiting consistent profitable growth. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article Nov 27

Custom Truck One Source's (NYSE:CTOS) Returns Have Hit A Wall

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? In a...
Analysis Article Nov 06

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (NYSE:CTOS) Looks Just Right With A 30% Price Jump

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. ( NYSE:CTOS ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period...
Analysis Article Oct 29

Does Custom Truck One Source (NYSE:CTOS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...
Analysis Article Aug 31

Not Many Are Piling Into Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (NYSE:CTOS) Just Yet

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Trade Distributors industry in the United States have...
Analysis Article Jul 15

Is Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (NYSE:CTOS) Expensive For A Reason? A Look At Its Intrinsic Value

Key Insights Custom Truck One Source's estimated fair value is US$3.50 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Custom...
Analysis Article May 04

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. (NYSE:CTOS) Shares Slammed 30% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Custom Truck One Source, Inc. ( NYSE:CTOS ) share price has dived 30% in the...
Analysis Article Apr 11

Is Custom Truck One Source (NYSE:CTOS) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...

Shareholder Returns

CTOSUS Trade DistributorsUS Market
7D-8.4%-3.8%-0.8%
1Y111.4%19.4%27.1%

Return vs Industry: CTOS exceeded the US Trade Distributors industry which returned 19.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: CTOS exceeded the US Market which returned 26.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is CTOS's price volatile compared to industry and market?
CTOS volatility
CTOS Average Weekly Movement7.2%
Trade Distributors Industry Average Movement7.2%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: CTOS has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: CTOS's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19882,500Ryan McMonaglewww.customtruck.com

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. provides specialty equipment rental and sale services to electric utility transmission and distribution, telecommunications, rail, forestry, waste management, and other infrastructure-related industries in the United States and Canada. It operates through two segments: Specialty Equipment Rentals (SER); and Specialty Truck Equipment and Manufacturing (STEM). The company owns new and used specialty equipment, including truck-mounted aerial lifts, cranes, service trucks, dump trucks, trailers, digger derricks, and other machinery and equipment.

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do Custom Truck One Source's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
CTOS fundamental statistics
Market capUS$2.12b
Earnings (TTM)-US$17.36m
Revenue (TTM)US$1.98b
1.1x
P/S Ratio
-121.0x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
CTOS income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$1.98b
Cost of RevenueUS$1.55b
Gross ProfitUS$429.42m
Other ExpensesUS$446.78m
Earnings-US$17.36m

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2026

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.076
Gross Margin21.65%
Net Profit Margin-0.88%
Debt/Equity Ratio294.8%

How did CTOS perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/21 10:50
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/21 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Custom Truck One Source, Inc. is covered by 9 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Justin HaukeBaird
Manish SomaiyaCantor Fitzgerald & Co.
Timothy TheinCitigroup Inc